Nebraska
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#35
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#30
Pace69.7#148
Improvement+2.1#89

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#32
First Shot+5.2#47
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#91
Layup/Dunks-2.6#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#35
Freethrows+2.6#38
Improvement-2.0#288

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#45
First Shot+5.0#32
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#184
Layups/Dunks+8.9#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#298
Freethrows+2.7#28
Improvement+4.1#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 6.6% 9.3% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 31.0% 39.7% 10.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.4% 93.5% 79.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.8% 93.1% 78.7%
Average Seed 7.2 6.9 8.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 98.1% 100.0% 93.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% 2.4% 7.5%
First Round87.4% 92.3% 75.9%
Second Round49.2% 54.0% 37.8%
Sweet Sixteen15.5% 18.1% 9.3%
Elite Eight5.0% 5.7% 3.2%
Final Four1.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Championship Game0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 8
Quad 27 - 211 - 9
Quad 34 - 015 - 9
Quad 47 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 359   Lindenwood W 84-52 99%     1 - 0 +13.2 +2.1 +10.6
  Nov 09, 2023 350   Florida A&M W 81-54 99%     2 - 0 +10.3 -5.6 +13.7
  Nov 13, 2023 245   Rider W 64-50 95%     3 - 0 +7.1 -8.2 +16.4
  Nov 15, 2023 211   Stony Brook W 84-63 94%     4 - 0 +15.4 +7.8 +7.5
  Nov 18, 2023 141   Oregon St. W 84-63 82%     5 - 0 +22.8 +18.6 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2023 113   Duquesne W 89-79 83%     6 - 0 +11.2 +28.7 -16.3
  Nov 26, 2023 232   Cal St. Fullerton W 85-72 94%     7 - 0 +6.7 +15.6 -8.3
  Dec 03, 2023 10   Creighton L 60-89 41%     7 - 1 -15.0 -9.2 -4.8
  Dec 06, 2023 60   @ Minnesota L 65-76 49%     7 - 2 0 - 1 +0.9 -1.9 +2.6
  Dec 10, 2023 16   Michigan St. W 77-70 47%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +19.5 +15.8 +4.2
  Dec 17, 2023 61   @ Kansas St. W 62-46 49%     9 - 2 +27.8 +1.7 +26.8
  Dec 20, 2023 236   North Dakota W 83-75 94%     10 - 2 +1.6 +8.8 -6.9
  Dec 29, 2023 305   South Carolina St. W 91-62 97%     11 - 2 +18.4 -4.6 +17.5
  Jan 03, 2024 99   Indiana W 86-70 80%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +18.9 +14.7 +4.1
  Jan 06, 2024 25   @ Wisconsin L 72-88 34%     12 - 3 2 - 2 -0.2 +9.0 -9.8
  Jan 09, 2024 1   Purdue W 88-72 27%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +34.1 +22.8 +11.7
  Jan 12, 2024 42   @ Iowa L 76-94 43%     13 - 4 3 - 3 -4.6 +4.6 -9.1
  Jan 17, 2024 72   @ Rutgers L 82-87 OT 56%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +5.2 +10.9 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2024 40   Northwestern W 75-69 63%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +14.1 +8.4 +6.0
  Jan 23, 2024 63   Ohio St. W 83-69 70%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +20.1 +18.4 +3.0
  Jan 27, 2024 41   @ Maryland L 51-73 43%     15 - 6 5 - 5 -8.5 -5.0 -6.1
  Feb 01, 2024 25   Wisconsin W 80-72 OT 55%     16 - 6 6 - 5 +18.3 +5.9 +11.9
  Feb 04, 2024 11   @ Illinois L 84-87 OT 24%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +16.0 +6.1 +10.3
  Feb 07, 2024 40   @ Northwestern L 68-80 42%     16 - 8 6 - 7 +1.6 -0.8 +2.7
  Feb 10, 2024 104   Michigan W 79-59 81%     17 - 8 7 - 7 +22.2 +12.2 +11.6
  Feb 17, 2024 79   Penn St. W 68-49 76%     18 - 8 8 - 7 +23.3 -1.5 +25.3
  Feb 21, 2024 99   @ Indiana W 85-70 62%     19 - 8 9 - 7 +23.3 +15.5 +7.6
  Feb 25, 2024 60   Minnesota W 76-71 70%    
  Feb 29, 2024 63   @ Ohio St. W 74-73 49%    
  Mar 03, 2024 72   Rutgers W 71-64 75%    
  Mar 10, 2024 104   @ Michigan W 77-73 63%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 8.5 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.8 17.2 8.5 26.5 3rd
4th 0.0 6.3 15.0 0.5 21.9 4th
5th 0.7 14.5 3.7 0.0 18.9 5th
6th 0.0 4.6 8.7 0.2 13.5 6th
7th 0.4 5.5 0.6 6.5 7th
8th 0.9 0.8 1.7 8th
9th 0.6 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 1.9 11.6 31.0 37.9 17.6 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 17.6% 99.6% 7.4% 92.2% 4.9 0.0 1.1 5.1 7.1 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6%
12-8 37.9% 96.7% 6.0% 90.7% 7.0 0.0 0.3 3.2 9.7 12.2 7.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.3 96.5%
11-9 31.0% 87.3% 5.3% 82.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 8.6 8.8 4.1 0.4 3.9 86.5%
10-10 11.6% 68.5% 4.7% 63.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.9 0.9 0.0 3.7 66.9%
9-11 1.9% 15.9% 5.2% 10.8% 10.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.6 11.3%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 89.4% 5.9% 83.6% 7.2 0.0 1.1 5.4 10.4 14.1 17.0 17.3 14.1 8.6 1.5 0.0 10.6 88.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 17.6% 99.6% 4.9 0.2 6.4 29.0 40.5 19.4 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Lose Out 1.9% 15.9% 10.7 4.2 11.5 0.2