Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#206
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#215
Pace66.8#248
Improvement+0.3#159

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#231
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#214
Layup/Dunks-2.6#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-1.5#260
Improvement-1.7#314

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#169
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#73
Layups/Dunks+5.5#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#351
Freethrows-6.2#362
Improvement+2.0#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.3% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 30.8% 39.0% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 55.8% 60.6% 47.6%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.2% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.5% 6.8%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round3.2% 3.8% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Away) - 62.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 48 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 253   @ Ball St. L 68-73 50%     0 - 1 -6.9 -6.1 -0.8
  Nov 13, 2023 46   @ Arkansas L 77-86 8%     0 - 2 +4.4 +10.3 -5.9
  Nov 22, 2023 65   Princeton L 56-76 25%     0 - 3 -14.9 -8.7 -8.8
  Nov 26, 2023 124   Drexel W 68-61 OT 43%     1 - 3 +6.8 -2.4 +9.1
  Nov 29, 2023 164   Radford W 69-68 54%     2 - 3 -2.0 -0.3 -1.6
  Dec 02, 2023 210   @ Northeastern L 68-81 39%     2 - 4 -12.1 -8.5 -3.3
  Dec 06, 2023 315   @ William & Mary W 73-70 63%    
  Dec 09, 2023 68   James Madison L 73-80 26%    
  Dec 21, 2023 29   TCU L 66-80 9%    
  Dec 30, 2023 231   South Alabama W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 04, 2024 189   @ Troy L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 06, 2024 240   @ Arkansas St. L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 11, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 13, 2024 300   @ Coastal Carolina W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 18, 2024 196   Marshall W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 20, 2024 286   Louisiana Monroe W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 24, 2024 68   James Madison L 73-80 29%    
  Jan 27, 2024 313   Georgia Southern W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 01, 2024 196   @ Marshall L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 03, 2024 68   @ James Madison L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 07, 2024 185   @ Southern Miss L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 15, 2024 174   Louisiana W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 17, 2024 204   Georgia St. W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 22, 2024 114   Appalachian St. L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 24, 2024 300   Coastal Carolina W 76-67 77%    
  Feb 28, 2024 114   @ Appalachian St. L 63-72 22%    
  Mar 01, 2024 313   @ Georgia Southern W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.0 3.5 1.7 0.3 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 4.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.8 5.2 1.6 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.0 2.4 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.9 0.4 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.0 0.9 7.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 3.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.8 0.2 5.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.5 5.7 8.3 11.0 13.3 13.6 12.8 11.3 7.9 5.2 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.9% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 76.6% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 36.8% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 36.2% 36.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 17.0% 17.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 17.0% 17.0% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 3.1% 15.9% 15.9% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.6
13-5 5.2% 10.2% 10.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7
12-6 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 7.3
11-7 11.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 10.8
10-8 12.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.4
9-9 13.6% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.3
8-10 13.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.0
7-11 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-13 5.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 96.3 0.0%