UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#281
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#300
Pace68.8#205
Improvement+0.0#186

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#228
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks-4.7#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#247
Freethrows+3.6#26
Improvement+1.9#55

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#321
First Shot-3.4#294
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#257
Layups/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#328
Freethrows+1.2#109
Improvement-1.9#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.2% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.3% 11.9% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.2% 44.3% 34.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 5.4% 8.5%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round2.0% 2.4% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 67 @Kansas St. L 64-93 6%     0 - 1 -17.7 -12.6 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 8 192 Elon L 90-92 OT 44%     0 - 2 -6.9 +5.3 -12.1
  Wed, Nov 12 29 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     0 - 3 -28.9 -5.9 -20.4
  Sat, Nov 15 193 Austin Peay L 63-69 44%     0 - 4 -11.0 -12.2 +1.4
  Thu, Nov 20 191 @Queens L 94-101 23%     0 - 5 -5.9 +19.7 -25.8
  Sun, Nov 23 166 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     1 - 5 +5.4 -5.3 +10.5
  Tue, Nov 25 282 Delaware L 60-73 50%     1 - 6 -19.5 -10.1 -10.7
  Wed, Nov 26 106 Miami (OH) L 71-82 17%     1 - 7 -7.1 -3.1 -3.7
  Tue, Dec 2 227 UNC Asheville L 77-82 39%     1 - 8 -8.7 +7.4 -16.5
  Sat, Dec 6 287 @East Carolina W 82-78 40%     2 - 8 +0.1 +9.7 -9.6
  Tue, Dec 16 311 N.C. A&T W 78-73 69%    
  Thu, Jan 1 225 Chattanooga W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 232 Samford W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 244 @Wofford L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 123 @East Tennessee St. L 68-80 12%    
  Thu, Jan 15 361 The Citadel W 78-67 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 169 Mercer L 77-80 41%    
  Wed, Jan 21 330 @VMI W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 148 Furman L 72-76 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 169 @Mercer L 74-83 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 361 @The Citadel W 75-70 68%    
  Wed, Feb 4 294 Western Carolina W 78-74 64%    
  Sun, Feb 8 148 @Furman L 69-79 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 330 VMI W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 244 Wofford W 75-74 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 294 @Western Carolina L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 East Tennessee St. L 71-77 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 225 @Chattanooga L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 232 @Samford L 73-78 32%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 4.3 0.7 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 4.1 7.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.1 6.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.7 5.1 8.4 12.2 14.3 14.6 13.4 11.3 7.8 4.7 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 73.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.1% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 19.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 13.9% 13.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.4% 10.9% 10.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
12-6 4.7% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.1 0.2 4.3
11-7 7.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 7.3
10-8 11.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.8
9-9 13.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.9
8-10 14.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 14.3
7-11 14.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.1
6-12 12.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 97.1 0.0%