Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#170
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#113
Pace71.4#136
Improvement+1.2#87

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#144
First Shot-2.3#243
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#46
Layup/Dunks-6.4#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows+0.9#130
Improvement+0.0#180

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#213
First Shot-3.9#310
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#56
Layups/Dunks+0.9#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#67
Freethrows-7.3#365
Improvement+1.1#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 7.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 48.2% 60.0% 36.8%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 62.7% 50.2%
Conference Champion 5.8% 7.5% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 4.5% 8.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round6.0% 7.1% 5.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Neutral) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 24 @Texas Tech L 77-98 5%     0 - 1 -3.4 +11.4 -14.6
  Sat, Nov 15 125 @Utah L 79-85 25%     0 - 2 -0.3 +4.0 -4.0
  Wed, Nov 19 117 Wyoming W 78-70 45%     1 - 2 +8.1 +4.9 +3.2
  Wed, Nov 26 230 Idaho St. W 84-81 61%     2 - 2 -1.0 +6.2 -7.3
  Fri, Nov 28 168 Idaho L 74-75 49%    
  Tue, Dec 2 46 @Oklahoma St. L 76-91 8%    
  Sat, Dec 6 307 @Texas Southern W 79-75 63%    
  Wed, Dec 17 169 @Oregon St. L 70-73 39%    
  Sun, Dec 21 108 @New Mexico St. L 67-75 23%    
  Fri, Jan 2 132 @Western Kentucky L 77-83 29%    
  Sun, Jan 4 149 @Middle Tennessee L 75-79 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 241 Delaware W 78-72 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 97 Liberty L 73-76 37%    
  Wed, Jan 14 222 @Jacksonville St. L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 215 @Florida International L 75-76 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 163 Kennesaw St. W 84-81 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 132 Western Kentucky L 79-80 50%    
  Wed, Jan 28 239 @Missouri St. W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 194 Louisiana Tech W 70-66 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 234 UTEP W 73-67 71%    
  Sat, Feb 7 194 @Louisiana Tech L 67-69 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 163 @Kennesaw St. L 81-84 38%    
  Wed, Feb 18 149 Middle Tennessee W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 222 Jacksonville St. W 72-66 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 215 Florida International W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 239 Missouri St. W 73-67 71%    
  Thu, Mar 5 241 @Delaware W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Mar 7 97 @Liberty L 70-79 20%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.7 2.1 0.3 10.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 2.5 0.3 9.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 4.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.1 5.8 8.1 10.2 11.3 11.9 11.4 10.4 8.1 6.1 4.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 97.4% 0.5    0.5 0.0 0.0
17-3 86.9% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 61.0% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 36.6% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 13.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 51.7% 51.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 34.4% 34.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 29.1% 29.1% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.4% 17.6% 17.6% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0
15-5 4.1% 20.3% 20.3% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2
14-6 6.1% 15.8% 15.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.1
13-7 8.1% 12.8% 12.8% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.1
12-8 10.4% 7.8% 7.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.6
11-9 11.4% 5.7% 5.7% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.8
10-10 11.9% 2.6% 2.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.6
9-11 11.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
8-12 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.1
7-13 8.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.0
6-14 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
5-15 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.4 94.0 0.0%