Auburn
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +13.4 40
Results Rating +12.8 43
Consistency 0.18 326
Pace 68.8 174
Improvement -4.0 318

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 14 B+ A- B+ A+ B
Defense C+ 108 C+ C+ B- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 79 B 63% 71 +4.5 39
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 301 B+ 45% 31 -1.2 242
Three Pointers 43% 144 B- 36% 84 +2.5 96
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 59 B+ +4.6 50
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 37
Second Chance A 40.2% 6 C+ 1.06 132 A- 0.42 21
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 106
Other Turnovers A- 5.3% 12
Turnovers B+ 14.0% 31
Freethrows A 0.40 3 B 76% 72 A+ 0.30 4
Total Offense A +11.1 14

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 156 C 11.2% 190
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 150 B 2.7% 33
Three Pointers F 72% 353 C- 1.1% 247
Total C- 54% 216 C 5.6% 191


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 261 B 53% 65 -3.0 81
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 109 C+ 37% 149 +0.5 231
Three Pointers 41% 161 D+ 36% 276 +1.5 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 105 C -0.6 156
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 142
Second Chance B- 28.3% 100 C 1.02 156 C+ 0.29 109
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 31
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 263
Turnovers B- 18.6% 69
Freethrows B- 0.27 91 D+ 74% 264 B- 0.20 111
Total Defense C+ +2.3 108

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 50 A- 17.2% 26
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 153 B 7.2% 58
Three Pointers B 79% 51 C 1.0% 138
Total B- 51% 91 B+ 8.2% 27

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 57 18.6 341
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 36 0.14 63
Consistency 0.10 29 0.13 255
Improvement -1.2 255 -2.7 311

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 45 39 30
Results Rating Rank 55 43 35
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33% 40% 11%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 32% 40% 11%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 10.9
.500 or above 84% 100% 39%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four23% 28% 9%
First Round23% 29% 8%
Second Round10% 13% 3%
Sweet Sixteen3% 3% 1%
Elite Eight1% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: LSU (Home) - 73.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 12
Quad 24 - 39 - 15
Quad 32 - 111 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 235 Bethune-Cookman W 95 - 90 OT 96% +1  61% 1 - 0 C- -2 B +6 C- B B- F+ -9 F A- D
 Thu, Nov 6 172 Merrimack W 95 - 57 94% +18  92% 2 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +22 B+ A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 242 Wofford W 93 - 62 96% +19  95% 3 - 0 A+ +24 A- +10 B- A+ C A+ +13 A- A- B+
 Sun, Nov 16 6 Houston L 72 - 73 20% -3  11% 3 - 1 A +21 A- +11 C+ B+ A+ A +10 B+ A B+
 Wed, Nov 19 346 Jackson St. W 112 - 66 99% +26  94% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +20 A+ D+ A- B+ +7 D+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 81 Oregon W 84 - 73 73% +3  75% 5 - 1 A +18 A +13 C+ A A+ B +5 A- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 1 Michigan L 72 - 102 11% -21  3% 5 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 B C+ A+ F -12 B- F D
 Wed, Nov 26 20 St. John's W 85 - 74 33% +0  45% 6 - 2 A+ +29 A+ +25 A+ A+ B+ B +5 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 30 North Carolina St. W 83 - 73 57% +5  82% 7 - 2 A +22 A- +11 A+ C F A +11 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 4 @Arizona L 68 - 97 9% -15  6% 7 - 3 C -1 C+ +3 D B+ D+ C- -2 F C B+
