Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.2 #355
Expected Predictive Rating -19.5 #360
Pace 75.1 #37
Improvement +2.8 #63

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #344 D D- C- C C-
Defense #349 F+ D- C- B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #233 1.00 #343 -4.1 #315
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #155 0.72 #230 +0.0 #176
Three Pointers 42% #162 0.97 #237 -0.5 #197
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #315 -4.6 #315
Freethrows 0.30 #222 72% #179 0.21 #203
Second Chance 23.0% #348 0.97 #259 0.22 #344
Turnovers 17.8% #237
Total Offense -7.0 #344

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #171 1.33 #350 -3.6 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #343 0.85 #319 +1.6 #72
Three Pointers 46% #42 1.10 #302 -4.7 #345
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #353 -6.7 #354
Freethrows 0.25 #36 70% #87 0.18 #32
Second Chance 35.9% #341 1.11 #295 0.40 #341
Turnovers 15.9% #243
Total Defense -7.2 #349

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #229 1.6% #313
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.5% #320 11.4% #353
Possession Length 16.9 #132 15.9 #15
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #296 0.23 #337
Improvement +0.8 #141 +2.0 #73

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 39.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 43 - 143 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 310 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 21% -10  0 - 1 -26 +3 C+ C- C -27 F+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 60 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2% -17  0 - 2 -9 -5 C F+ D+ -3 D D A-
 Thu, Nov 13 303 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 20% +3  0 - 3 -16 -17 F F F+ +0 C C D-
 Mon, Nov 17 195 Lamar L 66 - 79 19% -9  0 - 4 -18 -10 F+ C- C- -8 C- B- F+
 Sat, Nov 22 302 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 28% -0  0 - 5 -11 +0 D- F+ B- -12 F F+ D
 Sun, Nov 23 132 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 5% -20  0 - 6 -37 -15 F D+ C+ -22 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 87% +4  1 - 6 -13 -11 F+ F C- -0 A+ C F
 Sun, Dec 7 103 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  1 - 7 -12 +6 F+ B+ A -18 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 13 40 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  1 - 8 -9 +12 A- C+ A+ -21 F D F
 Wed, Dec 17 203 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 21% +7  1 - 9 0 - 1 -10 -0 B A F -9 F F A
 Sat, Dec 20 295 Louisiana L 62 - 76 37% -12  1 - 10 0 - 2 -25 -8 F C D- -18 F B+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 88 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 3% -6  1 - 11 +0 +7 A F C- -5 D+ B C
 Thu, Jan 1 244 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 27% -11  1 - 12 0 - 3 -22 -9 F+ D+ C+ -12 F C A-
 Sat, Jan 3 256 Texas St. L 79 - 84 28% -3  1 - 13 0 - 4 -13 +1 A F D+ -14 D F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 295 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 19% -3  1 - 14 0 - 5 -11 +5 B F+ B- -15 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 244 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 13% +0  1 - 15 0 - 6 -12 -10 F F+ D- -2 B D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 273 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 32% -9  1 - 16 0 - 7 -29 -16 F F C+ -14 F C+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 156 @Marshall L 60 - 115 6% -28  1 - 17 0 - 8 -52 -15 F D+ C+ -34 F F C-
 Fri, Jan 23 172 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 7% -8  1 - 18 0 - 9 -14 -26 F F D- +12 B A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 30 270 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 31% -2  1 - 19 0 - 10 -12 -7 D+ D- D+ -5 C+ D+ B+
 Sun, Feb 1 240 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 26% -5  1 - 20 0 - 11 -12 +8 B+ C- B- -20 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 259 @Old Dominion W 85 - 79 14% +6  2 - 20 1 - 11 +3 +8 C F+ D+ -5 C+ F+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 305 Ball St. L 71 - 74 40%
 Wed, Feb 11 169 @Arkansas St. L 74 - 91 6%
 Sat, Feb 14 256 @Texas St. L 68 - 80 13%
 Wed, Feb 18 136 Troy L 70 - 83 11%
 Sat, Feb 21 169 Arkansas St. L 77 - 88 16%
 Wed, Feb 25 203 @South Alabama L 65 - 80 9%
 Fri, Feb 27 136 @Troy L 67 - 86 4%
Totals 3 - 26 2 - 16 -14 -7 D D- C- -7 F+ D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 54.5 33.7 9.7 1.8 0.2 99.8 14th
Total 54.5 33.7 9.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 9.7% 9.7
2-16 33.7% 33.7
1-17 54.5% 54.5
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 33.9%