Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +16.6 23
Results Rating +18.1 20
Consistency 0.18 336
Pace 71.3 104
Improvement +4.9 37

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 8 A- B A B B
Defense B 57 B B+ C- B+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 265 B 64% 56 +0.5 158
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 355 A- 46% 22 -3.2 324
Three Pointers 54% 7 B 37% 36 +9.5 3
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 44 B+ +5.4 30
1st FG Attempt A- 1.16 22
Second Chance C+ 31.9% 126 B+ 1.17 21 B 0.37 61
Opponents' Steals A 6.3% 4
Other Turnovers A- 5.4% 14
Turnovers A 11.8% 1
Freethrows B- 0.33 111 A- 78% 14 B 0.25 51
Total Offense A +12.1 8

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 193 C- 12.0% 245
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 243 B 2.8% 42
Three Pointers B- 87% 118 D+ 1.2% 273
Total B 62% 58 C+ 5.2% 148


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 302 B 53% 46 -4.5 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 41 D+ 41% 294 +2.7 348
Three Pointers 40% 201 B- 32% 75 -1.6 117
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 42 B- -2.5 79
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 61
Second Chance A- 24.6% 19 B- 0.96 79 B+ 0.24 23
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 238
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 203
Turnovers C- 15.7% 237
Freethrows B 0.25 36 B- 71% 99 B+ 0.18 39
Total Defense B +4.6 57

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 41% 38 C+ 12.8% 97
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 45 C- 3.6% 256
Three Pointers B 79% 57 C+ 1.1% 114
Total B+ 47% 26 C 5.7% 160

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 48 18.3 309
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 79 0.12 41
Consistency 0.15 343 0.11 57
Improvement +5.8 6 -0.8 234

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 24 23 21
Results Rating Rank 19 19 10
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed 6 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 1% 4% 0%
Top 4 Seed 26% 58% 20%
Top 6 Seed 98% 100% 97%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 5.0 4.2 5.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round82% 87% 81%
Sweet Sixteen37% 43% 35%
Elite Eight11% 13% 10%
Final Four3% 4% 3%
Championship Game1% 1% 1%
National Champion0% 1% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 55 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 39 - 8
Quad 25 - 113 - 9
Quad 35 - 118 - 10
Quad 46 - 024 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 181 Campbell W 96 - 64 96% +8  78% 1 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +15 B A+ A A+ +12 B+ C- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 342 Northern Illinois W 97 - 72 99% +19  99% 2 - 0 B +9 A +12 C A+ A D+ -4 F A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 281 Ball St. W 86 - 55 98% +19  97% 3 - 0 A +21 A- +11 A A F+ A +11 B B- A-
 Mon, Nov 17 262 SIU Edwardsville W 94 - 69 98% +12  92% 4 - 0 A- +16 A+ +24 A+ B- A+ D -6 C D- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 22 BYU L 70 - 98 50% -13  5% 4 - 1 D -11 D -4 D C- B- D -5 C B+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 70 Providence W 104 - 83 78% +14  95% 5 - 1 A+ +30 A +14 A- B+ A A+ +13 B+ A- B
