Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#273
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#340
Pace77.0#38
Improvement+0.3#152

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#98
Layup/Dunks-4.1#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
Freethrows+2.3#57
Improvement-1.8#334

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#303
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#307
Layups/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#214
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement+2.1#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.8% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 19.0% 26.2% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 48.6% 35.8%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 5.7% 9.3%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round1.7% 2.1% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Home) - 55.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 353 Western Illinois W 80-75 81%     1 - 0 -10.5 +9.8 -19.7
  Tue, Nov 11 26 @North Carolina L 74-89 3%     1 - 1 +2.1 -1.1 +5.4
  Sat, Nov 15 146 Wright St. L 59-92 27%     1 - 2 -32.7 -15.0 -16.7
  Sun, Nov 16 303 Cleveland St. L 82-87 57%     1 - 3 -12.8 -9.2 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 18 88 @South Carolina L 58-87 8%     1 - 4 -19.6 -11.7 -7.6
  Fri, Nov 21 113 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 27%     1 - 5 -7.8 -0.8 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 24 42 @SMU L 72-89 4%     1 - 6 -2.1 -1.7 +1.3
  Wed, Dec 3 237 Southern Miss W 78-77 56%    
  Sun, Dec 7 359 St. Francis (PA) W 83-72 85%    
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 82-68 90%    
  Thu, Dec 18 130 @William & Mary L 81-92 15%    
  Sun, Dec 21 342 VMI W 83-75 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 316 @South Carolina Upstate L 80-81 47%    
  Wed, Jan 7 275 Presbyterian W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 218 UNC Asheville W 79-78 52%    
  Wed, Jan 14 356 @Gardner-Webb W 84-80 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 260 Longwood W 82-80 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 105 @Winthrop L 76-89 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 86 High Point L 78-88 19%    
  Thu, Jan 29 282 @Charleston Southern L 78-81 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 275 @Presbyterian L 70-73 40%    
  Wed, Feb 4 105 Winthrop L 79-86 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 86 @High Point L 75-91 8%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 Charleston Southern W 81-78 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 356 Gardner-Webb W 87-77 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 218 @UNC Asheville L 76-82 31%    
  Thu, Feb 26 316 South Carolina Upstate W 83-78 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 260 @Longwood L 79-83 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.1 5.1 5.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 0.4 3.7 7.5 5.7 1.5 0.1 18.9 4th
5th 0.4 4.3 7.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 17.9 5th
6th 0.5 3.9 7.5 3.4 0.5 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.6 2.5 0.3 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.3 1.6 0.1 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.6 8.0 11.5 14.8 15.5 14.5 11.9 8.1 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 91.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 48.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 16.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 2.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 14.1% 14.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-4 2.6% 9.6% 9.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.3
11-5 4.6% 6.7% 6.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.3
10-6 8.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.8
9-7 11.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.5
8-8 14.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.2
7-9 15.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 15.2
6-10 14.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.7
5-11 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.4
4-12 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.0
3-13 4.6% 4.6
2-14 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 97.7 0.0%