Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.7 #243
Expected Predictive Rating -6.5 #270
Pace 71.1 #116
Improvement -0.4 #208

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #260 D+ D+ C C- D
Defense #233 C C D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #292 1.11 #240 -3.2 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #76 0.66 #319 +0.9 #121
Three Pointers 39% #218 1.03 #167 -0.6 #209
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #264 -2.9 #262
Freethrows 0.28 #258 73% #166 0.21 #236
Second Chance 24.9% #326 1.04 #157 0.26 #288
Turnovers 16.5% #148
Total Offense -3.2 #260

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #24 1.26 #307 -6.1 #351
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #179 0.67 #52 +0.9 #123
Three Pointers 35% #340 0.90 #40 +5.4 #8
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #173 +0.2 #175
Freethrows 0.35 #305 75% #303 0.26 #317
Second Chance 30.4% #172 1.06 #235 0.32 #208
Turnovers 14.7% #310
Total Defense -1.5 #233

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.0% #306 0.9% #259
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.7% #235 -1.3% #159
Possession Length 17.2 #163 16.7 #100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #244 0.22 #319
Improvement -1.6 #279 +1.1 #117

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 n/a
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 32.6% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 89.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 47 - 711 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 90 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  0 - 1 -6 -4 B- D- F -1 C A- C
 Tue, Nov 11 307 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 75% +1  1 - 1 -9 -6 F F+ B -2 A- F+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 79 @George Washington L 73 - 96 9% -11  1 - 2 -13 -1 D C D- -11 C+ D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 84 @Xavier L 69 - 99 10% -20  1 - 3 -20 -3 D- C C -15 D+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 354 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 87% +18  2 - 3 +15 +11 C D- A +6 B B- D-
 Sun, Nov 23 204 @Drexel L 71 - 75 31% -1  2 - 4 -4 +6 C+ C- B -10 D+ F+ D-
 Tue, Nov 25 32 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  2 - 5 +3 +14 B A- A+ -12 D- D+ F+
 Sun, Nov 30 150 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 21% -7  2 - 6 -9 -5 D D- D+ -3 C- A- D
 Sat, Dec 6 136 @Richmond L 77 - 86 19% -4  2 - 7 -4 -0 D- F+ A+ -4 B F+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 82 @George Mason L 61 - 73 10% -10  2 - 8 -2 -8 D- B F +6 A B+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 205 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  3 - 8 1 - 0 +3 +3 C- F B+ +1 C A- C
 Sat, Dec 20 238 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 61% -1  3 - 9 1 - 1 -9 -4 C C F -5 C+ A F
 Sun, Dec 28 107 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  3 - 10 -8 -9 F D+ D+ +1 C- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 173 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 47% -13  3 - 11 1 - 2 -12 +4 A- F+ B+ -17 D+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 260 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 65% -13  3 - 12 1 - 3 -16 -4 F D A+ -10 D- C- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 238 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 38% +7  4 - 12 2 - 3 +3 -1 C- B- F +3 B B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 205 @James Madison L 69 - 70 31% +9  4 - 13 2 - 4 -1 -5 F D B +4 D+ A- A
 Thu, Jan 15 260 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 42% +2  4 - 14 2 - 5 -6 +7 B D A- -12 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 173 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 26% +10  5 - 14 3 - 5 +4 +11 A+ D+ C- -7 C F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 141 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 39% +1  5 - 15 3 - 6 -8 -8 F+ F B+ +1 A+ D+ D+
 Wed, Jan 28 168 @Arkansas St. W 75 - 71 25% +5  6 - 15 4 - 6 +6 +0 D C- B +6 C+ A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 259 @Texas St. L 64 - 81 42% -12  6 - 16 4 - 7 -20 -7 F C D+ -12 D- B- F
 Wed, Feb 4 360 Louisiana Monroe W 84 - 71 89%
 Sat, Feb 7 197 Ohio W 78 - 77 53%
 Wed, Feb 11 153 Marshall L 75 - 77 43%
 Sat, Feb 14 269 Georgia St. W 76 - 72 66%
 Mon, Feb 16 302 Louisiana W 71 - 64 73%
 Sat, Feb 21 251 @Southern Miss L 72 - 75 40%
 Tue, Feb 24 153 @Marshall L 72 - 80 23%
 Fri, Feb 27 269 @Georgia St. L 73 - 75 44%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -5 -3 D+ D+ C -1 C C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.5 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 0.3 2.2 4th
5th 0.6 3.5 0.1 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 3.9 2.1 6.1 6th
7th 0.5 8.2 0.3 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 4.2 6.1 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.5 10.3 1.4 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 3.4 9.6 0.1 13.1 10th
11th 0.5 9.6 3.6 13.7 11th
12th 0.1 4.2 9.8 0.4 14.6 12th
13th 0.3 3.2 7.5 2.4 0.0 13.5 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.3 3.3 12.3 25.7 28.7 20.4 8.2 1.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 8.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.9
9-9 20.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 20.2
8-10 28.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 28.6
7-11 25.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.6
6-12 12.3% 12.3
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.8 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%