Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.5 204
Results Rating -5.4 250
Consistency 0.16 219
Pace 68.4 185
Improvement +0.0 188

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 227 C+ C- D D B-
Defense C 185 C- C+ B- D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 293 B- 61% 96 -1.0 223
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 320 D+ 36% 264 -3.3 329
Three Pointers 52% 15 C 33% 207 +5.4 32
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 88 C +0.4 155
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 140
Second Chance C- 29.3% 210 C 1.02 197 C- 0.30 208
Opponents' Steals D 10.7% 298
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 323
Turnovers D 19.4% 328
Freethrows D 0.27 306 C- 72% 213 D 0.19 299
Total Offense C- -2.1 227

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 40% 301 B 8.1% 39
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 292 D- 8.4% 336
Three Pointers C+ 87% 122 F 2.3% 360
Total C+ 57% 147 C+ 5.1% 124

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 90 D+ 62% 295 +3.9 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 124 B- 35% 70 -0.1 182
Three Pointers 36% 324 D+ 36% 264 -1.8 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 179 D+ +1.9 253
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 246
Second Chance C- 31.0% 215 B- 0.98 99 C+ 0.30 156
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.4% 110
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 90
Turnovers B- 18.4% 80
Freethrows D+ 0.34 287 D+ 74% 297 D 0.25 298
Total Defense C -0.4 185

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 107 C 10.6% 186
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 95 B 7.5% 53
Three Pointers C 83% 155 D+ 0.5% 244
Total B- 51% 92 C+ 6.3% 125

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 276 16.6 51
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 167 0.23 340
Consistency 0.16 362 0.12 162
Improvement +0.3 176 -0.2 201

