Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.4 #254
Expected Predictive Rating -8.8 #304
Pace 77.9 #19
Improvement +2.9 #49

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #191 C- C- C B+ B-
Defense #314 D F C+ D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #253 1.07 #284 -3.1 #287
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #294 0.76 #170 -2.0 #278
Three Pointers 49% #36 0.97 #239 +3.0 #87
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #236 -2.1 #234
Freethrows 20.5 #37 73% #160 15.0 #48
Second Chance 27.2% #278 1.09 #123 0.30 #232
Turnovers 16.4% #163
Total Offense -1.0 #191

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #98 1.14 #148 -1.3 #228
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #284 0.79 #241 +0.9 #129
Three Pointers 41% #175 1.14 #333 -2.8 #292
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #279 -3.2 #282
Freethrows 20.7 #326 71% #103 14.6 #55
Second Chance 34.6% #315 1.14 #294 0.39 #328
Turnovers 17.3% #127
Total Defense -4.4 #314

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #117 1.4% #289
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.3% #258 4.8% #273
Possession Length 16.1 #75 16.6 #76
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #48 0.20 #279
Improvement +1.8 #81 +1.1 #118

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 16.3% 19.4% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.8% 64.8% 34.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 3.3%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round2.6% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 357 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 87% +5  1 - 0 -13 +12 B- A+ A- -24 F F C
 Tue, Nov 11 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  1 - 1 +3 -1 D C C +6 A+ B- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 142 Wright St. L 59 - 92 27% -13  1 - 2 -32 -16 F F F -15 F F C-
 Sun, Nov 16 328 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 68% +9  1 - 3 -15 -10 F D F -4 F B C
 Tue, Nov 18 69 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 7% -15  1 - 4 -18 -10 F D F -7 D- F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 118 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 31% -8  1 - 5 -8 +0 B D- F -8 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 30 @SMU L 72 - 89 3% -11  1 - 6 +1 -2 F B A+ +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 210 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 52% -6  1 - 7 -13 -4 F D+ B+ -8 B C C+
 Sun, Dec 7 360 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 88% +17  2 - 7 +15 +9 C A C+ +6 C+ B+ B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 94% +12  3 - 7 +7 +13 A+ C+ F -9 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 138 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 18% -3  3 - 8 -9 +3 D+ B- B- -10 B- F F
 Sun, Dec 21 339 VMI W 97 - 90 80% +2  4 - 8 -7 +13 A+ A+ D+ -20 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 299 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 49% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 +2 -0 D+ C F +2 A- F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 292 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 69% +6  6 - 8 2 - 0 +8 +13 A F A+ -2 C+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 218 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 53% -9  6 - 9 2 - 1 -25 -7 F F A+ -17 F A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 80 77%
 Sat, Jan 17 270 Longwood W 84 - 80 64%
 Wed, Jan 21 143 @Winthrop L 79 - 88 19%
 Sat, Jan 24 87 High Point L 81 - 90 20%
 Thu, Jan 29 217 @Charleston Southern L 81 - 86 31%
 Sat, Jan 31 292 @Presbyterian L 74 - 75 47%
 Wed, Feb 4 143 Winthrop L 82 - 85 38%
 Sat, Feb 7 87 @High Point L 78 - 93 8%
 Sat, Feb 14 217 Charleston Southern W 84 - 83 52%
 Thu, Feb 19 362 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 77 90%
 Sat, Feb 21 218 @UNC Asheville L 76 - 81 32%
 Thu, Feb 26 299 South Carolina Upstate W 82 - 76 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 270 @Longwood L 81 - 83 42%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5 -1 C- C- C -4 D F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 7.7 7.0 1.8 0.1 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 8.8 7.5 1.2 0.0 19.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 8.8 8.2 1.4 0.0 20.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 7.2 7.0 1.2 0.0 16.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.6 6.9 13.6 18.5 20.1 17.3 11.5 6.1 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 44.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 14.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.5% 16.3% 16.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-4 2.3% 11.3% 11.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
11-5 6.1% 8.4% 8.4% 15.5 0.3 0.3 5.6
10-6 11.5% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 10.8
9-7 17.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.7 16.6
8-8 20.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 19.7
7-9 18.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 18.2
6-10 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.4
5-11 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-12 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.7 96.7 0.0%