Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.7 262
Results Rating -7.3 278
Consistency 0.15 139
Pace 70.5 122
Improvement +4.8 28

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 274 D+ C D- C+ C-
Defense C- 225 D- B- B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 179 C 58% 172 +0.0 180
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 102 C- 36% 237 +0.8 138
Three Pointers 37% 249 D 30% 322 -3.9 311
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 244 D+ -2.5 271
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 280
Second Chance C+ 32.6% 109 D 0.94 305 C 0.31 181
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.7% 343
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 293
Turnovers D- 19.9% 337
Freethrows C+ 0.32 135 C+ 74% 141 C+ 0.24 123
Total Offense D+ -4.1 274

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 206 C 11.2% 196
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 313 B 3.0% 47
Three Pointers C+ 85% 166 C 1.0% 223
Total D+ 51% 283 C+ 5.4% 167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 126 F+ 66% 353 +4.8 333
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 333 C- 39% 226 -1.8 47
Three Pointers 44% 96 C- 35% 235 +2.2 286
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 323 D- +4.2 327
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 333
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 130 B 0.93 47 B- 0.27 68
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 76
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 131
Turnovers B- 18.5% 75
Freethrows D 0.35 309 B- 70% 77 D+ 0.25 281
Total Defense C- -1.6 225

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 104 D- 5.9% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 94 D- 1.3% 348
Three Pointers C- 85% 215 C+ 1.2% 102
Total C 54% 158 D- 3.2% 343

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 118 17.3 184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 250 0.18 216
Consistency 0.10 38 0.12 161
Improvement +0.7 153 +4.2 22

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 280 264 241
Results Rating Rank 305 277 251
Conference Record 7 - 9 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1% 3% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 54% 100% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Radford (Home) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 101 @Pittsburgh L 60 - 78 11% -5  5% 0 - 1 D -10 F -12 F D- A+ B- +2 D+ B B+
 Wed, Nov 12 202 James Madison W 82 - 72 49% +8  86% 1 - 1 C+ +5 C+ +3 D- D B+ C+ +2 C- A D+
 Sat, Nov 15 358 Binghamton W 90 - 82 89% +14  92% 2 - 1 D -11 C -0 D B- D- F -11 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 351 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82 - 83 2OT 84% -3  15% 2 - 2 F+ -18 F+ -10 F B F D- -8 F C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 188 @Columbia L 70 - 95 25% -13  1% 2 - 3 F -24 D- -8 B+ F F F -15 F D D+
 Fri, Nov 28 201 Siena L 63 - 70 37% -3  26% 2 - 4 D -9 F -11 F B F C+ +2 F A B
 Sat, Nov 29 340 Maine W 65 - 61 73% +3  85% 3 - 4 D+ -8 D -6 A F F C- -2 C F B-
 Sun, Nov 30 251 @American L 66 - 92 36% -8  25% 3 - 5 F -28 F -12 F F A F -15 F F+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 348 @Morgan St. W 84 - 80 67% +1  53% 4 - 5 D+ -6 D+ -3 D A- F D+ -4 F+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 361 Delaware St. L 76 - 81 91% -5  8% 4 - 6 F -25 C- -1 C D F F -25 F A F
