Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
145 Arkansas St. 10.2%   18 - 11 11 - 7 +1.0      +1.1 137 -0.1 173 78.6 9 +0.4 151 -2.1 7
150 Troy 34.3%   14   18 - 11 12 - 6 +0.4      +0.7 146 -0.3 183 64.7 280 +1.2 140 -0.5 1
171 Appalachian St. 13.9%   17 - 12 11 - 7 -0.9      -2.2 231 +1.2 137 60.1 358 -1.4 184 -1.7 6
185 South Alabama 5.9%   19 - 10 11 - 7 -1.8      -1.9 221 +0.1 166 63.1 326 +0.4 152 -1.4 4
186 Marshall 22.7%   18 - 12 11 - 7 -1.8      +2.5 106 -4.4 303 72.3 81 -0.2 160 -1.1 3
204 James Madison 2.8%   16 - 14 9 - 9 -2.4      -0.4 172 -2.0 233 64.3 294 -2.3 201 -3.7 8
226 Southern Miss 1.3%   14 - 15 9 - 9 -3.7      -4.2 282 +0.5 154 71.3 103 -3.2 219 -4.0 9
227 Coastal Carolina 6.1%   18 - 12 11 - 7 -3.8      -4.7 299 +0.9 143 67.7 201 -0.8 171 -1.7 5
233 Texas St. 2.3%   17 - 12 11 - 7 -4.0      -3.7 268 -0.3 182 65.9 251 -2.4 204 -1.0 2
241 Old Dominion 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 -4.4      -2.3 234 -2.2 240 71.6 99 -6.5 268 -6.8 13
260 Georgia Southern 0.5%   14 - 15 8 - 10 -5.6      -1.2 195 -4.4 304 75.2 29 -4.7 241 -5.2 10
299 Georgia St. 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 11 -8.2      -6.3 328 -1.8 224 69.5 145 -8.5 303 -6.2 11
303 Louisiana 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 11 -8.4      -6.0 322 -2.3 246 60.2 357 -8.2 296 -6.6 12
354 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   2 - 27 1 - 17 -14.6      -5.8 319 -8.8 360 74.2 41 -20.6 360 -19.6 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Feb 27 227 Coastal Carolina 69 204 James Madison 68   
Fri, Feb 27 171 Appalachian St. 57 233 Texas St. 60   
Fri, Feb 27 260 Georgia Southern 99 186 Marshall 82   
Fri, Feb 27 299 Georgia St. 73 241 Old Dominion 81   
Fri, Feb 27 185 South Alabama 55 226 Southern Miss 68   
Fri, Feb 27 150 Troy 80 354 Louisiana Monroe 65   
Fri, Feb 27 145 Arkansas St. 81 303 Louisiana 58   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 299 Georgia St. 67 303 Louisiana 66 51%   
Tue, Mar 3 241 Old Dominion 86 354 Louisiana Monroe 75 83%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Troy 1.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 2.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 2.0 100.0
Marshall 2.0 100.0
Southern Miss 8.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 10.0 100.0
Louisiana 11.0 100.0
Old Dominion 11.0 100.0
Georgia St. 11.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 14.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Troy 12 - 6 18 - 11 100.0
Texas St. 11 - 7 17 - 12 100.0
South Alabama 11 - 7 19 - 10 100.0
Coastal Carolina 11 - 7 18 - 12 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 7 18 - 11 100.0
Appalachian St. 11 - 7 17 - 12 100.0
Marshall 11 - 7 18 - 12 100.0
Southern Miss 9 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
James Madison 9 - 9 16 - 14 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 14 - 15 100.0
Louisiana 7 - 11 10 - 22 100.0
Old Dominion 7 - 11 11 - 20 100.0
Georgia St. 7 - 11 9 - 21 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 1 - 17 2 - 28 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Troy 100.0% 100.0
Texas St.
South Alabama
Coastal Carolina
Arkansas St.
Appalachian St.
Marshall
Southern Miss
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Old Dominion
Georgia St.
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arkansas St. 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.3 4.3 5.1 0.5 89.8 0.0%
Troy 34.3% 34.3% 0.0% 14   0.2 13.7 18.6 1.7 65.7 0.0%
Appalachian St. 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 0.6 6.9 6.1 0.4 86.1 0.0%
South Alabama 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.6 3.6 1.7 0.0 94.1 0.0%
Marshall 22.7% 22.7% 0.0% 0.8 9.8 11.5 0.6 77.3 0.0%
James Madison 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.1 97.2 0.0%
Southern Miss 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.0 0.2 98.7 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.1 1.8 3.8 0.4 93.9 0.0%
Texas St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.5 97.7 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.1 100.0
2nd Round 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arkansas St. 10.2% 0.0% 10.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 34.3% 0.0% 34.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 13.9% 0.0% 13.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 5.9% 0.0% 5.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 22.7% 0.0% 22.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 2.8% 0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 6.1% 0.0% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 2.3% 0.1% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.5% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%