Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#324
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#314
Pace62.5#341
Improvement-0.7#228

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#340
First Shot-4.9#306
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#314
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#269
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-0.2#205

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#261
First Shot-2.7#263
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#191
Layups/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-0.5#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.3% 66.1% 84.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 80 - 12
Quad 31 - 102 - 22
Quad 44 - 55 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 85 @Belmont L 63-79 5%     0 - 1 -6.4 -2.8 -4.5
  Sat, Nov 8 193 Austin Peay L 54-74 33%     0 - 2 -25.0 -19.8 -4.8
  Tue, Nov 11 213 LIU Brooklyn L 72-76 37%     0 - 3 -10.3 -2.8 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 106 Miami (OH) L 61-76 16%     0 - 4 -14.1 -9.9 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 19 264 Alabama St. W 66-64 46%     1 - 4 -6.6 -9.4 +2.9
  Fri, Nov 21 233 SIU Edwardsville W 77-63 40%     2 - 4 +7.0 +4.6 +2.7
  Sun, Nov 23 355 IU Indianapolis W 98-85 76%     3 - 4 -4.1 +4.2 -9.8
  Wed, Nov 26 156 Northern Colorado L 53-71 26%     3 - 5 -20.8 -14.1 -9.4
  Sat, Nov 29 278 South Dakota L 63-80 37%     3 - 6 -23.2 -14.0 -9.5
  Wed, Dec 3 129 Pacific L 65-80 20%     3 - 7 -15.9 +2.0 -20.1
  Sun, Dec 7 204 @Navy L 56-61 18%     3 - 8 -4.8 -9.2 +3.9
  Wed, Dec 17 52 @San Diego St. L 58-81 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 97 Wyoming L 63-75 13%    
  Sat, Jan 3 141 @UNLV L 64-78 9%    
  Tue, Jan 6 43 Utah St. L 60-78 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 74 New Mexico L 65-79 9%    
  Tue, Jan 13 188 @San Jose St. L 61-72 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 99 Nevada L 60-72 14%    
  Tue, Jan 20 69 @Colorado St. L 57-78 3%    
  Sat, Jan 24 46 @Boise St. L 53-77 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 184 Fresno St. L 67-72 32%    
  Tue, Feb 3 91 @Grand Canyon L 57-75 5%    
  Sat, Feb 7 52 San Diego St. L 61-78 6%    
  Tue, Feb 10 69 Colorado St. L 60-75 9%    
  Sat, Feb 14 184 @Fresno St. L 64-75 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 74 @New Mexico L 62-82 3%    
  Sat, Feb 21 141 UNLV L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Feb 24 188 San Jose St. L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 97 @Wyoming L 60-78 6%    
  Tue, Mar 3 91 Grand Canyon L 60-72 13%    
  Sat, Mar 7 99 @Nevada L 57-75 6%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.2 2.8 6.1 5.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 17.9 11th
12th 13.2 23.7 21.6 11.8 3.4 0.6 0.1 74.3 12th
Total 13.2 23.9 24.4 18.1 10.8 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.4% 0.4
7-13 1.0% 1.0
6-14 2.5% 2.5
5-15 5.5% 5.5
4-16 10.8% 10.8
3-17 18.1% 18.1
2-18 24.4% 24.4
1-19 23.9% 23.9
0-20 13.2% 13.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.7%