Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#335
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#349
Pace71.8#127
Improvement-1.6#311

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#354
First Shot-6.8#347
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#239
Layup/Dunks-7.8#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#212
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-1.4#305

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#241
Layups/Dunks-3.5#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+0.4#163
Improvement-0.2#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.0% 16.2% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 18.9% 27.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 45 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 200 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 15%     0 - 1 -21.5 -21.6 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 7 64 @Cincinnati L 64-74 3%     0 - 2 +1.8 -2.1 +4.6
  Mon, Nov 10 259 Presbyterian L 61-63 42%     0 - 3 -10.4 -4.0 -6.7
  Mon, Nov 17 81 @Arizona St. L 62-75 4%     0 - 4 -3.0 -8.8 +6.0
  Fri, Nov 21 155 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 11%     0 - 5 -44.1 -12.9 -30.1
  Tue, Nov 25 224 Samford L 63-78 26%     0 - 6 -18.9 -13.0 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 115 New Mexico St. L 58-77 10%     0 - 7 -15.7 -15.7 +1.1
  Tue, Dec 2 190 @Mercer L 67-78 14%     0 - 8 -10.0 -7.9 -1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 162 @Kennesaw St. L 73-86 11%    
  Sat, Dec 13 245 Jacksonville St. L 64-67 39%    
  Thu, Dec 18 233 @Georgia Southern L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Dec 20 279 @Appalachian St. L 62-69 26%    
  Wed, Dec 31 184 @Marshall L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Jan 3 258 @Coastal Carolina L 67-75 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 279 Appalachian St. L 65-66 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 184 Marshall L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 360 @Louisiana Monroe W 76-75 54%    
  Thu, Jan 22 232 Southern Miss L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 156 Arkansas St. L 73-80 25%    
  Thu, Jan 29 317 @Louisiana L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 150 @South Alabama L 62-76 10%    
  Wed, Feb 4 147 Troy L 68-76 23%    
  Thu, Feb 12 159 @James Madison L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 14 220 @Old Dominion L 68-78 19%    
  Thu, Feb 19 233 Georgia Southern L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 159 James Madison L 70-77 26%    
  Tue, Feb 24 258 Coastal Carolina L 70-72 42%    
  Fri, Feb 27 220 Old Dominion L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.2 0.1 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.8 2.5 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 4.9 7.4 3.5 0.4 0.0 17.5 12th
13th 0.6 3.5 7.6 8.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 24.3 13th
14th 1.2 3.7 5.3 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 16.0 14th
Total 1.2 4.3 8.8 12.9 15.4 15.6 13.7 10.7 7.4 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 88.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 67.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.6
9-9 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.9
8-10 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.4
7-11 10.7% 10.7
6-12 13.7% 13.7
5-13 15.6% 15.6
4-14 15.4% 15.4
3-15 12.9% 12.9
2-16 8.8% 8.8
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%