Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.6#360
Expected Predictive Rating-18.7#360
Pace75.2#52
Improvement+0.1#166

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#351
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebound-6.1#364
Layup/Dunks-1.9#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#167
Freethrows-1.9#288
Improvement+0.3#147

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#353
First Shot-4.9#327
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#305
Layups/Dunks-3.6#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#326
Freethrows+2.6#53
Improvement-0.2#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.7% 60.9% 71.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 83.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 114 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 329 @Northern Illinois L 82-102 23%     0 - 1 -26.7 -0.8 -24.7
  Fri, Nov 7 58 @Mississippi L 65-86 1%     0 - 2 -8.6 -6.6 -0.8
  Thu, Nov 13 283 @Houston Christian L 61-72 16%     0 - 3 -14.8 -14.7 +0.0
  Mon, Nov 17 196 Lamar L 66-79 19%     0 - 4 -18.4 -8.2 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 22 328 Morehead St. L 80-83 32%     0 - 5 -12.6 +2.1 -14.7
  Sun, Nov 23 137 @East Tennessee St. L 55-97 5%     0 - 6 -37.4 -14.2 -23.7
  Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-71 84%    
  Sun, Dec 7 146 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-83 4%    
  Sat, Dec 13 33 @Miami (FL) L 62-93 0.2%   
  Wed, Dec 17 150 South Alabama L 66-78 13%    
  Sat, Dec 20 317 Louisiana L 69-72 40%    
  Sun, Dec 28 71 @Kansas St. L 71-96 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 232 Southern Miss L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Jan 3 223 Texas St. L 68-76 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 317 @Louisiana L 66-75 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 232 @Southern Miss L 70-83 12%    
  Sat, Jan 17 335 Georgia St. L 75-76 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 184 @Marshall L 72-88 8%    
  Sat, Jan 24 279 @Appalachian St. L 64-75 16%    
  Thu, Jan 29 233 Georgia Southern L 77-84 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 258 Coastal Carolina L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 220 @Old Dominion L 70-84 11%    
  Wed, Feb 11 156 @Arkansas St. L 73-90 6%    
  Sat, Feb 14 223 @Texas St. L 65-79 11%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 Troy L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 156 Arkansas St. L 76-87 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 150 @South Alabama L 63-81 6%    
  Fri, Feb 27 147 @Troy L 67-85 5%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.2 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.7 1.8 0.1 12.0 12th
13th 0.7 3.7 8.0 7.9 3.1 0.3 23.6 13th
14th 6.0 13.6 15.6 9.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 48.7 14th
Total 6.0 14.2 19.3 19.0 15.7 11.2 7.0 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 2.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 3.9% 3.9
6-12 7.0% 7.0
5-13 11.2% 11.2
4-14 15.7% 15.7
3-15 19.0% 19.0
2-16 19.3% 19.3
1-17 14.2% 14.2
0-18 6.0% 6.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%