Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.9 230
Results Rating -5.6 251
Consistency 0.15 193
Pace 74.8 32
Improvement +6.0 17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 205 C- C- C- B+ C+
Defense D+ 252 D+ D+ C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 247 D+ 54% 273 -2.7 279
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 247 C 38% 187 -1.4 255
Three Pointers 47% 59 C 34% 188 +2.9 86
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 157 C- -1.5 229
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 208
Second Chance C- 28.8% 228 C- 1.00 232 C- 0.29 232
Opponents' Steals C- 10.2% 254
Other Turnovers C- 7.6% 224
Turnovers C- 17.8% 249
Freethrows B+ 0.36 28 C 73% 176 B+ 0.26 41
Total Offense C- -1.3 205

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 340 C+ 10.5% 141
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 350 C+ 4.8% 173
Three Pointers D+ 80% 267 D+ 1.2% 280
Total D 49% 315 C+ 5.2% 130

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 79 C- 59% 207 +2.9 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 274 C- 39% 219 -1.0 112
Three Pointers 40% 220 D 37% 299 +0.9 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 300 D+ +2.1 266
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 276
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 274 C- 1.07 250 D+ 0.35 276
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 162
Other Turnovers B- 8.2% 77
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 109
Freethrows C- 0.32 237 C+ 72% 140 C- 0.23 233
Total Defense D+ -2.5 252

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 222 C- 9.4% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 305 C+ 6.1% 99
Three Pointers D+ 87% 292 C- 0.8% 180
Total D+ 59% 265 C 5.4% 183

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 57 17.1 140
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 71 0.20 265
Consistency 0.11 60 0.12 186
Improvement +1.6 103 +4.4 20

