Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#186
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#185
Pace75.6#42
Improvement+2.0#61

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#203
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#225
Layup/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#138
Freethrows-1.3#267
Improvement+1.1#89

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#174
First Shot+5.6#34
After Offensive Rebounds-5.9#364
Layups/Dunks+5.5#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#174
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+0.9#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 9.0% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.0 14.0
.500 or above 43.5% 70.4% 42.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 66.6% 48.9%
Conference Champion 5.1% 11.5% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 4.0% 8.1%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.2% 8.9% 5.0%
Second Round0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 4.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 26 @Nebraska L 66-96 5%     0 - 1 -12.1 -4.8 -4.7
  Thu, Nov 13 35 @LSU L 81-98 6%     0 - 2 -1.2 +6.9 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 24 183 James Madison L 72-80 61%     0 - 3 -12.6 -3.1 -9.7
  Wed, Nov 26 235 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +5.9 -5.9 +11.4
  Wed, Dec 3 181 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 61%     2 - 3 +1.6 +5.4 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 6 291 Jacksonville W 88-65 79%     3 - 3 +12.8 +13.5 -0.1
  Tue, Dec 16 33 @Miami (FL) L 69-87 5%    
  Sat, Dec 20 213 LIU Brooklyn W 80-75 66%    
  Sun, Dec 28 108 Liberty L 73-76 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 132 New Mexico St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 218 UTEP W 73-68 67%    
  Wed, Jan 7 252 @Jacksonville St. W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 250 @Missouri St. W 72-71 52%    
  Wed, Jan 14 160 @Kennesaw St. L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 126 Sam Houston St. L 79-80 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 218 @UTEP L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 132 @New Mexico St. L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 252 Jacksonville St. W 73-67 72%    
  Wed, Feb 4 154 @Middle Tennessee L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 145 @Western Kentucky L 77-83 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 282 Delaware W 77-69 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 179 Louisiana Tech W 71-68 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 108 @Liberty L 70-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 250 Missouri St. W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 126 @Sam Houston St. L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 179 @Louisiana Tech L 68-71 38%    
  Thu, Mar 5 154 Middle Tennessee W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 145 Western Kentucky W 81-80 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.1 7.3 9.6 11.0 11.9 12.4 10.8 9.1 7.0 4.6 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 98.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 93.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-4 77.2% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 47.7% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 20.8% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 42.9% 42.9% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.8% 30.3% 30.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.6% 26.9% 26.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-5 3.0% 21.2% 21.2% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-6 4.6% 15.4% 15.4% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9
13-7 7.0% 11.8% 11.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 6.2
12-8 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.4
11-9 10.8% 5.5% 5.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.2
10-10 12.4% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.0
9-11 11.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.1 0.1 11.7
8-12 11.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-13 9.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.5
6-14 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-17 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-18 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 13.9 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.4 94.7 0.0%