IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#207
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.0	#182

Pace	60.0	#365
Improvement	+6.5	#2

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#261

First Shot	-4.0	#292
After Offensive Rebound	+0.6	#137

Layup/Dunks	-1.2	#226
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.6	#216
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.2	#174
Freethrows	-2.4	#313

Improvement	+0.3	#154

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#148

First Shot	+1.9	#107
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.5	#290

Layups/Dunks	+1.2	#137
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#37
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.7	#217
Freethrows	-0.7	#231

Improvement	+6.2	#1

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	6.4%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.5	14.7

.500 or above	69.1%	72.8%	46.0%
.500 or above in Conference	75.0%	78.7%	52.1%
Conference Champion	6.9%	7.7%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.4%	0.2%	2.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	5.8%	6.4%	2.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 5	16 - 14

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	326 @Central Michigan	L	66-82	64%	0 - 1			-22.8	-5.5	-18.5
Sun, Nov 9	349 NC Central	W	76-54	87%	1 - 1			+6.9	+4.8	+4.1
Tue, Nov 11	31 @Ohio St.	L	53-75	4%	1 - 2			-5.3	-5.6	-2.8
Sun, Nov 16	208 @Dartmouth	W	85-77	39%	2 - 2			+7.9	+10.0	-2.3
Fri, Nov 21	193 Charlotte	W	65-63	58%	3 - 2			-3.1	+3.5	-6.2
Mon, Nov 24	178 Elon	L	53-88	55%	3 - 3			-39.3	-17.9	-26.6
Wed, Nov 26	173 @Mercer	L	67-75	31%	3 - 4			-6.0	+3.2	-10.1
Sun, Nov 30	216 @UNC Asheville	L	55-67	40%	3 - 5			-12.5	-14.2	+0.7
Thu, Dec 11	250 @East Carolina	W	67-54	47%	4 - 5			+10.8	+0.5	+11.2
Sun, Dec 14	106 High Point	W	86-78 OT	25%	5 - 5			+12.1	+5.6	+5.9
Thu, Dec 18	259 Coastal Carolina	W	67-49	70%	6 - 5	1 - 0		+9.5	-2.2	+13.1
Sat, Dec 20	344 Georgia St.	W	72-61	86%
Wed, Dec 31	209 @Old Dominion	L	66-69	39%
Sat, Jan 3	157 @Marshall	L	65-71	28%
Thu, Jan 8	344 @Georgia St.	W	69-64	69%
Sat, Jan 10	259 @Coastal Carolina	L	65-66	47%
Thu, Jan 15	195 James Madison	W	68-66	58%
Sat, Jan 17	209 Old Dominion	W	69-66	62%
Thu, Jan 22	321 Louisiana	W	65-55	81%
Sat, Jan 24	355 Louisiana Monroe	W	75-61	90%
Thu, Jan 29	203 @Southern Miss	L	65-68	39%
Sat, Jan 31	143 @Troy	L	63-70	26%
Wed, Feb 4	185 South Alabama	W	65-63	57%
Wed, Feb 11	219 @Georgia Southern	L	70-72	41%
Sat, Feb 14	195 @James Madison	L	65-69	36%
Thu, Feb 19	157 Marshall	L	67-68	49%
Sat, Feb 21	219 Georgia Southern	W	73-69	63%
Fri, Feb 27	257 @Texas St.	L	63-64	48%
Projected Record					15 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.2	2.3	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.0		6.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	2.3	4.1	2.5	0.7	0.1				9.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	2.0	5.3	2.8	0.5	0.0					10.8	3rd
4th										0.0	1.1	5.6	4.0	0.5	0.0						11.2	4th
5th										0.4	4.2	5.2	0.9	0.0	0.0						10.8	5th
6th									0.1	2.6	6.0	1.7	0.1								10.4	6th
7th								0.0	1.2	5.5	3.2	0.2	0.0								10.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	3.5	4.4	0.6	0.0									9.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	2.2	3.9	1.2	0.0										7.6	9th
10th						0.1	1.2	3.1	1.7	0.1											6.2	10th
11th					0.1	0.6	1.9	1.4	0.2	0.0											4.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.0												2.0	12th
13th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.7	13th
14th			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.1	14th

Total			0.0	0.2	0.7	1.9	4.2	7.4	10.6	14.2	15.1	15.0	12.8	8.7	5.2	2.7	1.0	0.3	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	89.6%	0.9		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	72.3%	1.9		1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0
14-4	43.6%	2.3		0.8	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.2%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.9%	6.9		3.3	2.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.3%		35.2%	35.2%		13.2													0.0	0.1	0.0			0.2
16-2	1.0%		28.5%	28.5%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0		0.7
15-3	2.7%		26.2%	26.2%		14.0													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2		2.0
14-4	5.2%		20.4%	20.4%		14.3														0.1	0.6	0.4	0.0	4.2
13-5	8.7%		15.6%	15.6%		14.6														0.1	0.5	0.7	0.1	7.3
12-6	12.8%		9.2%	9.2%		14.8														0.0	0.3	0.7	0.1	11.6
11-7	15.0%		4.6%	4.6%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.1	14.3
10-8	15.1%		1.9%	1.9%		15.1															0.0	0.2	0.1	14.9
9-9	14.2%		0.9%	0.9%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.0	14.1
8-10	10.6%		0.5%	0.5%		15.6																0.0	0.0	10.6
7-11	7.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
6-12	4.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
5-13	1.9%																							1.9
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	14.5												0.0	0.0	0.5	2.1	2.7	0.5	94.1		0.0%