Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.0#26
Expected Predictive Rating+26.8#6
Pace68.8#205
Improvement+2.2#56

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#31
First Shot+10.1#10
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#298
Layup/Dunks+5.3#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#17
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement+0.8#111

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#27
First Shot+3.7#68
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#16
Layups/Dunks+9.9#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#359
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#348
Freethrows+3.7#12
Improvement+1.4#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 6.9% 6.9% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 36.1% 36.2% 11.7%
Top 6 Seed 69.9% 70.0% 46.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.0% 97.0% 89.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.9% 96.9% 89.4%
Average Seed 5.4 5.4 6.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 87.3% 87.4% 71.3%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 2.2% 7.4%
First Round95.8% 95.9% 85.1%
Second Round69.8% 69.9% 47.9%
Sweet Sixteen31.0% 31.1% 14.9%
Elite Eight10.7% 10.7% 4.3%
Final Four3.7% 3.7% 2.1%
Championship Game1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 7
Quad 27 - 114 - 8
Quad 34 - 018 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 315 West Georgia W 86-53 99%     1 - 0 +21.0 +6.8 +13.9
  Sat, Nov 8 182 Florida International W 96-66 96%     2 - 0 +25.4 +11.5 +11.3
  Tue, Nov 11 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 99%     3 - 0 +4.0 -6.7 +11.6
  Sat, Nov 15 45 Oklahoma W 105-99 64%     4 - 0 +17.3 +32.5 -15.3
  Thu, Nov 20 65 New Mexico W 84-72 74%     5 - 0 +20.4 +4.3 +14.4
  Fri, Nov 21 71 Kansas St. W 86-85 75%     6 - 0 +8.9 +8.9 -0.1
  Tue, Nov 25 131 Winthrop W 80-73 93%     7 - 0 +5.8 +4.4 +1.5
  Sat, Nov 29 264 South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 98%     8 - 0 +0.3 -5.4 +5.5
  Sun, Dec 7 37 Creighton W 71-50 68%     9 - 0 +31.2 +9.9 +23.3
  Wed, Dec 10 47 Wisconsin W 90-60 75%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +38.1 +21.1 +17.1
  Sat, Dec 13 10 @Illinois W 83-80 22%     11 - 0 2 - 0 +26.0 +28.0 -1.7
  Sun, Dec 21 333 North Dakota W 78-55 99%     12 - 0 +9.6 +3.4 +7.3
  Tue, Dec 30 335 New Hampshire W 86-57 99.7%   
  Fri, Jan 2 16 Michigan St. W 71-70 53%    
  Mon, Jan 5 31 @Ohio St. L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 29 @Indiana L 73-76 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 55 Oregon W 80-71 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 57 @Northwestern W 76-73 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 48 Washington W 78-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 95 @Minnesota W 72-66 71%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 71-86 9%    
  Sun, Feb 1 10 Illinois L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 146 @Rutgers W 78-67 84%    
  Tue, Feb 10 6 Purdue L 72-76 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 57 Northwestern W 79-70 79%    
  Tue, Feb 17 18 @Iowa L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 125 Penn St. W 85-69 92%    
  Wed, Feb 25 92 Maryland W 81-69 86%    
  Sat, Feb 28 39 @USC L 78-79 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 30 @UCLA L 73-75 42%    
  Sun, Mar 8 18 Iowa W 71-69 55%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.3 2.5 0.2 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 4.4 1.0 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.8 1.6 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.7 6.6 10.1 13.9 15.8 15.6 13.3 9.4 5.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 66.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
17-3 34.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 11.6% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
15-5 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 1.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.6% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 2.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 5.4% 100.0% 7.5% 92.5% 2.8 0.4 1.5 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 9.4% 100.0% 6.2% 93.8% 3.4 0.2 1.3 3.8 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 13.3% 100.0% 3.9% 96.1% 4.0 0.1 0.6 3.5 5.1 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 15.6% 100.0% 1.9% 98.1% 4.8 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 5.7 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 15.8% 100.0% 1.2% 98.8% 5.5 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.1 5.1 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 13.9% 99.6% 0.5% 99.1% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 4.6 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6%
10-10 10.1% 98.5% 0.3% 98.2% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.8 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.5%
9-11 6.6% 93.5% 0.1% 93.5% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.4 93.5%
8-12 3.7% 77.6% 0.1% 77.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.8 77.6%
7-13 1.6% 48.2% 48.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 48.2%
6-14 0.6% 11.0% 11.0% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 11.0%
5-15 0.2% 3.6% 3.6% 11.0 0.0 0.2 3.6%
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 97.0% 2.5% 94.5% 5.4 1.6 5.3 13.1 16.1 18.0 15.8 10.6 6.4 4.9 3.1 1.9 0.1 3.0 96.9%