 Wed, Dec 17 71 @Wake Forest L 68 - 71 7% -2  22% 4 - 7 B +8 D -6 F B- B A+ +14 A A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 352 @NC Central W 74 - 72 70% +2  66% 5 - 7 D -9 F+ -8 F B- F C -1 C- B+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 138 Winthrop W 82 - 70 34% +7  93% 6 - 7 1 - 0 B +10 B+ +8 B+ A+ D B- +3 A+ B D-
 Sat, Jan 3 94 @High Point L 67 - 80 9% -7  3% 6 - 8 1 - 1 C- -4 D+ -3 C+ C+ D+ C- -2 D+ C B-
 Wed, Jan 7 232 @UNC Asheville L 61 - 72 32% -6  1% 6 - 9 1 - 2 D- -12 D- -8 D- D- C D -5 F+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 271 Presbyterian W 77 - 70 64% +10  97% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C- -2 B +6 B+ B C D- -8 F A B-
 Sat, Jan 17 230 @Radford L 83 - 85 32% -11  0% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C- -3 B +7 C+ A+ F+ F -10 F A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 362 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 56 92% +17  96% 8 - 10 3 - 3 B+ +14 B- +5 C+ A+ D A +9 B C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 23 264 Charleston Southern W 81 - 79 OT 62% +6  82% 9 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -7 F+ -10 C- F F B- +3 D B A+
 Thu, Jan 29 300 @South Carolina Upstate L 60 - 65 48% -2  24% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D -10 F -16 F+ D- F B+ +6 F A A+
 Sat, Jan 31 94 High Point L 59 - 71 21% -6  17% 9 - 12 4 - 5 D -9 F -11 F+ D+ F C+ +1 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 362 @Gardner-Webb W 86 - 66 82% +9  99% 10 - 12 5 - 5 C+ +5 C +2 A- F C- B- +3 F+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 138 @Winthrop L 74 - 79 17% -2  20% 10 - 13 5 - 6 C -1 D- -7 F D B- A- +7 A- A+ B+
 Thu, Feb 12 232 UNC Asheville L 74 - 79 55% -0  54% 10 - 14 5 - 7 D- -12 C- -1 B- C+ C+ F -11 F+ D F
 Sat, Feb 14 300 South Carolina Upstate W 82 - 75 OT 70% +3  76% 11 - 14 6 - 7 C- -4 F+ -10 D C- D+ B +5 B+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 19 271 @Presbyterian L 65 - 72 41% +3  64% 11 - 15 6 - 8 D -10 D- -8 B B- F C- -3 F B B-
 Sat, Feb 21 264 @Charleston Southern W 107 - 96 2OT 39% -5  14% 12 - 15 7 - 8 B +8 A +12 D- A+ B D -6 F D- A
 Sat, Feb 28 230 Radford W 79 - 78 54%
Totals 13 - 15 8 - 8 -6 D+ -4 A D+ C- C- -2 D C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- D D+ 39% 45% 37% C- D+ C+ D C D- C+ C+ C+ C- F+ C- C- D- 41% 16% 44% D D- C+ B B- B- D B- D+
1.03 58% 36% 30% -3 0 0.96 33% 0.9 .31 20% .32 74% .24 1.11 66% 39% 35% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .27 19% .35 70% .23
Nov
7		 Pittsburgh F F F F F 53% 16% 32% B+ F C- F D- A+ D- A+ C- B- F A+ F D 20% 18% 61% A D+ B B B B+ F D+ F
0.86 40% 22% 22% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.7 .16 10% .22 86% .19 1.11 78% 13% 41% +6 -1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 20% .62 69% .43
Nov
12		 James Madison C+ D- B+ F F+ 43% 20% 37% C+ D- B F D B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D- A+ B+ C 46% 10% 44% F+ C- A+ B- A D+ D+ A+ B+
1.17 50% 44% 24% -8 +1 0.87 35% 0.7 .25 10% .67 86% .57 1.03 67% 20% 30% 0 +2 1.06 19% 1.0 .19 16% .32 53% .17
Nov
15		 Binghamton C A+ F F D 37% 13% 50% C D B C- B- D- A+ B+ A+ F F F A- F+ 44% 10% 46% F F F F F A+ F D+ F
