Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
141 Troy 100.0%   14   20 - 11 12 - 6 +1.0      +0.5 149 +0.4 155 64.4 290 +1.7 132 -0.5 1
145 Arkansas St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 +0.7      +0.8 141 -0.1 174 78.0 11 -0.2 159 -2.1 7
189 Appalachian St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -1.6      -2.3 233 +0.7 147 60.2 359 -2.1 199 -1.8 6
201 Marshall 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -2.2      +2.0 120 -4.1 296 72.3 78 -0.9 177 -1.2 3
205 South Alabama 0.0%   19 - 11 11 - 7 -2.3      -1.6 213 -0.6 197 63.0 321 -0.4 164 -1.3 4
208 James Madison 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 -2.5      -0.3 173 -2.2 244 65.1 270 -2.5 209 -3.8 8
213 Southern Miss 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 -3.0      -3.1 256 +0.1 168 72.0 87 -2.3 203 -4.3 9
231 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 16 8 - 10 -4.0      +0.7 143 -4.8 309 73.7 48 -2.9 213 -5.5 10
233 Texas St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -4.3      -3.7 269 -0.6 196 66.0 250 -2.9 215 -1.0 2
240 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -4.7      -5.0 299 +0.4 160 67.6 204 -1.4 188 -1.8 5
244 Old Dominion 0.0%   11 - 21 7 - 11 -4.8      -2.1 226 -2.8 257 71.3 104 -6.8 272 -6.8 13
299 Louisiana 0.0%   11 - 22 7 - 11 -8.4      -5.9 315 -2.5 253 60.9 350 -8.0 295 -6.6 12
305 Georgia St. 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 -8.7      -6.5 328 -2.3 248 69.7 138 -9.1 310 -6.2 11
354 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   2 - 28 1 - 17 -14.6      -5.6 314 -8.9 361 74.1 40 -20.8 362 -19.7 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Mar 6 213 Southern Miss 81 233 Texas St. 77   
Fri, Mar 6 231 Georgia Southern 94 205 South Alabama 85   
Sat, Mar 7 189 Appalachian St. 73 213 Southern Miss 86   
Sat, Mar 7 240 Coastal Carolina 72 231 Georgia Southern 96   
Sun, Mar 8 231 Georgia Southern 82 201 Marshall 78   
Sun, Mar 8 213 Southern Miss 70 141 Troy 78   
Mon, Mar 9 231 Georgia Southern 61 141 Troy 77   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Troy 1.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 2.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 2.0 100.0
Marshall 2.0 100.0
Southern Miss 8.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 10.0 100.0
Louisiana 11.0 100.0
Old Dominion 11.0 100.0
Georgia St. 11.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 14.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Troy 12 - 6 20 - 11 100.0
Texas St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
South Alabama 11 - 7 19 - 11 100.0
Coastal Carolina 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 7 18 - 12 100.0
Appalachian St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
Marshall 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Southern Miss 9 - 9 17 - 16 100.0
James Madison 9 - 9 17 - 15 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 19 - 16 100.0
Louisiana 7 - 11 11 - 22 100.0
Old Dominion 7 - 11 11 - 21 100.0
Georgia St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 1 - 17 2 - 28 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Troy 100.0% 100.0
Texas St.
South Alabama
Coastal Carolina
Arkansas St.
Appalachian St.
Marshall
Southern Miss
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Old Dominion
Georgia St.
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Troy 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.3 48.7 48.4 1.6
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Troy 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%