St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#295
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#261
Pace64.6#305
Improvement+0.4#142

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#317
First Shot-5.2#324
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-5.6#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#99
Freethrows-1.3#259
Improvement-1.8#329

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#238
First Shot-3.1#283
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#129
Layups/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
Freethrows-3.5#338
Improvement+2.2#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.4% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 29.9% 37.5% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 42.0% 46.6% 34.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 6.0% 11.2%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round2.4% 2.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 62.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 76 @Seton Hall L 50-77 6%     0 - 1 -16.4 -7.6 -13.2
  Sat, Nov 8 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 83%     1 - 1 -7.4 +5.2 -13.1
  Wed, Nov 12 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 4%     1 - 2 -3.9 -2.1 -2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 241 @Delaware L 70-81 29%     1 - 3 -12.6 -1.1 -12.0
  Sat, Nov 22 309 Umass Lowell W 68-66 64%     2 - 3 -9.0 -12.5 +3.4
  Sat, Nov 29 299 Dartmouth W 73-70 63%    
  Fri, Dec 5 348 Canisius W 69-62 75%    
  Sun, Dec 7 333 Niagara W 68-62 71%    
  Sat, Dec 13 79 @Georgetown L 61-79 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 288 @Fairfield L 69-72 38%    
  Fri, Jan 2 154 Marist L 60-64 35%    
  Fri, Jan 9 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 67-70 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 255 Merrimack W 66-65 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 193 @Quinnipiac L 68-76 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 343 Rider W 71-64 74%    
  Mon, Jan 19 167 Iona L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 255 @Merrimack L 63-68 33%    
  Fri, Jan 30 297 Mount St. Mary's W 70-67 61%    
  Sun, Feb 1 343 @Rider W 68-67 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 318 @Manhattan L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 177 Siena L 66-69 40%    
  Fri, Feb 13 261 @Sacred Heart L 72-77 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 288 Fairfield W 72-69 59%    
  Fri, Feb 20 167 @Iona L 70-79 21%    
  Sun, Feb 22 177 @Siena L 63-72 22%    
  Fri, Feb 27 318 Manhattan W 76-72 64%    
  Sun, Mar 1 154 @Marist L 57-67 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 7.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.5 4.3 0.9 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.9 1.5 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.6 2.0 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.5 2.0 0.3 8.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.4 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.8 6.1 8.6 11.2 11.8 13.1 11.6 9.7 7.6 5.5 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 86.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 58.7% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 17.1% 17.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 16.2% 16.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.0% 18.5% 18.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-5 2.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
14-6 3.6% 13.8% 13.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 3.1
13-7 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
12-8 7.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.2
11-9 9.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 9.3
10-10 11.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
9-11 13.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.0
8-12 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-14 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-15 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 97.1 0.0%