Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -11.6 337
Results Rating -12.6 342
Consistency 0.15 156
Pace 65.5 263
Improvement +2.1 102

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 F+ D F+ F C+
Defense C 172 C C F B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 161 F+ 49% 352 -3.1 291
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 208 C- 36% 230 -0.8 225
Three Pointers 42% 164 F+ 29% 347 -2.8 273
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 170 F+ -6.8 357
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 350
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 259 D- 0.89 345 D 0.24 323
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 347
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 327
Turnovers F+ 20.5% 349
Freethrows F 0.23 363 D 69% 284 F 0.16 362
Total Offense F -11.5 361

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 323 F 16.5% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 305 C+ 4.1% 114
Three Pointers B 91% 37 F 2.3% 361
Total D+ 50% 291 F 8.2% 355

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 33 B- 55% 107 +2.2 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 151 B- 35% 87 -0.3 169
Three Pointers 34% 342 D+ 36% 267 -2.4 74
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 228 C+ -0.8 149
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 159
Second Chance C+ 28.5% 104 D+ 1.09 267 C 0.31 176
Turnovers from Steals F 5.9% 357
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 292
Turnovers F 12.3% 360
Freethrows C+ 0.29 128 B 70% 54 B- 0.20 99
Total Defense C -0.1 172

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 54 C+ 12.2% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 160 C+ 5.8% 110
Three Pointers A- 75% 14 D+ 0.4% 298
Total B 48% 37 B- 6.8% 90

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 318 17.0 118
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 299 0.17 180
Consistency 0.11 57 0.12 192
Improvement +0.5 164 +1.6 104

