Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#332
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#339
Pace67.6#223
Improvement+1.2#107

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#334
First Shot-3.3#272
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#322
Layup/Dunks-2.1#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#327
Freethrows-2.5#307
Improvement+1.7#58

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#295
First Shot-2.2#241
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#280
Layups/Dunks-2.5#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#293
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement-0.5#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.5% 7.1% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.5% 41.7% 52.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 102 - 13
Quad 46 - 108 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 47   @ LSU L 60-95 3%     0 - 1 -21.7 -9.2 -10.7
  Nov 08, 2024 220   @ Tulane L 64-80 18%     0 - 2 -16.2 -12.2 -3.3
  Nov 12, 2024 168   @ Rice L 50-66 13%     0 - 3 -13.7 -16.9 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2024 227   SE Louisiana L 67-70 38%     0 - 4 -9.6 -6.2 -3.4
  Nov 22, 2024 297   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 29%     1 - 4 -2.1 -4.7 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2024 214   North Alabama L 62-74 25%     1 - 5 -14.6 -6.9 -8.8
  Nov 29, 2024 197   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 31%     1 - 6 -12.7 -2.4 -11.3
  Dec 02, 2024 161   Texas Arlington L 70-84 27%     1 - 7 -17.3 -9.3 -7.5
  Dec 11, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-71 84%    
  Dec 14, 2024 161   @ Texas Arlington L 69-81 12%    
  Dec 17, 2024 351   Houston Christian W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 21, 2024 317   Old Dominion W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 02, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 272   @ Coastal Carolina L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 250   @ Southern Miss L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 262   @ Louisiana L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 125   Troy L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 262   Louisiana L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 23, 2025 206   South Alabama L 64-69 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 163   Appalachian St. L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 30, 2025 206   @ South Alabama L 61-72 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 125   @ Troy L 63-78 9%    
  Feb 05, 2025 230   @ Georgia St. L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 13, 2025 138   Texas St. L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 250   Southern Miss L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 138   @ Texas St. L 61-75 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 130   @ Arkansas St. L 63-77 10%    
  Feb 25, 2025 114   James Madison L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 28, 2025 130   Arkansas St. L 66-74 23%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.2 2.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.7 0.1 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.1 1.4 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.1 6.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 15.0 12th
13th 0.3 2.1 6.3 8.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 21.4 13th
14th 1.8 5.8 9.5 8.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 30.1 14th
Total 1.8 6.1 11.6 15.8 16.6 15.4 12.3 8.4 5.5 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 1.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.8
9-9 3.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
8-10 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-12 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-13 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-14 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-15 15.8% 15.8
2-16 11.6% 11.6
1-17 6.1% 6.1
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%