Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.4 #253
Expected Predictive Rating -10.4 #321
Pace 72.1 #97
Improvement -0.6 #212

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #242 D+ C+ D C+ D-
Defense #257 C D+ D+ D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #296 1.10 #247 -3.5 #297
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #63 0.63 #310 +0.8 #138
Three Pointers 39% #221 1.05 #135 -0.2 #187
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #252 -3.0 #253
Freethrows 17.4 #188 76% #91 13.2 #146
Second Chance 25.8% #310 1.03 #190 0.27 #287
Turnovers 16.0% #142
Total Offense -2.6 #242

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #18 1.28 #309 -7.2 #358
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #187 0.72 #146 +0.4 #165
Three Pointers 34% #346 0.82 #17 +7.0 #7
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #169 +0.2 #168
Freethrows 18.8 #260 73% #223 13.8 #268
Second Chance 31.4% #209 1.12 #278 0.35 #262
Turnovers 14.1% #319
Total Defense -2.8 #257

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.3% #309 1.3% #286
Shot Type Make % Effect -3.6% #229 -1.5% #150
Possession Length 16.8 #140 17.0 #145
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #201 0.21 #297
Improvement -0.6 #220 +0.0 #193

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 0.8% 1.5% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.3% 36.1% 14.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.3% 5.6%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 47 - 69 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 98 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 10%     2.7   0 - 1 -6.6 -2.8 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 272 Norfolk St. W 60-57 65%     0.7   1 - 1 -6.4 -4.7 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 15 66 @George Washington L 73-96 7%     -10.6   1 - 2 -11.5 -1.3 -9.1
  Tue, Nov 18 103 @Xavier L 69-99 11%     -19.7   1 - 3 -22.0 -3.9 -16.3
  Fri, Nov 21 361 Morgan St. W 88-56 90%     18.3   2 - 3 +12.9 +10.3 +4.2
  Sun, Nov 23 263 @Drexel L 71-75 41%     -1.4   2 - 4 -6.9 +1.5 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 25 27 @Villanova L 75-89 3%     -6.3   2 - 5 +3.8 +15.1 -12.0
  Sun, Nov 30 115 @William & Mary L 75-88 14%     -7.0   2 - 6 -6.5 -2.9 -2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 123 @Richmond L 77-86 15%     -3.6   2 - 7 -3.5 +1.0 -3.8
  Sat, Dec 13 93 @George Mason L 61-73 10%     -10.3   2 - 8 -3.3 -9.3 +6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 195 James Madison W 77-68 50%     6.2   3 - 8 1 - 0 +3.8 +2.4 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 20 267 Coastal Carolina L 74-76 64%     -1.3   3 - 9 1 - 1 -11.0 -4.2 -6.7
  Sun, Dec 28 99 @Maryland L 58-73 11%     -18.0   3 - 10 -6.7 -7.6 +0.5
  Wed, Dec 31 224 Appalachian St. L 73-81 55%     -13.2   3 - 11 1 - 2 -14.6 +2.1 -17.1
  Sat, Jan 3 204 Georgia Southern L 86-93 51%     -12.5   3 - 12 1 - 3 -12.7 -3.2 -8.6
  Thu, Jan 8 267 @Coastal Carolina L 73-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 195 @James Madison L 72-78 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 204 @Georgia Southern L 78-84 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 224 @Appalachian St. L 66-71 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 128 Troy L 72-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 Louisiana W 70-64 72%    
  Wed, Jan 28 137 @Arkansas St. L 77-87 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 264 @Texas St. L 72-74 41%    
  Wed, Feb 4 356 Louisiana Monroe W 85-74 85%    
  Wed, Feb 11 165 Marshall L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 301 Georgia St. W 79-73 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 206 @Southern Miss L 73-79 30%    
  Tue, Feb 24 165 @Marshall L 74-82 24%    
  Fri, Feb 27 301 @Georgia St. L 75-76 48%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.3 2.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 2.8 0.2 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.7 1.0 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.4 3.5 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.7 6.5 0.8 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.5 2.6 0.0 13.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.6 7.7 4.5 0.3 15.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.6 4.8 0.8 14.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.6 3.4 0.8 0.0 11.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.2 7.7 13.0 17.0 18.4 16.6 11.6 7.0 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 54.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 23.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 16.9% 16.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.5 0.1 0.0 1.1
11-7 3.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.1
10-8 7.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.8
9-9 11.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-10 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.5
7-11 18.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.4
6-12 17.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.0
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 7.7% 7.7
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%