UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#30
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#54
Pace63.3#325
Improvement+2.5#44

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#33
First Shot+8.6#18
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#207
Layup/Dunks+1.8#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+2.2#66
Improvement+3.5#12

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#35
First Shot+4.4#47
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#91
Layups/Dunks+3.4#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
Freethrows+1.8#77
Improvement-1.0#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 8.7% 10.1% 3.9%
Top 6 Seed 26.8% 30.2% 15.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.3% 77.5% 59.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 72.8% 77.0% 58.8%
Average Seed 7.2 7.1 7.8
.500 or above 94.0% 96.3% 86.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.2% 84.2% 75.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four6.0% 5.7% 7.2%
First Round70.5% 74.9% 55.9%
Second Round44.0% 47.4% 32.3%
Sweet Sixteen15.6% 17.3% 9.9%
Elite Eight6.0% 6.8% 3.3%
Final Four2.1% 2.4% 1.1%
Championship Game0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Home) - 77.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 10
Quad 25 - 211 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 240 Eastern Washington W 80-74 97%     1 - 0 -1.5 -0.2 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 7 293 Pepperdine W 74-63 98%     2 - 0 +0.7 +7.1 -5.0
  Mon, Nov 10 315 West Georgia W 83-62 98%     3 - 0 +9.0 +10.0 +0.5
  Fri, Nov 14 3 Arizona L 65-69 21%     3 - 1 +18.5 +5.6 +12.8
  Tue, Nov 18 280 Sacramento St. W 79-48 97%     4 - 1 +21.7 +1.6 +19.8
  Fri, Nov 21 260 Presbyterian W 86-46 97%     5 - 1 +31.5 +14.2 +19.0
  Tue, Nov 25 82 California L 72-80 74%     5 - 2 -0.7 +1.5 -2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 47 @Washington W 82-80 50%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +15.9 +21.1 -5.0
  Sat, Dec 6 66 Oregon W 74-63 79%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +16.3 +14.4 +3.6
  Sat, Dec 13 5 Gonzaga L 72-82 23%     7 - 3 +11.8 +13.9 -2.9
  Wed, Dec 17 61 Arizona St. W 77-69 77%    
  Fri, Dec 19 249 Cal Poly W 90-68 98%    
  Tue, Dec 23 268 UC Riverside W 83-60 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 23 @Iowa L 66-70 35%    
  Tue, Jan 6 40 @Wisconsin L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 94 Maryland W 78-67 85%    
  Wed, Jan 14 104 @Penn St. W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 31 @Ohio St. L 72-75 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 7 Purdue L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 58 Northwestern W 77-69 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 66 @Oregon W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 27 Indiana W 73-71 57%    
  Tue, Feb 3 133 Rutgers W 78-63 91%    
  Sat, Feb 7 47 Washington W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 67-83 7%    
  Tue, Feb 17 12 @Michigan St. L 65-72 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 14 Illinois L 75-76 47%    
  Tue, Feb 24 34 USC W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 103 @Minnesota W 70-64 72%    
  Tue, Mar 3 26 Nebraska W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 34 @USC L 75-77 42%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.7 1.3 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 5.9 2.5 0.2 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 4.0 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.7 0.9 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.3 1.7 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.2 8.1 11.5 14.5 15.5 14.4 11.5 7.8 4.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 91.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 71.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-3 31.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
16-4 12.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 3.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.3% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 4.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 100.0%
15-5 7.8% 99.8% 5.1% 94.7% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 11.5% 99.4% 3.4% 96.0% 6.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.4%
13-7 14.4% 97.7% 2.1% 95.6% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 4.5 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 97.7%
12-8 15.5% 92.3% 1.1% 91.3% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 4.4 3.4 1.6 0.3 1.2 92.2%
11-9 14.5% 77.6% 0.6% 77.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 3.1 3.2 1.5 0.0 3.3 77.5%
10-10 11.5% 49.9% 0.4% 49.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.3 0.1 5.8 49.7%
9-11 8.1% 19.6% 0.2% 19.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.1 6.5 19.4%
8-12 5.2% 3.2% 0.3% 3.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.0 3.0%
7-13 2.8% 2.8
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 73.3% 2.0% 71.3% 7.2 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.1 7.7 10.3 12.4 11.9 9.4 7.4 5.3 0.2 26.7 72.8%