UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +15.8 26
Results Rating +16.2 24
Consistency 0.15 184
Pace 63.3 316
Improvement +4.4 47

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 18 B+ B+ A- B- D
Defense B 53 B B- B B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 269 B 63% 65 +0.3 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 107 B 43% 54 +3.9 28
Three Pointers 37% 268 A+ 41% 1 +2.1 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 314 A +7.3 14
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 32
Second Chance B- 33.8% 82 B+ 1.17 26 B+ 0.39 40
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 24
Other Turnovers A- 5.5% 15
Turnovers A- 13.0% 14
Freethrows B- 0.32 119 B 76% 51 B- 0.25 80
Total Offense A- +10.8 18

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 63 B- 9.2% 84
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 44% 10 B+ 2.6% 29
Three Pointers B 89% 60 B- 0.6% 117
Total B+ 64% 42 B 4.2% 40


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 329 C+ 56% 129 -4.4 50
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 140 C 39% 202 +0.5 231
Three Pointers 46% 36 B+ 30% 26 +0.1 186
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 76 B -3.2 52
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 48
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 126 B 0.94 49 B- 0.27 69
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 123
Other Turnovers A- 8.9% 24
Turnovers B 19.2% 48
Freethrows B- 0.27 88 C 73% 209 B- 0.20 93
Total Defense B +5.0 53

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 331 C 11.0% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 333 B- 6.5% 81
Three Pointers C+ 81% 116 C+ 1.1% 116
Total D 61% 305 C 5.4% 187

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 159 19.1 355
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 143 0.12 35
Consistency 0.14 280 0.13 248
Improvement +5.0 13 -0.6 214

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 27 26 23
Results Rating Rank 26 26 17
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 3% 0%
Top 6 Seed 33% 58% 22%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 6.9 6.3 7.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round63% 69% 61%
Sweet Sixteen20% 25% 17%
Elite Eight7% 9% 6%
Final Four2% 2% 2%
Championship Game1% 1% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 05 - 8
Quad 25 - 310 - 11
Quad 36 - 016 - 11
Quad 47 - 023 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 176 Eastern Washington W 80 - 74 96% +7  84% 1 - 0 C+ +2 C- -1 C+ D+ A B- +3 F A+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 273 Pepperdine W 74 - 63 98% +10  87% 2 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +2 D+ A- C C+ +1 A F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 301 West Georgia W 83 - 62 99% +11  97% 3 - 0 B +9 B+ +9 B+ B- D B- +2 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 14 3 Arizona L 65 - 69 17% +1  60% 3 - 1 A +22 B- +5 A+ D F A+ +17 A C A+
