Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -13.6 351
Results Rating -14.4 352
Consistency 0.17 267
Pace 60.7 352
Improvement -5.4 350

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 358 D D F F+ D+
Defense D+ 290 C- D C- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 D+ 54% 291 -1.6 242
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 67 C 38% 179 +1.9 81
Three Pointers 36% 285 F+ 29% 346 -5.3 333
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 267 D -4.4 322
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 329
Second Chance C- 28.3% 239 D- 0.90 335 D 0.26 309
Opponents' Steals F 13.8% 365
Other Turnovers F+ 9.4% 350
Turnovers F 23.3% 365
Freethrows F+ 0.23 354 C 72% 199 F+ 0.17 353
Total Offense F+ -9.6 358

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 53% 106 D+ 12.6% 281
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 137 B 3.3% 60
Three Pointers A- 93% 16 C- 1.1% 255
Total C+ 57% 141 C- 6.1% 238

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 D+ 61% 262 +1.1 216
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 289 B- 36% 108 -1.6 55
Three Pointers 44% 77 C 34% 170 +1.7 269
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 249 C- +0.7 209
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 216
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 289 D 1.13 310 D 0.37 320
Turnovers from Steals D 7.3% 326
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 56
Turnovers C- 15.7% 241
Freethrows D+ 0.34 288 C- 74% 256 D 0.25 294
Total Defense D+ -4.0 290

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 243 D- 6.4% 339
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 288 D 2.7% 310
Three Pointers D 89% 322 D 0.2% 335
Total D 61% 307 D- 3.0% 349

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.1 362 16.9 111
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 361 0.19 247
Consistency 0.14 268 0.14 308
Improvement -1.8 279 -3.6 332