 Sat, Dec 13 286 Chattanooga W 92 - 78 96% +7  95% 8 - 3 B- +7 A +12 A+ A+ F D -5 C- C F
 Sat, Dec 20 7 Purdue L 60 - 88 23% -13  3% 8 - 4 D+ -7 D+ -4 C- F+ B D -5 D F A
 Mon, Dec 29 206 Queens W 106 - 65 95% +30  99% 9 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +17 A+ B- B- A+ +16 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 29 @Georgia L 100 - 104 OT 33% -1  26% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +15 B+ B A- C -0 D B C-
 Tue, Jan 6 34 Texas A&M L 88 - 90 59% +0  43% 9 - 6 0 - 2 B +9 A +13 C+ A+ B- D+ -4 D- F A
 Sat, Jan 10 19 Arkansas W 95 - 73 44% +15  93% 10 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +37 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A+ +16 A A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 44 @Missouri L 74 - 84 43% -4  25% 10 - 7 1 - 3 B- +5 B +6 C- A B- C -1 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 94 South Carolina W 71 - 67 84% +5  88% 11 - 7 2 - 3 B- +7 D+ -3 D F+ C A +9 B+ C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 74 @Mississippi W 78 - 66 60% +5  86% 12 - 7 3 - 3 A +23 A +13 D A+ A A +11 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 24 3 @Florida W 76 - 67 9% +8  93% 13 - 7 4 - 3 A+ +37 A+ +21 A+ C+ A- A+ +17 A A+ C+
 Wed, Jan 28 27 Texas W 88 - 82 55% -3  26% 14 - 7 5 - 3 A +18 A+ +23 A+ C A+ D+ -4 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 16 @Tennessee L 69 - 77 23% -8  0% 14 - 8 5 - 4 B+ +13 B +7 D+ A B+ B+ +6 B A A
 Sat, Feb 7 13 Alabama L 92 - 96 40% +2  60% 14 - 9 5 - 5 B+ +12 A +14 A+ B+ A+ C- -2 D+ D A+
 Tue, Feb 10 17 Vanderbilt L 76 - 84 43% -7  1% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +7 A +13 C- A+ A+ D- -7 B F D
 Sat, Feb 14 19 @Arkansas L 75 - 88 23% -8  10% 14 - 11 5 - 7 B- +8 A- +10 C- B- A+ C- -2 D B- F+
 Wed, Feb 18 89 @Mississippi St. L 85 - 91 65% -7  12% 14 - 12 5 - 8 C+ +3 A+ +18 C A+ B F -15 F B F
 Sat, Feb 21 23 Kentucky W 75 - 74 50% -0  45% 15 - 12 6 - 8 B+ +14 B- +5 B B+ B A +9 A- C+ A
 Tue, Feb 24 46 @Oklahoma L 79 - 91 44% -9  1% 15 - 13 6 - 9 C+ +3 A +11 B+ A+ F F+ -9 F+ C C
 Sat, Feb 28 74 Mississippi L 79 - 85 79% -1  35% 15 - 14 6 - 10 C -1 B+ +9 A+ C D- F -11 D- F C+
 Tue, Mar 3 58 LSU W 84 - 77 73%
 Sat, Mar 7 13 @Alabama L 86 - 95 21%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +13 A +11 A+ B+ B C+ +2 B- B A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B B+ B- B+ 42% 27% 43% B B+ A C+ A- B+ A B A+ C+ B C+ D+ C 36% 22% 41% C+ C+ B- C C+ B- B- D+ B-
1.24 63% 45% 36% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .42 14% .40 76% .30 1.05 53% 37% 36% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .29 19% .27 74% .30
Nov
3		 Bethune-Cookman B D+ A+ F+ D 54% 7% 39% A- C- B+ C- B B- A+ C A+ F+ D A+ F F 44% 21% 35% D+ F B+ A- A- D A+ F A+
1.19 52% 50% 29% -6 +3 0.96 40% 1.1 .44 14% .55 71% .39 1.13 64% 23% 50% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.9 .21 16% .14 89% .12
Nov
6		 Merrimack A+ B+ A+ D- B+ 34% 21% 45% C- B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ C B C+ C+ F A D+
1.41 63% 60% 29% +3 0 1.06 60% 1.2 .74 12% .62 73% .45 0.84 47% 17% 25% -14 +1 0.76 23% 0.9 .20 16% .42 71% .30
Nov
11		 Wofford A- C A+ B- B+ 35% 22% 44% D- B- A+ D- A+ C C- F D A+ C+ C+ A+ A- 40% 20% 40% B A- A- B+ A- B+ A+ F A+
1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20 0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14
Nov
16		 Houston A- D+ D+ C- C+ 36% 22% 42% C+ C+ A- C B+ A+ A+ D A+ A B- F A B+ 28% 33% 39% B- B+ C A+ A B+ B+ D- B
1.08 50% 30% 32% -6 0 0.89 35% 0.9 .33 12% .56 64% .36 1.09 60% 50% 29% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 15% .21 83% .18
Nov
19		 Jackson St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 5% 51% A- A+ D B- D+ A- D- B+ D+ B+ B- D- C+ D- 26% 39% 35% A+ D+ F A C A+ F B- F+
