Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.5 #181
Expected Predictive Rating -2.8 #214
Pace 77.4 #19
Improvement -1.2 #242

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #184 C C+ C+ C- C+
Defense #195 C D- B+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #27 1.10 #251 +2.6 #98
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #180 0.75 #178 -0.1 #177
Three Pointers 34% #315 1.02 #181 -3.3 #294
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #199 -0.8 #198
Freethrows 0.31 #161 66% #338 0.21 #220
Second Chance 32.9% #113 1.08 #132 0.35 #104
Turnovers 15.6% #127
Total Offense -0.7 #184

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #264 1.08 #86 +3.1 #82
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #313 0.83 #293 +1.2 #99
Three Pointers 49% #21 1.01 #174 -3.8 #323
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #166 +0.5 #166
Freethrows 0.30 #176 72% #149 0.21 #163
Second Chance 36.4% #347 1.09 #256 0.40 #336
Turnovers 20.0% #26
Total Defense -0.8 #195

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #115 0.8% #238
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.6% #218 -1.7% #152
Possession Length 14.6 #7 17.9 #270
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #25 0.16 #167
Improvement -1.7 #274 +0.5 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.5% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 24.1% 31.2% 11.4%
.500 or above in Conference 26.4% 34.4% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 1.9% 6.8%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round3.5% 4.3% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Home) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 84 - 13
Quad 49 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 13 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 2% -21  0 - 1 -8 -1 D+ A- F -4 F+ D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 41 @LSU L 81 - 98 7% -10  0 - 2 -2 +6 C- B+ B+ -6 B- F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 210 James Madison L 72 - 80 67% +1  0 - 3 -14 -3 D+ D- B- -11 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 250 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 73% +8  1 - 3 +5 -5 D- C+ A +10 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 231 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 71% +6  2 - 3 -1 +3 D+ B C- -5 B- D+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 283 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 80% +18  3 - 3 +13 +13 A+ C- C +0 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 39 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 6% -6  3 - 4 -1 +10 B- B- B- -10 F+ C C
 Sat, Dec 20 224 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 70% +2  4 - 4 +0 +3 B+ C D+ -4 C+ D A
 Sun, Dec 28 95 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 35% +0  4 - 5 0 - 1 -0 +12 C A+ C -12 C F+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 141 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 51% +11  5 - 5 1 - 1 +13 +12 B+ A+ D- +1 F A A+
 Sun, Jan 4 256 UTEP W 76 - 64 74% +2  6 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +4 C A+ C +0 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 196 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 41% -1  6 - 6 2 - 2 -6 -3 C D- D- -4 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 177 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 38% -6  6 - 7 2 - 3 -6 -2 F C+ C+ -4 C- F A
 Wed, Jan 14 156 @Kennesaw St. L 86 - 89 32% +4  6 - 8 2 - 4 +0 +9 D- A+ B- -9 D C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 117 Sam Houston St. L 63 - 76 45% -7  6 - 9 2 - 5 -13 -14 F D- F +2 C B A+
 Thu, Jan 22 256 @UTEP L 77 - 83 53% -5  6 - 10 2 - 6 -8 +2 B D- C -11 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 141 @New Mexico St. W 81 - 78 29% +4  7 - 10 3 - 6 +7 +3 C F A+ +4 A C+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 196 Jacksonville St. W 76 - 72 64%
 Wed, Feb 4 144 @Middle Tennessee L 72 - 78 31%
 Sat, Feb 7 166 @Western Kentucky L 79 - 83 35%
 Thu, Feb 12 297 Delaware W 77 - 68 80%
 Sat, Feb 14 221 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 68 68%
 Thu, Feb 19 95 @Liberty L 72 - 82 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 177 Missouri St. W 76 - 73 60%
 Thu, Feb 26 117 @Sam Houston St. L 78 - 85 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 221 @Louisiana Tech L 70 - 71 46%
 Thu, Mar 5 144 Middle Tennessee W 76 - 75 51%
 Sat, Mar 7 166 Western Kentucky W 82 - 80 57%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 12 -1 -1 C C+ C+ -1 C D- B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.2 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.4 0.8 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.7 2.6 0.1 7.7 5th
6th 0.1 3.3 6.0 0.6 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 7.9 2.5 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 6.9 6.7 0.4 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 5.3 9.6 1.7 0.0 17.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.5 9.0 3.1 0.1 17.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.4 2.1 0.1 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.2 12th
Total 0.1 1.1 4.2 9.6 17.1 21.4 20.1 14.7 7.9 3.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 3.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.7% 17.6% 17.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 3.0% 12.1% 12.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.6
11-9 7.9% 9.7% 9.7% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 7.1
10-10 14.7% 5.1% 5.1% 14.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 14.0
9-11 20.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 19.4
8-12 21.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.1 0.4 20.9
7-13 17.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 16.9
6-14 9.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
5-15 4.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-16 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.6 96.3 0.0%