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 247 227 199
Results Rating Rank 274 248 221
Conference Record 9 - 7 9 - 7 10 - 6
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 16.0
.500 or above 30% 60% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 0% 3%
First Round4% 6% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 46.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 414 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 363 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 94% +5  87% 1 - 0 F+ -16 B +6 C+ A B+ F -22 F+ F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 26 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  5% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -4 D- C- B- A +9 A C+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 162 Wright St. L 59 - 92 36% -13  2% 1 - 2 F -33 F -20 F F F+ F -13 F F+ C
 Sun, Nov 16 316 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 72% +9  87% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -16 F D+ D- C+ +1 D+ B- B-
 Tue, Nov 18 91 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 12% -15  0% 1 - 4 F -20 F -13 F D F+ D -6 F+ F B
 Fri, Nov 21 107 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 32% -8  3% 1 - 5 D+ -7 C- -2 B D F D -5 F F+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 31 @SMU L 72 - 89 3% -11  0% 1 - 6 C +1 D -5 F B- A A- +8 A F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 226 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 61% -6  10% 1 - 7 D- -14 D- -6 F D+ B+ D- -7 B C C
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 90% +17  97% 2 - 7 A- +15 B- +4 C A C A+ +11 B A- B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 94% +12  98% 3 - 7 B +9 A +13 A+ C D+ D- -7 F D+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 139 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 22% -3  33% 3 - 8 D -9 C- -2 D- B- C D -5 B F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 359 VMI W 97 - 90 92% +2  63% 4 - 8 D- -12 B +6 A- A- D- F -19 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 300 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 55% +4  71% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -3 C- C- F+ B +4 B+ F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 271 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 70% +6  85% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +10 A +12 A F A C+ +1 B C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 232 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 62% -9  0% 6 - 9 2 - 1 F -26 F+ -9 F F A+ F -16 F A- C
 Wed, Jan 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 85% +5  71% 7 - 9 3 - 1 D+ -6 B- +5 D D- A- F -11 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 262 Longwood W 85 - 83 68% +11  98% 8 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -7 B +7 A- F+ B+ F -14 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 138 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 22% +2  67% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +3 C+ +2 A D- F C+ +1 F A- B
 Fri, Jan 23 94 High Point L 83 - 93 26% -1  35% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +2 A D- D- F+ -9 F A- F
 Thu, Jan 29 264 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 46% +8  85% 9 - 11 5 - 3 B- +6 C- -1 C B F B+ +7 A C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 31 271 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 48% +0  44% 10 - 11 6 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 D- C- A C+ +2 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 138 Winthrop L 78 - 80 41% -3  11% 10 - 12 6 - 4 C- -4 C- -1 C- D+ C C- -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 94 @High Point L 77 - 86 12% -3  11% 10 - 13 6 - 5 C -0 D -6 F+ B- D A- +7 B+ B+ A-
 Sat, Feb 14 264 Charleston Southern W 90 - 80 68% +14  93% 11 - 13 7 - 5 C +1 C+ +2 A+ B- F C- -2 D- B- C+
 Thu, Feb 19 362 Gardner-Webb W 82 - 70 94% +12  88% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 F+ C+ F+ D -6 F+ F C+
 Sat, Feb 21 232 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 74 OT 39% -1  26% 12 - 14 8 - 6 C- -2 D+ -3 D D D+ C+ +1 D+ B F
 Thu, Feb 26 300 South Carolina Upstate W 71 - 59 76% +3  53% 13 - 14 9 - 6 C +1 D -5 C- B- D B+ +6 B B- A-
 Sat, Feb 28 262 @Longwood L 78 - 79 46%
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 7 -4 C- -1 D- C- C+ D+ -3 C C B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C C C- 36% 31% 47% C+ C- C- C- C- C- B+ C B+ D+ C- C- D D+ 43% 18% 40% D D+ D+ C- D+ C+ C- C+ C-
1.07 54% 38% 34% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 18% .36 73% .26 1.12 59% 39% 37% +2 +1 1.08 32% 1.1 .35 18% .32 72% .26
Nov
3		 Western Illinois B A+ A+ F C+ 41% 17% 41% C- C+ A B- A B+ A+ F A+ F B F C- F 37% 30% 33% C F+ F F F C+ F C F+
1.29 82% 57% 24% +7 +1 1.17 43% 1.2 .53 11% .56 65% .36 1.21 47% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.98 47% 1.5 .72 18% .39 65% .25
Nov
11		 North Carolina D+ C F F D- 28% 25% 47% C D- C+ F+ C- B- A+ F A+ A C A+ C+ A+ 37% 17% 46% C+ A D- A- C+ C+ F B+ F
0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27 1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44
Nov
15		 Wright St. F F+ F F+ F 49% 14% 37% B+ F F+ F F F+ B+ D- B- F A+ F F F 40% 24% 36% C+ F D+ F F+ C F B F
0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24 1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31
Nov
16		 Cleveland St. F F A+ F F 40% 19% 41% C F C+ F+ D+ D- A+ F A- C+ C+ F D+ C- 39% 9% 52% F D+ D A+ B- B- F A+ F
1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30 1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45
Nov
18		 South Carolina F F D+ D F 34% 18% 48% B- F D- D+ D F+ A+ D+ A+ D F F A+ F 33% 21% 46% B- F+ D+ F F B A C A-
0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30 1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20
Nov
21		 UNC Wilmington C- F+ F A+ B 24% 14% 61% B B C- F+ D F A B+ A D F+ C+ F+ F 49% 13% 38% F F F B- F+ A+ C- A+ B