1.21 84% 14% 27% +1 +1 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .48 77% .36 1.11 71% 60% 27% +4 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 28% .43 78% .34
Nov
18		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F+ D- F F 46% 27% 27% D+ F A- D+ B F A+ A+ A+ D- F B F+ F 33% 22% 44% C F F A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ B+
1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49 1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12
Nov
23		 Columbia D- F A+ A+ A 44% 27% 29% D+ B+ F F F F C- F D F C B- F F 28% 16% 56% B+ F C- D D D+ A- D B
0.97 43% 64% 47% +6 0 1.13 19% 0.2 .03 21% .30 65% .19 1.31 56% 33% 53% +15 0 1.32 37% 1.1 .40 19% .21 75% .15
Nov
28		 Siena F B F F F+ 30% 30% 40% D- F B- B+ B F B A+ A C+ F F C F 33% 20% 48% D F A+ C A B F A+ D+
0.93 64% 29% 26% -6 -2 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 28% .33 81% .27 1.04 80% 56% 32% +9 0 1.20 17% 1.0 .17 19% .40 59% .24
Nov
29		 Maine D A A+ A A+ 37% 37% 26% F A C F F F A+ F A C- A- F B- C+ 40% 17% 43% D C F F F B- C+ A+ A
1.01 71% 50% 40% +12 -2 1.21 37% 0.7 .26 30% .47 62% .29 0.95 47% 50% 30% -5 +1 0.94 28% 1.3 .36 22% .30 47% .14
Nov
30		 American F D+ F F F 45% 19% 36% C+ F C- F F A A+ B+ A+ F F B- F+ F 33% 12% 55% C F C F F+ C F F F
0.92 57% 11% 12% -18 +1 0.68 30% 0.5 .15 14% .68 76% .52 1.28 71% 33% 39% +8 +1 1.20 25% 1.3 .32 17% .50 90% .45
Dec
6		 Morgan St. D+ D F A+ D 46% 18% 36% D+ D C- A+ A- F A+ D- A+ D+ C F A+ D- 44% 19% 37% F F+ A C- B+ C C- F F
1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49 1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33
Dec
13		 Delaware St. C- A+ A+ F C 38% 16% 47% C- C B F D F B+ A+ A+ F F+ F F F 46% 28% 26% F F B+ A+ A F F C F
1.14 82% 57% 24% +5 +1 1.13 38% 0.8 .31 24% .39 90% .36 1.21 62% 46% 67% +17 0 1.35 19% 0.4 .07 13% .43 68% .29
Dec
17		 Wake Forest D D- F F F 35% 12% 54% B- F C- A+ B- B B+ B- B+ A+ C- F A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A A+ A+ A+ C- F B F
0.93 50% 17% 25% -13 +1 0.79 28% 1.3 .35 18% .35 76% .27 0.97 61% 63% 19% -5 0 0.94 17% 0.8 .14 14% .48 73% .35
Dec
20		 NC Central F+ C+ A F F 38% 18% 44% C- F B+ C- B- F A+ D+ A+ C F A A+ C- 40% 23% 36% C- C- A- B B+ D+ F F+ F
1.04 65% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 44% 0.9 .42 25% .45 71% .32 1.02 84% 27% 12% -4 0 0.94 23% 0.9 .19 17% .51 80% .41
Dec
31		 Winthrop B+ C+ F+ A+ B 52% 13% 35% A- B+ A+ B- A+ D B+ D+ B B- A+ A A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% D- A+ D- A+ B D- F D F
1.21 60% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 44% 1.1 .50 19% .38 71% .27 1.04 39% 25% 24% -17 +2 0.73 39% 0.8 .30 12% .54 78% .42
Jan
3		 High Point D+ B F C C+ 44% 16% 40% C+ C+ C+ C+ C+ D+ F F+ F C- F A+ A+ C- 51% 8% 41% F+ D+ A+ F C B- D C- D
1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16 1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30
Jan
7		 UNC Asheville D- C+ F D- F+ 42% 17% 42% C D- D F+ D- C A- D B D D B+ F F+ 35% 26% 39% F F+ F A+ B+ D+ F+ A- D+
0.96 60% 13% 30% -6 +1 0.92 26% 0.8 .20 16% .37 65% .24 1.13 63% 33% 44% +6 -1 1.13 44% 0.5 .22 16% .39 62% .24
Jan
10		 Presbyterian B B- C A+ A- 43% 20% 37% C- B+ A- C- B C D+ A+ B D- F C- F F 43% 11% 45% F F A A- A B- C+ A- B
1.22 62% 40% 44% +8 0 1.18 39% 1.0 .39 16% .26 86% .23 1.11 68% 40% 40% +9 +2 1.23 24% 0.9 .21 21% .32 63% .20
