Marshall
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#114
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#172
Pace84.4#2
Improvement+0.9#105

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#88
First Shot+2.9#98
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#145
Layup/Dunks+7.1#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#326
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+1.3#54

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#172
First Shot+0.0#166
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#188
Layups/Dunks+1.7#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#276
Freethrows+0.9#137
Improvement-0.4#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 14.6% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 13.1
.500 or above 78.9% 87.5% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.4% 86.5% 78.2%
Conference Champion 14.7% 18.0% 11.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round11.3% 14.2% 8.3%
Second Round2.2% 2.9% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 68 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 205   Wright St. W 96-88 78%     1 - 0 +3.1 +0.0 +1.4
  Nov 18, 2021 179   Campbell L 65-67 76%     1 - 1 -5.9 -7.4 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2021 258   Jackson St. W 80-66 86%     2 - 1 +5.6 +4.8 +0.5
  Nov 23, 2021 186   Louisiana W 93-79 76%     3 - 1 +9.8 +3.4 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2021 34   @ Indiana L 79-90 14%     3 - 2 +3.8 +7.7 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2021 165   @ Akron W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 04, 2021 194   Duquesne W 84-76 77%    
  Dec 11, 2021 160   @ Eastern Kentucky L 89-90 50%    
  Dec 15, 2021 76   @ Ohio L 79-86 27%    
  Dec 18, 2021 112   Northern Iowa W 84-81 61%    
  Dec 21, 2021 117   @ Toledo L 82-85 39%    
  Dec 30, 2021 109   @ Louisiana Tech L 81-85 36%    
  Jan 01, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 08, 2022 221   Florida Atlantic W 86-77 78%    
  Jan 13, 2022 108   North Texas W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 184   Rice W 88-81 75%    
  Jan 20, 2022 226   @ Florida International W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 22, 2022 221   @ Florida Atlantic W 83-80 60%    
  Jan 27, 2022 183   Middle Tennessee W 82-75 75%    
  Jan 29, 2022 51   UAB L 78-80 41%    
  Feb 03, 2022 228   @ Old Dominion W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 05, 2022 223   @ Charlotte W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 10, 2022 226   Florida International W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 13, 2022 162   @ UTEP W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 228   Old Dominion W 77-68 81%    
  Feb 19, 2022 223   Charlotte W 79-70 79%    
  Feb 24, 2022 183   @ Middle Tennessee W 79-78 54%    
  Mar 02, 2022 126   Western Kentucky W 83-79 63%    
  Mar 05, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 80-82 43%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 3.1 4.8 3.2 1.7 0.4 14.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 2.4 5.7 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 4.6 4.2 1.0 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.2 1.0 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.6 2.5 1.7 0.2 5.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.3 3.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.6 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 3.1 4.7 6.7 9.6 11.5 12.6 14.1 12.4 9.5 7.3 3.5 1.7 0.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.9% 1.7    1.5 0.2
16-2 90.4% 3.2    2.4 0.8
15-3 65.4% 4.8    2.5 1.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 32.1% 3.1    1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
13-5 11.6% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.7% 14.7 8.2 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 76.4% 40.1% 36.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 60.6%
17-1 1.7% 47.3% 36.9% 10.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 16.6%
16-2 3.5% 35.1% 30.2% 5.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 2.3 7.1%
15-3 7.3% 26.7% 26.4% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 5.3 0.4%
14-4 9.5% 19.9% 19.5% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.6 0.5%
13-5 12.4% 14.9% 14.9% 13.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 10.5
12-6 14.1% 10.1% 10.1% 13.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.7
11-7 12.6% 7.8% 7.8% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 11.7
10-8 11.5% 4.9% 4.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.9
9-9 9.6% 3.8% 3.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.2
8-10 6.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5
7-11 4.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.6
6-12 3.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.6% 1.6
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.5% 11.0% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 3.3 3.5 2.5 0.7 0.2 88.5 0.6%