IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#211
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.3	#183

Pace	75.2	#43
Improvement	+1.7	#76

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#147

First Shot	+1.8	#121
After Offensive Rebound	-1.4	#272

Layup/Dunks	-1.8	#252
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#301
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.9	#62
Freethrows	+1.8	#83

Improvement	+1.6	#69

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#300

First Shot	-2.1	#242
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.7	#300

Layups/Dunks	-2.9	#287
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#45
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.3	#129
Freethrows	-2.3	#320

Improvement	+0.1	#173

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.6%	7.6%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.6	14.8

.500 or above	77.6%	88.0%	69.0%
.500 or above in Conference	75.8%	86.9%	66.7%
Conference Champion	7.5%	12.0%	3.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.4%	0.1%	0.6%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	5.6%	7.5%	4.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 5	17 - 14

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	258 @East Carolina	L	89-92	46%	0 - 1			-5.3	+6.1	-11.0
Sat, Nov 8	218 UNC Asheville	W	93-90	62%	1 - 1			-3.6	+4.1	-8.1
Tue, Nov 11	188 @Florida Gulf Coast	W	95-94	33%	2 - 1			+2.1	+17.1	-15.1
Tue, Nov 18	126 @Georgia Tech	L	66-68	21%	2 - 2			+3.1	-6.7	+9.9
Fri, Nov 21	120 @Florida St.	L	72-98	19%	2 - 3			-19.9	-9.1	-6.7
Mon, Nov 24	164 Youngstown St.	L	61-67	39%	2 - 4			-6.4	-8.5	+1.8
Tue, Nov 25	294 Texas San Antonio	L	64-77	64%	2 - 5			-20.1	-13.3	-6.3
Sat, Nov 29	282 Houston Christian	W	80-62	72%	3 - 5			+8.7	+4.1	+5.4
Wed, Dec 3	187 Louisiana Tech	W	77-69	56%	4 - 5			+3.2	+9.3	-5.7
Sat, Dec 6	362 @Gardner-Webb	W	88-84	81%	5 - 5			-8.5	+3.9	-12.6
Sat, Dec 13	316 @West Georgia	W	91-85	60%	6 - 5			+0.0	+12.0	-12.2
Thu, Dec 18	330 Georgia St.	W	90-67	82%	7 - 5	1 - 0		+9.8	+16.4	-5.6
Sat, Dec 20	200 James Madison	W	96-92 OT	58%	8 - 5	2 - 0		-1.4	+7.0	-8.8
Thu, Jan 1	250 @Coastal Carolina	L	77-78	45%
Sat, Jan 3	214 @Old Dominion	L	78-81	40%
Sat, Jan 10	190 @South Alabama	L	73-77	35%
Thu, Jan 15	214 Old Dominion	W	81-78	61%
Sat, Jan 17	250 Coastal Carolina	W	80-75	67%
Thu, Jan 22	133 Arkansas St.	L	85-87	42%
Sat, Jan 24	138 Troy	L	77-79	44%
Thu, Jan 29	359 @Louisiana Monroe	W	86-77	79%
Sat, Jan 31	315 @Louisiana	W	72-69	60%
Wed, Feb 4	254 Texas St.	W	77-72	67%
Wed, Feb 11	229 Appalachian St.	W	73-69	64%
Sat, Feb 14	160 Marshall	L	80-81	49%
Thu, Feb 19	330 @Georgia St.	W	80-76	64%
Sat, Feb 21	229 @Appalachian St.	L	70-72	43%
Wed, Feb 25	200 @James Madison	L	77-81	36%
Fri, Feb 27	160 @Marshall	L	77-83	29%
Projected Record					16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.5	2.6	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0		7.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.9	4.5	2.5	0.7	0.1				11.1	2nd
3rd											0.2	3.2	5.6	2.6	0.3	0.0					11.9	3rd
4th										0.1	2.1	6.4	3.1	0.3	0.0						12.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.9	5.6	4.1	0.4	0.0							10.9	5th
6th									0.2	3.4	5.5	1.0	0.0								10.1	6th
7th								0.0	1.3	5.6	2.0	0.0									9.0	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.6	3.6	0.3	0.0									7.9	8th
9th							0.1	1.9	3.8	0.8	0.0										6.6	9th
10th						0.0	0.8	3.0	1.5	0.1											5.4	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	1.7	1.7	0.2												3.9	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.3													2.4	12th
13th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0													1.0	13th
14th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0															0.2	14th

Total			0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	3.9	7.3	10.6	14.4	15.8	15.1	12.4	8.8	5.4	2.7	0.9	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	93.6%	0.9		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.6%	2.0		1.3	0.6	0.0	0.0
14-4	47.3%	2.6		1.0	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0
13-5	16.5%	1.5		0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	7.5%	7.5		3.6	2.5	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.2%		36.1%	36.1%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.9%		30.2%	30.2%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0		0.7
15-3	2.7%		23.0%	23.0%		14.2														0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.1
14-4	5.4%		19.4%	19.4%		14.4														0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	4.4
13-5	8.8%		15.5%	15.5%		14.8														0.0	0.4	0.8	0.1	7.4
12-6	12.4%		8.7%	8.7%		15.0															0.2	0.7	0.2	11.3
11-7	15.1%		4.5%	4.5%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	14.4
10-8	15.8%		1.6%	1.6%		15.2															0.0	0.2	0.1	15.6
9-9	14.4%		1.1%	1.1%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	14.2
8-10	10.6%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5																0.0	0.0	10.5
7-11	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
6-12	3.9%																							3.9
5-13	1.7%																							1.7
4-14	0.6%																							0.6
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		5.6%	5.6%	0.0%	14.7												0.0	0.0	0.3	1.8	2.8	0.7	94.4		0.0%