Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#42
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#38
Pace69.3#148
Improvement+2.1#88

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#58
First Shot+7.6#25
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#299
Layup/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#138
Freethrows+3.5#25
Improvement+3.2#42

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#40
First Shot+5.9#34
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#140
Layups/Dunks+13.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#353
Freethrows+1.5#82
Improvement-1.1#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 9.8% 17.2% 4.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 81.9% 92.5% 74.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 81.7% 92.4% 73.7%
Average Seed 8.3 7.9 8.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 53.7% 73.9% 38.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four6.6% 2.8% 9.5%
First Round78.4% 91.2% 68.7%
Second Round35.8% 44.2% 29.4%
Sweet Sixteen8.3% 11.1% 6.2%
Elite Eight2.8% 3.8% 2.0%
Final Four0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Home) - 43.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 10
Quad 24 - 211 - 11
Quad 33 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 266   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 96%     1 - 0 +11.6 +1.9 +8.0
  Nov 09, 2024 275   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 96%     2 - 0 -3.7 -14.6 +10.7
  Nov 13, 2024 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 98%     3 - 0 +13.4 +5.0 +7.6
  Nov 17, 2024 30   St. Mary's L 74-77 39%     3 - 1 +11.6 +15.8 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 29   @ Creighton W 74-63 30%     4 - 1 +28.2 +8.6 +19.4
  Nov 27, 2024 258   South Dakota W 96-79 96%     5 - 1 +9.1 +7.5 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2024 260   North Florida W 103-72 96%     6 - 1 +23.0 +11.7 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2024 19   @ Michigan St. L 52-89 25%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -18.1 -11.0 -6.7
  Dec 13, 2024 51   Indiana W 85-68 63%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +25.4 +17.8 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2024 155   Murray St. W 66-49 85%     8 - 2 +17.6 -1.8 +20.5
  Dec 23, 2024 193   @ Hawaii W 69-55 85%     9 - 2 +14.7 +6.0 +10.5
  Dec 25, 2024 75   Oregon St. W 78-66 66%     10 - 2 +19.4 +13.9 +6.6
  Dec 30, 2024 224   Southern W 77-43 94%     11 - 2 +28.2 +8.1 +21.9
  Jan 04, 2025 26   UCLA W 66-58 47%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +20.6 -0.5 +21.0
  Jan 07, 2025 58   @ Iowa L 87-97 OT 48%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +2.2 +5.1 -1.6
  Jan 12, 2025 8   @ Purdue L 68-104 19%     12 - 4 2 - 3 -15.1 +3.2 -18.0
  Jan 16, 2025 62   Rutgers L 82-85 70%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +3.4 +19.7 -16.6
  Jan 19, 2025 16   @ Maryland L 66-69 24%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +16.3 +5.4 +10.7
  Jan 22, 2025 52   USC L 73-78 63%     12 - 7 2 - 6 +3.3 +4.7 -1.6
  Jan 26, 2025 14   @ Wisconsin L 55-83 22%     12 - 8 2 - 7 -8.2 -10.1 +2.0
  Jan 30, 2025 15   Illinois W 80-74 OT 39%     13 - 8 3 - 7 +20.6 +3.8 +16.1
  Feb 02, 2025 44   @ Oregon W 77-71 41%     14 - 8 4 - 7 +20.2 +12.1 +8.2
  Feb 05, 2025 93   @ Washington W 86-72 64%     15 - 8 5 - 7 +22.1 +24.9 -1.6
  Feb 09, 2025 27   Ohio St. W 79-71 47%     16 - 8 6 - 7 +20.4 +16.2 +4.6
  Feb 13, 2025 16   Maryland L 73-76 43%    
  Feb 16, 2025 60   @ Northwestern L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 65   @ Penn St. W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 24, 2025 20   Michigan L 74-76 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 90   Minnesota W 71-63 79%    
  Mar 04, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 70-76 28%    
  Mar 09, 2025 58   Iowa W 82-78 68%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 3rd
4th 0.4 0.4 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 0.3 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 2.8 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 1.4 7.2 1.6 10.1 7th
8th 0.4 9.1 7.2 0.2 16.8 8th
9th 0.1 5.8 12.7 1.5 20.2 9th
10th 1.6 11.7 4.2 0.0 17.5 10th
11th 0.1 5.0 6.4 0.3 11.8 11th
12th 0.7 6.0 1.1 7.8 12th
13th 1.9 2.1 0.1 4.0 13th
14th 0.1 1.7 0.4 2.2 14th
15th 0.2 0.5 0.7 15th
16th 0.3 0.1 0.4 16th
17th 0.1 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.7 5.1 15.1 25.4 27.8 18.1 6.8 1.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 1.1% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-8 6.8% 100.0% 4.1% 95.9% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-9 18.1% 99.3% 1.9% 97.4% 7.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.3 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.1 99.3%
10-10 27.8% 96.4% 1.3% 95.1% 8.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.1 10.3 8.3 2.4 0.2 1.0 96.4%
9-11 25.4% 82.7% 0.8% 81.9% 9.4 0.1 0.5 3.0 7.4 7.7 2.3 4.4 82.5%
8-12 15.1% 50.8% 0.1% 50.6% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.1 0.2 7.5 50.7%
7-13 5.1% 12.5% 0.2% 12.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 4.4 12.3%
6-14 0.7% 0.7
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 81.9% 1.3% 80.6% 8.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.5 6.3 13.2 20.4 18.4 12.9 7.0 0.3 18.1 81.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 4.4 18.2 31.8 40.9 9.1
Lose Out 0.7%