Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#276
Pace75.4#51
Improvement-0.5#224

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#264
First Shot-4.2#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#122
Layup/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#346
Freethrows+2.7#49
Improvement-1.1#283

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#257
First Shot-2.1#250
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#221
Layups/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#255
Freethrows-0.8#240
Improvement+0.6#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 5.5% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 8.3% 18.7% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 28.7% 39.2% 26.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 5.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 28.3% 19.1% 30.3%
First Four1.5% 1.9% 1.4%
First Round2.5% 4.6% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Away) - 18.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 93 - 14
Quad 47 - 69 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 11 141 UC Santa Barbara L 87-92 35%     0 - 1 -7.0 +6.7 -13.5
  Fri, Nov 14 178 @UC Davis L 73-77 23%     0 - 2 -2.4 +0.5 -2.7
  Sun, Nov 16 275 Presbyterian W 64-62 62%     1 - 2 -7.2 -8.6 +1.5
  Tue, Nov 18 32 @UCLA L 48-79 3%     1 - 3 -14.6 -16.5 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 21 67 @California L 67-91 6%     1 - 4 -12.7 -5.7 -5.3
  Sat, Nov 29 144 @Pacific L 69-79 18%    
  Tue, Dec 2 28 @Baylor L 69-92 2%    
  Sat, Dec 20 136 @California Baptist L 67-78 17%    
  Mon, Dec 22 220 @Cal St. Northridge L 79-84 31%    
  Thu, Jan 1 230 @Idaho St. L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 229 @Weber St. L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 156 @Portland St. L 72-81 21%    
  Thu, Jan 15 249 Northern Arizona W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 145 Northern Colorado L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 168 @Idaho L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 240 @Eastern Washington L 77-81 34%    
  Thu, Jan 29 186 Montana St. L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 191 Montana L 79-80 46%    
  Mon, Feb 2 229 Weber St. W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 156 Portland St. L 75-78 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 145 @Northern Colorado L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 249 @Northern Arizona L 74-78 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 240 Eastern Washington W 80-78 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 168 Idaho L 74-76 44%    
  Thu, Feb 26 191 @Montana L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 186 @Montana St. L 69-76 27%    
  Mon, Mar 2 230 Idaho St. W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.0 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.4 1.5 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 2.4 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.6 3.3 0.2 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.2 3.9 0.5 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 6.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 15.6 9th
10th 0.4 1.8 3.3 5.7 5.2 2.7 0.6 19.7 10th
Total 0.4 1.8 3.6 6.9 9.3 12.0 13.2 12.3 11.8 9.7 7.3 5.0 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 87.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 78.2% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 49.4% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 19.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 21.2% 21.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 23.8% 23.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.8% 17.4% 17.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.4% 12.7% 12.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.0% 7.9% 7.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.6
10-8 7.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.1 0.4 6.9
9-9 9.7% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.3
8-10 11.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.5
7-11 12.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.2
6-12 13.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-13 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
4-14 9.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-16 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%