Jan
17		 Radford B C A- A- B 34% 26% 40% F+ C+ A- A+ A+ F+ C+ D- C- F F A+ F F 40% 16% 44% D+ F B A+ A+ D+ F A F
1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22 1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34
Jan
21		 Gardner-Webb B- A+ A+ F B- 37% 23% 40% D C+ A+ A- A+ D D A- C- A A+ F A- B+ 46% 17% 38% C- B F A+ C+ A+ B- A+ B
1.30 79% 58% 29% +9 0 1.19 48% 1.3 .61 17% .26 80% .21 0.80 41% 50% 28% -9 +1 0.85 33% 0.6 .21 30% .25 58% .14
Jan
23		 Charleston Southern F+ F+ B- B C- 51% 33% 16% C- C- F F+ F F A+ A+ A+ B- B B F D 35% 6% 59% D+ D C- A B A+ F C+ D-
0.99 46% 41% 38% -4 -1 0.92 21% 0.9 .18 21% .52 82% .43 0.97 53% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.13 30% 0.7 .21 27% .33 65% .22
Jan
29		 South Carolina Upstate F C+ B F F+ 41% 22% 37% D+ F+ B- F D- F F F F B+ F+ A+ D D- 52% 8% 40% F F C+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A
0.85 59% 42% 20% -7 0 0.89 34% 0.8 .26 24% .17 44% .07 0.92 64% 0% 37% +2 +3 1.10 27% 0.5 .14 26% .31 44% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 High Point F B- F D- F+ 34% 23% 43% D- F+ B F D+ F F B+ F C+ D A+ B B- 50% 7% 43% F+ C+ A+ C- A+ C- D+ D- D-
0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16 1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31
Feb
4		 Gardner-Webb C A+ C C A- 58% 15% 26% B+ A- F F F C- B F C- B- D+ C+ C+ D- 53% 6% 40% F F+ D+ A+ A- A+ F A D-
1.21 77% 38% 36% +12 +2 1.30 25% 0.7 .18 15% .33 60% .20 0.93 60% 33% 32% -1 +3 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 25% .38 60% .23
Feb
7		 Winthrop D- A F F F+ 25% 31% 43% F F D+ F+ D B- A+ F A+ A- F A+ A+ A- 32% 11% 57% C+ A- A+ F A+ B+ F F F
0.96 69% 31% 23% -7 -2 0.84 27% 0.9 .24 16% .54 63% .34 1.02 67% 20% 22% -9 +1 0.85 14% 1.6 .22 18% .63 88% .55
Feb
12		 UNC Asheville C- A F+ C+ B 35% 18% 47% D+ B- A F C+ C+ A- F C+ F C+ D F F+ 37% 33% 31% D- F+ D- C- D F C- F+ D
1.10 71% 33% 35% +4 0 1.10 41% 0.8 .31 15% .38 59% .23 1.17 56% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.12 34% 1.0 .34 12% .34 75% .25
Feb
14		 South Carolina Upstate F+ F F A+ D- 57% 20% 23% B- D C D+ C- D+ B D B- B C+ A- A+ A- 50% 25% 25% C- B+ F+ F F A+ F A+ C-
0.98 38% 25% 57% -6 +1 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 17% .34 67% .23 0.90 54% 29% 21% -9 0 0.84 35% 1.3 .46 25% .37 57% .21
Feb
19		 Presbyterian D- A B B A- 41% 39% 20% F B C- A B- F B F D C- F F D F 44% 30% 26% C+ F B+ C+ B B- F A F
0.98 71% 44% 38% +8 -2 1.15 29% 1.3 .36 29% .34 50% .17 1.08 68% 54% 36% +10 -1 1.21 27% 1.0 .27 21% .50 62% .30
Feb
21		 Charleston Southern A F A D- D 40% 31% 29% D+ D- A+ B- A+ B A+ A+ A+ D F F F F 49% 4% 47% F F C F D- A F D+ F
1.26 37% 48% 30% -7 -1 0.85 43% 1.1 .47 9% .45 91% .42 1.13 69% 50% 44% +13 +3 1.34 29% 1.1 .32 24% .34 68% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 17.4 17.4 4th
5th 38.8 36.2 75.0 5th
6th 7.6 7.6 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 46.4 53.6 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 53.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.1 1.4 52.1
7-9 46.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 1.0 45.4
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 97.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 15.9 5.4 94.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.6%
Lose Out 27.8%