Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.8 #310
Expected Predictive Rating -10.2 #324
Pace 60.3 #361
Improvement +3.8 #33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #328 D D- C F+ F
Defense #256 D+ C- C F+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #360 1.02 #331 -8.0 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% #15 0.78 #132 +4.7 #13
Three Pointers 40% #196 0.96 #257 -1.7 #241
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #321 -5.0 #321
Freethrows 0.23 #349 68% #315 0.16 #354
Second Chance 25.1% #323 0.90 #341 0.23 #346
Turnovers 16.9% #210
Total Offense -6.3 #328

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #36 1.18 #211 -3.9 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #334 0.65 #33 +2.9 #11
Three Pointers 41% #195 1.16 #343 -2.7 #294
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #295 -3.7 #297
Freethrows 0.38 #349 73% #228 0.28 #350
Second Chance 32.2% #260 1.04 #176 0.34 #231
Turnovers 16.7% #162
Total Defense -2.5 #256

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.3% #359 2.2% #351
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.7% #279 5.0% #273
Possession Length 19.7 #351 17.7 #237
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #339 0.16 #134
Improvement +5.1 #5 -1.3 #253

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.4% 10.1% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 92 - 13
Quad 47 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 297 @Ball St. L 64 - 75 35% -2  0 - 1 -16 -5 D D D+ -12 F D B-
 Fri, Nov 7 264 SE Louisiana W 58 - 52 50% +9  1 - 1 -3 -4 A- F C +2 A- C- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 180 Tulane L 62 - 66 34% -3  1 - 2 -9 -7 F C- A -2 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Nov 14 81 @McNeese St. L 62 - 88 5% -18  1 - 3 -16 -4 F C D+ -13 F A+ A-
 Tue, Nov 18 83 @Stanford L 66 - 93 5% -12  1 - 4 -17 -3 C+ F+ C -14 F+ B- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 49 @Santa Clara L 43 - 80 3% -20  1 - 5 -23 -22 F F F -4 A+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 198 @UC Davis L 56 - 77 19% -8  1 - 6 -20 -12 F F F+ -9 F C D+
 Fri, Nov 28 335 Jackson St. L 45 - 51 70% -5  1 - 7 -20 -29 F C- F +8 B C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 207 @Lamar L 55 - 65 20% +2  1 - 8 -10 -8 D C F -3 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 115 UNC Wilmington L 63 - 70 20% -3  1 - 9 -7 -4 D+ C- C- -3 C- B- B
 Sat, Dec 13 210 @Louisiana Tech L 44 - 65 20% -11  1 - 10 -21 -18 F+ F F -6 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 266 @Southern Miss L 54 - 62 28% -2  1 - 11 0 - 1 -11 -17 F F B +6 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 76 - 62 66% +12  2 - 11 1 - 1 +1 +5 B- F A+ -2 C+ F A
 Sun, Dec 28 296 Norfolk St. W 63 - 54 57% +9  3 - 11 -2 -1 C+ F A +1 A- B- D+
 Wed, Dec 31 190 South Alabama L 58 - 63 36% -2  3 - 12 1 - 2 -10 -0 D C B -11 D+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 266 Southern Miss L 67 - 74 50% -2  3 - 13 1 - 3 -16 -6 D- A+ F+ -10 F B- A+
 Thu, Jan 8 361 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 79 83% +3  4 - 13 2 - 3 -13 +2 C- A- F -15 F C C
 Sat, Jan 10 120 Troy L 70 - 90 21% -16  4 - 14 2 - 4 -20 +3 A F C -26 D- F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 270 @Texas St. L 54 - 59 29% -5  4 - 15 2 - 5 -8 -10 F D- C +1 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 190 @South Alabama W 59 - 56 18% +1  5 - 15 3 - 5 +4 +2 C- D- A+ +3 C D- C
 Thu, Jan 22 197 @Appalachian St. L 58 - 72 19% -1  5 - 16 3 - 6 -13 -2 F C A -14 F C A+
 Thu, Jan 29 275 Georgia St. W 82 - 72 53% +10  6 - 16 4 - 6 +1 +13 A+ C+ C- -12 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 246 Georgia Southern L 72 - 73 45%
 Wed, Feb 4 194 @James Madison L 62 - 72 19%
 Sat, Feb 7 303 Central Michigan W 68 - 66 60%
 Thu, Feb 12 234 Coastal Carolina L 64 - 66 44%
 Mon, Feb 16 225 @Old Dominion L 64 - 72 22%
 Thu, Feb 19 158 Arkansas St. L 69 - 75 28%
 Sat, Feb 21 270 Texas St. W 65 - 64 51%
 Tue, Feb 24 120 @Troy L 60 - 74 9%
 Fri, Feb 27 158 @Arkansas St. L 66 - 78 13%
Totals 9 - 22 6 - 12 -9 -6 D D- C -2 D+ C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.2 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.4 0.3 0.7 5th
6th 1.3 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.3 1.8 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.5 4.7 0.1 5.3 9th
10th 0.1 3.4 4.2 0.1 7.8 10th
11th 2.2 8.9 1.1 12.3 11th
12th 1.2 12.1 8.4 0.2 21.9 12th
13th 6.8 19.4 16.9 2.2 45.3 13th
14th 14th
Total 6.8 20.6 31.3 23.4 12.4 4.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 6.9% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.6% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
9-9 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
8-10 12.4% 12.4
7-11 23.4% 23.4
6-12 31.3% 31.3
5-13 20.6% 20.6
4-14 6.8% 6.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.3%