Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#270
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#344
Pace69.9#177
Improvement+1.4#76

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#318
First Shot-5.1#320
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#179
Layup/Dunks-4.0#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows-0.6#205
Improvement+1.7#47

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#180
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#140
Layups/Dunks+0.0#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
Freethrows-2.3#307
Improvement-0.4#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.6% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 6.7% 14.4% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 31.2% 41.9% 28.5%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 8.8% 17.3%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round1.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 19.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 16 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -5.3 -12.0 +6.6
  Fri, Nov 7 329 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 52%     0 - 2 -14.4 -16.3 +1.8
  Wed, Nov 12 268 @Valparaiso L 63-68 38%     0 - 3 -7.7 -2.6 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 15 118 @Murray St. L 79-99 14%     0 - 4 -13.9 +1.2 -13.6
  Sat, Nov 22 46 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 4%     0 - 5 +0.0 +3.0 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 152 @Tulane L 69-78 20%    
  Tue, Dec 2 45 @Creighton L 61-81 3%    
  Sat, Dec 6 192 Incarnate Word L 70-71 46%    
  Wed, Dec 17 276 Houston Christian W 70-66 62%    
  Sun, Dec 21 144 @Pacific L 65-74 19%    
  Mon, Dec 29 226 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-71 33%    
  Wed, Dec 31 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 308 East Texas A&M W 71-66 68%    
  Mon, Jan 5 285 Northwestern St. W 71-67 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 205 @New Orleans L 70-76 30%    
  Mon, Jan 12 82 @McNeese St. L 61-77 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 199 Lamar L 65-66 48%    
  Mon, Jan 19 139 Stephen F. Austin L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 250 @SE Louisiana L 65-69 36%    
  Mon, Jan 26 205 New Orleans W 73-72 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 @East Texas A&M L 68-69 47%    
  Mon, Feb 2 285 @Northwestern St. L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-68 54%    
  Mon, Feb 9 202 UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 192 @Incarnate Word L 67-74 27%    
  Mon, Feb 16 276 @Houston Christian L 67-69 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-75 18%    
  Mon, Feb 23 199 @Lamar L 63-69 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 250 SE Louisiana W 68-66 56%    
  Mon, Mar 2 82 McNeese St. L 64-74 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.9 1.2 0.2 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.2 1.8 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4 4.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.4 4.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 2.9 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.7 6.6 9.2 10.5 11.7 11.5 10.5 9.4 7.1 5.4 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 84.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 59.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
17-5 26.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 13.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 34.0% 34.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.3% 33.3% 33.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.8% 24.5% 24.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-6 1.5% 13.9% 13.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-7 2.5% 9.5% 9.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.2
14-8 4.0% 7.9% 7.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.7
13-9 5.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.2
12-10 7.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
11-11 9.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.3
10-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.4
9-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
8-14 11.7% 11.7
7-15 10.5% 10.5
6-16 9.2% 9.2
5-17 6.6% 6.6
4-18 4.7% 4.7
3-19 2.5% 2.5
2-20 1.2% 1.2
1-21 0.5% 0.5
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%