Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #141
Expected Predictive Rating +1.5 #143
Pace 75.3 #44
Improvement -2.9 #317

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #126 C B- C C- C
Defense #175 C C C D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #152 1.06 #300 -1.6 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #179 0.81 #106 +0.5 #153
Three Pointers 40% #192 1.12 #47 +1.9 #122
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #162 +0.8 #159
Freethrows 14.9 #300 80% #9 11.9 #226
Second Chance 38.8% #16 0.94 #296 0.36 #86
Turnovers 17.1% #213
Total Offense +1.4 #126

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #234 1.29 #320 -1.3 #227
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #299 0.80 #259 +1.1 #112
Three Pointers 47% #39 0.89 #46 -0.1 #182
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #186 -0.3 #187
Freethrows 19.6 #294 71% #110 13.9 #93
Second Chance 30.7% #176 1.00 #127 0.31 #151
Turnovers 16.9% #154
Total Defense -0.3 #175

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #179 0.7% #231
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.3% #159 -0.1% #180
Possession Length 15.5 #37 17.0 #144
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #32 0.17 #158
Improvement -2.1 #309 -0.8 #235

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 10.6% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.7
.500 or above 68.9% 80.3% 56.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 71.4% 43.9%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.3% 4.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round8.8% 10.6% 6.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Away) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 37 - 67 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 21 @Texas Tech L 77 - 98 6% -8  0 - 1 -2 +12 C A+ F -14 C F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 113 @Utah L 79 - 85 29% -9  0 - 2 +1 +4 C- D- B+ -2 C- B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 96 Wyoming W 78 - 70 45% +3  1 - 2 +10 +3 D+ A+ F +7 C A+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 196 Idaho St. W 84 - 81 63% +1  2 - 2 +1 +4 C A+ D- -4 D A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 194 Idaho W 94 - 68 62% +4  3 - 2 +24 +27 A+ A+ A+ -1 C- C+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 62 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 93 15% -0  3 - 3 +2 +5 A F C- -2 B- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 334 @Texas Southern W 82 - 70 80% +6  4 - 3 +4 -3 F F F +5 A+ C C
 Wed, Dec 17 189 @Oregon St. W 85 - 75 49% +8  5 - 3 +11 +7 C+ A- D- +3 C A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 139 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 87 38% -13  5 - 4 0 - 1 -5 +3 C- D C+ -7 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 150 @Western Kentucky L 91 - 102 41% +1  5 - 5 0 - 2 -8 +12 C A B -18 C- F A-
 Sun, Jan 4 120 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 33% -5  5 - 6 0 - 3 +5 -0 A- C+ F +5 C A+ C
 Thu, Jan 8 271 Delaware W 72 - 60 84% +7  6 - 6 1 - 3 +3 +5 D+ C A+ -1 A- B F
 Sat, Jan 10 95 Liberty L 74 - 82 44% -5  6 - 7 1 - 4 -5 -1 B F F -5 F B+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 203 @Jacksonville St. W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Jan 17 172 @Florida International L 83 - 84 46%
 Wed, Jan 21 159 Kennesaw St. W 87 - 83 65%
 Sat, Jan 24 150 Western Kentucky W 84 - 80 63%
 Wed, Jan 28 192 @Missouri St. L 73 - 74 50%
 Sat, Jan 31 234 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 65 77%
 Wed, Feb 4 257 UTEP W 78 - 68 82%
 Sat, Feb 7 234 @Louisiana Tech W 70 - 68 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 159 @Kennesaw St. L 84 - 86 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 120 Middle Tennessee W 75 - 74 55%
 Sat, Feb 21 203 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 70 73%
 Thu, Feb 26 172 Florida International W 86 - 81 68%
 Sat, Feb 28 192 Missouri St. W 77 - 71 70%
 Thu, Mar 5 271 @Delaware W 74 - 70 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 95 @Liberty L 73 - 81 24%
Totals 15 - 13 10 - 10 +1 +1 C B- C +0 C C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 2.6 2.1 0.7 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.6 4.9 0.9 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.5 5.2 5.8 1.1 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.4 7.0 2.0 0.1 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.4 3.1 0.2 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 4.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 1.0 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.4 7.9 11.4 15.3 17.2 15.5 12.7 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 51.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 33.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 1.2% 29.4% 29.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-6 3.7% 26.2% 26.2% 12.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.7
13-7 7.6% 19.6% 19.6% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 6.1
12-8 12.7% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 10.9
11-9 15.5% 10.2% 10.2% 13.5 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 13.9
10-10 17.2% 6.9% 6.9% 13.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 16.0
9-11 15.3% 4.6% 4.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 14.6
8-12 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 11.0
7-13 7.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.7
6-14 4.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 4.3
5-15 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 13.4 91.2 0.0%