Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#99
Pace66.1#272
Improvement-3.1#354

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#273
First Shot-7.5#356
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#21
Layup/Dunks-6.0#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows-1.0#241
Improvement-0.7#253

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#214
First Shot+2.4#96
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#346
Layups/Dunks+0.3#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#35
Freethrows-4.0#349
Improvement-2.4#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 13.1% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 66.1% 74.6% 50.2%
.500 or above in Conference 67.2% 72.2% 58.1%
Conference Champion 15.0% 17.6% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.2% 6.3%
First Four1.7% 1.6% 1.8%
First Round10.4% 12.3% 6.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 65.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 32 - 33 - 5
Quad 413 - 916 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 129 @UNLV W 86-81 16%     1 - 0 +10.1 +3.0 +6.4
  Wed, Nov 12 112 @Bradley W 78-67 14%     2 - 0 +17.3 +4.7 +12.1
  Tue, Nov 18 55 @Florida St. L 73-87 6%     2 - 1 -1.3 +2.6 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 22 332 Prairie View W 69-68 68%     3 - 1 -9.2 -7.2 -2.0
  Sun, Nov 23 237 Southern Miss L 60-70 46%     3 - 2 -14.4 -1.7 -15.3
  Tue, Dec 2 282 Charleston Southern W 74-70 65%    
  Sun, Dec 7 266 Alabama St. W 73-70 62%    
  Wed, Dec 10 142 @Southern Illinois L 66-75 19%    
  Thu, Dec 18 224 @Tennessee St. L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Dec 20 322 @Tennessee Tech W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 353 Western Illinois W 72-62 82%    
  Sat, Jan 3 329 Eastern Illinois W 70-63 74%    
  Thu, Jan 8 310 @Morehead St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 314 @Southern Indiana L 72-73 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 204 SIU Edwardsville W 67-66 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 306 Lindenwood W 74-69 69%    
  Tue, Jan 20 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 248 Arkansas Little Rock W 69-67 59%    
  Thu, Jan 29 329 @Eastern Illinois W 67-66 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 353 @Western Illinois W 69-65 63%    
  Thu, Feb 5 314 Southern Indiana W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 310 Morehead St. W 73-67 68%    
  Thu, Feb 12 306 @Lindenwood L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-69 31%    
  Tue, Feb 17 211 Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 248 @Arkansas Little Rock L 66-70 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 322 Tennessee Tech W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 224 Tennessee St. W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.1 3.2 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 15.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 4.4 4.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.7 1.3 0.2 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.4 0.8 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.7 3.9 0.9 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.7 0.9 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.2 1.1 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.3 0.9 0.1 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.0 6.1 8.3 9.4 11.3 12.1 11.1 9.9 8.5 6.7 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
17-3 97.4% 2.2    2.0 0.2
16-4 82.5% 3.2    2.5 0.6 0.0
15-5 61.3% 4.1    2.3 1.6 0.2
14-6 33.5% 2.8    0.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 10.0% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.0% 15.0 9.3 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 55.4% 55.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
18-2 1.1% 50.2% 50.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5
17-3 2.3% 43.3% 43.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3
16-4 3.9% 31.1% 31.1% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 2.7
15-5 6.7% 32.5% 32.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.5 4.5
14-6 8.5% 24.4% 24.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 6.4
13-7 9.9% 16.8% 16.8% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 8.2
12-8 11.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.0
11-9 12.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.1 0.6 11.5
10-10 11.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.0
9-11 9.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.2
8-12 8.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.2
7-13 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
6-14 4.0% 4.0
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.5 4.3 88.8 0.0%