Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#231
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#273
Pace67.3#204
Improvement-1.0#292

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#313
First Shot-4.9#320
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#342
Freethrows+1.2#91
Improvement-0.6#283

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#136
First Shot+1.8#119
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#249
Layups/Dunks-0.4#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#120
Freethrows-0.7#245
Improvement-0.4#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.1% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.2% 1.9% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.3% 16.3% 35.9%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 48 - 69 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 172   Georgia Tech L 57-59 47%     0 - 1 -4.8 -13.4 +8.6
  Nov 15, 2022 228   Mercer W 85-83 OT 59%     1 - 1 -3.9 -0.5 -3.6
  Nov 18, 2022 193   Eastern Kentucky L 61-62 51%     1 - 2 -4.9 -10.3 +5.3
  Nov 19, 2022 319   Texas A&M - Commerce W 57-53 78%     2 - 2 -7.6 -9.7 +2.9
  Nov 20, 2022 188   UNC Asheville W 74-68 51%     3 - 2 +2.1 +1.1 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2022 128   Belmont L 66-68 38%     3 - 3 -2.4 -5.2 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2022 252   @ Northeastern L 46-66 44%     3 - 4 -22.0 -26.1 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2022 27   @ Auburn L 64-72 5%     3 - 5 +7.6 +1.9 +5.4
  Dec 18, 2022 198   Rhode Island W 75-66 52%     4 - 5 +4.8 +4.7 +0.5
  Dec 29, 2022 96   James Madison L 47-63 29%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -13.8 -22.0 +7.7
  Dec 31, 2022 182   South Alabama W 68-58 48%     5 - 6 1 - 1 +6.8 -1.5 +8.8
  Jan 05, 2023 265   @ Louisiana Monroe L 58-66 47%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -10.8 -11.0 -0.4
  Jan 07, 2023 112   @ Louisiana L 70-78 18%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -1.8 +2.0 -4.2
  Jan 12, 2023 149   Troy L 53-65 43%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -13.8 -20.4 +6.9
  Jan 14, 2023 246   Coastal Carolina W 100-66 63%     6 - 9 2 - 4 +26.9 +23.7 +3.9
  Jan 19, 2023 176   @ Old Dominion L 58-70 28%     6 - 10 2 - 5 -9.5 -9.4 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2023 227   @ Georgia Southern L 52-58 37%     6 - 11 2 - 6 -6.3 -17.0 +10.4
  Jan 26, 2023 179   @ Appalachian St. L 59-71 28%     6 - 12 2 - 7 -9.5 -3.6 -7.3
  Jan 28, 2023 78   @ Marshall L 65-103 12%     6 - 13 2 - 8 -28.6 -13.1 -10.4
  Feb 02, 2023 227   Georgia Southern W 66-64 59%    
  Feb 04, 2023 111   Southern Miss L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 09, 2023 176   Old Dominion L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 78   Marshall L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 16, 2023 246   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 18, 2023 311   @ Arkansas St. W 63-61 55%    
  Feb 22, 2023 179   Appalachian St. L 62-63 49%    
  Feb 24, 2023 96   @ James Madison L 63-74 14%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.2 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 0.2 2.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 1.8 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.1 0.6 7.0 10th
11th 0.7 5.9 4.5 0.1 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 7.0 10.6 1.4 0.0 19.7 12th
13th 0.2 4.2 14.8 17.9 4.9 0.1 42.2 13th
14th 1.7 5.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.7 14th
Total 2.0 9.2 19.7 26.3 22.6 13.8 5.2 1.1 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 1.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.1
8-10 5.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.0
7-11 13.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-12 22.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 22.4
5-13 26.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 26.1
4-14 19.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 19.6
3-15 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
2-16 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 2.0% 0.4% 16.0 0.4