Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.8 #49
Expected Predictive Rating +15.7 #30
Pace 65.3 #284
Improvement +1.5 #108

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #127 C- B+ B- B C
Defense #11 A B A+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #33 1.18 #155 +4.3 #49
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #115 0.64 #311 +0.0 #182
Three Pointers 31% #344 0.93 #283 -6.4 #341
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #233 -2.1 #230
Freethrows 19.0 #104 76% #67 14.5 #71
Second Chance 35.7% #51 1.10 #117 0.39 #60
Turnovers 15.1% #92
Total Offense +1.4 #127

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #147 0.90 #4 +4.3 #53
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #258 0.67 #68 +2.1 #46
Three Pointers 42% #146 0.96 #110 +0.5 #154
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #20 +6.9 #16
Freethrows 20.4 #315 67% #20 13.8 #97
Second Chance 29.6% #138 0.90 #28 0.27 #56
Turnovers 23.2% #5
Total Defense +9.4 #11

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #176 0.9% #247
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.4% #236 -13.7% #10
Possession Length 15.4 #33 18.4 #331
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #124 0.10 #19
Improvement -1.2 #259 +2.7 #45

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.8% 6.2% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.0% 70.1% 51.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.8% 68.9% 50.3%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 89.9% 69.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four12.7% 12.1% 14.0%
First Round56.8% 63.2% 43.8%
Second Round23.3% 26.7% 16.4%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 5.4% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Home) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 210 - 10
Quad 36 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 246 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 95% +16  1 - 0 +19 +15 C- A+ A+ +8 A+ A A+
 Fri, Nov 7 316 Wagner W 68 - 61 97% +3  2 - 0 -5 -5 F B- F +1 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 281 Fairfield W 82 - 59 96% +10  3 - 0 +13 +4 F A+ A +10 C+ A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 185 Monmouth W 70 - 58 92% +2  4 - 0 +7 +0 F D A+ +8 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 340 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  5 - 0 +9 +1 B- D C +11 A+ B B+
 Mon, Nov 24 24 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 32% +8  6 - 0 +27 +14 B A+ B+ +12 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 47 USC L 81 - 83 48% +2  6 - 1 +9 +14 A+ F A+ -5 C D- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 136 Washington St. W 75 - 61 81% +11  7 - 1 +15 +7 B+ A+ F +9 A+ A A+
 Wed, Dec 3 260 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 95% +9  8 - 1 +7 +8 A F C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 74 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 50% +8  9 - 1 +22 +2 F A A- +18 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 124 Rutgers W 81 - 59 86% +11  10 - 1 +21 +11 A+ A+ F +11 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 68 @Providence W 72 - 67 48% +3  11 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +2 C C+ F +15 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 23 34 Villanova L 56 - 64 49% -8  11 - 2 1 - 1 +3 -6 F F A+ +9 D+ C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 106 @Marquette W 79 - 73 63% -2  12 - 2 2 - 1 +13 +10 F A+ B +3 A+ C- F
 Sun, Jan 4 43 Creighton W 56 - 54 56% -5  13 - 2 3 - 1 +11 -8 F F B+ +20 A+ B+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 100 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 60% -2  14 - 2 4 - 1 +17 +6 F A- B+ +11 A+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 13 4 Connecticut L 64 - 69 24% -7  14 - 3 4 - 2 +13 +6 C A+ D- +6 A+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 58 Butler W 74 - 69 67%
 Tue, Jan 20 15 @St. John's L 66 - 76 18%
 Sat, Jan 24 98 @DePaul W 66 - 63 60%
 Wed, Jan 28 92 Xavier W 74 - 66 77%
 Sat, Jan 31 106 Marquette W 73 - 64 81%
 Wed, Feb 4 34 @Villanova L 62 - 68 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 43 @Creighton L 67 - 71 35%
 Wed, Feb 11 68 Providence W 79 - 73 70%
 Sun, Feb 15 58 @Butler L 71 - 72 45%
 Wed, Feb 18 98 DePaul W 69 - 60 79%
 Sat, Feb 21 100 Georgetown W 74 - 65 79%
 Sat, Feb 28 4 @Connecticut L 59 - 72 11%
 Tue, Mar 3 92 @Xavier W 71 - 69 56%
 Fri, Mar 6 15 St. John's L 69 - 73 37%
Totals 21 - 10 11 - 9 +11 +1 C- B+ B- +9 A B A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.9 6.5 5.3 1.3 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.7 9.9 6.6 1.4 0.1 26.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 9.1 11.0 5.7 1.2 0.1 30.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.8 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.6 0.3 4.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.8 9.7 15.2 19.4 18.7 15.1 9.3 4.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 58.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1
16-4 16.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 5.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.0% 98.8% 9.9% 88.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 98.6%
14-6 9.3% 96.1% 7.1% 89.0% 7.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.4 95.8%
13-7 15.1% 89.8% 4.5% 85.3% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.4 4.5 2.9 0.6 1.5 89.3%
12-8 18.7% 79.4% 3.2% 76.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 5.2 2.3 0.0 3.9 78.7%
11-9 19.4% 62.1% 2.4% 59.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.9 3.7 0.0 7.4 61.1%
10-10 15.2% 44.2% 1.6% 42.6% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.3 0.0 8.5 43.3%
9-11 9.7% 22.1% 1.2% 20.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 0.1 7.5 21.2%
8-12 4.8% 6.5% 1.0% 5.4% 10.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 4.5 5.5%
7-13 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.6%
6-14 0.5% 0.5
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 64.0% 3.4% 60.6% 9.0 36.0 62.8%