Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.4 242
Results Rating -6.5 268
Consistency 0.13 56
Pace 71.6 99
Improvement +2.3 105

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 235 D+ C- C+ C- D
Defense C- 242 C C D D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 C 59% 161 -1.6 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 D 34% 305 +1.6 93
Three Pointers 37% 269 C 34% 194 -2.2 257
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 319 C- -1.1 215
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 241
Second Chance D 25.0% 325 B 1.12 55 C- 0.28 251
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 233
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 57
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 133
Freethrows C- 0.29 234 C+ 74% 149 C- 0.21 201
Total Offense C- -2.3 235

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 280 F+ 15.1% 349
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 186 C 5.3% 207
Three Pointers B 90% 46 D- 1.6% 329
Total C- 52% 251 D- 7.4% 337


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 D 63% 318 +5.1 339
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 116 B- 36% 101 +0.2 205
Three Pointers 34% 342 B 31% 53 -4.9 13
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 189 C +0.2 191
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 191
Second Chance C- 31.3% 232 C+ 1.01 141 C 0.32 202
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 282
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 295
Turnovers D 14.6% 307
Freethrows D 0.35 306 C- 73% 252 D 0.25 307
Total Defense C- -2.2 242

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 224 C- 9.7% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 303 B- 6.6% 75
Three Pointers D+ 87% 266 D- 0.1% 346
Total C 56% 184 C 5.7% 170

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 150 16.7 67
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 212 0.22 330
Consistency 0.10 19 0.10 31
Improvement +1.8 96 +0.5 164

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 253 241 226
Results Rating Rank 283 264 259
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 12 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Neutral) - 83.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 48 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 88 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  63% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -5 B D- F C+ +0 C- A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 309 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 76% +1  58% 1 - 1 D -9 F+ -10 F F+ B C+ +2 A F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 80 @George Washington L 73 - 96 9% -11  15% 1 - 2 D- -12 D+ -4 D- C+ F+ D- -8 B- D F
 Tue, Nov 18 83 @Xavier L 69 - 99 10% -20  1% 1 - 3 F -20 D- -7 F+ C D+ F -11 C- F C
 Fri, Nov 21 352 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 87% +18  98% 2 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 C D- A A +9 B B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 211 @Drexel L 71 - 75 33% -1  37% 2 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D+ B- D- -7 D+ F D
 Tue, Nov 25 37 @Villanova L 75 - 89 4% -6  16% 2 - 5 C+ +3 A +11 B B+ A+ F+ -10 F+ D F+
 Sun, Nov 30 138 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 21% -7  7% 2 - 6 D -9 D- -8 D- F+ D+ C+ +0 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 134 @Richmond L 77 - 86 20% -4  8% 2 - 7 C- -4 D+ -2 D- F+ A+ C -1 B F F
 Sat, Dec 13 105 @George Mason L 61 - 73 14% -10  0% 2 - 8 D+ -5 F -12 D- B- F A- +8 A B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 205 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  82% 3 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +4 C +1 C- F A- B- +3 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 227 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 59% -1  24% 3 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D -5 C+ C F D+ -3 B- A F