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 344 335 320
Results Rating Rank 349 340 325
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 8% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 8% 5%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 45.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 89 @DePaul L 64 - 72 4% -8  6% 0 - 1 C +1 F+ -9 D- C C- A +11 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 131 @Rhode Island L 57 - 80 7% -12  11% 0 - 2 F -18 F -15 F C- F C- -3 C B- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 245 @Fairfield L 71 - 73 OT 18% -2  20% 0 - 3 C- -4 F -13 F+ F B A +10 A A F
 Sat, Nov 15 319 Loyola Maryland L 63 - 74 44% -3  12% 0 - 4 F -21 F -14 D+ F F D- -7 F D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 8 @Iowa St. L 57 - 96 0% -18  0% 0 - 5 F+ -15 D -6 B+ F F F+ -9 D- A F
 Fri, Nov 21 323 Lafayette W 74 - 70 57% +4  73% 1 - 5 D -9 F+ -8 B- F F C -1 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 26 306 Umass Lowell L 64 - 75 50% -5  3% 1 - 6 F -23 F -16 F D- C D- -7 C+ C F
 Sun, Nov 30 211 @Quinnipiac L 62 - 76 14% -8  17% 1 - 7 D- -14 F -10 F A F D+ -4 F A+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 354 @Bryant L 65 - 77 50% -4  33% 1 - 8 F -24 D- -7 D F+ C- F -18 F F F
 Wed, Dec 17 346 @New Hampshire L 58 - 59 44% -1  23% 1 - 9 D -11 F -18 F F F A- +7 A- B- F
 Mon, Dec 22 74 @Syracuse L 48 - 77 3% -12  0% 1 - 10 F -18 F -16 F B- F D -6 C C+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 329 New Haven L 55 - 70 58% -5  42% 1 - 11 0 - 1 F -29 F -21 F C- D F+ -9 F+ D+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 320 @Wagner W 69 - 60 33% +2  53% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +2 C +0 C- D C+ B- +3 B- C- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 302 @Central Connecticut St. L 69 - 76 27% -6  0% 2 - 12 1 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 C+ F F D -6 F+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 347 Chicago St. W 85 - 82 OT 67% +3  65% 3 - 12 2 - 2 D- -13 C- -2 C+ B- F+ F -11 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 289 @Mercyhurst W 62 - 57 OT 25% -2  11% 4 - 12 3 - 2 C +0 F -14 F+ D F+ A+ +15 B+ A+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 61 - 63 52% +3  70% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -14 F -20 F F F B+ +5 A+ C- F
 Fri, Jan 23 218 LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 66 30% +3  66% 4 - 14 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 C- C F C -1 B+ A F
 Mon, Jan 26 302 Central Connecticut St. W 61 - 59 49% -3  8% 5 - 14 4 - 4 D -9 F -18 D F F A- +8 D+ A- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 339 Fairleigh Dickinson W 58 - 57 62% +1  51% 6 - 14 5 - 4 D- -14 F -15 F C+ D+ C+ +2 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 293 @Le Moyne W 65 - 54 26% +5  87% 7 - 14 6 - 4 B- +6 F -13 F+ F B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 339 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 58 - 74 39% -10  0% 7 - 15 6 - 5 F -25 F -16 F D F+ F -10 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 54 - 61 15% +1  55% 7 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F -12 F D D- B +4 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 12 347 @Chicago St. L 55 - 68 44% -14  0% 7 - 17 6 - 7 F -23 F -11 B F F F -15 F F C
 Sat, Feb 14 320 Wagner L 57 - 68 56% -4  30% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -21 F B+ F D+ -4 A- F+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 329 @New Haven L 51 - 64 36% -6  1% 7 - 19 6 - 9 F -21 F -22 F F+ C+ C +0 C- C D-
 Sat, Feb 21 293 Le Moyne W 77 - 68 47% +5  66% 8 - 19 7 - 9 C- -2 D+ -3 D+ D- A+ C+ +1 B+ C C
 Thu, Feb 26 355 St. Francis (PA) W 103 - 77 73% +17  94% 9 - 19 8 - 9 B- +8 A +13 B A+ A+ D -6 B F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 289 Mercyhurst L 63 - 64 46%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 10 -12 F -12 A+ F+ C+ C +0 F+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F+ C- F+ F+ 39% 36% 42% C+ F+ D+ D- D F+ F D F C B- B- D+ C+ 44% 21% 34% C- C C+ D+ C F C+ B B-
0.92 49% 36% 29% -7 0 0.89 27% 0.9 .24 20% .23 69% .16 1.09 55% 35% 36% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .31 12% .29 70% .16
Nov
7		 DePaul F+ F A- C- D- 35% 25% 40% C D- F A+ C C- D- F F A D A+ A+ A+ 42% 17% 41% D A+ A+ D A F F A+ F
0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15 0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30
Nov
11		 Rhode Island F F F F F 28% 14% 58% C- F C D C- F B+ C+ B+ C- D F A+ C+ 55% 14% 31% F+ C B- B- B- F+ C- F D-
0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30 1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30
Nov
14		 Fairfield F F+ F A F+ 49% 16% 35% C F+ F F F B F C- F A A+ A+ B+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C A A+ F A F F D- F
0.92 48% 10% 41% -6 +1 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 13% .16 73% .12 0.94 40% 25% 30% -12 0 0.78 17% 1.1 .19 8% .34 75% .25
Nov
15		 Loyola Maryland F C A+ F D 46% 15% 38% B D+ C F F F F C F D- B- F F+ F+ 55% 7% 38% F F B+ F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06 1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05
Nov
17		 Iowa St. D A+ B A- A+ 14% 39% 47% F B+ D- F F F F F F F+ F+ F C- F+ 42% 23% 36% B- D- A B A F F B+ F
0.81 71% 40% 38% +5 -4 1.04 19% 0.5 .09 28% .04 50% .02 1.36 73% 67% 37% +14 0 1.30 30% 1.0 .30 10% .47 63% .30
Nov
21		 Lafayette F+ B A- C B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- B- F F F C+ F D C A- A D B 54% 17% 29% D B- F A+ C+ C+ F B- F
1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18 0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32
Nov
