Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#230
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#238
Pace69.9#159
Improvement+0.3#167

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#213
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#218
Layup/Dunks-4.3#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement+1.0#104

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#252
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#241
Layups/Dunks-0.4#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#286
Freethrows+2.3#54
Improvement-0.7#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 29.5% 39.3% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 56.2% 43.0%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 3.7% 6.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round2.7% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 270   Ball St. W 71-66 69%     1 - 0 -4.0 -2.8 -1.0
  Nov 08, 2024 15   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 3%     1 - 1 -16.8 -2.8 -11.7
  Nov 13, 2024 174   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 28%     1 - 2 -2.8 -8.8 +6.2
  Nov 22, 2024 281   NC Central W 93-79 71%     2 - 2 +4.6 +20.9 -15.2
  Nov 26, 2024 238   Austin Peay L 50-62 51%     2 - 3 -16.2 -16.7 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2024 225   Tulsa W 74-71 49%     3 - 3 -0.6 +0.5 -1.0
  Nov 29, 2024 9   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -8.3 +3.4 -8.5
  Dec 06, 2024 146   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 44%     3 - 5 -6.2 -1.9 -4.1
  Dec 14, 2024 205   Charlotte W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 17, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 64-91 1%    
  Dec 21, 2024 125   Troy L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 28, 2024 232   Mercer W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 02, 2025 206   South Alabama W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 262   Louisiana W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 08, 2025 235   Georgia Southern W 79-76 62%    
  Jan 11, 2025 272   Coastal Carolina W 70-65 68%    
  Jan 15, 2025 138   @ Texas St. L 67-75 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 130   @ Arkansas St. L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 23, 2025 195   Marshall W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 114   James Madison L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 195   @ Marshall L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 163   @ Appalachian St. L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 332   Louisiana Monroe W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 13, 2025 317   Old Dominion W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 163   Appalachian St. L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 20, 2025 114   @ James Madison L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 317   @ Old Dominion W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 272   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 28, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 76-79 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.7 0.9 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.3 3.4 0.3 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.4 0.7 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 1.4 0.1 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 2.0 0.1 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.9 6.9 9.7 12.6 13.9 14.2 12.2 9.7 6.8 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 78.6% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.0% 0.9    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.3% 35.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 20.6% 20.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 16.8% 16.8% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.0% 12.7% 12.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 4.1% 11.1% 11.1% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.8% 8.9% 8.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 6.2
11-7 9.7% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.3
10-8 12.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.9
9-9 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.2 14.0
8-10 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.8
7-11 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 9.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.6
5-13 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 97.1 0.0%