Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.4 220
Results Rating -6.5 269
Consistency 0.12 32
Pace 64.1 299
Improvement +0.1 184

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 255 D C C F+ F
Defense C 170 C- C C D- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 342 F+ 49% 353 -7.2 358
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 21 C+ 40% 103 +5.9 6
Three Pointers 35% 303 C 34% 201 -3.3 295
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.3 358 D+ -2.4 265
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 319
Second Chance B- 33.3% 91 D+ 0.95 297 C 0.32 159
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 252
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 65
Turnovers C 16.4% 158
Freethrows F+ 0.23 356 C- 70% 249 F+ 0.16 357
Total Offense D+ -3.3 255

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 172 D- 14.0% 331
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 41% 19 B- 3.7% 81
Three Pointers D+ 81% 255 D 1.5% 313
Total C 55% 183 C- 6.1% 236

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 C- 60% 245 +1.5 225
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 157 B+ 33% 32 -0.8 126
Three Pointers 39% 226 D+ 36% 265 +0.3 193
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 159 C- +1.0 220
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 208
Second Chance C- 31.0% 213 C 1.03 185 C 0.32 215
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 165
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 172
Turnovers C 17.0% 163
Freethrows F+ 0.38 349 B 69% 39 D- 0.26 325
Total Defense C -0.1 170

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 354 C 11.2% 162
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 327 A 9.8% 15
Three Pointers C- 85% 214 A+ 3.0% 7
Total D- 64% 341 B 7.7% 44

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 250 17.7 256
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 152 0.21 310
Consistency 0.13 220 0.12 146
Improvement +1.3 118 -1.1 253

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 240 220 189
Results Rating Rank 289 262 228
Conference Record 7 - 15 8 - 14 9 - 13
Conference Finish 10 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 1%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 410 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 10 50 @TCU L 65 - 78 6% -2  42% 0 - 1 C +1 B- +4 C+ C A+ D+ -4 D F A
 Mon, Nov 17 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 66 78% +9  96% 1 - 1 C +1 D -6 F F+ B+ A- +7 C+ D+ B
 Sun, Nov 23 192 @Montana W 68 - 63 33% +0  47% 2 - 1 B- +6 D- -8 F A+ D- A+ +14 A+ A B
 Mon, Nov 24 163 Oakland L 68 - 83 38% -4  23% 2 - 2 F+ -15 F -12 F A- F C- -3 C+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 301 Louisiana W 65 - 55 77% -2  36% 3 - 2 C -1 D -5 D- D A B +5 C- F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49 - 57 57% -1  41% 3 - 3 0 - 1 D- -13 F -18 F D+ B- B- +3 C D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 10 44 @San Diego St. L 71 - 89 5% -10  11% 3 - 4 C- -3 C +0 B C- D C- -2 D+ B- C
 Tue, Dec 16 144 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 83 45% -12  0% 3 - 5 0 - 2 D- -13 D -4 C+ F D+ F+ -9 F A- D+
 Sat, Dec 20 255 Nebraska Omaha L 82 - 85 OT 68% -7  10% 3 - 6 D -11 D+ -3 F A+ C- F+ -8 F D- B