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 228 206 181
Results Rating Rank 273 248 222
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 7% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 16.0
.500 or above 11% 16% 6%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 0% 5%
First Round6% 7% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 84 - 9
Quad 410 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 101 @Pittsburgh L 59 - 74 17% -3  35% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F+ -9 C F D+ C+ +1 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 61 @Grand Canyon W 90 - 81 10% +3  65% 1 - 1 A +21 A+ +21 A+ A A+ C -1 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 133 @St. Bonaventure L 80 - 84 25% -1  26% 1 - 2 C +1 B- +4 C- A+ D+ D+ -3 F C A
 Wed, Nov 19 164 @Toledo L 75 - 92 31% -8  6% 1 - 3 D- -14 D- -6 B- B- F D- -7 F+ C B
 Sun, Nov 23 298 UNC Greensboro L 62 - 68 71% +9  93% 1 - 4 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 C B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 261 Georgia Southern W 67 - 61 62% +4  83% 2 - 4 C +0 F -11 C- B F A+ +11 B A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 347 Chicago St. W 87 - 64 89% +21  97% 3 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 A F+ C+ B- +3 B C+ C+
 Wed, Dec 3 162 Wright St. W 69 - 68 53% +0  46% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C- -2 F+ -8 D A+ F B+ +6 D+ B+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 326 @IU Indianapolis W 78 - 55 69% +13  96% 5 - 4 2 - 0 A- +16 C +1 B C- F A+ +16 A+ A B-
 Wed, Dec 17 161 @Robert Morris L 77 - 80 OT 31% +3  76% 5 - 5 2 - 1 C -0 B- +5 A+ A F D -6 C- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 20 300 South Carolina Upstate W 74 - 65 80% +8  97% 6 - 5 C- -2 D -5 B- F D- B- +3 A- C- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 254 Detroit Mercy L 68 - 73 71% -7  20% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D- -13 F -12 F F+ B C -1 F+ A A-
 Thu, Jan 1 163 Oakland L 83 - 85 53% +4  70% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -5 B+ +8 D A A F -13 F C- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 191 @Northern Kentucky L 79 - 94 36% -15  1% 6 - 8 2 - 4 D- -14 D+ -3 F D- A+ F+ -9 F F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 259 Purdue Fort Wayne L 69 - 71 72% -0  36% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D -10 D- -7 F A+ F D+ -3 C- C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 162 @Wright St. L 83 - 93 31% -5  6% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D+ -7 A +14 C A+ B- F -22 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 316 @Cleveland St. L 78 - 80 66% -1  33% 6 - 11 2 - 7 D -9 D -5 F+ F B D+ -4 F C- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 227 Green Bay W 88 - 81 66% +8  93% 7 - 11 3 - 7 C +0 A- +11 A B+ C- F -10 F B B-
 Sat, Jan 24 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64 - 65 73% +1  47% 7 - 12 3 - 8 D -10 F -15 F+ F F B +5 C B- C+
 Fri, Jan 30 326 IU Indianapolis W 85 - 76 85% -1  28% 8 - 12 4 - 8 C- -4 D+ -2 A- F F C- -2 C F B+
 Wed, Feb 4 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 90 - 61 50% +15  95% 9 - 12 5 - 8 A+ +27 A+ +22 A+ C C+ A- +7 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 161 Robert Morris L 66 - 72 53% -2  30% 9 - 13 5 - 9 D -9 D- -6 B- D- D D+ -3 B- F B
 Thu, Feb 12 163 @Oakland W 86 - 82 31% +3  76% 10 - 13 6 - 9 B- +7 B+ +9 B- C+ D- C- -2 F B- A
 Sun, Feb 15 254 @Detroit Mercy L 70 - 76 48% -8  0% 10 - 14 6 - 10 D+ -8 F+ -9 D+ F D- C+ +1 C+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 316 Cleveland St. W 106 - 82 83% +14  98% 11 - 14 7 - 10 B +11 A+ +19 A+ A C- D- -8 D- A- F
 Sun, Feb 22 191 Northern Kentucky W 64 - 58 59% +10  99% 12 - 14 8 - 10 C +1 F -16 D- F F A+ +17 A+ D A+
 Wed, Feb 25 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65 - 78 51% -6  0% 12 - 15 8 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D F D- D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 227 @Green Bay L 71 - 73 43%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 12 -2 C- -2 D C B- C +0 C C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- D+ C C 35% 25% 52% B- C+ C- C C- D D C- D C D+ B- D+ D+ 42% 22% 36% C C- C- B- C+ B- D+ D+ D
1.06 61% 36% 33% 0 +1 1.04 29% 1.0 .30 19% .27 72% .19 1.09 62% 35% 36% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .30 18% .34 74% .20
Nov
3		 Pittsburgh F+ A+ F D+ C 29% 8% 63% B- C D F F D+ F F F C+ C+ A+ D+ B+ 45% 21% 33% C+ B F D+ F A+ F F F
0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09 1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46
Nov
7		 Grand Canyon A+ C+ C+ A A 42% 10% 48% A A+ C A+ A A+ A+ A A+ C F A+ A+ B 53% 28% 19% C+ B F C- F C+ D A C
1.24 55% 40% 39% +3 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 12% .47 80% .38 1.12 79% 20% 0% -4 0 0.94 44% 1.1 .50 18% .37 68% .25
Nov
15		 St. Bonaventure B- B+ F D- D+ 40% 8% 52% A- C- C+ A+ A+ D+ B- F C- D+ F F+ F F 49% 26% 26% D F D B C A F A- D-
1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21 1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25
Nov
19		 Toledo D- D+ D A C+ 38% 6% 56% B B- C- A- B- F C- D- D+ D- F A+ F D- 56% 19% 26% F F+ F A C B F F F
1.01 56% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 30% .23 67% .15 1.23 77% 10% 43% +9 +1 1.22 36% 0.8 .29 17% .42 85% .36
Nov
23		 UNC Greensboro F D- D F F 23% 30% 47% F F D- F F F F C+ F+ A F D+ A+ D 22% 45% 33% A+ C B- A+ B+ A+ D C+ D+
0.86 54% 35% 30% -5 -2 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 18% .19 73% .13 0.94 82% 41% 25% +2 -4 0.98 24% 0.8 .19 24% .40 68% .27
Nov
24		 Georgia Southern F D+ A+ C- D+ 39% 10% 51% C+ C- C B+ B F C D C- A+ B F A+ B+ 41% 12% 47% C- B B- A+ A+ A- B+ F C
0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27 0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24
Nov