 Tue, Nov 18 275 Sacramento St. W 79 - 48 98% +19  99% 4 - 1 A +21 D+ -3 C- A F A+ +24 A+ C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 21 266 Presbyterian W 86 - 46 98% +24  99% 5 - 1 A+ +31 A- +11 A+ A+ C- A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 74 California L 72 - 80 77% -2  43% 5 - 2 C +0 C +1 C- B+ B- C -0 D+ A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 50 @Washington W 82 - 80 56% +3  65% 6 - 2 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +19 A+ A+ A C- -3 D+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 86 Oregon W 74 - 63 87% +8  92% 7 - 2 2 - 0 B+ +15 A +13 B+ A B B +4 A+ F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 11 Gonzaga L 72 - 82 38% -2  32% 7 - 3 B +9 A +12 A+ C- A D+ -3 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 67 Arizona St. W 90 - 77 82% +9  98% 8 - 3 A +19 A+ +17 A C- A+ B- +2 A+ C- C-
 Fri, Dec 19 220 Cal Poly W 108 - 87 97% +7  67% 9 - 3 B+ +15 A+ +16 A+ D+ A+ D+ -4 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 272 UC Riverside W 97 - 65 98% +14  88% 10 - 3 A +23 B+ +8 C A+ B A+ +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 27 @Iowa L 61 - 74 40% -10  1% 10 - 4 2 - 1 B- +6 C +2 C+ F B+ B- +2 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 23 @Wisconsin L 72 - 80 35% -12  1% 10 - 5 2 - 2 B+ +12 C +1 C- B+ B- A +10 B+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 104 Maryland W 67 - 55 90% +9  80% 11 - 5 3 - 2 B+ +14 D+ -3 D- C A+ A+ +17 A+ F B
 Wed, Jan 14 123 @Penn St. W 71 - 60 83% +3  72% 12 - 5 4 - 2 A- +17 B+ +8 F+ A+ F A +10 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Jan 17 24 @Ohio St. L 74 - 86 37% -9  0% 12 - 6 4 - 3 B- +7 A +14 B+ B A+ F+ -9 B+ F B-
 Tue, Jan 20 8 Purdue W 69 - 67 43% -2  24% 13 - 6 5 - 3 A +20 A- +11 A+ F C+ A- +9 A+ C B-
 Sat, Jan 24 57 Northwestern W 71 - 64 81% +9  90% 14 - 6 6 - 3 B+ +14 B- +4 A C- A- A +10 A- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 86 @Oregon W 73 - 57 72% +11  94% 15 - 6 7 - 3 A+ +26 A +13 D- A+ A+ A+ +15 B+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 44 Indiana L 97 - 98 2OT 72% +0  53% 15 - 7 7 - 4 B +9 B- +4 D A+ A+ B +5 A+ C+ D+
 Tue, Feb 3 101 Rutgers W 98 - 66 90% +14  92% 16 - 7 8 - 4 A+ +34 A+ +35 A+ A+ A+ B- +3 C- B+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 50 Washington W 77 - 73 77% -0  38% 17 - 7 9 - 4 B+ +12 A- +10 C A+ A B- +2 C+ D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 56 - 86 10% -11  0% 17 - 8 9 - 5 C -0 C +1 C- A+ D- D+ -4 F A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 10 @Michigan St. L 59 - 82 26% -17  8% 17 - 9 9 - 6 C -0 C- -1 C+ C C C -1 F C- A
 Sat, Feb 21 7 Illinois W 95 - 94 OT 39% -5  28% 18 - 9 10 - 6 A +20 A+ +21 A+ B- A+ C- -2 A F C
 Tue, Feb 24 75 USC W 81 - 62 84% +6  71% 19 - 9 11 - 6 A+ +24 A+ +15 A+ F A+ A +11 A+ C- A
 Sat, Feb 28 69 @Minnesota L 73 - 78 65% -0  37% 19 - 10 11 - 7 B- +7 A+ +22 A A A+ F -17 F A+ F
 Tue, Mar 3 14 Nebraska W 72 - 52 52% +12  100% 20 - 10 12 - 7 A+ +35 A+ +18 B+ A+ A+ A+ +20 A+ A A+
 Sat, Mar 7 75 @USC W 89 - 68 68% +12  81% 21 - 10 13 - 7 A+ +32 A+ +31 A+ C- A+ B +4 B A+ F
 Thu, Mar 12 101 Rutgers W 72 - 59 84% +7  91% 22 - 10 A- +18 C +1 D+ C A- A+ +18 B A+ A
 Fri, Mar 13 10 Michigan St. W 88 - 84 36% +7  83% 23 - 10 A+ +24 A+ +27 A+ B+ A C- -3 B+ F B-
 Sat, Mar 14 8 Purdue L 73 - 78 32%
Totals 23 - 11 13 - 7 +16 A- +11 C+ A D B +5 A+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B B A+ A 36% 43% 37% D B+ B- B+ B+ A- B- B B- B C+ C B+ B 32% 22% 46% B- B C+ B B- B B- C B-
