Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.3 #270
Expected Predictive Rating -6.8 #270
Pace 71.4 #115
Improvement +2.6 #55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #245 D C D- B C
Defense #281 F B- C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #153 1.14 #208 +0.0 #179
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #144 0.67 #282 -0.3 #193
Three Pointers 39% #227 0.89 #317 -3.6 #298
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #287 -3.9 #287
Freethrows 18.7 #117 78% #27 14.7 #65
Second Chance 33.4% #108 0.92 #319 0.31 #204
Turnovers 18.9% #311
Total Offense -2.8 #245

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #182 1.36 #356 -4.1 #309
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #338 0.80 #263 +1.9 #58
Three Pointers 47% #41 1.07 #263 -4.3 #334
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #347 -6.4 #348
Freethrows 19.0 #269 72% #165 13.7 #104
Second Chance 28.9% #115 0.98 #101 0.28 #92
Turnovers 15.8% #227
Total Defense -3.5 #281

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #216 1.6% #312
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.4% #291 10.9% #342
Possession Length 16.9 #141 17.1 #148
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #295 0.19 #244
Improvement +1.1 #114 +1.5 #95

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 25.4% 42.1% 16.2%
.500 or above in Conference 54.5% 74.9% 43.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 1.0%
First Round1.7% 2.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 412 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 88 @Pittsburgh L 60 - 78 8% -5  0 - 1 -8 -9 F D- A+ +1 C B A
 Wed, Nov 12 213 James Madison W 82 - 72 48% +8  1 - 1 +4 +5 F D+ B+ -1 D+ A D+
 Sat, Nov 15 359 Binghamton W 90 - 82 86% +14  2 - 1 -10 +4 D C+ D -14 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 324 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82 - 83 2OT 74% -3  2 - 2 -14 -6 F B- F -8 F C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 163 @Columbia L 70 - 95 20% -13  2 - 3 -23 -4 A F F -18 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 28 177 Siena L 63 - 70 32% -3  2 - 4 -8 -7 F A- F -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 341 Maine W 65 - 61 68% +3  3 - 4 -7 -3 A+ F F -4 C F C
 Sun, Nov 30 239 @American L 66 - 92 32% -8  3 - 5 -27 -9 F F A+ -18 F F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 363 @Morgan St. W 84 - 80 75% +1  4 - 5 -9 -1 F A- F -8 F B D+
 Sat, Dec 13 356 Delaware St. L 76 - 81 84% -5  4 - 6 -22 +4 C D- F -26 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 57 @Wake Forest L 68 - 71 5% -2  4 - 7 +9 -1 F B A+ +11 A A+ D
 Sat, Dec 20 338 @NC Central W 74 - 72 57% +2  5 - 7 -6 -4 F B+ F -2 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 143 Winthrop W 82 - 70 34% +7  6 - 7 1 - 0 +10 +9 B+ A+ F +1 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 87 @High Point L 67 - 80 8% -7  6 - 8 1 - 1 -3 +0 C+ C+ F -4 C- C C+
 Wed, Jan 7 218 @UNC Asheville L 61 - 72 28% -6  6 - 9 1 - 2 -11 -6 F F C- -6 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 292 Presbyterian W 77 - 70 66% +10  7 - 9 2 - 2 -4 +8 B A- C- -11 F A+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 254 @Radford L 80 - 84 36%
 Wed, Jan 21 362 Gardner-Webb W 85 - 72 89%
 Sat, Jan 24 217 Charleston Southern L 78 - 79 49%
 Thu, Jan 29 299 @South Carolina Upstate L 74 - 75 45%
 Sat, Jan 31 87 High Point L 75 - 85 18%
 Wed, Feb 4 362 @Gardner-Webb W 82 - 75 74%
 Sat, Feb 7 143 @Winthrop L 74 - 84 17%
 Thu, Feb 12 218 UNC Asheville L 73 - 74 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 299 South Carolina Upstate W 77 - 72 67%
 Thu, Feb 19 292 @Presbyterian L 69 - 71 44%
 Sat, Feb 21 217 @Charleston Southern L 75 - 81 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 254 Radford W 83 - 81 58%
Totals 13 - 15 8 - 8 -6 -3 D C D- -4 F B- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 7.1 6.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 9.0 7.5 1.4 0.0 19.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 8.9 8.5 1.3 0.0 20.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 7.2 7.6 1.3 0.0 17.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.9 0.6 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.7 3.0 7.8 14.5 19.5 20.6 16.5 10.5 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 34.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 12.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
11-5 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.4% 9.2% 9.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-5 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.6
10-6 10.5% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.1 0.3 10.0
9-7 16.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.4 16.0
8-8 20.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 20.3
7-9 19.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 19.3
6-10 14.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.3
5-11 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.8
4-12 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-13 0.7% 0.7
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.8 97.8 0.0%