 Sun, Dec 28 104 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  0% 3 - 10 D+ -8 F -12 F D+ D- B +4 C A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 172 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 48% -13  0% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D- -12 C +1 A- F+ B F -14 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 261 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 66% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 F D+ A+ D- -8 D- D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 227 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 36% +7  99% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 C B F B +5 B+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 205 @James Madison L 69 - 70 31% +9  88% 4 - 13 2 - 4 C -0 D -6 F D B+ B+ +6 D+ A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 261 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 43% +2  57% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D+ -6 B- +4 B+ D B+ F -10 F C C
 Sat, Jan 17 172 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 27% +10  98% 5 - 14 3 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ C- D+ D+ -4 C- F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 149 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 43% +1  65% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D -9 F -11 D- F B B- +3 A+ D C-
 Wed, Jan 28 145 @Arkansas St. W 75 - 71 21% +5  96% 6 - 15 4 - 6 B- +8 C- -1 D+ D+ B A +9 B- A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 234 @Texas St. L 64 - 81 37% -12  0% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -18 F+ -9 F C- D F+ -9 D- B F
 Wed, Feb 4 354 Louisiana Monroe L 79 - 85 89% -6  0% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F -24 F -10 F D B F -13 D- B- C+
 Sat, Feb 7 219 Ohio W 78 - 72 57% -0  57% 7 - 17 C -0 B- +5 D+ C+ A+ D -5 D C D-
 Wed, Feb 11 188 Marshall L 79 - 81 51% +7  86% 7 - 18 4 - 9 D+ -7 D+ -3 C+ C- A- D+ -4 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 298 Georgia St. W 78 - 55 74% +12  98% 8 - 18 5 - 9 B+ +12 B +6 B+ A+ D A- +8 A+ D- F+
 Mon, Feb 16 303 Louisiana W 83 - 72 75% +2  74% 9 - 18 6 - 9 C -0 B+ +8 A- F A+ D- -8 B- F+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 226 @Southern Miss L 81 - 86 36% +3  58% 9 - 19 6 - 10 D+ -6 D+ -3 D- A- F C- -2 F C+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 188 @Marshall L 88 - 97 29% -7  2% 9 - 20 6 - 11 D+ -8 B +7 C- A A+ F -15 F C- F
 Fri, Feb 27 298 @Georgia St. W 81 - 73 53% +1  49% 10 - 20 7 - 11 C+ +3 C +1 C B+ D+ C+ +1 B- D- F
 Tue, Mar 3 354 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 75 83%
Totals 11 - 20 8 - 11 -4 C- -2 A+ C- D C- -2 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D C C- 35% 52% 37% D D+ D B C- C+ C- C+ C- C- D B- B C 43% 22% 34% C C C- C+ C D D C- D
1.05 59% 34% 34% -1 -1 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 16% .29 74% .21 1.12 63% 36% 31% 0 0 1.03 31% 1.0 .32 15% .35 73% .21
Nov
3		 Miami (OH) D D+ C A+ B+ 33% 27% 41% D+ B F B D- F C A- B- C+ F+ B A- C+ 55% 6% 39% F C- C- A+ A C+ F F+ F
0.96 56% 38% 45% +6 -1 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 25% .29 81% .23 1.16 71% 33% 30% +5 +3 1.18 25% 0.6 .16 16% .43 81% .35
Nov
11		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ C- F F 35% 19% 47% D F D+ F F+ B C B- C+ C+ A D A+ A+ 42% 27% 31% C- A F B- F+ B- A- F C
1.01 80% 38% 15% -6 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .23 15% .38 74% .28 0.96 42% 42% 21% -12 -1 0.78 42% 0.9 .39 20% .27 85% .23
Nov