1.24 63% 43% 41% +7 -1 1.14 34% 1.2 .39 13% .32 76% .25 1.01 56% 39% 30% -3 -1 0.94 29% 0.9 .27 19% .27 73% .24
Nov
3		 Eastern Washington C- B- A- C+ B 33% 28% 40% F C+ C+ F+ D+ A F F F B- F D+ B+ F 38% 15% 48% D F A+ A- A+ A B+ A+ A
1.13 63% 50% 35% +5 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10 1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16
Nov
7		 Pepperdine C+ C A+ F D+ 38% 16% 47% C- D+ A- B A- C A+ B- A+ C+ B+ B A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% D- A F F F C+ B F D
1.18 59% 71% 24% -2 +1 1.00 41% 1.2 .47 16% .49 73% .36 1.00 50% 33% 25% -10 +1 0.83 42% 1.1 .47 19% .26 100% .26
Nov
10		 West Georgia B+ B- A+ A- A- 44% 26% 30% D- B+ A+ F B- D A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D F F 18% 32% 50% B+ F B C+ B A+ B- A+ A+
1.27 63% 55% 38% +8 0 1.19 48% 0.7 .33 17% .48 88% .42 0.95 25% 43% 50% +8 -3 1.11 26% 1.0 .26 26% .23 45% .10
Nov
14		 Arizona B- B- C- A+ A+ 18% 51% 31% F A+ B F D F F B+ F+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 48% 17% 35% F A B D C A+ A C A
0.96 56% 35% 56% +8 -5 1.08 27% 0.4 .12 24% .16 75% .12 1.02 68% 25% 25% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.1 .40 22% .29 73% .21
Nov
18		 Sacramento St. D+ B- C D- C- 42% 24% 34% D- C- C A+ A F A+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 28% 47% B A+ D+ A C+ B+ F A+ F
1.12 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 21% .43 67% .29 0.68 42% 23% 9% -26 -2 0.47 28% 0.9 .26 18% .52 63% .33
Nov
21		 Presbyterian A- A+ F A+ A+ 61% 15% 24% A- A+ D A+ A+ C- A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 26% 33% 41% A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- B- B-
1.28 75% 29% 45% +13 +2 1.33 26% 1.8 .48 16% .43 67% .28 0.68 75% 27% 11% -14 -2 0.70 23% 0.6 .14 25% .30 67% .20
Nov
25		 California C C D- D- C 33% 29% 38% F+ C- B+ B- B+ B- A F C+ C A+ B F D+ 38% 23% 38% C- D+ A A+ A+ D- C- C C-
1.02 56% 31% 29% -6 -1 0.87 33% 1.1 .36 16% .39 57% .22 1.13 45% 33% 55% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .35 77% .27
Dec
3		 Washington A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 20% 39% 41% F A+ B- A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ C- F+ F C+ D+ 34% 24% 42% C- D+ F F F A+ B+ C B+
1.26 78% 44% 47% +15 -4 1.24 30% 1.6 .48 11% .41 71% .29 1.23 71% 50% 33% +7 -1 1.14 52% 1.4 .74 23% .24 75% .18
Dec
6		 Oregon A C+ C A+ A+ 20% 45% 34% F B+ A+ C- A B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A A A+ 27% 16% 57% B+ A+ F D F B- F B F
1.22 56% 40% 47% +7 -4 1.07 47% 0.9 .41 15% .41 86% .35 1.04 33% 29% 28% -13 0 0.75 43% 1.3 .54 18% .48 71% .34
Dec
13		 Gonzaga A A- B- A+ A+ 30% 38% 32% D- A+ D B+ C- A A- A+ A D+ F C F F+ 28% 41% 30% A+ D+ C+ A+ A+ D+ F A F
1.10 64% 39% 47% +8 -3 1.13 20% 1.0 .20 15% .34 79% .27 1.25 85% 42% 43% +13 -3 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 12% .56 63% .35
Dec
17		 Arizona St. A+ F F A+ A+ 31% 24% 44% C- A C D+ C- A+ A- A+ A+ B- F D- A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% B A+ C D C- C- F+ F F
1.27 41% 23% 58% +7 -1 1.15 31% 0.9 .29 11% .35 82% .29 1.09 72% 45% 9% -10 0 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 16% .43 96% .42