 Mon, Dec 29 269 @Northwestern St. W 76 - 61 49% +12  87% 4 - 6 1 - 2 B+ +12 B- +5 A D- D A- +8 B- B+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 308 @East Texas A&M W 69 - 62 59% -0  57% 5 - 6 2 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 F A A- B +5 A- F A+
 Fri, Jan 2 85 @McNeese St. L 70 - 82 11% -4  27% 5 - 7 2 - 3 C- -2 A- +11 F A+ A+ F -15 F D- C
 Mon, Jan 5 290 @SE Louisiana L 52 - 60 55% -9  7% 5 - 8 2 - 4 D- -13 F -14 F B- C- C -0 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 270 Incarnate Word W 63 - 51 72% +5  81% 6 - 8 3 - 4 C+ +3 F -11 F+ D- F A+ +15 C- A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 294 Houston Christian W 64 - 56 76% -1  39% 7 - 8 4 - 4 C- -3 F+ -9 D+ F+ F A- +7 A C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 253 @Nicholls St. W 90 - 80 45% +5  80% 8 - 8 5 - 4 B- +8 A+ +15 A+ A+ D+ D- -7 D F B
 Mon, Jan 19 193 @New Orleans L 76 - 89 33% -4  15% 8 - 9 5 - 5 D- -12 D+ -2 C D- C F+ -9 F B D+
 Sat, Jan 24 103 Stephen F. Austin L 81 - 88 32% -4  7% 8 - 10 5 - 6 D+ -6 A- +11 C+ A+ C+ F -17 F A- F+
 Tue, Jan 27 308 East Texas A&M W 82 - 61 79% +7  93% 9 - 10 6 - 6 B +9 B +6 B+ B- D B +4 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 85 McNeese St. L 63 - 64 24% -3  13% 9 - 11 6 - 7 C+ +3 B- +4 D+ D+ A+ C -1 A- B- C-
 Mon, Feb 2 290 SE Louisiana W 73 - 54 76% +8  96% 10 - 11 7 - 7 B +8 B +6 D+ B+ A+ B +5 B- D- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 103 @Stephen F. Austin L 74 - 84 16% -10  11% 10 - 12 7 - 8 C- -3 B- +5 B- C- B F+ -8 F A- C-
 Mon, Feb 9 269 Northwestern St. L 68 - 70 71% -3  13% 10 - 13 7 - 9 D -11 D- -7 D F C+ D -5 C C F
 Sat, Feb 14 198 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63 - 76 34% -12  3% 10 - 14 7 - 10 D- -12 D- -6 F+ F D D -6 D C- F
 Mon, Feb 16 144 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 70 24% -1  27% 10 - 15 7 - 11 C -1 C+ +3 C C- A D+ -5 B+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 193 New Orleans L 71 - 77 56% -5  26% 10 - 16 7 - 12 D -11 F+ -8 D D- F+ C- -3 C C B+
 Mon, Feb 23 253 Nicholls St. L 52 - 53 67% +3  74% 10 - 17 7 - 13 D -9 F -23 F F+ C- A+ +14 A+ F+ A
 Sat, Feb 28 270 @Incarnate Word L 69 - 70 50%
 Mon, Mar 2 294 @Houston Christian W 68 - 66 55%
Totals 11 - 18 8 - 14 -3 D+ -3 D D+ F C +0 C C- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ F+ C+ C D+ 31% 58% 35% F D B- D+ C C F+ C- F+ C C- B+ D+ C- 39% 21% 39% C C- C- C C C F+ B D-
1.04 49% 40% 34% -2 -2 0.93 33% 1.0 .32 16% .23 70% .16 1.09 60% 33% 36% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .32 17% .38 69% .16
Nov
10		 TCU B- D C+ A+ B+ 24% 49% 27% F C+ B D- C A+ D D+ D D+ C- C F D 44% 18% 38% C- D F+ F F A F B F+
1.01 50% 40% 43% +3 -5 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 14% .22 67% .14 1.21 60% 38% 41% +5 +1 1.13 42% 1.3 .55 20% .47 67% .31
Nov
17		 Louisiana Monroe D D+ A- F F+ 28% 33% 38% F F D+ F F+ B+ C D+ C- A- C+ A+ D+ C+ 43% 22% 35% C- C+ D- C D+ B F A+ C-
1.10 59% 50% 26% 0 -2 0.97 33% 0.9 .31 13% .25 69% .17 0.92 52% 18% 35% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .45 54% .24
Nov
23		 Montana D- F D+ A F 33% 50% 17% F F B+ A+ A+ D- F F F A+ B A+ A- A+ 38% 18% 44% C A+ D- A+ A B F A+ F
0.94 26% 34% 40% -11 -4 0.72 36% 1.3 .47 18% .13 50% .07 0.87 53% 13% 30% -9 0 0.84 27% 0.5 .12 22% .57 66% .37
Nov
24		 Oakland F F+ D F F 27% 31% 42% F F B A- A- F B+ D B C- F A+ A+ B- 50% 17% 33% D C+ C- F F B- F A- F