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 355 350 340
Results Rating Rank 355 350 339
Conference Record 5 - 9 6 - 8 7 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 33% 48% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 4%
First Four3% 4% 3%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 69.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 143 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  39% 0 - 1 C +0 F -20 F D+ F A+ +20 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 29 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0% 0 - 2 F -47 F -43 F D F C -1 A+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 13 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 0% -15  0% 0 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -10 D- D- F+ A+ +12 A+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 14 70 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0% 0 - 4 F -28 F -23 F+ F F F+ -8 C- F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 262 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 16% +3  69% 1 - 4 C- -2 D+ -3 B+ D+ F C+ +2 A F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 343 @Canisius L 57 - 60 34% -3  7% 1 - 5 D- -12 F+ -9 F+ C F D+ -4 F+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 358 Binghamton W 63 - 52 60% +9  97% 2 - 5 D+ -5 F+ -10 D- B- F B+ +6 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 267 Hampton L 68 - 74 33% -10  7% 2 - 6 F+ -15 C- -0 F+ B- A F -16 F+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 248 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 14% -5  38% 2 - 7 D- -14 F+ -9 C- F+ D+ D- -7 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 251 @American L 60 - 78 14% -10  22% 2 - 8 F -20 F+ -9 A+ F F F -13 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 20 @Virginia L 60 - 84 0% -16  0% 2 - 9 C- -3 C- -2 B C F C- -2 D+ A F
 Fri, Dec 12 275 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 17% +2  54% 2 - 10 D+ -6 C +1 D- A- B+ D- -8 C- F C
 Sun, Dec 14 56 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 2% -10  4% 2 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D- D F+ D -6 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 320 @Wagner L 64 - 78 27% -6  0% 2 - 12 F -21 F+ -10 B+ F F F -12 C- F F
 Mon, Dec 22 28 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  0% 2 - 13 D+ -5 C- -1 B- B- F D+ -4 D- A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 348 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 60% +6  81% 3 - 13 1 - 0 C +1 F -15 F D D- A+ +17 A A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 200 Howard W 69 - 57 22% -2  33% 4 - 13 2 - 0 B- +7 F+ -9 C F+ F A+ +15 A B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 304 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 22% +0  41% 5 - 13 3 - 0 C -2 B- +4 D+ D+ B+ D -6 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 77% -0  52% 6 - 13 4 - 0 F -18 D+ -3 F A+ D- F -15 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 361 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 53% -6  22% 6 - 14 4 - 1 F -22 F -12 F F D+ F -11 F C F
 Mon, Feb 2 352 @NC Central L 63 - 65 40% -4  5% 6 - 15 4 - 2 D- -13 F -10 C- A+ F C- -3 F A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 357 @South Carolina St. L 54 - 63 48% -10  9% 6 - 16 4 - 3 F -22 F -22 F+ C- F C -1 F+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 348 @Morgan St. L 71 - 79 37% -2  13% 6 - 17 4 - 4 F -18 D- -7 F F B- F -11 D- D F
 Sat, Feb 14 200 @Howard L 53 - 79 10% -13  1% 6 - 18 4 - 5 F -25 F -14 C- F F F -14 C- D F
 Mon, Feb 16 304 Norfolk St. L 66 - 70 42% -1  28% 6 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -16 C- -2 C C+ D- F -15 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. L 65 - 71 OT 57% -7  6% 6 - 20 4 - 7 F -21 F -18 F D- F C- -3 C- F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 357 South Carolina St. W 70 - 65 70%
 Mon, Mar 2 352 NC Central W 69 - 65 63%
 Thu, Mar 5 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 58 73%
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 8 -14 F+ -10 B D D+ D+ -4 F+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ C F+ D 39% 48% 36% D+ D C- D- D F F+ C F+ D+ D+ B- C C- 38% 17% 44% D+ C- D+ D D C- D+ C- D
0.95 54% 38% 29% -4 -1 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 23% .23 72% .17 1.14 61% 36% 34% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .37 16% .34 74% .17
Nov
3		 Georgia Tech F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 39% D+ F D+ D+ D+ F F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% F+ A+ B F D+ C+ D+ A+ A-
0.74 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12 0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16
Nov
5		 Georgia F F+ F F F 28% 30% 43% F+ F A- F D F B+ F D C C A+ A+ A+ 40% 2% 58% F+ A+ F D- F C- F F F
0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14 1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38
Nov
11		 Nebraska F+ A+ F D D+ 12% 45% 43% F D- C F D- F+ D A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% D+ A+ C- C C- D- D+ F D-
0.75 83% 23% 29% -7 -5 0.78 26% 0.5 .13 24% .18 78% .14 1.03 80% 0% 15% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .30 83% .25
Nov
14		 Creighton F D A+ F D- 27% 39% 34% F F+ F+ F F F F A+ D- F+ F B+ B C- 38% 12% 50% D- C- F B- F C- A- B- A-
0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11 1.30 80% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14
Nov
18		 Longwood D+ A+ D B A 33% 22% 44% D- B+ A+ F D+ F F F F C+ B+ B+ A+ A 46% 27% 27% C A F D- F A- F F F
1.03 89% 33% 38% +12 -1 1.24 44% 0.5 .23 30% .26 47% .12 1.02 50% 31% 23% -10 0 0.81 41% 1.1 .43 24% .55 88% .49
Nov
21		 Canisius F+ F C- B- D- 19% 30% 51% F F+ C+ C- C F D- D- D- D+ B A- F F 30% 23% 48% C+ F+ C- F F C- A- C+ B+
