Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#76
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#33
Pace62.5#344
Improvement+2.6#22

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#117
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#132
Layup/Dunks+3.7#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#319
Freethrows+1.4#103
Improvement+0.9#92

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#38
First Shot+4.9#48
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#144
Layups/Dunks+6.1#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement+1.7#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.0% 2.2% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.9% 24.7% 13.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.6% 23.4% 13.0%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 71.1% 73.0% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 33.3% 34.0% 23.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 12.7% 21.2%
First Four6.6% 6.7% 5.0%
First Round20.2% 20.9% 11.2%
Second Round8.1% 8.4% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.7% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 13
Quad 35 - 112 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 295 St. Peter's W 77-50 94%     1 - 0 +16.6 +13.0 +8.0
  Fri, Nov 7 292 Wagner W 68-61 94%     2 - 0 -3.3 -3.1 +0.4
  Mon, Nov 10 288 Fairfield W 82-59 94%     3 - 0 +13.1 +5.2 +8.4
  Thu, Nov 13 201 Monmouth W 70-58 89%     4 - 0 +6.3 -1.1 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 18 345 New Haven W 68-45 97%     5 - 0 +8.5 +0.2 +11.4
  Mon, Nov 24 29 North Carolina St. W 85-74 28%     6 - 0 +24.5 +10.6 +13.3
  Tue, Nov 25 31 USC L 81-83 29%     6 - 1 +11.4 +14.2 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 26 157 Washington St. W 75-61 77%     7 - 1 +13.7 +2.7 +11.8
  Wed, Dec 3 244 Central Connecticut St. W 71-56 93%    
  Sat, Dec 6 54 @Kansas St. L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Dec 13 120 Rutgers W 69-61 76%    
  Fri, Dec 19 75 @Providence L 74-77 38%    
  Tue, Dec 23 41 Villanova L 64-65 45%    
  Tue, Dec 30 73 @Marquette L 69-72 38%    
  Sun, Jan 4 45 Creighton L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 79 @Georgetown L 67-70 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 8 Connecticut L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 47 Butler L 70-71 49%    
  Tue, Jan 20 15 @St. John's L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 109 @DePaul W 68-67 53%    
  Wed, Jan 28 85 Xavier W 70-66 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 73 Marquette W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 41 @Villanova L 61-68 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 45 @Creighton L 64-71 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 75 Providence W 77-74 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 47 @Butler L 67-73 30%    
  Wed, Feb 18 109 DePaul W 71-64 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 79 Georgetown W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 8 @Connecticut L 59-74 10%    
  Tue, Mar 3 85 @Xavier L 67-69 43%    
  Fri, Mar 6 15 St. John's L 69-76 27%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.4 2.8 1.0 0.1 9.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.3 0.7 0.1 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 5.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.7 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 4.5 1.0 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.7 3.9 0.9 0.1 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 4.1 3.1 0.6 0.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.2 8.0 10.5 12.0 13.8 12.6 10.9 8.4 5.9 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 71.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
16-4 61.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
14-6 6.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.0% 99.3% 8.9% 90.4% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 2.4% 95.8% 8.1% 87.7% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 95.4%
13-7 4.0% 90.0% 6.3% 83.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 89.3%
12-8 5.9% 77.6% 3.6% 74.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.3 76.8%
11-9 8.4% 58.9% 3.3% 55.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.0 3.5 57.5%
10-10 10.9% 40.5% 2.4% 38.2% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.1 6.5 39.1%
9-11 12.6% 14.3% 0.9% 13.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.1 10.8 13.5%
8-12 13.8% 4.1% 0.6% 3.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 13.2 3.5%
7-13 12.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.2%
6-14 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 10.5
5-15 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 8.0
4-16 5.2% 5.2
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 23.9% 1.6% 22.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.3 4.2 6.1 5.9 0.4 0.0 76.1 22.6%