Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.9#359
Expected Predictive Rating-22.7#364
Pace72.6#95
Improvement+1.6#87

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#339
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#351
Layup/Dunks-3.2#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement+1.6#73

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#354
First Shot-6.0#348
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#315
Layups/Dunks-3.9#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#338
Freethrows+2.1#58
Improvement+0.0#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.1% 76.6% 84.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 43 - 123 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 327 @Northern Illinois L 82-102 22%     0 - 1 -26.8 -0.4 -25.1
  Fri, Nov 7 63 @Mississippi L 65-86 2%     0 - 2 -9.6 -5.1 -3.2
  Thu, Nov 13 281 @Houston Christian L 61-72 14%     0 - 3 -14.4 -15.6 +1.3
  Mon, Nov 17 255 Lamar L 66-79 26%     0 - 4 -21.2 -10.3 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 22 307 Morehead St. L 80-83 26%     0 - 5 -11.4 +3.3 -14.7
  Sun, Nov 23 140 @East Tennessee St. L 55-97 5%     0 - 6 -37.7 -16.4 -21.8
  Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66-52 85%     1 - 6 -12.1 -12.1 +1.1
  Sun, Dec 7 136 @Stephen F. Austin L 76-96 4%     1 - 7 -15.3 +3.8 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 13 35 @Miami (FL) L 79-104 1%     1 - 8 -8.7 +13.6 -22.0
  Wed, Dec 17 191 South Alabama L 92-96 2OT 17%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -9.0 -0.9 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 20 315 Louisiana L 62-76 38%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -25.9 -6.7 -20.6
  Sun, Dec 28 58 @Kansas St. L 69-96 0.5%   
  Thu, Jan 1 203 Southern Miss L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 257 Texas St. L 69-76 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 315 @Louisiana L 63-72 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 203 @Southern Miss L 68-83 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 330 Georgia St. L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 22 161 @Marshall L 68-86 5%    
  Sat, Jan 24 228 @Appalachian St. L 61-75 10%    
  Thu, Jan 29 212 Georgia Southern L 77-86 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 250 Coastal Carolina L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 214 @Old Dominion L 70-84 9%    
  Wed, Feb 11 133 @Arkansas St. L 72-92 4%    
  Sat, Feb 14 257 @Texas St. L 66-79 13%    
  Wed, Feb 18 138 Troy L 69-82 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 133 Arkansas St. L 75-89 11%    
  Wed, Feb 25 191 @South Alabama L 64-80 7%    
  Fri, Feb 27 138 @Troy L 66-85 4%    
Projected Record 3 - 25 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.3 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.0 12th
13th 0.3 2.3 5.9 6.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 17.1 13th
14th 10.6 21.7 22.4 13.0 4.0 0.6 0.0 72.4 14th
Total 10.6 22.0 24.7 19.4 12.2 6.4 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.4% 0.4
7-11 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
6-12 2.9% 2.9
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 12.2% 12.2
3-15 19.4% 19.4
2-16 24.7% 24.7
1-17 22.0% 22.0
0-18 10.6% 10.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.6%