0.96 50% 38% 27% -7 -2 0.85 39% 1.1 .44 23% .29 69% .20 1.17 71% 25% 19% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.6 .53 16% .53 69% .37
Dec
3		 Louisiana D F A+ A- F+ 67% 22% 11% B D- B- F D A A- F C B D+ A+ D+ C 27% 23% 50% F+ C- B- F F+ A+ B+ F+ B-
1.06 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 35% 0.8 .26 13% .45 63% .28 0.90 58% 20% 36% -2 -1 0.95 24% 1.3 .31 28% .18 75% .14
Dec
6		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F F C F 28% 39% 33% F F F+ B+ D+ B- F F+ F B- B- D+ B- C- 35% 25% 40% B+ C A F D+ A- F+ D+ F+
0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12 0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28
Dec
10		 San Diego St. C F F A+ B+ 15% 25% 60% F+ B D+ C- C- D B B- B C- F B F D 31% 37% 31% A D+ D A B- C F B- F
0.93 38% 15% 44% 0 -2 0.98 24% 0.9 .22 24% .34 75% .26 1.17 75% 32% 44% +8 -3 1.12 36% 0.9 .33 17% .49 74% .36
Dec
16		 UT Rio Grande Valley D B+ B- B+ B+ 18% 34% 48% F C+ D F F D+ B- C B- F+ A- C F F 35% 21% 44% B- F A C+ A- D+ C+ A- B-
1.03 67% 41% 38% +5 -3 1.06 28% 0.4 .10 19% .37 71% .26 1.18 50% 36% 61% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.0 .19 16% .22 69% .15
Dec
20		 Nebraska Omaha D+ C- D- F F 44% 32% 25% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- B- C+ B- F+ D- F D+ F 34% 16% 50% D+ F C+ F D- B F F F
1.12 60% 33% 21% -5 -1 0.89 42% 1.3 .55 15% .32 75% .24 1.16 65% 63% 36% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 80% .34
Dec
29		 Northwestern St. B- A+ A+ C+ A+ 38% 28% 34% D- A F+ C D- D F D+ F A- A D B- C+ 33% 37% 30% A- B- B B B+ B+ F A+ F
1.15 79% 57% 35% +14 -1 1.28 25% 1.2 .29 20% .19 70% .13 0.92 43% 44% 31% -4 -3 0.88 20% 1.0 .20 20% .53 64% .34
Dec
31		 East Texas A&M D+ F B- F F 45% 29% 25% F+ F B- A+ A A- C- C C- B B- A+ A- A 29% 16% 56% C+ A- D F F A+ F F F
1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21 0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28
Jan
2		 McNeese St. A- D- F F F 23% 23% 53% F+ F A A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ F C F F+ F 45% 21% 34% C F F B- D- C F C F
1.16 50% 20% 22% -16 -1 0.67 45% 1.6 .71 17% .62 81% .50 1.36 59% 63% 38% +8 0 1.18 45% 0.9 .42 13% .76 75% .57
Jan
5		 SE Louisiana F F F F F 27% 34% 39% F F A F B- C- A- A+ A+ C C+ A+ F F+ 49% 11% 41% F F B- A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.88 42% 20% 24% -17 -3 0.64 42% 0.9 .39 20% .44 86% .38 1.01 56% 25% 40% +1 +2 1.08 25% 0.5 .13 13% .60 52% .31
Jan
10		 Incarnate Word F F A C+ F 47% 22% 31% C- F+ B+ F D- F D D D- A+ F A+ C+ C- 44% 22% 33% D C- C+ A+ A+ A- D- A+ A
1.02 43% 50% 36% -4 0 0.96 38% 0.7 .26 21% .33 69% .23 0.83 70% 10% 33% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.1 .03 19% .32 38% .12
Jan
12		 Houston Christian F+ C- D B+ C- 36% 21% 43% D D+ D F F+ F A+ C+ A+ A- B+ A+ A A 43% 21% 36% C- A F A+ C+ B- F C- F
1.03 60% 33% 39% +3 0 1.07 29% 0.9 .25 26% .50 74% .37 0.90 50% 22% 27% -11 0 0.81 36% 0.6 .23 19% .46 70% .32
Jan
17		 Nicholls St. A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 32% 36% 32% F A+ B A+ A+ D+ D D+ D- D- D+ B D- D- 37% 20% 43% C+ D D F F B F F F
1.31 67% 53% 67% +24 -2 1.45 40% 1.5 .60 22% .30 75% .22 1.17 61% 30% 38% +2 0 1.06 28% 1.3 .38 19% .43 79% .34
Jan
19		 New Orleans D+ F A B B- 30% 30% 41% F C B+ F D- C F C+ F F+ F F A+ F 61% 27% 12% F+ F F A+ B D+ F B- F