1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23 0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26
Nov
24		 Oregon A A+ B- F C+ 34% 29% 38% C C+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ A A+ B A F A A 24% 11% 64% B- A- F B- F A+ F D F
1.20 68% 44% 24% -1 -1 0.98 32% 1.3 .42 9% .36 83% .30 1.04 45% 60% 28% -7 0 0.89 48% 1.1 .52 26% .44 78% .35
Nov
25		 Michigan B+ F F A+ B- 33% 23% 44% B+ B B D- C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B F D B- 38% 5% 57% C+ B- D- D F D C+ F D+
1.01 35% 8% 43% -8 -1 0.85 30% 0.9 .26 11% .52 55% .29 1.44 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 44% 1.5 .67 13% .35 82% .29
Nov
26		 St. John's A+ A+ C A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B B A+ A A+ 44% 10% 46% D+ A F D- F A+ F C- F
1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38 1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40
Dec
3		 North Carolina St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ C C+ C F A+ A+ A+ A C- B B A- 34% 16% 50% B- A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ F A
1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38 1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
6		 Arizona C+ F+ F F D- 27% 29% 44% C+ D A+ C- B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D F F F 46% 30% 25% C+ F B- D+ C B+ A+ C- A+
0.92 43% 27% 26% -13 -2 0.73 36% 0.8 .29 20% .42 80% .34 1.31 69% 65% 43% +16 -1 1.33 38% 1.1 .41 17% .20 75% .15
Dec
13		 Chattanooga A A+ A+ A- A+ 16% 26% 58% F A+ A+ C A+ F A+ A- A+ D A+ F D D+ 33% 31% 35% A- C- A F C F D F F
1.31 86% 55% 40% +14 -2 1.26 47% 1.1 .53 19% .65 78% .51 1.11 44% 53% 37% +2 -2 1.02 13% 1.8 .22 9% .31 85% .27
Dec
20		 Purdue D+ D+ A- F D+ 29% 25% 45% C+ C- B+ F F+ B A B- A- D F F D D 35% 18% 47% D+ D C- F F A A+ F B
0.92 53% 46% 26% -5 -1 0.90 29% 0.5 .13 15% .29 69% .20 1.35 76% 56% 39% +13 0 1.29 39% 1.7 .65 17% .18 100% .18
Dec
29		 Queens A+ A F A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% C+ A+ A D- B- B- A+ D A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 55% 18% 27% D- A+ B F C- B+ F D+ F
1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33 0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35
Jan
3		 Georgia A+ B- A+ F B+ 47% 14% 40% A- B+ A+ D- B A- A+ C- A+ C B- F D- D 41% 14% 45% C+ D A+ F B C- F B F
1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35 1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35
Jan
6		 Texas A&M A F A+ D C 41% 12% 47% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C A+ D+ B+ F F F 37% 12% 52% B D- D+ F F A C- A+ B-
1.20 45% 83% 30% -2 +1 1.00 46% 1.3 .59 18% .52 74% .38 1.23 53% 83% 44% +11 +1 1.27 36% 1.3 .48 19% .34 65% .22
Jan
10		 Arkansas A+ A F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A D- A 35% 27% 38% A A A+ A- A+ A- D+ B C
1.33 68% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 2.0 .62 14% .39 71% .28 1.02 56% 29% 40% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.1 .25 15% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Missouri B C- D+ D D+ 40% 19% 40% B+ C- A- B+ A B- A+ D+ A+ C F+ D+ F F 49% 12% 40% D- F A+ A- A+ B- F C+ F
1.08 53% 33% 32% -5 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 16% .49 71% .35 1.23 71% 40% 47% +14 +2 1.35 27% 1.0 .27 19% .56 68% .38
Jan
17		 South Carolina D+ B B- F F+ 52% 10% 38% A+ D C+ F F+ C A+ A- A+ A A C- C+ A 42% 14% 44% D- B+ F+ A- C- A+ D+ A+ B
1.02 64% 40% 11% -10 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .16 16% .51 77% .39 0.96 48% 43% 32% -5 +1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 21% .36 65% .24
Jan
20		 Mississippi A A+ D F D- 40% 23% 38% B- D A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- C- A 13% 42% 44% A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ D- B
