Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#199
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#154
Pace64.5#306
Improvement-0.7#234

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#282
First Shot-8.2#361
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#17
Layup/Dunks-8.8#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.5#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#324
Freethrows-3.9#352
Improvement-1.7#326

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#112
First Shot+3.5#73
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#287
Layups/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#59
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement+1.1#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 6.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 59.1% 64.7% 39.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 65.5% 50.9%
Conference Champion 5.0% 5.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.5% 7.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.0% 6.6% 3.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 51 @TCU L 65-78 8%     0 - 1 +0.3 +5.6 -6.4
  Mon, Nov 17 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 80%     1 - 1 +1.9 -1.4 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 23 191 @Montana W 68-63 37%     2 - 1 +6.1 -7.8 +13.7
  Mon, Nov 24 138 Oakland L 68-83 36%     2 - 2 -13.6 -8.5 -4.9
  Wed, Dec 3 304 Louisiana W 68-60 78%    
  Sat, Dec 6 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-63 67%    
  Wed, Dec 10 57 @San Diego St. L 61-76 8%    
  Tue, Dec 16 202 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Dec 20 256 Nebraska Omaha W 74-68 70%    
  Mon, Dec 29 285 @Northwestern St. W 66-65 54%    
  Wed, Dec 31 308 @East Texas A&M W 67-64 59%    
  Sat, Jan 3 82 @McNeese St. L 59-71 13%    
  Mon, Jan 5 250 @SE Louisiana L 63-64 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 192 Incarnate Word W 68-66 58%    
  Mon, Jan 12 276 Houston Christian W 68-61 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 270 @Nicholls St. W 66-65 52%    
  Mon, Jan 19 205 @New Orleans L 67-70 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 139 Stephen F. Austin L 66-67 47%    
  Mon, Jan 26 308 East Texas A&M W 70-61 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 82 McNeese St. L 62-68 29%    
  Mon, Feb 2 250 SE Louisiana W 66-61 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-70 28%    
  Mon, Feb 9 285 Northwestern St. W 69-62 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 226 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-66 45%    
  Mon, Feb 16 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 205 New Orleans W 70-67 62%    
  Mon, Feb 23 270 Nicholls St. W 69-63 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 192 @Incarnate Word L 65-69 38%    
  Mon, Mar 2 276 @Houston Christian W 65-64 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.6 3.8 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.5 2.8 0.9 0.1 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.8 2.4 0.5 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.0 6.9 8.7 9.9 10.6 11.4 10.3 8.6 7.8 5.8 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
20-2 92.1% 0.4    0.3 0.0
19-3 78.5% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
18-4 55.8% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.0
17-5 31.7% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-6 12.2% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.2% 52.7% 52.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
20-2 0.4% 39.7% 39.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-3 1.1% 27.6% 27.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
18-4 2.3% 28.0% 28.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.7
17-5 3.9% 23.9% 23.9% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.9
16-6 5.8% 19.4% 19.4% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.7
15-7 7.8% 13.7% 13.7% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.7
14-8 8.6% 7.6% 7.6% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.0
13-9 10.3% 4.1% 4.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.8
12-10 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.1
11-11 10.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.4
10-12 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
9-13 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
8-14 6.9% 6.9
7-15 5.0% 5.0
6-16 3.4% 3.4
5-17 1.9% 1.9
4-18 1.1% 1.1
3-19 0.5% 0.5
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.3 94.0 0.0%