Dec
19		 Cal Poly A+ A D- A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ F F 34% 2% 64% C- F C+ C C A+ F F F
1.37 72% 33% 44% +14 +3 1.35 16% 1.8 .28 10% .41 90% .37 1.11 69% 0% 43% +12 +2 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 31% .40 95% .38
Dec
23		 UC Riverside B+ A- C+ D+ B- 33% 33% 33% F C C+ A+ A+ B B A+ A A+ F+ C- A+ C- 45% 28% 28% B C- C A+ A+ A+ F B+ F
1.24 68% 42% 32% +4 -2 1.05 32% 1.5 .47 13% .38 85% .32 0.83 67% 38% 23% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.1 .03 28% .41 70% .29
Jan
3		 Iowa C C- A+ F B- 40% 33% 27% D- C+ A F F B+ F D- F B- F F C- F 16% 26% 58% A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.98 58% 56% 23% +2 -2 1.02 36% 0.3 .12 19% .24 67% .16 1.19 83% 80% 36% +17 -2 1.32 42% 0.5 .19 23% .54 85% .46
Jan
6		 Wisconsin C A+ B F C 32% 38% 30% F+ C- C+ A+ B+ B- A+ F+ A A A+ F B- B 27% 17% 56% A- B+ A+ F B- C- F B F+
1.01 82% 45% 6% -2 -3 0.92 26% 1.2 .31 14% .37 65% .24 1.12 46% 75% 33% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.8 .34 11% .43 74% .32
Jan
10		 Maryland D+ C- C F D- 35% 30% 35% F+ D- F A+ C A+ A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 23% 48% A- A+ F F+ F B B+ A+ A
1.02 56% 36% 25% -6 -2 0.87 15% 1.8 .27 9% .45 67% .30 0.84 50% 18% 9% -25 -1 0.50 45% 1.2 .55 20% .29 60% .17
Jan
14		 Penn St. B+ F F C+ D- 18% 18% 64% D- F+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A D F A+ B+ 36% 17% 48% C+ B+ B+ A+ A+ A C- F F
1.18 43% 29% 36% -2 -1 0.95 42% 1.7 .73 23% .46 100% .46 1.00 67% 71% 20% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.7 .15 20% .35 94% .33
Jan
17		 Ohio St. A A C- A+ A 17% 47% 36% F B+ A D+ B A+ B A- B+ F+ F D- A- B- 23% 34% 43% A+ B+ F F F B- F F F
1.18 67% 36% 42% +5 -5 1.02 36% 0.9 .33 8% .33 79% .26 1.38 82% 50% 30% +7 -3 1.11 48% 1.4 .68 16% .48 84% .40
Jan
20		 Purdue A- A+ A- A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% C+ A+ D+ F F C+ F C- F A- A+ F A A+ 28% 21% 51% C+ A+ C- C C B- A+ F A+
1.18 87% 46% 45% +18 -1 1.35 19% 0.5 .10 17% .06 67% .04 1.15 46% 60% 29% -2 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .48 14% .14 86% .12
Jan
24		 Northwestern B- B B+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% D- A D- A C- A- A+ F C A A B- C+ A 33% 23% 44% C+ A- A A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
1.11 63% 44% 41% +7 -2 1.12 25% 1.1 .28 16% .39 52% .20 1.00 50% 36% 33% -4 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .15 14% .36 85% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Oregon A C+ F C D 29% 41% 31% F D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B A- 31% 12% 57% C+ B+ A- A+ A+ C- A+ A A+
1.19 57% 25% 33% -6 -3 0.84 32% 1.6 .51 6% .40 87% .35 0.93 56% 17% 31% -6 +1 0.92 28% 0.5 .13 16% .17 67% .12
Jan
31		 Indiana B- F C C D+ 33% 38% 29% D- D C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B C A+ B A+ 33% 16% 51% B+ A+ A+ F C+ D+ F D F
1.09 38% 38% 33% -7 -3 0.83 27% 1.8 .50 11% .43 88% .38 1.11 62% 30% 31% -2 0 0.98 19% 1.6 .31 12% .49 82% .40
Feb
3		 Rutgers A+ A- A- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A B- B+ F B- D+ 26% 33% 41% B C- C+ A B+ C D+ A+ A-