28		 Chicago St. C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 7% 69% C- A F A- F+ C+ F D- F B- D+ B+ A- C+ 27% 51% 22% A+ B D A C+ C+ D F D-
1.24 77% 75% 42% +16 +1 1.35 23% 1.3 .29 18% .24 71% .17 0.91 57% 31% 27% -6 -5 0.80 32% 0.8 .24 17% .29 82% .24
Dec
3		 Wright St. F+ C- F+ F F+ 52% 14% 34% A- D A+ A- A+ F A F C+ B+ D+ F A+ C- 56% 19% 26% F+ D+ A+ F B+ B F A+ D
1.00 57% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.95 44% 1.2 .53 25% .39 60% .23 0.99 63% 63% 18% +1 +2 1.07 17% 1.6 .27 19% .50 54% .27
Dec
6		 IU Indianapolis C B+ D+ A B 50% 13% 37% C+ B A- F C- F D F F A+ C A- A+ A+ 33% 28% 39% B A+ D+ A+ A B- F B- F
1.17 70% 33% 41% +9 +2 1.24 45% 0.9 .41 24% .35 61% .22 0.82 60% 31% 17% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.5 .16 18% .35 68% .24
Dec
17		 Robert Morris B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 5% 59% B+ A+ A- A A F A+ C+ A+ D A+ F+ F C 46% 21% 33% D C- F A+ C+ D- F F F
1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38 1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28
Dec
20		 South Carolina Upstate D B- F+ B B- 39% 15% 46% C B- D+ F F D- A+ D+ A+ B- C+ A+ A- A- 36% 34% 30% A A- A- F C- B- F F+ F
1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35 0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33
Dec
29		 Detroit Mercy F C F F+ F 22% 13% 65% D F C F F+ B D+ D+ D+ C C+ D+ F F 24% 42% 33% A- F+ C- A+ A A- F B+ F
0.98 58% 14% 29% -8 0 0.85 33% 0.7 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.05 55% 42% 47% +7 -4 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 20% .45 72% .32
Jan
1		 Oakland B+ A+ F D- D- 31% 12% 58% B- D B+ A A A A+ B- A+ F F A+ F F 41% 24% 34% B F B- F C- C- F C+ F
1.26 75% 0% 30% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .49 11% .34 75% .25 1.29 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .36 14% .60 74% .44
Jan
4		 Northern Kentucky D+ F+ D- D- F 35% 15% 50% C F F+ C+ D- A+ C F D- F+ B D+ F F 54% 10% 37% F F C F F+ C+ F F F
1.01 48% 33% 30% -7 0 0.88 25% 1.2 .29 13% .34 57% .19 1.20 54% 40% 47% +5 +3 1.17 30% 1.3 .40 18% .50 78% .39
Jan
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- F F F F 44% 6% 50% B+ F B+ A+ A+ F C B C+ D+ B- A F D 28% 23% 49% A C- D- A C+ B- F F F
1.04 48% 0% 25% -14 +2 0.79 41% 1.5 .62 24% .28 79% .22 1.07 54% 27% 43% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 17% .40 77% .31
Jan
15		 Wright St. A F A+ B C- 39% 10% 51% B C B A+ A+ B- D- A- D+ F F A+ F D- 46% 42% 12% A+ C- F F F F F F F
1.27 47% 60% 36% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.6 .58 15% .25 79% .20 1.42 74% 24% 50% +4 -2 1.06 52% 1.3 .69 11% .48 86% .41
Jan
17		 Cleveland St. D A+ A+ F F 29% 7% 64% B- F+ A- F F B D- A+ C- D+ D+ B- F F 44% 9% 47% F F A F C- A- F C- F
1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23 1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55
Jan
22		 Green Bay A- C+ A+ A A+ 18% 11% 71% C A B- B+ B+ C- B+ A A F F+ D F F 53% 18% 29% D F D- A+ B B- C F D
1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32 1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29
Jan
24		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F D- A F F 47% 4% 49% A- F+ B- F F F B+ C+ B+ B B F A- B 56% 8% 36% F C A- D- B- C+ C- C- C-
0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29 0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19
Jan
30		 IU Indianapolis D+ A A+ A- A 35% 7% 58% C A- D- F F F A+ A+ A+ C- C+ A+ F C 39% 24% 37% C- C C+ F F B+ C+ F D+
1.16 73% 67% 40% +13 +2 1.30 29% 0.9 .25 23% .52 86% .44 1.04 57% 23% 40% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.7 .43 19% .17 90% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% B+ A+ F A+ C C+ F F F A- F D+ B+ D 45% 20% 35% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- B+ D B
1.42 76% 50% 58% +27 +2 1.61 21% 1.8 .37 19% .12 67% .08 0.96 68% 40% 29% +3 0 1.08 10% 0.0 .00 14% .20 73% .15
Feb
7		 Robert Morris D- A+ F F C 50% 6% 44% A B- D- D D- D F C- F D+ D+ A B B- 38% 23% 40% C B- F F F B A+ F B+
1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11 1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12
Feb
12		 Oakland B+ A+ A+ C B 25% 13% 62% C B- A- D C+ D- A A+ A+ C- C- F F F 33% 19% 48% B- F A- F B- A B+ A A
1.23 77% 57% 33% +7 0 1.15 42% 0.9 .36 19% .32 100% .32 1.17 59% 70% 40% +11 0 1.23 24% 1.3 .31 19% .26 67% .18
Feb
15		 Detroit Mercy F+ B- B- F D- 54% 9% 37% A- D+ F B- F D- F D F C+ C+ A F B- 44% 33% 22% F+ C+ A C+ B+ F F+ C F+
0.98 62% 40% 20% -5 +3 0.96 17% 1.2 .20 17% .27 69% .18 1.06 54% 28% 42% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.9 .22 10% .34 77% .26
Feb
18		 Cleveland St. A+ B F A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A C- A+ C A+ D- F F C F+ 16% 9% 75% C+ D- B- A+ A- F A+ B A+
1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44 1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13
Feb
22		 Northern Kentucky F A- F F F+ 41% 16% 43% C+ D- F+ F F F A+ D- A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% F+ A+ F B D A+ D+ A+ B-
0.87 67% 14% 26% -5 +1 0.93 25% 0.9 .22 24% .46 65% .30 0.78 32% 33% 23% -20 +2 0.67 37% 0.9 .35 24% .32 56% .18
Feb
25		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F A+ F F D- 37% 8% 55% B- D F F+ F D- F B F D+ D+ F F F 42% 17% 40% F+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ B- F C-
0.95 74% 25% 25% -3 +2 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 19% .16 78% .13 1.14 59% 56% 43% +9 +1 1.21 18% 0.8 .14 16% .24 79% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 56.8 43.2 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 56.8 43.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 43.2% 7.5% 7.5% 15.0 0.1 2.8 0.3 39.9
8-12 56.8% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.1 3.6 53.2
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.5 93.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.2% 100.0% 15.0 4.5 86.2 9.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.9%
Lose Out 21.6%