St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -4.2 238
Results Rating -3.3 221
Consistency 0.15 153
Pace 64.2 297
Improvement +2.3 97

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 269 D- C+ D+ B- C-
Defense C 189 C+ D- B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 273 D- 50% 349 -4.6 334
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 149 C- 37% 202 +0.5 145
Three Pointers 42% 158 D 30% 316 -1.7 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 245 D- -5.3 344
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 339
Second Chance B 34.6% 63 D+ 0.97 275 C+ 0.34 116
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 142
Other Turnovers D- 8.9% 338
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 265
Freethrows C+ 0.32 149 B- 75% 106 B- 0.24 121
Total Offense D+ -3.8 269

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 243 F+ 15.1% 347
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 98 C 4.9% 179
Three Pointers C 85% 173 B+ 0.1% 10
Total C 55% 187 D+ 6.5% 281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 61 C+ 56% 132 +2.0 244
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 241 B- 35% 81 -1.3 82
Three Pointers 38% 262 C+ 33% 150 -1.8 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 276 C+ -1.6 115
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 142
Second Chance F+ 35.7% 345 D+ 1.09 274 D- 0.39 335
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.9% 15
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 281
Turnovers B 19.4% 43
Freethrows F 0.41 363 D 75% 315 F 0.31 364
Total Defense C -0.5 189

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 261 C+ 12.3% 118
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 200 D 2.7% 306
Three Pointers D 89% 332 B- 1.3% 83
Total D+ 59% 261 C+ 6.3% 127

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 327 17.0 121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 68 0.19 258
Consistency 0.09 7 0.13 215
Improvement +0.7 152 +1.6 102

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 255 237 210
Results Rating Rank 242 223 190
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 14% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 0% 4%
First Round11% 14% 10%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Marist (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 414 - 616 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 54 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 6% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -5 F C D+ F -13 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 339 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 84% +7  95% 1 - 1 C- -5 B- +5 B C+ C+ F -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- D- B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 268 @Delaware L 70 - 81 46% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -5 C+ F B F -10 F B- B+
 Sat, Nov 22 306 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 76% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -10 F -15 F B+ F+ B +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 256 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 65% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -34 F -14 F C+ D- F -22 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 343 Canisius W 69 - 57 85% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A- C- B- +3 A+ F+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 335 Niagara W 71 - 43 83% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C -0 D A C A+ +18 A+ D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 82 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 10% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- F+ C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 245 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 40% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +2 D -5 F D- C A- +7 A F+ B
 Fri, Jan 2 183 Marist W 69 - 59 52% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 B- +5 D+ -3 F A+ B- A- +8 A+ A- B-
 Fri, Jan 9 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 50% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -9 F+ -8 F D F+ C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 172 Merrimack W 76 - 63 49% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +10 A A F+ C+ +1 A F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 211 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 34% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B F D+ B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D -6 D- B+ C C+ +0 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 242 Iona W 77 - 63 63% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +1 B D D- B+ +6 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 172 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 27% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 D- -8 F B- F C+ +1 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 286 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 71% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C- -2 D+ -3 D C+ C- C+ +2 B D A-
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 77% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 F+ A+ B F -18 F A C-
 Thu, Feb 5 324 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 62% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -2 B +7 F B+ A+ F+ -9 C+ F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 201 Siena W 70 - 65 55% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C -0 D- -6 C A- F+ B+ +6 B+ A D
 Fri, Feb 13 284 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 49% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D -11 D+ -2 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 245 Fairfield W 83 - 74 63% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +1 B- +4 A D- F C- -2 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 242 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 40% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C F A- +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 201 @Siena L 63 - 72 32% -10  0% 14 - 11 12 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 F C- B D -6 C- F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 324 Manhattan W 75 - 65 81% +13  98% 15 - 11 13 - 6 C- -3 C- -2 C+ C- F C -1 A+ F D+
 Sun, Mar 1 183 @Marist L 61 - 67 30%
Totals 15 - 12 13 - 7 -4 D+ -4 B D- C- C +0 D B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- D D- 36% 40% 42% C- D- B D+ C+ D+ C+ B- B- C C+ B- C+ C+ 43% 19% 38% D+ C+ F+ D+ D- B F D F
1.03 50% 37% 30% -5 0 0.91 35% 1.0 .34 18% .32 75% .24 1.09 56% 35% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.1 .39 19% .41 75% .24
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C D F F D F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B- D+ C+ C+ A B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F F D+ F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D+ F A D- B- D- B+ A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A C+ 28% 19% 53% C+ C+ F C- F B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ B- B+ F A- F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ C+ D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -15 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D- B- A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C+ F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A- C- A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B F+ C F A- F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C F A+ B+ D 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% B+ A+ F B- D A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F F+ C A+ F+ A+ B+ C- A+ A B 55% 10% 36% F C+ D D+ D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F D- C F A F+ A- A+ B+ A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A B F F+ B F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ D- F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D A+ C+ A+ A- B- F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's F+ F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D F+ A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D+ A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A C+ A F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A F F+ F A- F D+ F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D+ A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A- F+
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C D+ F F C+ B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack D- F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B- F A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 56% 7% 37% F C+ D+ F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's D+ D+ F B D 33% 24% 43% C- D A- F C+ C- B- C B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D A- F B F
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B D+ D+ D+ F D- F+ F F 30% 37% 33% B F B A+ A C- F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B+ A+ A- A A F+ C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C+ F F+ F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D- A+ B F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B+ A- F+ A+ F A+ B+ C D A+ A- 44% 22% 34% F+ B+ A+ C A D F C- F+
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ B- D+ C+ F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C F B- F F+ D+ F D+ F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield B- C- C A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ C- C A+ D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D- F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C F F A F+ A- C B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28
Feb
22		 Siena D+ F F C- F 40% 23% 38% C F D+ C+ C- B B- B B D D+ A+ C- C 57% 27% 16% F C- F F F B- F F F
1.03 47% 27% 33% -7 0 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 15% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 36% 1.2 .44 18% .67 82% .56
Feb
27		 Manhattan C- B+ D+ A B- 35% 24% 41% D C+ A F C- F C+ F D+ C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% D- A+ F F F D+ F C- F
1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16 1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 70.0 30.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 70.0 30.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 30.0% 14.0% 14.0% 15.2 0.3 2.7 1.2 25.8
13-7 70.0% 11.6% 11.6% 15.8 0.0 1.9 6.2 61.9
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 15.6 87.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.2% 100.0% 15.2 6.9 63.9 29.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.1%
Lose Out 26.7%