 Fri, Nov 28 43 TCU L 63 - 74 64% -11  0% 5 - 2 C+ +2 D- -8 F C- D A +11 C- A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 3 57 Northwestern W 85 - 73 82% +16  96% 6 - 2 1 - 0 A +19 A +13 A+ D A+ B+ +6 A F A
 Sat, Dec 6 76 Marquette W 96 - 76 86% +12  94% 7 - 2 A+ +25 A +14 A+ F+ A+ A- +8 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 14 @Nebraska L 60 - 90 32% -14  16% 7 - 3 1 - 1 D -9 C- -2 C- D+ A D- -7 D- D+ C+
 Fri, Dec 19 37 Villanova L 66 - 76 OT 61% -7  0% 7 - 4 C+ +4 C- -2 C+ B+ D- B+ +6 A C- D
 Mon, Dec 22 269 Central Michigan W 88 - 61 98% +15  98% 8 - 4 A- +18 A- +11 A+ F A- A- +8 A A+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 270 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80 - 60 98% +14  95% 9 - 4 B +11 D -6 C- F A A+ +16 A+ A A
 Sat, Jan 3 8 Purdue L 73 - 89 46% -8  28% 9 - 5 1 - 2 C +2 C +0 D A B B- +2 A A- D-
 Tue, Jan 6 26 UCLA W 80 - 72 65% +12  96% 10 - 5 2 - 2 A +21 B +7 B+ B A+ A+ +14 A+ B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 1 @Michigan W 91 - 88 12% -2  31% 11 - 5 3 - 2 A+ +33 A+ +28 A+ A+ A- B +4 B+ A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 69 @Minnesota W 78 - 75 68% -1  28% 12 - 5 4 - 2 A- +15 A+ +15 A C A+ C +0 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 101 Rutgers W 96 - 87 91% +13  95% 13 - 5 5 - 2 B +11 A+ +18 B- A+ A+ D- -7 F C- C-
 Thu, Jan 22 123 @Penn St. W 98 - 71 85% +20  85% 14 - 5 6 - 2 A+ +33 A+ +22 A+ D A+ A +10 A+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 25 75 USC L 71 - 73 86% -1  38% 14 - 6 6 - 3 C+ +3 B +6 F+ A A+ C- -3 A B- F
 Wed, Jan 28 69 Minnesota W 67 - 63 84% -8  13% 15 - 6 7 - 3 B +10 C +1 A F D A +10 C- A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 24 Ohio St. W 92 - 82 64% +4  68% 16 - 6 8 - 3 A +23 A+ +20 A+ B- A+ B- +3 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 44 @Indiana L 77 - 78 OT 54% -6  11% 16 - 7 8 - 4 B+ +15 B+ +9 B- B A+ B+ +5 A+ F+ D
 Tue, Feb 10 7 @Illinois W 92 - 90 OT 22% -2  34% 17 - 7 9 - 4 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ B A+ B+ +6 F+ A+ A
 Fri, Feb 13 10 Michigan St. W 92 - 71 51% +14  98% 18 - 7 10 - 4 A+ +38 A+ +27 A+ A+ A+ A +11 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 17 24 @Ohio St. L 69 - 86 41% -11  2% 18 - 8 10 - 5 C+ +2 C+ +2 B- A- C- C +0 D+ D A+
 Sun, Feb 22 27 Iowa W 84 - 71 66% +2  54% 19 - 8 11 - 5 A+ +26 A+ +21 A A+ A+ B+ +5 A- B+ C-
 Wed, Feb 25 86 @Oregon L 71 - 85 75% -0  54% 19 - 9 11 - 6 C- -4 C+ +2 D- A C D- -7 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 50 @Washington W 90 - 73 59% +14  94% 20 - 9 12 - 6 A+ +31 A+ +21 A+ B- A+ A +11 B+ A+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 104 Maryland W 78 - 45 91% +13  92% 21 - 9 13 - 6 A+ +35 A+ +20 A C A+ A+ +21 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 8 @Purdue W 97 - 93 25% +2  68% 22 - 9 14 - 6 A+ +28 A+ +35 A+ A+ A+ D- -7 C F D+
 Thu, Mar 12 50 Washington W 85 - 82 70% +9  96% 23 - 9 B+ +14 A+ +20 A+ C A+ D -5 B- D- D-
 Fri, Mar 13 7 Illinois W 91 - 88 OT 31% -4  21% 24 - 9 A+ +25 A+ +16 B+ A A- A +9 B- A+ D-
 Sat, Mar 14 1 Michigan L 79 - 89 17%
