Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#73
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#177
Pace77.0#39
Improvement-1.5#299

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#92
First Shot+4.3#62
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#245
Layup/Dunks+5.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#349
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+3.0#43
Improvement-1.4#307

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#55
First Shot+1.9#110
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#36
Layups/Dunks-2.3#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#168
Freethrows+1.7#86
Improvement-0.1#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 17.9% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.0% 15.6% 6.2%
Average Seed 9.3 9.1 9.5
.500 or above 33.8% 47.1% 24.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.8% 42.6% 30.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 9.7% 14.0%
First Four2.9% 4.1% 2.0%
First Round10.3% 15.7% 6.5%
Second Round4.4% 6.9% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Neutral) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 57 - 16
Quad 33 - 210 - 18
Quad 45 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 325 Albany W 80-53 95%     1 - 0 +15.2 -4.9 +17.8
  Wed, Nov 5 197 Southern W 100-82 89%     2 - 0 +12.6 +14.6 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 9 22 Indiana L 77-100 24%     2 - 1 -7.9 +5.9 -12.1
  Wed, Nov 12 248 Arkansas Little Rock W 89-49 92%     3 - 1 +32.1 +17.2 +16.8
  Sat, Nov 15 93 Maryland L 82-89 69%     3 - 2 -4.4 +3.4 -7.1
  Wed, Nov 19 78 Dayton L 71-77 OT 62%     3 - 3 -1.5 -8.1 +7.3
  Sat, Nov 22 305 Central Michigan W 85-71 95%     4 - 3 +3.1 +5.5 -2.5
  Fri, Nov 28 52 Oklahoma L 79-81 41%    
  Tue, Dec 2 268 Valparaiso W 81-65 94%    
  Sat, Dec 6 27 @Wisconsin L 75-84 19%    
  Sat, Dec 13 3 @Purdue L 68-85 5%    
  Wed, Dec 17 79 Georgetown W 79-75 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 45 @Creighton L 73-79 28%    
  Tue, Dec 30 76 Seton Hall W 72-69 62%    
  Sun, Jan 4 8 @Connecticut L 68-82 9%    
  Wed, Jan 7 85 Xavier W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 41 Villanova L 71-72 46%    
  Tue, Jan 13 15 @St. John's L 76-89 12%    
  Fri, Jan 16 109 @DePaul W 76-75 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 75 Providence W 87-84 62%    
  Fri, Jan 23 47 @Butler L 77-83 31%    
  Tue, Jan 27 45 Creighton L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 76 @Seton Hall L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 47 Butler W 80-79 51%    
  Tue, Feb 10 41 @Villanova L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 85 @Xavier L 76-78 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 15 St. John's L 79-86 27%    
  Tue, Feb 24 79 @Georgetown L 76-78 41%    
  Sun, Mar 1 109 DePaul W 79-72 74%    
  Wed, Mar 4 75 @Providence L 84-87 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 Connecticut L 71-79 23%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 3.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.1 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.2 0.9 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 4.7 7.6 9.9 12.4 13.1 12.4 11.0 8.8 6.9 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 91.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 41.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 22.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 95.9% 28.6% 67.3% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.3%
16-4 0.7% 97.6% 13.8% 83.8% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.2%
15-5 1.3% 92.7% 10.1% 82.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.9%
14-6 2.7% 82.1% 10.4% 71.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 80.0%
13-7 4.2% 59.5% 7.9% 51.6% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.7 56.0%
12-8 6.9% 38.1% 4.4% 33.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.1 4.2 35.2%
11-9 8.8% 16.0% 3.6% 12.3% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 7.4 12.8%
10-10 11.0% 5.6% 1.6% 4.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.4 4.0%
9-11 12.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.2 0.5%
8-12 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
7-13 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-14 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
5-15 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 7.5
4-16 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.8% 2.0% 9.8% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 2.1 2.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 88.2 10.0%