Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#124
Pace73.6#82
Improvement-3.4#350

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#92
First Shot+3.7#71
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks-4.1#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows+2.1#59
Improvement-3.4#353

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#222
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#87
Layups/Dunks+3.9#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#358
Freethrows+2.0#68
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 22.0% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 78.8% 87.5% 69.5%
.500 or above in Conference 83.8% 88.1% 79.2%
Conference Champion 26.1% 31.0% 20.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.2% 2.7%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round19.0% 21.9% 15.9%
Second Round2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Away) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 56 - 9
Quad 411 - 217 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 148   Northeastern W 83-64 63%     1 - 0 +17.4 +19.7 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2021 83   @ Richmond L 78-94 23%     1 - 1 -6.4 +2.7 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2021 332   William & Mary W 77-59 89%     2 - 1 +6.6 -5.7 +11.0
  Nov 21, 2021 282   @ High Point W 74-66 OT 70%     3 - 1 +4.6 -3.9 +7.8
  Nov 27, 2021 78   @ Rhode Island L 59-94 22%     3 - 2 -25.1 -10.0 -14.4
  Dec 04, 2021 196   @ Mercer W 75-74 52%    
  Dec 14, 2021 38   @ Mississippi St. L 66-78 13%    
  Dec 21, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech L 70-77 25%    
  Dec 30, 2021 229   @ Arkansas St. W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 01, 2022 289   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 06, 2022 234   Texas Arlington W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 08, 2022 138   Texas St. W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 13, 2022 157   @ South Alabama L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 240   @ Troy W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 20, 2022 172   Appalachian St. W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 227   Coastal Carolina W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 27, 2022 186   @ Louisiana W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 29, 2022 263   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-75 66%    
  Feb 03, 2022 240   Troy W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 05, 2022 157   South Alabama W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 10, 2022 227   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 172   @ Appalachian St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 176   Georgia Southern W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 176   @ Georgia Southern L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 24, 2022 263   Louisiana Monroe W 82-72 82%    
  Feb 26, 2022 186   Louisiana W 82-76 70%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.6 6.7 6.7 5.0 2.1 0.7 26.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 5.7 6.3 2.9 1.4 0.1 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.4 4.1 4.4 1.5 0.1 10.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.0 1.5 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 3.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.6 2.3 2.1 0.2 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 0.3 4.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.5 0.5 3.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.4 4.3 6.5 9.2 11.1 12.6 13.0 12.0 9.8 8.1 5.2 2.1 0.7 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.1    2.1 0.0
16-2 97.2% 5.0    4.6 0.4
15-3 83.0% 6.7    5.5 1.2 0.1
14-4 67.6% 6.7    4.0 2.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 30.2% 3.6    1.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
12-6 9.3% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.1% 26.1 18.2 6.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 70.7% 58.9% 11.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 28.6%
17-1 2.1% 55.9% 55.8% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.2%
16-2 5.2% 45.2% 44.7% 0.5% 12.9 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 2.8 0.8%
15-3 8.1% 36.8% 36.8% 13.3 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.2 5.1
14-4 9.8% 30.9% 30.9% 13.7 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.8
13-5 12.0% 25.4% 25.4% 14.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 8.9
12-6 13.0% 18.4% 18.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 10.6
11-7 12.6% 14.1% 14.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.3 10.8
10-8 11.1% 8.9% 8.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 10.2
9-9 9.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.6
8-10 6.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 6.3
7-11 4.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.2
6-12 2.4% 2.4
5-13 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.2% 19.0% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 4.7 6.1 4.3 1.4 80.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 6.0 50.0 50.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 95.5% 10.5 45.5 50.0