SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #278
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 #283
Pace 65.2 #288
Improvement -2.4 #299

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #329 D- C- D D+ F
Defense #178 B- D+ C- D- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #333 0.98 #342 -6.9 #351
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% #15 0.70 #250 +3.4 #41
Three Pointers 36% #277 1.03 #161 -2.0 #257
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #325 -5.6 #327
Freethrows 16.8 #222 68% #300 11.5 #254
Second Chance 29.8% #218 1.01 #227 0.30 #221
Turnovers 18.3% #281
Total Offense -6.3 #329

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #272 1.04 #44 +4.1 #56
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #168 0.86 #320 -1.2 #272
Three Pointers 44% #100 0.97 #120 -0.5 #203
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #103 +2.4 #103
Freethrows 19.5 #287 76% #313 14.8 #48
Second Chance 35.1% #321 1.03 #167 0.36 #285
Turnovers 16.0% #209
Total Defense -0.4 #178

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.9% #351 -0.6% #121
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.9% #286 -4.1% #104
Possession Length 18.4 #292 17.6 #236
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #346 0.20 #286
Improvement -1.0 #239 -1.4 #274

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.7% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 47.0% 66.4% 39.5%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 73.5% 46.2%
Conference Champion 3.4% 8.4% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 0.9%
First Four2.5% 3.1% 2.3%
First Round4.6% 7.3% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 413 - 1114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 332 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 54% +3  1 - 0 +9 +0 D+ A F +8 A A F
 Mon, Nov 10 207 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 46% -6  1 - 1 -15 -20 F F F +6 A+ D- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 165 @Drake W 61 - 59 20% +5  2 - 1 +4 -2 C- F C+ +7 A+ F D
 Mon, Nov 17 39 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 3% -12  2 - 2 -9 +7 C- A+ C -17 D+ C F
 Fri, Nov 21 342 @Air Force L 63 - 77 56% -8  2 - 3 -22 -10 F D F -13 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 306 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 57% +2  3 - 3 +7 +10 C- C- A+ -2 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 350 @North Florida W 72 - 63 63% +1  4 - 3 -1 -4 D- D- C +4 A C C
 Sat, Dec 6 250 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 56% -8  4 - 4 -18 -3 D- F A+ -15 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 311 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 47% -0  4 - 5 0 - 1 -10 -1 B+ F D- -9 F F A-
 Mon, Dec 22 357 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 69% -3  5 - 5 1 - 1 -7 -10 F A+ F +3 C- B- B
 Thu, Jan 1 343 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 77% +6  6 - 5 2 - 1 -10 -15 F B+ F +5 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 304 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 67% +2  6 - 6 2 - 2 -12 +1 C C C+ -13 F B- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 252 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 56% +2  7 - 6 3 - 2 -4 -9 F D F +5 A+ F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 283 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 62% +6  7 - 7 3 - 3 -13 +0 F A F -14 C D+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 225 @Tennessee Martin L 63 - 69 28%
 Sat, Jan 17 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 67 - 73 28%
 Thu, Jan 22 226 Tennessee St. L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Jan 24 314 Tennessee Tech W 71 - 66 69%
 Thu, Jan 29 304 @Morehead St. L 67 - 68 45%
 Sat, Jan 31 343 @Southern Indiana W 69 - 67 56%
 Tue, Feb 3 252 @Lindenwood L 69 - 73 34%
 Sat, Feb 7 283 @Arkansas Little Rock L 66 - 69 40%
 Thu, Feb 12 224 Southeast Missouri St. L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 225 Tennessee Martin L 66 - 67 49%
 Thu, Feb 19 314 @Tennessee Tech L 68 - 69 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 226 @Tennessee St. L 68 - 74 29%
 Thu, Feb 26 357 Western Illinois W 69 - 58 84%
 Sat, Feb 28 311 Eastern Illinois W 66 - 61 68%
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 10 -7 -6 D- C- D +0 B- D+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 2.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.3 0.2 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.6 4.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.0 6.3 1.2 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.5 3.0 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 8.1 4.3 0.3 16.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.1 4.6 0.6 15.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.5 8.7 13.9 17.0 16.9 15.2 11.0 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 97.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-5 89.2% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 46.7% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-7 11.3% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-5 1.0% 39.7% 39.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6
14-6 3.0% 24.3% 24.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.3
13-7 6.4% 20.0% 20.0% 15.8 0.2 1.1 5.1
12-8 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.1 1.2 9.7
11-9 15.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.1 0.8 14.3
10-10 16.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 16.4
9-11 17.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 16.6
8-12 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.8
7-13 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
6-14 4.5% 4.5
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.8 94.2 0.0%