St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.8 #246
Expected Predictive Rating -3.3 #221
Pace 64.3 #309
Improvement +4.5 #17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #300 F C+ C B- C
Defense #167 C D A- F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #263 0.96 #350 -5.4 #338
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.69 #261 -1.1 #230
Three Pointers 45% #100 0.83 #345 -1.9 #252
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #359 -8.4 #358
Freethrows 17.9 #155 79% #24 14.0 #98
Second Chance 34.1% #84 1.03 #198 0.35 #109
Turnovers 17.0% #211
Total Offense -4.8 #300

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #38 1.16 #176 -3.5 #295
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #270 0.70 #110 +1.5 #79
Three Pointers 38% #264 0.95 #101 +2.8 #81
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #151 +0.9 #152
Freethrows 24.3 #362 74% #267 18.1 #5
Second Chance 36.6% #343 1.03 #164 0.38 #302
Turnovers 19.9% #35
Total Defense +0.0 #167

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #199 1.7% #326
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -16.3% #360 -3.5% #116
Possession Length 18.9 #332 16.6 #71
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #98 0.20 #272
Improvement +0.5 #152 +4.1 #12

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 8.1% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.3
.500 or above 62.8% 82.4% 57.1%
.500 or above in Conference 88.3% 96.9% 85.8%
Conference Champion 6.2% 16.3% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round5.1% 7.7% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 49 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 5% -16  0 - 1 -13 -4 F C C- -14 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 351 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 85% +7  1 - 1 -6 +7 C+ C+ C+ -13 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  1 - 2 -3 -5 F B D +1 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 271 @Delaware L 70 - 81 44% -14  1 - 3 -14 +0 C+ D+ A- -15 F B- B
 Sat, Nov 22 284 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 69% +2  2 - 3 -8 -12 F B F +4 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 204 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 53% -7  2 - 4 -32 -11 F A- D- -23 F F F
 Fri, Dec 5 337 Canisius W 69 - 57 81% +6  3 - 4 1 - 0 -2 -3 F A D- +2 A+ F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 355 Niagara W 71 - 43 86% +13  4 - 4 2 - 0 +11 +1 F A- C+ +15 A+ D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 100 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 12% -7  4 - 5 +0 -3 F F C +3 C- D+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 281 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 46% -1  5 - 5 3 - 0 +0 -4 F D- D+ +4 A- F B+
 Fri, Jan 2 129 Marist W 69 - 59 36% +3  6 - 5 4 - 0 +9 +2 F A+ B+ +7 A+ A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 9 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 50% +7  6 - 6 4 - 1 -10 -6 F D F -4 A+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 11 241 Merrimack W 76 - 63 61% +9  7 - 6 5 - 1 +5 +11 A A+ F -4 A F A+
 Wed, Jan 14 156 @Quinnipiac L 66 - 74 23%
 Sat, Jan 17 348 Rider W 69 - 58 84%
 Mon, Jan 19 198 Iona W 71 - 70 52%
 Sat, Jan 24 241 @Merrimack L 63 - 66 38%
 Fri, Jan 30 297 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 64 71%
 Sun, Feb 1 348 @Rider W 66 - 61 68%
 Thu, Feb 5 312 @Manhattan W 73 - 72 54%
 Sat, Feb 7 177 Siena L 65 - 66 49%
 Fri, Feb 13 285 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 72 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 281 Fairfield W 73 - 68 67%
 Fri, Feb 20 198 @Iona L 68 - 74 31%
 Sun, Feb 22 177 @Siena L 63 - 69 28%
 Fri, Feb 27 312 Manhattan W 76 - 69 74%
 Sun, Mar 1 129 @Marist L 58 - 68 19%
Totals 14 - 13 12 - 8 -5 -5 F C+ C +0 C D A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.1 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.9 5.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 6.3 7.5 1.8 0.1 17.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 6.3 7.8 2.4 0.1 18.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 5.7 7.3 2.2 0.1 16.3 6th
7th 0.5 2.8 4.3 1.4 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4 7.0 12.3 16.5 17.8 17.0 12.7 7.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.0% 0.3    0.3
17-3 92.7% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 63.0% 2.1    1.0 0.9 0.2
15-5 27.8% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1
14-6 5.2% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 2.7 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.3% 25.5% 25.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.2% 16.7% 16.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
16-4 3.3% 14.1% 14.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.8
15-5 7.5% 13.7% 13.7% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 6.5
14-6 12.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 11.5
13-7 17.0% 6.7% 6.7% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 15.8
12-8 17.8% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 17.0
11-9 16.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.1 0.3 16.1
10-10 12.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.0
9-11 7.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.0
8-12 3.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.4
7-13 1.0% 1.0
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.3 94.5 0.0%