UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +13.4 #37
Expected Predictive Rating +13.6 #38
Pace 63.7 #315
Improvement +0.9 #138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #44 B B- B B D-
Defense #44 B C+ B+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #302 1.31 #40 +0.1 #173
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #34 0.82 #97 +4.2 #24
Three Pointers 37% #278 1.18 #16 +0.7 #150
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #55 +4.9 #55
Freethrows 0.34 #84 75% #95 0.25 #66
Second Chance 33.1% #109 1.13 #75 0.37 #73
Turnovers 14.4% #66
Total Offense +7.5 #44

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #338 1.17 #188 +4.3 #52
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #150 0.77 #207 -0.5 #217
Three Pointers 48% #30 0.85 #19 +0.5 #157
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #54 +4.3 #53
Freethrows 0.29 #157 75% #322 0.22 #186
Second Chance 30.0% #153 1.01 #123 0.30 #131
Turnovers 20.1% #23
Total Defense +5.9 #44

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #331 -1.3% #75
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 12.8% #18 -7.2% #57
Possession Length 17.2 #154 19.3 #362
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #135 0.14 #65
Improvement +0.1 #178 +0.8 #138

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 8.2% 11.1% 3.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.2% 79.2% 64.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 73.0% 79.0% 63.9%
Average Seed 8.6 8.4 9.0
.500 or above 99.4% 99.9% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 88.5% 95.1% 78.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.9% 9.3% 13.4%
First Round68.1% 74.9% 57.6%
Second Round35.1% 39.9% 27.7%
Sweet Sixteen8.9% 10.5% 6.5%
Elite Eight3.3% 4.1% 2.2%
Final Four1.0% 1.2% 0.7%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 10
Quad 25 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 242 Eastern Washington W 80 - 74 96% +7  1 - 0 -1 +1 C D+ A+ -3 F A A-
 Fri, Nov 7 280 Pepperdine W 74 - 63 97% +10  2 - 0 +1 +7 C A- C -5 B F B-
 Mon, Nov 10 329 West Georgia W 83 - 62 99% +11  3 - 0 +8 +9 B- C D +0 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 14 2 Arizona L 65 - 69 16% +1  3 - 1 +20 +7 A+ D F +13 A+ C A+
 Tue, Nov 18 293 Sacramento St. W 79 - 48 98% +19  4 - 1 +20 -0 D+ A+ F +20 A+ A- B
 Fri, Nov 21 268 Presbyterian W 86 - 46 97% +24  5 - 1 +31 +13 A+ A+ C- +20 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 66 California L 72 - 80 68% -2  5 - 2 +0 +3 C- B+ C+ -3 D+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 47 @Washington W 82 - 80 46% +3  6 - 2 1 - 0 +16 +22 A+ A+ A -6 D F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 72 Oregon W 74 - 63 80% +8  7 - 2 2 - 0 +16 +15 B A- C+ +3 A+ D- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 11 Gonzaga L 72 - 82 27% -2  7 - 3 +10 +13 A+ C A+ -4 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 80 Arizona St. W 90 - 77 80% +9  8 - 3 +17 +16 A- C- A+ +1 A+ C- C
 Fri, Dec 19 288 Cal Poly W 108 - 87 98% +7  9 - 3 +11 +18 A+ D+ A -10 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 291 UC Riverside W 97 - 65 98% +14  10 - 3 +22 +10 C- A+ B- +9 C+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 23 @Iowa L 61 - 74 28% -10  10 - 4 2 - 1 +6 +6 B- F+ B+ -1 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 38 @Wisconsin L 72 - 80 39% -12  10 - 5 2 - 2 +8 +4 C B B- +4 B D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 105 Maryland W 67 - 55 87% +9  11 - 5 3 - 2 +13 -0 F+ C A+ +14 A+ F A
 Wed, Jan 14 112 @Penn St. W 71 - 60 75% +3  12 - 5 4 - 2 +17 +11 F A+ F +8 B- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 35 @Ohio St. L 74 - 86 37% -9  12 - 6 4 - 3 +5 +16 B B- A+ -13 B F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 8 Purdue W 69 - 67 35% -2  13 - 6 5 - 3 +19 +15 A+ F C +5 A+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 61 Northwestern W 71 - 64 76% +9  14 - 6 6 - 3 +13 +6 A- C+ B +7 A- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 72 @Oregon W 72 - 69 60%
 Sat, Jan 31 31 Indiana W 74 - 72 56%
 Tue, Feb 3 120 Rutgers W 78 - 64 90%
 Sat, Feb 7 47 Washington W 75 - 70 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 69 - 83 9%
 Tue, Feb 17 6 @Michigan St. L 63 - 73 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 5 Illinois L 72 - 76 34%
 Tue, Feb 24 48 USC W 76 - 71 69%
 Sat, Feb 28 76 @Minnesota W 69 - 66 60%
 Tue, Mar 3 13 Nebraska L 70 - 73 40%
 Sat, Mar 7 48 @USC L 73 - 74 47%
Totals 20 - 11 12 - 8 +13 +7 B B- B +6 B C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 1.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.9 0.9 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 5.8 3.9 0.2 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 9.8 7.9 1.2 0.0 21.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 8.4 8.8 1.6 0.0 19.9 7th
8th 0.2 4.5 8.8 1.9 0.1 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 6.4 2.6 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.2 3.1 3.4 0.3 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.6 8.2 16.0 22.2 22.2 16.2 8.6 2.7 0.6 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 22.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.7% 100.0% 3.9% 96.1% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.6% 99.4% 2.8% 96.6% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 99.4%
13-7 16.2% 96.2% 0.9% 95.3% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 5.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.6 96.2%
12-8 22.2% 88.8% 0.7% 88.1% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.3 6.3 4.1 1.1 2.5 88.7%
11-9 22.2% 75.1% 0.3% 74.8% 9.5 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.5 5.9 3.4 0.0 5.5 75.1%
10-10 16.0% 49.6% 0.3% 49.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.6 4.2 0.1 8.1 49.5%
9-11 8.2% 16.2% 0.1% 16.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.0 6.9 16.1%
8-12 2.6% 2.5% 0.2% 2.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.3%
7-13 0.6% 0.6
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 73.2% 0.8% 72.4% 8.6 26.8 73.0%