Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#189
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#207
Pace72.0#122
Improvement-2.3#337

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#227
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#239
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#43
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement-4.0#363

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#163
Layups/Dunks-5.4#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#12
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement+1.7#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 12.3% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 70.9% 74.2% 48.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.2% 78.6% 67.4%
Conference Champion 14.5% 15.4% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.1% 2.4%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round11.4% 12.0% 6.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 64 - 8
Quad 413 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 99 @Pittsburgh L 59-74 18%     0 - 1 -7.0 -5.9 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 7 98 @Grand Canyon W 90-81 17%     1 - 1 +17.2 +20.4 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 15 119 @St. Bonaventure L 80-84 23%     1 - 2 +2.0 +10.9 -8.9
  Wed, Nov 19 173 @Toledo L 75-92 36%     1 - 3 -15.2 -4.8 -9.4
  Sun, Nov 23 287 UNC Greensboro L 62-68 69%     1 - 4 -12.8 -16.0 +3.4
  Mon, Nov 24 246 Georgia Southern W 67-61 61%     2 - 4 +1.2 -6.2 +7.6
  Fri, Nov 28 340 Chicago St. W 81-69 87%    
  Wed, Dec 3 146 Wright St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Dec 6 355 @IU Indianapolis W 94-86 77%    
  Wed, Dec 17 185 @Robert Morris L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Dec 20 316 South Carolina Upstate W 81-71 81%    
  Mon, Dec 29 328 Detroit Mercy W 82-71 83%    
  Thu, Jan 1 138 Oakland L 79-80 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 198 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 41%    
  Wed, Jan 7 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-74 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 146 @Wright St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 303 @Cleveland St. W 82-79 60%    
  Thu, Jan 22 267 Green Bay W 75-68 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-74 65%    
  Fri, Jan 30 355 IU Indianapolis W 97-83 89%    
  Wed, Feb 4 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 185 Robert Morris W 76-73 60%    
  Thu, Feb 12 138 @Oakland L 77-83 29%    
  Sun, Feb 15 328 @Detroit Mercy W 79-74 66%    
  Wed, Feb 18 303 Cleveland St. W 85-76 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 198 Northern Kentucky W 76-72 63%    
  Wed, Feb 25 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 267 @Green Bay W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 14.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.9 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.8 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.4 2.1 0.3 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.3 1.7 0.2 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.6 1.2 0.2 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.2 6.3 8.2 10.7 12.2 13.0 12.0 10.3 8.5 5.4 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
18-2 99.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
17-3 92.2% 2.9    2.4 0.5 0.0
16-4 70.8% 3.9    2.5 1.2 0.1
15-5 44.5% 3.8    1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 17.0% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.5% 14.5 8.9 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 68.0% 68.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 40.6% 40.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.4% 34.4% 34.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.1% 33.2% 33.2% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.1
16-4 5.4% 27.2% 27.2% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0
15-5 8.5% 23.1% 23.1% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 6.5
14-6 10.3% 18.3% 18.3% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 8.4
13-7 12.0% 12.6% 12.6% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 10.5
12-8 13.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 11.7
11-9 12.2% 7.0% 7.0% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 11.4
10-10 10.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.2 0.4 10.2
9-11 8.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.9
8-12 6.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.2
7-13 4.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-14 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.9 1.9 88.3 0.0%