Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.0 #324
Expected Predictive Rating -8.6 #299
Pace 62.3 #345
Improvement +2.7 #54

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #342 D+ D F F D
Defense #253 C+ D- C- C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #245 1.16 #179 -1.4 #230
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #73 0.82 #84 +3.1 #50
Three Pointers 38% #253 0.84 #344 -5.0 #328
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #270 -3.3 #269
Freethrows 13.2 #342 68% #295 9.0 #345
Second Chance 29.3% #226 0.88 #337 0.26 #295
Turnovers 22.5% #364
Total Offense -7.5 #342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #129 1.13 #145 -0.6 #199
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #312 0.63 #30 +2.7 #18
Three Pointers 44% #108 0.97 #125 -0.4 #200
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #123 +1.7 #122
Freethrows 16.9 #165 73% #223 12.4 #192
Second Chance 32.1% #241 1.21 #334 0.39 #321
Turnovers 15.8% #224
Total Defense -2.5 #253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #292 1.5% #301
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.7% #244 -4.7% #91
Possession Length 20.1 #362 16.1 #25
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #355 0.18 #214
Improvement +2.7 #40 +0.0 #179

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 19.1% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.0% 9.9% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 97.6% 88.0%
Conference Champion 46.4% 48.9% 24.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four17.8% 18.3% 13.4%
First Round8.1% 8.5% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 89.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 412 - 1013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 111 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 7% -0  0 - 1 +3 -15 F D F +18 A+ D- C+
 Wed, Nov 5 23 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0 - 2 -46 -37 F D- F -6 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 16 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1% -15  0 - 3 +1 -10 F D- F +11 A+ C D-
 Fri, Nov 14 43 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0 - 4 -24 -18 D- F F -9 D+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 270 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 26% +3  1 - 4 -2 -3 B+ D F +0 A+ F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 337 @Canisius L 57 - 60 43% -3  1 - 5 -11 -6 F C F -5 F F C
 Sat, Nov 22 359 Binghamton W 63 - 52 69% +9  2 - 5 -4 -6 F C+ F +4 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 242 Hampton L 68 - 74 41% -10  2 - 6 -14 +3 F B- A+ -17 F D F
 Tue, Dec 2 262 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 24% -5  2 - 7 -15 -5 C- F D -12 F C D
 Sat, Dec 6 239 @American L 60 - 78 21% -10  2 - 8 -19 -5 A+ F F -16 F D+ D+
 Tue, Dec 9 17 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -12  2 - 9 -4 -1 A- C- F -4 C- A+ F
 Fri, Dec 12 302 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 32% +2  2 - 10 -8 +4 F A+ A- -13 D F C
 Sun, Dec 14 64 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 3% -10  2 - 11 -17 -10 F F F -9 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 316 @Wagner L 64 - 78 36% -6  2 - 12 -20 -7 A- F F -14 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 41 @Texas L 71 - 94 2% -11  2 - 13 -8 +2 B- B- F -10 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 363 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 81% +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 -2 -14 F F D +12 A A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 275 Howard W 69 - 57 48% -2  4 - 13 2 - 0 +2 -9 D+ F F +11 A C A+
 Mon, Jan 12 289 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 29% +0  5 - 13 3 - 0 -0 +9 C- D+ B -9 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 74 - 61 90%
 Sat, Jan 24 361 @South Carolina St. W 69 - 67 59%
 Mon, Jan 26 338 @NC Central L 66 - 68 43%
 Sat, Jan 31 356 @Delaware St. W 63 - 62 54%
 Sat, Feb 7 363 @Morgan St. W 71 - 68 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 275 @Howard L 62 - 68 27%
 Mon, Feb 16 289 Norfolk St. W 65 - 64 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 64 76%
 Sat, Feb 28 361 South Carolina St. W 72 - 64 78%
 Mon, Mar 2 338 NC Central W 69 - 65 65%
 Thu, Mar 5 356 Delaware St. W 66 - 59 74%
Totals 12 - 17 10 - 4 -10 -8 D+ D F -2 C+ D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.1 10.9 16.8 11.7 4.0 0.9 46.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.6 10.0 10.1 2.3 0.1 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 6.7 6.5 1.0 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.4 3.5 4.4 0.7 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 2.0 0.3 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.7 13.1 19.2 21.9 19.1 11.7 4.0 0.9 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
13-1 100.0% 4.0    4.0 0.0
12-2 99.6% 11.7    10.8 0.9 0.0
11-3 88.1% 16.8    10.6 5.9 0.3
10-4 49.5% 10.9    3.1 5.4 2.1 0.2
9-5 10.9% 2.1    0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 46.4% 46.4 29.4 12.9 3.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.9% 35.3% 35.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 0.6
13-1 4.0% 33.5% 33.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3 2.7
12-2 11.7% 31.4% 31.4% 16.0 3.7 8.1
11-3 19.1% 25.6% 25.6% 16.0 4.9 14.2
10-4 21.9% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 4.2 17.8
9-5 19.2% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 2.5 16.7
8-6 13.1% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.1 12.0
7-7 6.7% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 6.3
6-8 2.6% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.1 2.5
5-9 0.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-10 0.1% 0.1
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 16.0 81.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.6 44.3 55.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%