1.18 69% 33% 13% -8 0 0.85 42% 1.2 .48 14% .69 82% .56 1.00 14% 41% 35% -4 -5 0.85 22% 1.4 .30 9% .25 80% .20
Jan
24		 Florida A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ 50% 23% 27% A A+ B+ D+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ 43% 13% 45% B- A B- A+ A+ C+ F A+ D
1.16 58% 55% 31% +3 +1 1.08 27% 0.6 .17 14% .37 90% .34 1.02 55% 17% 33% -5 +1 0.96 41% 0.6 .27 17% .50 59% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Texas A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% A A+ C C+ C A+ A+ B- A+ D+ B F F F 31% 16% 53% C+ F A+ B- A+ B D D+ D
1.38 56% 60% 50% +14 +1 1.32 24% 1.0 .24 5% .64 74% .48 1.29 57% 71% 46% +14 0 1.31 29% 1.1 .33 17% .44 78% .34
Jan
31		 Tennessee B C+ F F D- 39% 11% 50% A- D+ B+ A+ A B+ B+ B A- B+ F A+ D+ C+ 37% 37% 26% A+ B C- A+ A A F F F
1.01 57% 17% 22% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.3 .37 15% .34 70% .24 1.12 75% 25% 36% +2 -2 1.02 49% 0.8 .37 22% .58 81% .47
Feb
7		 Alabama A A A+ C- A 43% 14% 43% A A+ A C- B+ A+ B+ A+ A C- C- A+ F D+ 44% 17% 39% B- D+ A+ F D A+ D F F
1.23 64% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 38% 0.9 .35 7% .32 77% .24 1.29 63% 33% 48% +9 +1 1.22 25% 1.9 .46 19% .38 87% .33
Feb
10		 Vanderbilt A F F A+ D 51% 14% 35% A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ B A+ D- B- A+ F+ B+ 40% 14% 47% D+ B D F F D F F F
1.19 44% 0% 41% -9 +2 0.88 51% 1.2 .60 12% .48 78% .37 1.31 59% 17% 40% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .50 11% .53 87% .46
Feb
14		 Arkansas A- F B C- C 38% 32% 30% D- C- A F B- A+ A A- A C- F A+ C- D 50% 15% 35% D- D A F B- F+ A A A+
1.12 45% 41% 31% -5 -2 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 10% .33 75% .25 1.32 81% 25% 37% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 7% .24 67% .16
Feb
18		 Mississippi St. A+ F D- A+ C 29% 25% 46% C+ C A+ A A+ B A+ A- A+ F F A F F 18% 31% 51% A+ F B+ B- B F C+ F D+
1.26 33% 31% 42% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.2 .50 12% .52 81% .42 1.35 80% 29% 54% +16 -3 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 9% .28 76% .21
Feb
21		 Kentucky B- C A+ F C+ 58% 8% 34% A+ B A+ C- B+ B A+ A+ A+ A B D+ B A- 47% 20% 33% C- A- F A+ C+ A B F C
1.06 55% 75% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 16% .40 83% .33 1.05 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 20% .30 82% .25
Feb
24		 Oklahoma A B+ D+ A- B+ 32% 27% 41% C- B+ A+ B A+ F A+ B+ A+ F+ A- A+ F F 33% 31% 35% A F+ C C C C F B F
1.19 64% 33% 39% +4 -1 1.07 45% 1.1 .52 21% .52 78% .40 1.37 50% 27% 71% +13 -2 1.25 34% 1.3 .44 14% .44 72% .31
Feb
28		 Mississippi B+ B A+ B A+ 34% 16% 50% B+ A+ A- F C D- A+ C A+ F F B- D- D- 30% 28% 42% D D- B- F F C+ C+ C- C
1.18 60% 71% 36% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 21% .51 70% .36 1.27 80% 36% 38% +8 -2 1.16 28% 1.8 .48 13% .29 76% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 2.2 2.2 10th
11th 17.6 62.9 13.4 93.9 11th
12th 3.8 3.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 21.4 62.9 15.7 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 15.7% 79.6% 0.8% 78.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 3.4 5.5 0.3 3.2 79.4%
7-11 62.9% 30.6% 0.6% 29.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.8 13.1 3.0 0.1 43.7 30.1%
6-12 21.4% 4.4% 0.4% 4.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 20.5 4.1%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 32.6% 0.6% 32.0% 10.5 67.4 32.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 5.8 3.8 19.2 73.1 3.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6% 100.0% 7.0 3.4 25.6 43.6 19.7 6.0 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2% 97.0% 8.4 3.0 19.9 30.5 27.5 14.0 2.1
Lose Out 7.4% 0.1% 11.0 0.1