Auburn
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#34
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#22
Pace69.6#185
Improvement-1.5#281

Offense
Total Offense+9.5#19
First Shot+8.9#13
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#140
Layup/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+4.5#10
Improvement-0.9#251

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#70
First Shot+3.6#72
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#167
Layups/Dunks+2.3#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#172
Freethrows+2.5#38
Improvement-0.6#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 10.0% 10.2% 2.6%
Top 6 Seed 29.6% 30.1% 14.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.1% 70.7% 51.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.1% 69.7% 50.8%
Average Seed 7.2 7.1 8.1
.500 or above 83.8% 84.5% 63.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 58.3% 45.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.7% 5.8%
First Four9.0% 8.9% 11.2%
First Round66.0% 66.6% 47.6%
Second Round40.8% 41.3% 25.7%
Sweet Sixteen14.6% 14.8% 7.8%
Elite Eight4.7% 4.7% 2.7%
Final Four1.5% 1.5% 1.2%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 96.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 12
Quad 25 - 212 - 14
Quad 32 - 013 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 269 Bethune-Cookman W 95-90 OT 97%     1 - 0 -3.9 +6.1 -10.6
  Thu, Nov 6 262 Merrimack W 95-57 97%     2 - 0 +29.4 +22.8 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 220 Wofford W 93-62 96%     3 - 0 +24.2 +15.2 +8.5
  Sun, Nov 16 8 Houston L 72-73 26%     3 - 1 +19.3 +13.1 +6.2
  Wed, Nov 19 328 Jackson St. W 112-66 98%     4 - 1 +33.1 +26.2 +3.5
  Mon, Nov 24 55 Oregon W 84-73 65%     5 - 1 +20.3 +14.5 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 25 1 Michigan L 72-102 11%     5 - 2 -3.1 +12.3 -15.0
  Wed, Nov 26 19 St. John's W 85-74 38%     6 - 2 +27.4 +24.7 +3.3
  Wed, Dec 3 28 North Carolina St. W 83-73 56%     7 - 2 +21.8 +14.1 +7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 2 @Arizona L 68-97 12%     7 - 3 -2.7 +4.9 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 13 237 Chattanooga W 92-78 94%     8 - 3 +9.6 +15.5 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 20 6 Purdue L 60-88 21%     8 - 4 -6.2 -0.4 -7.9
  Mon, Dec 29 212 Queens W 93-73 97%    
  Sat, Jan 3 22 @Georgia L 83-89 30%    
  Tue, Jan 6 43 Texas A&M W 85-80 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 24 Arkansas W 83-82 54%    
  Wed, Jan 14 60 @Missouri W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 90 South Carolina W 79-69 82%    
  Tue, Jan 20 61 @Mississippi W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 12 @Florida L 74-82 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 42 Texas W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 14 @Tennessee L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 15 Alabama L 88-89 46%    
  Tue, Feb 10 9 Vanderbilt L 79-83 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 24 @Arkansas L 80-85 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 79 @Mississippi St. W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 20 Kentucky W 79-78 51%    
  Tue, Feb 24 45 @Oklahoma L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 61 Mississippi W 78-70 76%    
  Tue, Mar 3 40 LSU W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Mar 7 15 @Alabama L 85-92 26%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.2 1.0 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.2 2.3 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.3 0.5 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.4 1.4 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.1 0.2 8.7 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 4.6 0.7 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.3 1.8 0.1 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.3 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.9 0.1 4.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.0 8.0 11.5 13.5 14.6 14.2 11.8 8.0 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 94.1% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 76.2% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.0% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 19.0% 81.0% 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.6% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.1% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 4.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 100.0%
12-6 8.0% 99.9% 8.8% 91.2% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 11.8% 99.7% 5.7% 94.1% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 3.8 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
10-8 14.2% 98.7% 2.6% 96.1% 7.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 4.3 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 98.7%
9-9 14.6% 93.4% 1.2% 92.2% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.3 3.4 2.8 1.0 1.0 93.3%
8-10 13.5% 72.2% 0.9% 71.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 4.3 0.2 3.8 71.9%
7-11 11.5% 28.6% 0.7% 27.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.2 28.1%
6-12 8.0% 4.1% 0.4% 3.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7.6 3.7%
5-13 5.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.1%
4-14 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 70.1% 3.3% 66.8% 7.2 0.2 1.0 3.2 5.7 8.9 10.7 10.2 8.4 6.8 6.6 7.7 0.7 0.0 29.9 69.1%