15		 George Washington D+ F F A+ D- 35% 24% 41% D+ D- A F C+ F+ A+ D+ A D- D+ F A+ B 51% 10% 39% C- B- B- F D F F C+ F
0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26 1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41
Nov
18		 Xavier D- B+ F F D- 37% 31% 31% D F+ C- B C D+ C+ D+ C F C- C+ D- C- 29% 15% 56% D- C- F F F C F B- F
0.93 65% 29% 24% -5 -2 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 19% .30 67% .20 1.33 63% 38% 39% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.2 .61 12% .37 71% .26
Nov
21		 Morgan St. B+ B- D+ A B- 28% 22% 50% F C C F D- A B- B B A C B+ A+ A- 52% 20% 28% F B D+ A B- D C- A+ A-
1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34 0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20
Nov
23		 Drexel C+ F C- A+ B 40% 36% 25% D- C+ C+ F+ D+ B- C- F F D- B- B+ F C- 46% 22% 33% C- D+ D- F F D F F F
1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16 1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29
Nov
25		 Villanova A F F A+ B 28% 24% 48% C- B F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ F+ F D- C+ F 35% 18% 47% C+ F+ A- F D F+ F D+ F
1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28 1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32
Nov
30		 William & Mary D- B- C- F D- 36% 13% 51% C+ D- F A+ F+ D+ F+ A+ C- C+ F F A+ D 43% 16% 41% B- D+ C- A+ A- D+ F F F
0.95 64% 38% 26% -4 +1 0.95 14% 1.4 .19 20% .21 92% .19 1.11 73% 63% 24% +4 +1 1.12 27% 0.8 .20 15% .45 83% .37
Dec
6		 Richmond D+ B+ D- F D- 30% 27% 43% C- D- C- F F+ A+ C A+ B- C D+ A+ B+ B+ 49% 28% 23% F+ B D F F F F+ A+ C-
1.02 67% 31% 23% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.8 .23 9% .29 80% .23 1.14 64% 25% 31% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 9% .41 64% .26
Dec
13		 George Mason F D- D- C- D- 36% 34% 30% D- D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B A- C+ A+ A- A+ 54% 18% 28% F A A C B+ C- F C- F
0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20 1.03 59% 11% 29% -7 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38
Dec
17		 James Madison C D+ F C+ C- 33% 16% 51% C C- F+ F F A- A+ A+ A+ B- F F+ A+ C 40% 15% 45% C- C A B- A- C+ D+ D+ D+
1.15 53% 29% 35% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.8 .16 9% .54 82% .44 1.01 79% 43% 19% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.0 .22 18% .33 72% .24
Dec
20		 Coastal Carolina D C- D+ A B- 33% 37% 29% D C+ F A+ C F C+ A- B D+ D C A+ B- 42% 31% 27% D+ B- A- A+ A F F F F
1.01 53% 37% 40% 0 -3 0.98 16% 1.8 .29 18% .32 79% .25 1.04 60% 39% 19% -5 -1 0.90 20% 0.6 .13 7% .35 88% .31
Dec
28		 Maryland F B- F F F 29% 37% 33% F F C+ F D+ D- B+ F C+ B B+ A+ F C 33% 20% 47% B- C A+ D+ A+ F A- F B-
0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22 1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23
Dec
31		 Appalachian St. C A+ F A+ A 33% 21% 46% D+ A- D F F+ B A+ F B F F B+ A D 46% 22% 33% C D F F F C+ F B- F
1.10 71% 18% 42% +5 0 1.12 25% 0.7 .18 12% .38 59% .22 1.22 71% 30% 27% +1 0 1.04 42% 1.5 .65 17% .51 61% .31
Jan
3		 Georgia Southern D- D- F F F 38% 28% 34% F F F+ B D+ A+ D+ B C D- D C- C F+ 46% 21% 32% B- D- D- C+ D+ D+ F F F
1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28 1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34
Jan
8		 Coastal Carolina C- F+ B C+ C- 40% 29% 31% B- C B+ C- B F F+ F F B C+ A+ D A- 33% 25% 42% D+ B+ A F B- D+ D- D- D-
1.02 45% 44% 35% -3 -1 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 17% .23 38% .09 0.96 53% 8% 36% -8 -1 0.85 18% 1.1 .21 15% .31 78% .24
Jan
10		 James Madison D F C C+ F+ 33% 30% 37% F+ F F B- D B+ D+ D+ D+ B+ F B A+ D 52% 23% 25% C- D+ C+ A+ A- A+ F F F
1.00 33% 38% 35% -8 -2 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 10% .32 70% .23 1.01 78% 30% 18% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.8 .21 23% .47 80% .38