Totals 24 - 10 14 - 6 +17 A +12 A B+ B B +5 B A- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B A- B B+ 36% 17% 54% B A- C+ B+ B A B- A- B B B D+ B- B- 34% 26% 40% B+ B A- B- B+ C- B B- B+
1.26 64% 46% 37% +5 +1 1.16 32% 1.2 .37 12% .33 78% .25 1.02 53% 41% 32% -2 -1 0.95 25% 1.0 .24 16% .25 71% .23
Nov
3		 Campbell A+ A F B- B 41% 14% 45% B B B+ A+ A+ A C A+ B+ A+ B+ F A+ B+ 44% 18% 38% B B+ B+ F C- A+ B+ D B
1.35 74% 25% 36% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.5 .56 13% .31 89% .27 0.90 50% 50% 24% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.2 .37 27% .33 76% .25
Nov
7		 Northern Illinois A A+ A+ F C 29% 14% 57% D+ C A A+ A+ A A+ B A+ D+ C F D- F 42% 14% 44% C- F A+ A+ A+ B- F D+ F
1.32 80% 57% 28% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.4 .58 12% .57 76% .43 0.98 56% 83% 37% +7 +1 1.19 16% 0.5 .08 23% .55 68% .37
Nov
11		 Ball St. A- B- F A+ A- 37% 2% 61% A+ A A+ C- A F+ F A+ F A B+ A+ C- B+ 40% 17% 44% C- B B+ C B- A- F A+ D+
1.26 63% 0% 42% +8 +2 1.24 47% 1.0 .47 22% .15 100% .15 0.80 47% 0% 33% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.9 .18 20% .39 57% .22
Nov
17		 SIU Edwardsville A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 28% 9% 63% B+ A+ B D+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ D A+ F D- C 41% 27% 31% D C B- F D- D+ B+ F C-
1.42 60% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34 1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18
Nov
21		 BYU D A+ F F D 20% 26% 54% C D C C- C- B- A+ D- A+ D A+ F F C+ 27% 15% 58% D C A D B+ D- F C F
0.94 82% 21% 24% -7 -2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .42 65% .27 1.31 47% 63% 41% +6 0 1.15 30% 1.3 .38 11% .44 76% .33
Nov
27		 Providence A A- A+ C B+ 36% 9% 55% A A- B A- B+ A B+ D- B- A+ A+ F D B+ 38% 21% 41% B B+ A+ F A- B A+ D A+
1.27 65% 50% 34% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .37 10% .33 67% .22 1.02 46% 54% 38% +1 0 1.05 19% 1.6 .31 17% .22 80% .18
Nov
28		 TCU D- F A+ F F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ B- C- D A- A+ A+ A A- B F D+ 47% 27% 25% B C- A+ A+ A+ B+ A A+ A+
0.85 40% 50% 23% -11 -1 0.78 22% 1.1 .24 23% .32 89% .28 1.00 50% 33% 57% +4 0 1.09 23% 0.5 .11 18% .26 63% .16
Dec
3		 Northwestern A B+ A+ A- A+ 33% 16% 51% B- A+ C+ F D A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ C- F A+ A 32% 32% 36% A- A D- F F A F+ F F
1.22 65% 50% 38% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.7 .23 10% .34 86% .29 1.05 63% 50% 17% -4 -2 0.90 35% 1.5 .52 17% .40 83% .33
Dec
6		 Marquette A A- C- A+ A+ 28% 11% 60% C+ A+ F+ F+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ A- C A+ C- C+ 49% 10% 41% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F B A+ A+
1.22 67% 33% 44% +11 0 1.25 24% 0.8 .18 15% .44 83% .36 0.97 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.03 17% 0.5 .09 10% .27 47% .13
Dec
10		 Nebraska C- A+ F F D+ 25% 19% 57% B+ C- C+ F D+ A D+ A+ C D- F A+ D- D- 38% 11% 51% C- D- C F D+ C+ C+ F C-
0.86 77% 20% 23% -8 -1 0.85 27% 0.6 .17 16% .19 82% .15 1.29 81% 17% 39% +10 +1 1.25 28% 1.3 .34 14% .25 87% .22
Dec
19		 Villanova C- F C A+ C 39% 16% 45% B+ C+ F+ A+ B+ D- D- F F+ B+ A+ D+ C+ A 24% 26% 50% A+ A C+ D C- D C- B C
0.96 42% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 23% .19 60% .11 1.10 46% 43% 33% -2 -2 0.94 33% 1.1 .38 12% .31 68% .21
