Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#260
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#278
Pace73.0#103
Improvement-1.2#276

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#228
First Shot-0.2#183
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#297
Layup/Dunks-0.4#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#335
Freethrows+6.5#2
Improvement+0.4#137

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#285
First Shot-4.6#323
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#108
Layups/Dunks-2.2#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#354
Freethrows+1.7#84
Improvement-1.6#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 38.9% 54.5% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 56.4% 44.5%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 4.2% 7.5%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round2.6% 3.4% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Neutral) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 412 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 99 @Pittsburgh L 60-78 11%     0 - 1 -10.0 -9.0 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 12 147 James Madison W 82-72 41%     1 - 1 +7.1 +4.1 +2.9
  Sat, Nov 15 352 Binghamton W 90-82 83%     2 - 1 -7.4 +4.5 -12.3
  Tue, Nov 18 339 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82-83 2OT 79%     2 - 2 -14.9 -5.3 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 23 134 @Columbia L 70-95 17%     2 - 3 -20.2 -3.5 -15.9
  Fri, Nov 28 177 Siena L 72-76 34%    
  Sat, Nov 29 321 Maine W 71-68 62%    
  Sun, Nov 30 283 @American L 77-79 44%    
  Sat, Dec 6 360 @Morgan St. W 82-76 70%    
  Sat, Dec 13 357 Delaware St. W 79-68 84%    
  Wed, Dec 17 37 @Wake Forest L 67-88 3%    
  Sat, Dec 20 350 @NC Central W 76-72 62%    
  Wed, Dec 31 105 Winthrop L 77-84 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 86 @High Point L 73-88 9%    
  Wed, Jan 7 218 @UNC Asheville L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 275 Presbyterian W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 273 @Radford L 80-82 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 356 Gardner-Webb W 85-74 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 282 Charleston Southern W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 316 @South Carolina Upstate W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 86 High Point L 76-85 22%    
  Wed, Feb 4 356 @Gardner-Webb W 82-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 105 @Winthrop L 74-87 14%    
  Thu, Feb 12 218 UNC Asheville W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 316 South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 70%    
  Thu, Feb 19 275 @Presbyterian L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 282 @Charleston Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 273 Radford W 83-79 63%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 5.8 6.6 3.1 0.8 0.0 18.6 3rd
4th 0.3 3.7 7.5 5.7 1.8 0.2 19.2 4th
5th 0.4 4.0 7.7 4.3 0.9 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.9 2.3 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.3 1.2 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.9 10.0 13.7 15.0 14.1 12.7 9.9 6.1 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 83.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-3 51.5% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.0
12-4 17.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 22.9% 22.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.6% 17.5% 17.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-4 3.7% 9.5% 9.5% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.3
11-5 6.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.6
10-6 9.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.3
9-7 12.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.2
8-8 14.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.1 0.2 13.8
7-9 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.8
6-10 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.5
5-11 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-12 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-13 3.6% 3.6
2-14 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.5 97.0 0.0%