1.06 44% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 41% 0.6 .26 15% .26 75% .20 1.24 72% 55% 20% +10 +1 1.24 45% 0.7 .31 18% .69 73% .51
Jan
24		 Stephen F. Austin A- A C+ D+ B 29% 27% 44% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ C+ C- A+ B- F F F F F 17% 36% 47% A+ F A+ F+ A- F+ F D F
1.21 67% 43% 30% +1 -1 1.02 36% 1.7 .61 16% .27 87% .23 1.31 78% 47% 48% +17 -3 1.28 20% 1.2 .23 9% .34 71% .25
Jan
27		 East Texas A&M B C+ B A+ A 34% 24% 42% F+ B+ A+ F B- D D- F+ F+ B A A- A+ A+ 50% 13% 37% F A+ D F F F D- A+ B-
1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16 0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14
Jan
31		 McNeese St. B- D- C- B+ C 27% 38% 36% F D+ A+ F D+ A+ F C+ F C C A+ F B 28% 40% 33% A+ A- C B B- C- F F F
1.10 50% 35% 38% -1 -3 0.93 49% 0.7 .34 17% .25 75% .19 1.12 58% 18% 43% -4 -3 0.88 34% 0.9 .31 12% .38 89% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 SE Louisiana B C C C C- 29% 31% 39% F+ D+ A- C B+ A+ F F F B A+ D+ B- B 41% 22% 37% D- B- A F D- D- C+ A+ A+
1.20 60% 38% 35% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.1 .45 10% .18 50% .09 0.89 42% 40% 29% -9 0 0.85 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 25% .08
Feb
7		 Stephen F. Austin B- F A+ B A 28% 46% 26% F B- C C- C- B F A+ D- F+ F+ F F F 29% 40% 31% A+ F A+ F A- C- F F F
1.09 40% 60% 36% +6 -4 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 15% .21 83% .17 1.23 64% 47% 53% +15 -3 1.25 19% 1.2 .23 12% .37 82% .30
Feb
9		 Northwestern St. D- F B A+ C- 30% 39% 30% F D C- F F C+ A- C+ B+ D F+ A B- C- 34% 34% 32% B C B- F+ C F D+ A+ C+
1.03 43% 44% 43% +2 -3 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 17% .40 73% .29 1.06 65% 29% 31% -2 -2 0.94 22% 1.3 .27 12% .34 65% .22
Feb
14		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D- D+ B- F D- 39% 37% 24% F F+ D+ F F D A+ A+ A+ D B- A- F C- 58% 16% 27% F D C C- C- F F D+ F
0.94 56% 40% 20% -5 -2 0.88 26% 0.5 .13 22% .52 85% .44 1.13 50% 29% 42% -3 +2 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 10% .58 69% .40
Feb
16		 UT Rio Grande Valley C+ F A A+ B- 38% 42% 20% F C B D- C- A D F F D+ B+ A+ C A 46% 8% 46% F B+ D- A+ B F F C+ F
1.09 42% 48% 50% +3 -3 1.02 36% 0.7 .25 12% .30 44% .13 1.17 52% 0% 35% -5 +2 0.96 33% 0.7 .23 3% .40 74% .29
Feb
21		 New Orleans F+ B D D- C- 25% 27% 47% F D B+ F D- F+ B+ F D+ C- F A+ C- C- 37% 26% 37% C+ C F A- C B+ F D+ F
1.01 62% 36% 29% -3 -2 0.92 41% 0.7 .27 19% .42 58% .25 1.10 71% 17% 35% 0 -1 1.00 42% 0.9 .36 23% .50 78% .39
Feb
23		 Nicholls St. F F A+ F F 30% 23% 47% F+ F F+ D F+ C- F D- F A+ C+ D A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% B A+ F C+ F+ A A+ A A+
0.80 50% 55% 14% -13 -1 0.74 27% 1.0 .27 22% .22 73% .16 0.82 56% 40% 14% -14 0 0.73 35% 1.0 .35 22% .14 57% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 27.9 26.7 54.5 7th
8th 19.4 1.3 20.8 8th
9th 16.5 1.9 18.5 9th
10th 6.1 6.1 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 22.8 49.2 28.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13 28.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 27.7
8-14 49.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.2 49.1
7-15 22.8% 22.8
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.8 17.5 82.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.3%
Lose Out 22.8%