Jan
15		 Georgia Southern B- D C- A+ A- 40% 15% 45% C B+ C- D- D B+ F F F F C F F F 44% 12% 44% D+ F D- A C C F B+ F
1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17 1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32
Jan
17		 Appalachian St. B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F+ A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ F A D+ D- A+ A+ C+ 53% 10% 37% F C- B F F+ F F B- F+
1.16 64% 50% 45% +13 -2 1.24 18% 1.4 .25 15% .42 61% .26 1.12 65% 20% 22% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.5 .41 11% .43 60% .26
Jan
21		 Troy F B C- F D- 39% 31% 30% D- D- F F+ F B A C+ A- B- A+ F A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ B+ F D C- F F F
0.94 63% 42% 17% -5 -1 0.90 17% 0.9 .14 15% .36 72% .26 1.02 38% 60% 18% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.3 .38 16% .50 85% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Arkansas St. C- C- C+ D+ C- 32% 31% 37% D- D+ F A+ D+ B F A F+ A F A+ B- B- 32% 19% 49% B B- A+ B+ A C+ B A+ A-
1.04 58% 39% 32% -1 -2 0.97 14% 1.8 .25 12% .22 79% .17 0.98 71% 10% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 21% .30 65% .19
Jan
31		 Texas St. F+ C+ F F F 41% 14% 45% C+ F B- D- C- D A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B- F F+ 39% 33% 27% B- D- C A B F F D F
0.93 60% 14% 23% -10 +1 0.84 33% 0.8 .27 20% .40 82% .33 1.17 60% 35% 43% +3 -2 1.06 32% 0.7 .24 12% .41 80% .33
Feb
4		 Louisiana Monroe F C F F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F D C D B A+ D- A+ F F F A+ F+ 40% 27% 33% B- D- F A+ B- C+ F F+ F
1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30 1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46
Feb
7		 Ohio B- A+ F A+ C 34% 45% 21% F D+ C- B+ C+ A+ C A+ B+ D F C+ B- D- 30% 24% 46% B- D C+ C- C D- B+ B B+
1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27 1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18
Feb
11		 Marshall D+ B+ A C- B 32% 36% 32% F+ C+ F A+ C- A- F F F D+ F+ B- F F 38% 25% 36% D+ F A+ A+ A+ D- D+ A C
1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13 1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18
Feb
14		 Georgia St. B A B- A A 37% 30% 33% F+ B+ B+ A+ A+ D C F D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 44% 33% A+ A+ F+ C- D- F+ D+ D- D
1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19 0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27
Feb
16		 Louisiana B+ A+ C+ A- A 51% 28% 21% D A- F C- F A+ A- A A+ D- D B+ D- C- 20% 55% 25% A+ B- F C F+ F F D+ F
1.25 75% 38% 40% +11 0 1.23 16% 1.0 .16 12% .44 81% .36 1.08 60% 32% 38% -1 -6 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 12% .43 72% .31
Feb
21		 Southern Miss D+ F C- A D 38% 26% 36% D D- C- A+ A- F A A A+ C- D A F F 55% 22% 22% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
1.00 40% 36% 42% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.6 .41 23% .44 78% .34 1.06 63% 27% 55% +7 +1 1.18 47% 0.6 .30 32% .55 67% .36
Feb
24		 Marshall B B- C+ F C- 47% 28% 26% C+ C- B- A+ A A+ D A+ B- F F F A- F 28% 32% 40% B+ F B- D- C- F A+ F A-
1.22 63% 38% 27% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 11% .31 90% .28 1.34 88% 79% 29% +19 -2 1.35 29% 1.3 .36 10% .15 80% .12
Feb
27		 Georgia St. C A+ C+ F B- 38% 36% 26% F C F A+ B+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C+ B- F A+ B- 27% 37% 37% B+ B- D+ D- D- F F A+ F
1.10 72% 41% 25% +3 -2 1.04 21% 2.0 .41 18% .49 77% .38 0.99 50% 47% 16% -9 -3 0.79 30% 1.2 .35 8% .50 65% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 83.2 83.2 10th
11th 11th
12th 16.8 16.8 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 16.8 83.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 83.2% 83.2
7-11 16.8% 16.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 83.2%
Lose Out 16.8%