0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17 1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15
Nov
22		 Binghamton F+ D- A+ D- F+ 48% 16% 36% C+ D- A F+ B- F D+ F F B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% F A+ F D+ F A+ F D+ F
1.06 52% 57% 31% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.9 .38 20% .29 50% .15 0.87 38% 33% 17% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.9 .35 27% .51 77% .39
Nov
25		 Hampton C- F D- B- F+ 40% 29% 31% D- F+ D+ A+ B- A B A- A- F D+ C F+ F 38% 28% 33% C- F+ A+ F D+ F F D+ F
1.11 50% 31% 36% -5 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .35 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 60% 36% 38% +3 -1 1.05 24% 1.4 .34 13% .62 76% .47
Dec
2		 East Carolina F+ A A+ F B- 22% 42% 36% F C- D- D- F+ D+ F F F D- D+ A+ F F 43% 20% 38% D- F D B+ C+ C F C+ F
0.95 70% 53% 25% +4 -4 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 19% .15 57% .08 1.15 59% 25% 47% +5 0 1.13 36% 0.9 .32 17% .47 70% .33
Dec
6		 American F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 45% 35% 20% F+ A+ F C- F F F D- F F A F F F 47% 4% 49% F F F A D+ D A+ C A+
0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09 1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11
Dec
9		 Virginia C- D- A+ F B- 56% 21% 23% A+ B D- A+ C F F A+ F C- B- A F C- 49% 5% 45% F D+ A+ D A F B+ C- B+
0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13 1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18
Dec
12		 N.C. A&T C D- A+ F D- 35% 32% 33% F+ D- B A- A- B+ D A C D- F A+ C C- 31% 22% 47% D+ C- D- F F C F F+ F
1.14 50% 61% 21% -2 -2 0.95 33% 1.2 .40 10% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 20% 33% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.4 .47 19% .67 82% .55
Dec
14		 Virginia Tech F F A+ F D- 28% 20% 52% C D- B- F D F+ C F D D F A+ F F 36% 21% 43% C+ F A+ F A- D A B A
0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14 1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16
Dec
17		 Wagner F+ A A+ F+ A- 42% 20% 38% D+ B+ D F F F F F F F B- D- B- C 34% 19% 47% C- C- A- F F F F A+ F
0.98 68% 67% 29% +7 0 1.18 27% 0.3 .07 23% .28 64% .18 1.20 50% 44% 32% -3 0 0.96 26% 2.0 .51 8% .47 61% .28
Dec
22		 Texas C- C- B- C+ C 50% 21% 29% A- B- C- A+ B- F B+ C- B D+ D- F D+ D- 43% 17% 40% C- D- D+ A+ A+ D F B- F
1.01 54% 40% 36% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 20% .37 71% .27 1.33 70% 63% 37% +11 +1 1.26 41% 0.8 .31 13% .68 74% .50
Jan
3		 Morgan St. F C F F F 55% 13% 32% B- F D+ D- D D- A- D- B- A+ A D+ A+ A 26% 32% 43% B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- B- A- B+
0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33 0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21
Jan
10		 Howard F+ D F B C- 46% 13% 41% C+ C F A+ F+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ 54% 16% 30% D A A- D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +2 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32 0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14
Jan
12		 Norfolk St. B- B F C D 44% 14% 42% C D+ C+ F D+ B+ A+ B A+ D C+ A- A+ A+ 44% 26% 31% D+ A D- F F F F D F
1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51 1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42
Jan
17		 Coppin St. D+ F D+ D- F 34% 27% 39% F+ F B- A+ A+ D- B- A+ A+ F D D C+ F+ 26% 26% 49% B- D- F A F A+ F F F
1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37 1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49
Jan
31		 Delaware St. F C- C F F 58% 29% 13% D+ F F A F D+ D- A+ B- F D C F F 33% 40% 26% B F A+ F C F F A F
0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26 1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 NC Central F F C- A+ C- 44% 21% 36% C- C- A- A+ A+ F F F+ F C- F F D- F 43% 14% 43% F F C+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ B-
1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15 1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20
Feb
4		 South Carolina St. F F+ F+ C- F 49% 9% 43% B- F+ C- C C- F F F F C F F B F 21% 38% 41% A- F+ B F C- D F D- F
0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18 0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36
Feb
7		 Morgan St. D- D F F F 51% 22% 27% D F C+ F F B- F+ A+ C F F A- C D- 41% 29% 31% D+ D- C F+ D F F+ D- F
1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31 1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33
Feb
14		 Howard F C- F C D+ 58% 21% 21% C+ C- D F F F F B- F+ F C+ F+ B- D+ 41% 22% 37% B C- F B+ D F D- F F
0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18 1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32
Feb
16		 Norfolk St. C- F+ F A C 40% 9% 51% C+ C C+ B- C+ D- F F F F D- C+ F F 33% 28% 40% B- F F D- F C- F B+ D-
1.12 53% 25% 41% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.1 .38 20% .28 54% .15 1.18 62% 36% 50% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 19% .44 62% .27
Feb
21		 Coppin St. F F F D- F 48% 7% 45% A- F F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C D+ A- C- 33% 21% 46% D+ C- F D- F B+ F C- F
0.88 50% 0% 32% -8 +2 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 29% .57 77% .44 0.96 54% 38% 28% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 26% .73 70% .51



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.7 1.7 3rd
4th 1.0 21.0 22.0 4th
5th 1.6 30.3 10.6 42.5 5th
6th 10.9 10.7 0.0 21.6 6th
7th 3.7 7.8 0.8 12.3 7th
8th 8th
Total 3.7 20.3 42.8 33.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 33.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 1.4 31.8
6-8 42.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 1.3 41.5
5-9 20.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 19.8
4-10 3.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 3.6
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 96.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.4%
Lose Out 2.4%