Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#240
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#308
Pace67.2#223
Improvement-0.3#262

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#235
First Shot-3.2#283
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#117
Layup/Dunks+3.6#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.2#359
Freethrows+4.8#9
Improvement-0.3#319

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#226
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#333
Layups/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#357
Freethrows+6.2#2
Improvement+0.0#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 14.9% 26.5% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 36.6% 22.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 8.8% 15.5%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 47 - 510 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2022 349   @ South Carolina Upstate L 78-79 73%     0 - 1 -11.2 +0.4 -11.6
  Nov 23, 2022 48   @ Missouri L 51-89 7%     0 - 2 -25.1 -24.8 +3.5
  Nov 26, 2022 230   South Dakota W 66-59 60%     1 - 2 +0.4 +1.0 +0.9
  Nov 30, 2022 138   UNC Wilmington L 58-60 38%     1 - 3 -2.9 -10.1 +7.1
  Dec 03, 2022 209   @ Winthrop L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 06, 2022 162   @ Wofford L 67-74 24%    
  Dec 14, 2022 230   @ South Dakota L 68-71 38%    
  Dec 19, 2022 81   College of Charleston L 74-82 24%    
  Dec 29, 2022 122   Louisiana L 67-71 34%    
  Dec 31, 2022 292   Georgia Southern W 69-63 71%    
  Jan 05, 2023 204   @ Appalachian St. L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 07, 2023 94   @ Marshall L 68-80 13%    
  Jan 12, 2023 147   @ Old Dominion L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 14, 2023 205   @ Georgia St. L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 19, 2023 204   Appalachian St. W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 21, 2023 148   South Alabama L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 23, 2023 357   Chicago St. W 77-63 90%    
  Jan 26, 2023 60   @ James Madison L 65-81 9%    
  Jan 28, 2023 147   Old Dominion L 65-67 41%    
  Feb 02, 2023 316   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 04, 2023 272   @ Arkansas St. L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 09, 2023 94   Marshall L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 11, 2023 60   James Madison L 68-78 20%    
  Feb 16, 2023 205   Georgia St. W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 18, 2023 167   Texas St. L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 22, 2023 292   @ Georgia Southern W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 24, 2023 156   @ Troy L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.8 0.3 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.5 2.5 0.2 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.7 4.9 1.1 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.4 1.8 0.1 12.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.7 13th
14th 0.4 1.4 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.5 14th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.7 6.5 9.7 12.5 13.6 13.1 11.7 9.8 6.9 4.9 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 73.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.7% 13.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 7.6% 7.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 9.2% 9.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.7% 3.6% 3.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 2.9% 5.0% 5.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.8
11-7 4.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
10-8 6.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 6.8
9-9 9.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.7
8-10 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 13.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.0
6-12 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-15 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%