Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#205
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#241
Pace70.4#161
Improvement+2.8#38

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#199
First Shot-0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#250
Layup/Dunks-3.4#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#110
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#235
First Shot+1.3#123
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#346
Layups/Dunks-6.4#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#2
Freethrows-2.0#304
Improvement+2.6#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.4% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 24.2% 30.3% 11.7%
.500 or above in Conference 75.6% 83.2% 59.8%
Conference Champion 7.6% 10.1% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
First Round5.9% 7.0% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 33 - 53 - 13
Quad 410 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 103 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 16%     0 - 1 -7.4 -3.1 -3.4
  Tue, Nov 11 226 Norfolk St. W 60-57 65%     1 - 1 -4.0 -2.4 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 79 @George Washington L 73-96 11%     1 - 2 -12.7 -1.1 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 18 101 @Xavier L 69-99 16%     1 - 3 -22.1 -3.6 -16.8
  Fri, Nov 21 358 Morgan St. W 88-56 90%     2 - 3 +14.6 +9.9 +6.3
  Sun, Nov 23 287 @Drexel L 71-75 53%     2 - 4 -7.7 +1.5 -9.5
  Tue, Nov 25 39 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.4 +12.6 -12.0
  Sun, Nov 30 120 @William & Mary L 75-88 20%     2 - 6 -7.1 -3.4 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 104 @Richmond L 77-86 17%     2 - 7 -1.8 +2.4 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 13 75 @George Mason L 61-73 11%     2 - 8 -1.4 -7.2 +6.0
  Wed, Dec 17 193 James Madison W 77-68 58%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +3.9 +2.5 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 20 241 Coastal Carolina W 77-72 67%    
  Sun, Dec 28 95 @Maryland L 70-82 14%    
  Wed, Dec 31 225 Appalachian St. W 70-66 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 235 Georgia Southern W 82-78 65%    
  Thu, Jan 8 241 @Coastal Carolina L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 193 @James Madison L 72-76 36%    
  Thu, Jan 15 235 @Georgia Southern L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 225 @Appalachian St. L 67-69 43%    
  Wed, Jan 21 143 Troy L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 327 Louisiana W 73-63 82%    
  Wed, Jan 28 141 @Arkansas St. L 76-83 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 260 @Texas St. L 70-71 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 356 Louisiana Monroe W 83-69 90%    
  Wed, Feb 11 158 Marshall L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 337 Georgia St. W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 @Southern Miss L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Feb 24 158 @Marshall L 73-79 29%    
  Fri, Feb 27 337 @Georgia St. W 76-71 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 4.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 5.4 2.9 0.5 0.1 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 5.9 1.9 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 5.3 2.9 0.2 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 4.0 1.2 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 2.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.8 7.0 10.9 14.0 15.5 14.9 12.4 9.3 5.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 95.4% 1.0    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 76.5% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.8% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 15.8% 1.5    0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 46.3% 46.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 1.1% 30.4% 30.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
15-3 2.7% 26.2% 26.2% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.0
14-4 5.4% 22.4% 22.4% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 4.2
13-5 9.3% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.3 7.9
12-6 12.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 11.4
11-7 14.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 14.1
10-8 15.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.1
9-9 14.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.9
8-10 10.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 3.8% 3.8
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 3.1 1.9 93.8 0.0%