Dec
22		 Central Michigan A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 4% 54% A- A+ D F F A- A+ D- A- A- B- B- A+ A- 33% 37% 31% A A A+ F A+ F C- C- C-
1.31 79% 0% 48% +18 +2 1.43 31% 0.8 .24 13% .45 65% .29 0.91 53% 37% 25% -6 -2 0.85 6% 2.5 .15 12% .29 71% .20
Dec
30		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D A A+ F D+ 47% 14% 39% B- C- F F F A A+ F A- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 33% 29% 38% B A+ B- A+ A A F D F
1.07 71% 57% 20% 0 +2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 12% .49 63% .30 0.80 35% 47% 15% -16 -1 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 20% .35 71% .25
Jan
3		 Purdue C D- A+ F F+ 40% 18% 42% A D A- A- A B A+ A+ A+ B- F+ C A A 28% 36% 36% A+ A A- C+ A- D- C A- C+
1.02 50% 78% 14% -8 0 0.86 30% 1.2 .36 15% .43 81% .35 1.24 75% 43% 29% +3 -3 1.03 33% 1.2 .40 10% .29 68% .20
Jan
6		 UCLA B F A+ C+ B+ 27% 17% 56% C+ B+ F A+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F D A+ A+ 32% 38% 30% A A+ A D+ B+ C+ D- A+ C
1.12 46% 75% 33% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.8 .34 11% .43 74% .32 1.01 82% 45% 6% -2 -3 0.92 26% 1.2 .31 14% .37 65% .24
Jan
10		 Michigan A+ B A+ A+ A+ 31% 13% 56% A A+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ B B+ F C B+ 51% 11% 38% C B+ A+ A+ A+ D- C F F
1.26 56% 57% 41% +8 0 1.19 26% 1.9 .48 14% .37 78% .29 1.22 56% 67% 35% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 12% .38 92% .35
Jan
13		 Minnesota A+ A D A+ A+ 20% 18% 62% C A D- A+ C A+ A A- A+ C D+ F A- D 38% 27% 35% A+ C- A+ C+ A+ F F+ B D
1.21 70% 33% 42% +9 -1 1.18 21% 1.2 .24 11% .31 78% .24 1.16 67% 62% 29% +7 -1 1.15 13% 1.0 .13 8% .40 67% .27
Jan
17		 Rutgers A+ B+ F B C+ 33% 14% 53% B- B- D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D F D F 15% 36% 49% A+ F D+ C+ C- C- B D- C+
1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41 1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24
Jan
22		 Penn St. A+ A+ D A+ A+ 37% 10% 53% B A+ A- F D A+ C+ C- C A A+ D+ A A+ 27% 33% 40% A+ A+ C+ B+ B- F D+ C C-
1.38 73% 33% 45% +14 +1 1.32 37% 0.7 .26 10% .23 73% .17 1.00 40% 44% 27% -7 -2 0.84 27% 1.1 .29 10% .36 74% .27
Jan
25		 USC B F A F F 33% 11% 56% B F+ A B+ A A+ A- B+ A C- D+ B+ A A 29% 25% 46% B+ A C B+ B- F C+ C- C+
1.11 44% 50% 23% -12 +1 0.80 39% 1.0 .39 9% .34 80% .27 1.14 64% 33% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .32 8% .39 74% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Minnesota C F D A+ A- 26% 7% 67% A- A F F F D A+ C+ A+ A A+ F F C- 35% 9% 57% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.05 45% 33% 43% +5 +1 1.14 17% 0.6 .10 20% .43 73% .31 0.99 44% 75% 42% +5 +1 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 17% .21 55% .11
Jan
31		 Ohio St. A+ A A+ C+ A+ 47% 11% 42% A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ B- A+ A B- A+ D- B A+ 25% 27% 47% B+ A+ C B- C+ F A F B-
1.31 67% 67% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.3 .30 7% .32 90% .29 1.17 47% 50% 32% -1 -2 0.97 33% 1.1 .36 10% .28 89% .25
Feb
7		 Indiana B+ F A+ B B- 35% 16% 49% B+ B- A- D+ B A+ F A+ D- B+ B- F A+ A+ 50% 17% 33% C A+ D F+ F+ D A F B+
1.13 37% 56% 37% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .35 10% .20 92% .18 1.14 59% 67% 17% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22
