Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#176
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#135
Pace66.5#247
Improvement-1.9#316

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#242
First Shot-1.8#228
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#205
Layup/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#276
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement-2.0#332

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#124
First Shot+1.4#126
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#175
Layups/Dunks+0.4#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#290
Freethrows+1.8#78
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 12.4% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 60.3% 77.9% 53.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 74.5% 60.2%
Conference Champion 10.8% 16.4% 8.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 3.3% 6.0%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round8.8% 12.4% 7.5%
Second Round0.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 35 - 76 - 10
Quad 410 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 214   Ball St. W 82-71 66%     1 - 0 +5.8 +3.9 +1.7
  Nov 13, 2021 225   @ South Florida W 53-41 46%     2 - 0 +12.2 -3.0 +17.9
  Nov 20, 2021 338   Hampton W 86-66 86%     3 - 0 +7.4 +8.3 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2021 119   @ Wofford L 52-70 26%     3 - 1 -12.0 -11.3 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech L 59-61 17%     3 - 2 +7.2 -6.2 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 134   @ Morehead St. L 61-67 28%    
  Dec 11, 2021 196   @ Mercer L 66-68 40%    
  Dec 15, 2021 179   @ Campbell L 59-62 39%    
  Dec 22, 2021 246   @ Fordham W 65-64 53%    
  Dec 30, 2021 289   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 01, 2022 229   @ Arkansas St. L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 06, 2022 138   Texas St. W 64-63 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 234   Texas Arlington W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 13, 2022 240   @ Troy W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 157   @ South Alabama L 65-69 34%    
  Jan 20, 2022 227   Coastal Carolina W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 172   Appalachian St. W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 27, 2022 263   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 186   @ Louisiana L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 03, 2022 157   South Alabama W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 240   Troy W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 10, 2022 172   @ Appalachian St. L 61-65 38%    
  Feb 12, 2022 227   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 141   @ Georgia St. L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 19, 2022 141   Georgia St. W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 23, 2022 186   Louisiana W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 25, 2022 263   Louisiana Monroe W 73-65 75%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.2 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 11.5 2nd
3rd 1.0 4.3 3.7 1.7 0.1 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.4 4.6 1.7 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.2 2.0 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.2 2.7 0.2 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.5 2.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 0.9 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.4 4.7 6.4 9.4 11.0 12.4 12.0 12.3 10.0 7.6 5.2 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 98.7% 1.6    1.4 0.1
15-3 78.1% 2.2    1.6 0.6 0.0
14-4 60.7% 3.2    1.8 1.1 0.3
13-5 29.0% 2.2    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 11.2% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 75.0% 75.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 33.5% 28.4% 5.2% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 7.2%
16-2 1.6% 38.4% 38.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 2.8% 31.3% 31.3% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.9
14-4 5.2% 21.3% 21.3% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 4.1
13-5 7.6% 21.6% 21.6% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 5.9
12-6 10.0% 15.9% 15.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 8.4
11-7 12.3% 9.0% 9.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 11.2
10-8 12.0% 8.2% 8.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 11.0
9-9 12.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.9
8-10 11.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 10.8
7-11 9.4% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 6.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.3
5-13 4.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.4 3.6 1.1 91.0 0.0%