Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
142 Troy 100.0%   14   20 - 11 12 - 6 +0.9      +0.5 149 +0.4 158 64.4 290 +1.7 133 -0.6 1
144 Arkansas St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 +0.7      +0.8 141 -0.1 177 78.1 11 -0.2 158 -2.1 7
189 Appalachian St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -1.7      -2.3 232 +0.7 148 60.2 360 -2.1 198 -1.8 6
202 Marshall 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -2.2      +2.0 117 -4.1 298 72.3 78 -1.0 176 -1.3 3
207 South Alabama 0.0%   19 - 11 11 - 7 -2.3      -1.6 211 -0.7 198 63.1 320 -0.4 162 -1.4 4
208 James Madison 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 -2.5      -0.3 174 -2.2 243 65.1 271 -2.6 208 -3.8 8
211 Southern Miss 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 -3.0      -3.1 256 +0.1 172 72.0 88 -2.4 205 -4.3 9
230 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 16 8 - 10 -4.1      +0.7 143 -4.8 308 73.7 47 -2.9 213 -5.6 10
233 Texas St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -4.3      -3.7 271 -0.6 194 66.0 248 -2.9 215 -1.0 2
239 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -4.7      -5.1 301 +0.3 161 67.6 202 -1.5 187 -1.8 5
244 Old Dominion 0.0%   11 - 21 7 - 11 -4.9      -2.1 225 -2.8 257 71.3 104 -6.8 273 -6.8 13
299 Louisiana 0.0%   11 - 22 7 - 11 -8.4      -5.9 314 -2.5 254 60.9 350 -8.0 294 -6.7 12
304 Georgia St. 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 -8.8      -6.5 327 -2.3 248 69.7 138 -9.2 311 -6.3 11
354 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   2 - 28 1 - 17 -14.6      -5.6 313 -9.0 361 74.1 41 -20.8 362 -19.7 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Mar 8 230 Georgia Southern 82 202 Marshall 78   
Sun, Mar 8 211 Southern Miss 70 142 Troy 78   
Mon, Mar 9 230 Georgia Southern 61 142 Troy 77   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Troy 1.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 2.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 2.0 100.0
Marshall 2.0 100.0
Southern Miss 8.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 10.0 100.0
Louisiana 11.0 100.0
Old Dominion 11.0 100.0
Georgia St. 11.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 14.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Troy 12 - 6 20 - 11 100.0
Texas St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
South Alabama 11 - 7 19 - 11 100.0
Coastal Carolina 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 7 18 - 12 100.0
Appalachian St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
Marshall 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Southern Miss 9 - 9 17 - 16 100.0
James Madison 9 - 9 17 - 15 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 19 - 16 100.0
Louisiana 7 - 11 11 - 22 100.0
Old Dominion 7 - 11 11 - 21 100.0
Georgia St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 1 - 17 2 - 28 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Troy 100.0% 100.0
Texas St.
South Alabama
Coastal Carolina
Arkansas St.
Appalachian St.
Marshall
Southern Miss
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Old Dominion
Georgia St.
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Troy 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.1 50.9 47.6 0.4
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Troy 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%