Feb
10		 Illinois A+ A- F A+ A+ 29% 21% 50% B+ A+ A- C- B A+ B C+ B- B+ F B+ F F 25% 16% 58% A- F+ A+ C A+ A C A+ A
1.25 63% 21% 45% +7 -1 1.14 32% 0.9 .27 5% .20 71% .14 1.23 79% 33% 44% +13 0 1.27 28% 1.3 .34 18% .31 58% .18
Feb
13		 Michigan St. A+ A+ C- B+ A+ 25% 17% 58% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A A+ D+ B- A 17% 39% 44% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ D- A F B-
1.35 69% 33% 37% +4 -1 1.10 31% 1.7 .54 9% .37 74% .27 1.04 33% 43% 33% -3 -4 0.89 34% 0.6 .20 13% .27 94% .25
Feb
17		 Ohio St. C+ A A F B 25% 29% 45% C- B- B- A+ A- C- C- F F C F A+ F D- 29% 33% 39% A D+ F+ C+ D A+ C+ A B+
1.00 69% 47% 26% 0 -2 0.98 29% 1.3 .38 17% .28 50% .14 1.25 79% 31% 53% +14 -2 1.27 39% 1.1 .43 20% .35 68% .24
Feb
22		 Iowa A+ A+ F A A 40% 13% 48% B A D A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ B+ F A A+ A 40% 12% 48% C- A- A- C+ B+ C- A+ B A+
1.31 79% 0% 39% +7 +1 1.19 20% 2.2 .44 12% .35 90% .32 1.10 80% 33% 25% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.0 .27 14% .20 73% .14
Feb
25		 Oregon C+ F C- D- F+ 21% 15% 64% B- D- B A+ A C B- B+ B D- C- A F F 52% 15% 33% D- F A+ F A F F+ F+ F
1.03 36% 38% 29% -9 -1 0.83 35% 1.1 .39 17% .28 81% .23 1.23 60% 29% 50% +8 +2 1.21 18% 1.6 .29 12% .41 80% .33
Feb
28		 Washington A+ C+ F A+ A+ 27% 20% 53% B- A+ B+ C- B- A+ F A+ F A D- F A+ B- 24% 44% 33% A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ D B- A B+
1.28 59% 23% 47% +8 -1 1.16 32% 0.9 .29 9% .08 100% .08 1.04 69% 50% 22% +2 -4 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 13% .26 69% .18
Mar
4		 Maryland A+ B+ B A A+ 35% 10% 55% B A D+ B+ C A+ D- A+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ 28% 17% 55% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+
1.35 65% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.20 23% 1.1 .26 5% .24 85% .20 0.78 31% 13% 31% -15 0 0.72 28% 0.8 .23 17% .10 40% .04
Mar
7		 Purdue A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 9% 66% A A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- F C+ F D 27% 42% 31% A+ C F C F D+ D C D+
1.48 75% 50% 52% +23 +1 1.49 28% 1.4 .40 12% .42 88% .36 1.42 86% 41% 44% +13 -4 1.21 52% 1.3 .65 11% .32 74% .24
Mar
12		 Washington A+ F A+ A+ A+ 21% 17% 62% B- A+ B+ F C A+ F A+ D D C D- B- C+ 31% 33% 37% B+ B- F A+ D- D- D- C D
1.28 33% 80% 42% +9 -1 1.19 32% 0.8 .24 9% .13 100% .13 1.24 63% 47% 32% +3 -2 1.04 54% 0.9 .49 12% .34 75% .26
Mar
13		 Illinois A+ A+ A+ F B- 30% 7% 63% A+ B+ B A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ A F+ C B B- 39% 16% 45% C+ B- A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.20 71% 75% 25% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.2 .34 9% .44 83% .36 1.16 72% 40% 31% +4 +1 1.11 26% 1.2 .31 9% .22 60% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 5.0 0.0 0.7 7.3 17.8 45.8 26.1 2.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 5.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.2% 100.0% 3.7 0.2 8.5 32.9 36.6 20.6 1.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.4% 100.0% 4.5 0.9 13.3 30.7 43.9 11.1 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 84.4% 100.0% 5.1 0.2 4.8 15.0 47.9 29.6 2.5 0.0