26		 Umass Lowell F F F D- F 34% 20% 46% D F C- F D- C F B F D- D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 13% 45% D- C+ C C+ C F F A+ C
0.93 37% 27% 31% -12 0 0.79 31% 0.9 .27 13% .15 78% .12 1.09 59% 29% 29% -4 +1 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 10% .41 48% .19
Nov
30		 Quinnipiac F F B- F+ F 26% 26% 48% F+ F B A- A F F F F D+ D- A F F 51% 22% 27% D- F A A+ A+ D A F B
0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07 1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
2		 Bryant D- D B D+ D- 57% 14% 29% B D C- F F+ C- F B F F F D B- F 43% 10% 47% D F F F F F D- A+ C+
1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13 1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19
Dec
17		 New Hampshire F C+ F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F C F F F B+ A A A- A+ A F A 47% 15% 38% D+ A- B C B- F D+ B- C-
0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32 0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19
Dec
22		 Syracuse F F F D F 32% 23% 45% D+ F C+ B B- F A- F B- D C- A+ F C+ 45% 14% 41% D C C- B+ C+ F F A+ D+
0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23 1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25
Jan
2		 New Haven F F F F F 55% 10% 35% A- F C- C- C- D D- C- D- F+ C A F F 36% 23% 42% C F+ A F D+ F A+ B A
0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17 1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10
Jan
4		 Wagner C F A+ A C- 47% 17% 36% C C- C- F+ D C+ C- F D- B- A B F B 52% 24% 24% D- B- C D+ C- D- A+ F B-
1.13 45% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 13% .36 63% .23 0.98 42% 33% 42% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 16% .18 100% .18
Jan
8		 Central Connecticut St. D- D- A+ A- C 55% 6% 39% A- C+ C F F F D- F F D D- D+ F F 28% 40% 33% B+ F+ B- F F B+ F F+ F
1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13 1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38
Jan
10		 Chicago St. C- A+ F B- C+ 33% 10% 58% C C+ A F+ B- F+ B- D- C F B+ D+ F D 39% 35% 26% D+ D A+ F F F D- F+ F+
1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27 1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25
Jan
17		 Mercyhurst F C F F F 53% 13% 33% B F+ F+ B- D F+ A- F D A+ C A+ A+ B+ 41% 43% 16% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ D C A+ B
0.89 58% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.89 25% 1.1 .28 21% .44 54% .24 0.82 57% 29% 22% -7 -3 0.82 28% 0.3 .09 13% .21 54% .12
Jan
19		 St. Francis (PA) F F+ F D+ F 50% 5% 45% A- F F+ F F F A B A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 25% 29% D+ A+ B F C- F F A F
0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34 0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28
Jan
23		 LIU Brooklyn F+ C+ A+ F D 55% 9% 36% A C- C- B- C F F F F C B+ B+ C B+ 31% 29% 40% A- B+ A+ F A F C D- D+
0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12 1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20
Jan
26		 Central Connecticut St. F A+ A F D- 47% 9% 44% B D D+ F F F A+ F A+ A- B C F C- 47% 31% 22% F+ D+ A+ C A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30 0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04
Jan
29		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% D F B- D+ C+ D+ F B+ D- C+ A+ C- A+ A 36% 34% 30% A A D+ F F F A+ F A+
0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20 0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Le Moyne F F A+ D- F 45% 13% 42% B F+ F+ F F B+ D+ B C- A+ A+ F+ A A+ 43% 19% 38% C A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22 0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13
Feb
5		 Fairleigh Dickinson F D- D- F F 26% 35% 40% F F D- C+ D F+ A+ F A F D+ C C- F+ 37% 27% 37% B- D- D+ F F F D+ F F+
0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31 1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25
Feb
7		 LIU Brooklyn F D F F F 43% 17% 39% C F C+ F D D- D- A+ B- B B- D- F C- 57% 28% 15% D+ D+ D A+ A+ C- B+ F+ B-
0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25 1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
12		 Chicago St. F C- A+ A+ B 39% 5% 55% B B F F F F F D F F F F B- F 35% 35% 30% C- F F+ F F C C F D+
0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19 1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21
Feb
14		 Wagner F F C- F F 36% 16% 48% D+ F D+ A+ B+ F F B F D+ C- A+ D+ B+ 36% 36% 28% A A- F B F+ F D F D-
0.87 28% 38% 25% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 21% .25 77% .19 1.03 56% 17% 36% -8 -2 0.82 45% 0.9 .43 14% .32 78% .25
Feb
19		 New Haven F F B+ D- F 42% 18% 40% C F F C F+ C+ F+ F F C C+ F+ A+ C+ 55% 18% 27% F C- F A+ C D- B D C+
0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09 0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16
Feb
21		 Le Moyne D+ B- D+ F D+ 43% 19% 39% C+ D+ D+ F+ D- A+ B+ D+ B C+ A F A- B+ 33% 18% 49% B- B+ C+ C C C F B F+
1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26 0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28
Feb
26		 St. Francis (PA) A B F A+ B 46% 7% 47% B+ B C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F+ D A- A D+ A- 54% 21% 25% F B D F F F+ F A+ C
1.41 69% 25% 44% +12 +2 1.30 34% 1.7 .59 11% .25 81% .20 1.05 48% 25% 36% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.5 .44 15% .35 50% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 45.8 45.8 4th
5th 23.4 23.4 5th
6th 27.1 27.1 6th
7th 3.7 3.7 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 54.2 45.8 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 45.8% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 3.6 42.2
8-8 54.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 2.6 51.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 16.0 93.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.6%
Lose Out 26.5%