Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#30
Expected Predictive Rating+20.2#13
Pace70.3#167
Improvement+2.3#40

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#43
First Shot+9.4#9
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#313
Layup/Dunks+3.9#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#7
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement-0.6#235

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#27
First Shot+3.4#71
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#15
Layups/Dunks+10.9#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#359
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#348
Freethrows+2.9#36
Improvement+2.9#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 5.7% 1.5%
Top 4 Seed 16.5% 29.7% 12.5%
Top 6 Seed 42.0% 61.3% 36.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 85.8% 95.1% 83.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85.5% 95.0% 82.7%
Average Seed 6.7 5.8 7.0
.500 or above 99.6% 99.9% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 74.0% 89.0% 69.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four5.7% 2.4% 6.8%
First Round82.9% 93.8% 79.6%
Second Round53.4% 66.5% 49.4%
Sweet Sixteen20.7% 29.4% 18.0%
Elite Eight7.6% 11.1% 6.5%
Final Four2.8% 3.9% 2.4%
Championship Game0.9% 1.4% 0.7%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 8
Quad 27 - 112 - 9
Quad 35 - 017 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 316 West Georgia W 86-53 98%     1 - 0 +21.2 +7.2 +13.8
  Sat, Nov 8 188 Florida International W 96-66 95%     2 - 0 +25.2 +12.7 +9.9
  Tue, Nov 11 342 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 99%     3 - 0 +4.4 -6.3 +11.6
  Sat, Nov 15 52 Oklahoma W 105-99 63%     4 - 0 +16.5 +31.9 -15.6
  Thu, Nov 20 75 New Mexico W 84-72 73%     5 - 0 +19.7 +3.4 +14.6
  Fri, Nov 21 79 Kansas St. W 86-85 74%     6 - 0 +8.4 +9.6 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 25 114 Winthrop W 80-73 89%     7 - 0 +7.3 +5.5 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 29 271 South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 97%     8 - 0 +0.3 -5.3 +5.4
  Sun, Dec 7 56 Creighton W 71-50 74%     9 - 0 +28.2 +8.1 +22.1
  Wed, Dec 10 41 Wisconsin W 90-60 70%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +38.7 +21.0 +17.8
  Sat, Dec 13 11 @Illinois L 74-82 23%    
  Sun, Dec 21 337 North Dakota W 88-60 99.6%   
  Tue, Dec 30 336 New Hampshire W 86-58 99%    
  Fri, Jan 2 13 Michigan St. L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Jan 5 29 @Ohio St. L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 23 @Indiana L 73-77 35%    
  Tue, Jan 13 83 Oregon W 80-70 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 61 @Northwestern W 76-74 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 51 Washington W 78-72 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 102 @Minnesota W 72-66 72%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 70-86 8%    
  Sun, Feb 1 11 Illinois L 77-79 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 126 @Rutgers W 76-68 78%    
  Tue, Feb 10 6 Purdue L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 61 Northwestern W 79-71 77%    
  Tue, Feb 17 22 @Iowa L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 111 Penn St. W 84-71 88%    
  Wed, Feb 25 92 Maryland W 80-69 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 36 @USC L 78-80 44%    
  Tue, Mar 3 31 @UCLA L 70-73 40%    
  Sun, Mar 8 22 Iowa W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.6 1.2 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.1 1.5 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 5.7 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.8 1.0 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.1 1.9 0.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.1 2.8 0.3 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.9 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.3 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.3 7.4 10.8 14.0 14.8 14.7 12.2 8.5 5.5 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 76.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 33.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
16-4 11.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 27.3% 72.7% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.2% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 2.5 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.7% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 3.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.5% 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 3.8 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.5% 99.9% 4.2% 95.7% 4.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 12.2% 99.9% 2.2% 97.7% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-8 14.7% 99.3% 1.2% 98.1% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.8 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
11-9 14.8% 98.2% 1.0% 97.2% 7.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 4.2 3.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.3 98.2%
10-10 14.0% 93.7% 0.5% 93.2% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 3.5 3.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.9 93.6%
9-11 10.8% 78.4% 0.2% 78.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.9 1.8 0.0 2.3 78.4%
8-12 7.4% 50.8% 0.2% 50.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 0.0 3.6 50.7%
7-13 4.3% 18.9% 18.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.5 18.9%
6-14 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 2.5%
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 85.8% 1.8% 84.0% 6.7 0.6 1.8 5.2 8.9 11.9 13.6 12.6 10.2 8.7 7.0 5.1 0.2 14.2 85.5%