Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#296
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#269
Pace73.5#93
Improvement-2.1#333

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#220
First Shot-2.9#260
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#110
Layup/Dunks-3.5#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#57
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement+0.5#131

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#344
First Shot-2.4#256
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#337
Layups/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#93
Freethrows-2.3#306
Improvement-2.6#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.6% 13.1% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 45.3% 34.5%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 12.8% 19.0%
First Four2.4% 2.8% 2.3%
First Round2.4% 3.5% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Away) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 46 @Oklahoma St. L 71-95 3%     0 - 1 -10.0 -8.4 +2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 91 Tulsa L 87-88 17%     0 - 2 +1.9 +10.3 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 15 94 Belmont L 60-83 17%     0 - 3 -20.4 -14.5 -4.3
  Thu, Nov 20 52 @Oklahoma L 71-95 4%     0 - 4 -10.8 +1.3 -11.9
  Mon, Nov 24 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88-93 18%     0 - 5 -2.7 +9.9 -12.3
  Tue, Nov 25 163 Kennesaw St. W 91-83 26%     1 - 5 +7.3 +7.5 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 26 213 Rice L 62-81 35%     1 - 6 -22.3 -3.9 -20.9
  Wed, Dec 3 229 @Weber St. L 77-83 27%    
  Sat, Dec 6 186 Montana St. L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Dec 16 239 @Missouri St. L 69-75 29%    
  Thu, Dec 18 51 @TCU L 66-87 3%    
  Mon, Dec 22 184 Texas Arlington L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Jan 1 319 @North Dakota L 77-79 42%    
  Sat, Jan 3 155 @North Dakota St. L 72-82 18%    
  Sat, Jan 10 158 St. Thomas L 76-80 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 300 @Denver L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 Nebraska Omaha W 82-81 53%    
  Thu, Jan 22 319 North Dakota W 80-76 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 155 North Dakota St. L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 286 @South Dakota L 83-87 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 150 @South Dakota St. L 72-82 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 158 @St. Thomas L 73-83 18%    
  Thu, Feb 12 335 UMKC W 81-75 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 150 South Dakota St. L 75-79 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 256 @Nebraska Omaha L 79-84 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 286 South Dakota W 86-84 59%    
  Thu, Feb 26 300 Denver W 81-78 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 335 @UMKC W 79-78 50%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.2 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.0 1.2 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.1 5.4 1.2 0.1 14.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 6.1 6.1 1.2 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 6.3 5.6 1.2 0.0 15.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.6 4.4 1.0 0.0 14.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 10.1 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.0 6.2 9.8 13.2 14.3 14.7 12.7 10.5 7.3 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 76.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 48.5% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1
11-5 17.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 31.1% 31.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.8% 17.0% 17.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-4 2.0% 14.0% 14.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
11-5 3.8% 12.6% 12.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.3
10-6 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 6.7
9-7 10.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.9
8-8 12.7% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.2
7-9 14.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 14.2
6-10 14.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.1
5-11 13.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 9.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-13 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-14 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.0 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%