Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.1 #270
Expected Predictive Rating -4.6 #237
Pace 74.6 #41
Improvement -3.1 #315

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #210 D+ C B- B- B
Defense #307 D+ D- B- D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #174 1.01 #338 -2.8 #279
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #324 0.97 #11 -1.5 #264
Three Pointers 48% #39 0.89 #328 +0.5 #154
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #297 -3.8 #298
Freethrows 0.34 #69 72% #199 0.25 #88
Second Chance 27.5% #270 1.12 #63 0.31 #187
Turnovers 15.4% #89
Total Offense -1.5 #210

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.21 #245 -4.2 #323
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #324 0.84 #309 +1.3 #90
Three Pointers 41% #201 1.04 #220 -0.2 #193
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #282 -3.2 #282
Freethrows 0.36 #320 75% #306 0.27 #329
Second Chance 36.4% #344 1.06 #230 0.39 #327
Turnovers 18.7% #81
Total Defense -4.6 #307

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.0% #58 2.1% #346
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.2% #326 4.1% #262
Possession Length 16.2 #76 16.8 #111
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #275 0.20 #271
Improvement -2.2 #303 -0.9 #241

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 35.1% 55.3% 20.8%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 50.4% 16.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Home) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 249 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 35% -2  0 - 1 -5 +6 C B+ C -11 D+ F D
 Sat, Nov 8 213 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 50% -1  1 - 1 -3 +5 C F+ A+ -9 D- F A-
 Tue, Nov 11 224 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 30% +3  2 - 1 +0 +17 A+ D- B- -17 D+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 113 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 13% +1  2 - 2 +4 -7 D- B D- +11 A+ C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 100 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 10% -14  2 - 3 -18 -9 D- F C -5 C- C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 197 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 36% -4  2 - 4 -8 -11 F F C +2 C F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 343 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 71% +1  2 - 5 -25 -17 F C- C -7 B- D F
 Sat, Nov 29 303 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 69% +6  3 - 5 +7 +3 C C A+ +4 B- C A
 Wed, Dec 3 228 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 53% +4  4 - 5 +1 +7 A- C+ C+ -6 F A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 363 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 82% +3  5 - 5 -12 +2 D D A- -14 F D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 330 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 56% +9  6 - 5 -2 +11 C- A B- -13 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 273 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 62% +8  7 - 5 1 - 0 +14 +18 D A A+ -3 F B+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 220 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 51% -3  8 - 5 2 - 0 -2 +7 D+ D+ A -10 B- F C
 Thu, Jan 1 240 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 33% +3  9 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +3 D B C- -4 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 259 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 37% +13  10 - 5 4 - 0 +4 +7 B- C+ B- -4 B+ D F
 Sat, Jan 10 203 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 27% -9  10 - 6 4 - 1 -16 -2 F+ D A- -13 F B A
 Thu, Jan 15 259 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 60% -2  11 - 6 5 - 1 -6 +9 A C- C -15 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 240 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 56% +2  11 - 7 5 - 2 -12 -4 F C+ A+ -7 B- C- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 169 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 41% -9  11 - 8 5 - 3 -21 -11 F A C- -8 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 136 Troy L 78 - 83 33% -4  11 - 9 5 - 4 -7 +12 C+ A+ A+ -19 D+ F B+
 Fri, Jan 30 355 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 69% +2  12 - 9 6 - 4 -8 -4 F D+ D -5 D D B
 Sat, Jan 31 295 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 45% -6  12 - 10 6 - 5 -14 -5 F C- F -10 F D+ D+
 Wed, Feb 4 256 Texas St. L 71 - 77 58% -3  12 - 11 6 - 6 -14 -3 C- D- A- -11 C+ F C-
 Wed, Feb 11 172 Appalachian St. L 70 - 72 42%
 Sat, Feb 14 156 Marshall L 79 - 82 39%
 Thu, Feb 19 273 @Georgia St. L 77 - 80 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 172 @Appalachian St. L 67 - 75 22%
 Wed, Feb 25 220 @James Madison L 75 - 81 30%
 Fri, Feb 27 156 @Marshall L 76 - 85 20%
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 -6 -1 D+ C B- -5 D+ D- B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.8 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 0.4 2.5 4th
5th 1.0 3.4 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 5.0 1.8 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 1.3 8.5 0.3 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 6.9 5.1 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 1.3 13.0 1.2 15.5 9th
10th 0.1 6.7 7.5 0.1 14.3 10th
11th 1.2 12.3 1.7 15.1 11th
12th 5.4 6.9 0.1 12.3 12th
13th 4.3 0.8 5.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 11.0 27.9 30.5 20.9 7.9 1.7 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 23.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 0.0 0.1
11-7 1.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-8 7.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.7
9-9 20.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.1 0.1 20.8
8-10 30.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 30.3
7-11 27.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 27.9
6-12 11.0% 11.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.0%