1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26 1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20
Feb
7		 Washington A- F D A+ C 34% 34% 32% C- C A+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- C+ F B+ B- 42% 23% 35% D- C+ C- D+ D+ A D- A+ C-
1.17 38% 31% 47% -3 -2 0.91 39% 1.1 .42 11% .49 79% .39 1.11 60% 55% 29% +2 0 1.06 38% 1.2 .45 20% .34 67% .23
Feb
14		 Michigan C A F F C- 28% 35% 37% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ D- B- F D D+ F F C F 51% 13% 36% C F A A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.87 62% 19% 24% -12 -3 0.74 36% 1.4 .50 20% .24 50% .12 1.34 83% 50% 35% +15 +2 1.36 30% 1.1 .35 14% .47 65% .31
Feb
17		 Michigan St. C- F A- B C+ 29% 27% 43% C- C+ B D C C D+ B C- C F B- F F 23% 29% 48% A F A+ F C- A A+ F A
0.90 33% 43% 36% -4 -2 0.90 24% 0.7 .16 17% .22 75% .17 1.25 73% 36% 52% +16 -2 1.29 31% 1.5 .46 21% .21 91% .19
Feb
21		 Illinois A+ B A+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% A A+ C+ B B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ A A+ 30% 7% 63% C- A F D F C F C- F
1.30 61% 50% 46% +11 0 1.24 26% 1.0 .26 7% .28 84% .24 1.29 71% 0% 29% -4 +1 0.96 51% 1.4 .69 12% .49 81% .39
Feb
24		 USC A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 30% 35% D A+ D+ F F A+ D A+ C- A D A+ A- A+ 27% 18% 55% C+ A+ F A- C- A A+ D+ A
1.23 63% 63% 37% +11 -1 1.20 25% 0.5 .13 8% .23 86% .20 0.94 67% 13% 29% -6 0 0.89 43% 0.9 .38 21% .31 75% .23
Feb
28		 Minnesota A+ C A+ A A+ 28% 32% 40% D- A A- A A A+ F A+ F+ F B- F F F 40% 17% 44% C+ F A+ F A+ F A+ F A
1.31 57% 56% 40% +9 -2 1.16 36% 1.1 .39 11% .12 83% .10 1.40 58% 75% 52% +18 +1 1.40 9% 1.5 .14 5% .17 89% .15
Mar
3		 Nebraska A+ A C C+ A- 20% 27% 53% C B+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C+ F A+ A+ 32% 24% 44% A+ A+ D+ A+ A A+ F A+ C+
1.19 70% 36% 33% +1 -2 1.00 32% 1.5 .50 13% .19 60% .11 0.86 62% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.6 .19 21% .38 50% .19
Mar
7		 USC A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% D- A+ A- F C- A+ B F C B B- F A B- 28% 28% 44% A B A+ A A+ F A+ F A
1.42 74% 63% 53% +23 -1 1.44 37% 0.6 .23 10% .32 67% .21 1.09 57% 57% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 10% .28 81% .23
Mar
12		 Rutgers C F B C- D+ 34% 24% 42% D+ D+ B- D- C A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A- C+ B- 27% 37% 35% A- B A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A+
1.05 47% 42% 33% -3 -1 0.94 34% 0.8 .29 15% .39 83% .32 0.86 57% 32% 33% -3 -3 0.90 20% 0.6 .11 19% .18 90% .16
Mar
13		 Michigan St. A+ B A+ A+ A+ 31% 16% 53% B A+ B A B+ A A A A C- A+ A+ F A 44% 19% 38% D- B+ D F F B- D C- D
1.32 60% 75% 50% +19 0 1.41 25% 1.0 .25 12% .32 79% .26 1.26 48% 22% 44% -2 +1 1.00 44% 1.4 .64 18% .40 77% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 99.8% 5.9% 93.9% 6.9 0.2 0.9 6.8 25.3 40.5 20.2 5.4 0.5 0.3 99.7%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 5.9% 93.9% 6.9 0.3 99.7%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.9% 100.0% 5.5 1.5 9.5 34.9 45.4 8.3 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 25.4% 100.0% 6.5 0.4 1.0 10.8 38.4 40.6 8.2 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 68.7% 99.6% 7.2 0.0 0.1 2.9 18.8 43.1 26.4 7.6 0.7