Nebraska
Big Ten
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#94
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#77
Pace66.2#237
Improvement-1.2#312

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#164
First Shot+0.5#165
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#198
Layup/Dunks+4.3#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#248
Freethrows-0.9#250
Improvement-0.9#308

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#52
First Shot+3.9#64
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#90
Layups/Dunks+7.1#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#308
Freethrows+4.1#4
Improvement-0.3#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.8
.500 or above 3.2% 6.5% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 2.6% 8.7%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Home) - 42.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 43 - 13
Quad 22 - 55 - 18
Quad 32 - 06 - 18
Quad 46 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 288   Maine W 79-66 91%     1 - 0 +3.5 +1.7 +1.8
  Nov 10, 2022 310   Nebraska Omaha W 75-61 92%     2 - 0 +3.2 -3.1 +6.6
  Nov 17, 2022 72   @ St. John's L 50-70 31%     2 - 1 -9.7 -17.9 +8.5
  Nov 20, 2022 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-58 94%     3 - 1 +11.2 +13.6 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2022 43   Oklahoma L 56-69 30%     3 - 2 -2.5 -2.6 -2.0
  Nov 25, 2022 38   Memphis L 61-73 27%     3 - 3 -0.6 -2.6 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2022 140   Florida St. W 75-58 63%     4 - 3 +18.7 +1.1 +17.4
  Nov 30, 2022 144   Boston College W 88-67 73%     5 - 3 +19.8 +27.1 -4.9
  Dec 04, 2022 11   @ Creighton W 63-53 12%     6 - 3 +28.1 -1.8 +29.7
  Dec 07, 2022 21   @ Indiana L 65-81 15%     6 - 4 0 - 1 +0.5 -2.0 +2.8
  Dec 10, 2022 4   Purdue L 62-65 OT 17%     6 - 5 0 - 2 +12.4 -1.0 +13.2
  Dec 17, 2022 28   @ Kansas St. L 56-71 17%     6 - 6 +0.5 -9.7 +10.5
  Dec 20, 2022 221   Queens W 75-65 84%     7 - 6 +4.5 -8.0 +12.0
  Dec 29, 2022 30   Iowa W 66-50 33%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +25.8 -2.1 +28.9
  Jan 03, 2023 39   @ Michigan St. L 56-74 20%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -3.8 -4.1 -1.4
  Jan 07, 2023 173   @ Minnesota W 81-79 OT 60%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +4.7 +13.3 -8.6
  Jan 10, 2023 17   Illinois L 50-76 27%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -14.6 -14.0 -1.7
  Jan 13, 2023 4   @ Purdue L 55-73 8%     9 - 9 2 - 5 +2.8 -0.8 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2023 29   Ohio St. W 63-60 32%     10 - 9 3 - 5 +12.9 -10.2 +23.0
  Jan 21, 2023 45   @ Penn St. L 65-76 22%     10 - 10 3 - 6 +2.2 +0.0 +1.7
  Jan 25, 2023 50   Northwestern L 63-78 42%     10 - 11 3 - 7 -7.8 -2.2 -6.1
  Jan 28, 2023 31   @ Maryland L 63-82 17%     10 - 12 3 - 8 -3.9 +2.8 -8.0
  Jan 31, 2023 17   @ Illinois L 56-72 14%     10 - 13 3 - 9 +0.9 -9.2 +10.6
  Feb 05, 2023 45   Penn St. L 64-67 42%    
  Feb 08, 2023 58   @ Michigan L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 57   Wisconsin L 60-61 46%    
  Feb 14, 2023 20   @ Rutgers L 56-67 14%    
  Feb 19, 2023 31   Maryland L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 25, 2023 173   Minnesota W 67-59 78%    
  Feb 28, 2023 39   Michigan St. L 62-66 38%    
  Mar 05, 2023 30   @ Iowa L 69-79 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 4.1 4.1 0.1 8.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 7.3 9.9 1.8 0.0 20.3 12th
13th 1.3 10.5 22.9 20.9 5.9 0.2 61.8 13th
14th 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 14th
Total 2.2 11.5 24.5 28.6 20.3 9.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
10-10 0.4% 10.2% 1.9% 8.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 8.5%
9-11 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.2%
8-12 9.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
7-13 20.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 20.0
6-14 28.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 28.3
5-15 24.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 24.3
4-16 11.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.4
3-17 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 98.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 50.0% 9.8 15.0 30.0 5.0
Lose Out 2.2% 0.7% 16.0 0.7