1.04 50% 29% 40% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 20% .34 79% .27 1.16 65% 33% 39% +6 +2 1.17 45% 1.0 .45 21% .38 57% .22
Nov
24		 SMU D F F F F 29% 15% 56% B F F+ A+ B- A C+ A+ B+ A- C+ A+ C+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A B- F F+ A+ F D F
0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22 1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40
Dec
3		 Southern Miss D- F+ F D F 39% 9% 52% B F D+ C- D+ B+ A- A A+ D- B B- B- B- 33% 35% 33% B+ B F A- C C F F F
1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33 1.09 53% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44
Dec
7		 St. Francis (PA) B- C B- B+ C- 35% 9% 56% C+ C C- A+ A C F C F A+ A+ D- C B 31% 23% 46% C+ B B- A+ A- B- A+ D+ A+
1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17 0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09
Dec
14		 Coppin St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 58% C+ A+ C- B C D+ D D D- D- C+ A+ F F 34% 18% 48% D- F C+ D- D+ A+ C- F F+
1.37 83% 60% 47% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23 0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27
Dec
18		 William & Mary C- F A+ D+ D- 28% 8% 63% C+ D- C B B- C B+ D+ B D C- A+ A+ A- 60% 5% 35% F B F F F D- F F F
1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23 1.19 62% 0% 25% -5 +4 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39
Dec
21		 VMI B C+ A+ A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C+ A+ A- D- A+ A- A+ F C- F F F 38% 19% 44% C+ F D- F F B F F F
1.33 65% 60% 45% +14 +1 1.32 40% 1.3 .52 19% .68 80% .54 1.23 56% 44% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.9 .57 19% .47 89% .42
Dec
31		 South Carolina Upstate D+ C D+ C- C- 44% 19% 38% C C- D+ C+ C- F+ A+ C A B A D+ A+ A+ 60% 9% 30% F B+ F D F+ C+ C+ D- C-
1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29 0.95 44% 40% 25% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20
Jan
7		 Presbyterian A C A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A D- F F A C A+ A- C+ B+ B B B+ 47% 32% 21% C+ B D+ C+ C- F C A+ A-
1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26 0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17
Jan
10		 UNC Asheville F+ A- F F F 46% 8% 46% A- F F F+ F A+ A+ B A+ F F C F F 29% 29% 41% D F B- A+ A- C F A- F
0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35 1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 Gardner-Webb B- D- F A+ D- 49% 13% 38% B D B+ F D- A- A+ B- A+ F F A+ A+ D+ 52% 8% 40% F D B- F F F F F F
1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35 1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35
Jan
17		 Longwood B A+ F A A- 40% 16% 44% C A- D F F+ B+ A+ F+ A+ F C F F F 34% 26% 40% B- F F F F B- C- A C+
1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34 1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22
Jan
21		 Winthrop C+ B+ A A A 48% 5% 48% A+ A D- D D- F A+ C+ A+ C+ B+ D F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F A+ D+ A- B B- A+ A-
1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36 1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21
Jan
23		 High Point C+ B C+ A A- 43% 9% 47% B A C F D- D- C+ C C+ F+ D- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% C- F A+ F+ A- F F C F
1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23 1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38
Jan
29		 Charleston Southern C- F A A+ C 45% 31% 24% C- C C- A+ B F A+ A A+ B+ C A+ A A+ 42% 6% 52% D- A D A C+ B- F B+ F
1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40 0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Presbyterian C+ F A- B- D 38% 27% 35% D- D- D B- C- A A+ C+ A C+ F A+ D F 48% 31% 20% C+ F F+ A+ A A+ C- F D
1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27 1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27
Feb
4		 Winthrop C- C D+ C- D+ 37% 14% 49% B- C- A- F D+ C D B- D+ C- D F C- F 43% 13% 43% C- F A A+ A+ C C+ A B
1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22 1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 High Point D B- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B- F+ C B B- D A+ F A A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 4% 37% F B+ D A+ B+ A- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30 1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47
Feb
14		 Charleston Southern C+ B A+ A+ A+ 38% 26% 36% C- A+ C A- B- F B- D C C- A F F D 46% 3% 51% F D- A D B- C+ A+ A+ A+
1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25 1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05
Feb
19		 Gardner-Webb D+ A F D F+ 31% 10% 58% C F+ D+ A C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D D- F A F+ 53% 18% 29% D+ F+ C- F F C+ C+ A+ B
1.19 73% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 19% .43 92% .39 1.01 63% 44% 27% 0 +1 1.06 24% 1.6 .38 20% .25 57% .15
Feb
21		 UNC Asheville D+ F F A+ D 38% 25% 37% D D C F D D+ A+ D- A+ C+ C- D C+ C- 43% 36% 21% D- D+ B B- B F A+ A+ A+
1.03 35% 31% 47% -3 -1 0.94 32% 0.7 .22 17% .51 63% .32 1.04 58% 45% 33% +2 -2 1.04 26% 0.9 .24 11% .22 50% .11
Feb
26		 South Carolina Upstate D F A A+ C 33% 24% 42% D- C- D- A+ B- D A+ C A+ B+ B+ F+ A+ B+ 50% 18% 32% F+ B F A+ B- A- A+ C- A+
1.05 33% 45% 42% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .39 18% .43 71% .31 0.88 48% 44% 25% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.6 .23 22% .13 71% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 53.6 46.4 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 53.6 46.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 46.4% 5.9% 5.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.1 43.6
9-7 53.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 2.2 51.3
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.7 94.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 100.0% 15.4 0.2 1.3 57.0 41.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.1%
Lose Out 24.0%