Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.2 215
Results Rating -2.3 202
Consistency 0.17 283
Pace 72.5 75
Improvement -5.7 350

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 228 C+ D C F+ B
Defense C- 204 C- C+ C+ B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 C 59% 153 +1.3 130
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 335 D- 31% 351 -4.1 351
Three Pointers 48% 42 C 34% 169 +3.7 65
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 35 C -0.4 185
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 142
Second Chance D- 24.2% 335 C- 1.01 216 D 0.24 323
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 190
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 176
Turnovers C 16.7% 179
Freethrows F 0.22 363 B- 75% 106 F+ 0.17 354
Total Offense C- -2.2 228

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 136 C+ 9.7% 113
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 233 F 9.9% 357
Three Pointers B+ 93% 18 C 0.9% 205
Total B+ 64% 40 C 5.5% 187


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 252 D 63% 309 +0.6 203
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 106 C 38% 186 +0.8 252
Three Pointers 41% 183 C 34% 213 +0.3 193
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 106 D+ +2.0 262
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 234
Second Chance C- 31.2% 222 B- 0.96 73 C+ 0.30 147
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 184
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 86
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 137
Freethrows B- 0.27 92 B- 71% 93 B- 0.19 79
Total Defense C- -0.9 204

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 124 D+ 7.9% 305
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 23 C 5.1% 152
Three Pointers B 79% 51 C 1.0% 138
Total B- 50% 70 D+ 4.4% 270

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 82 17.4 195
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 103 0.17 176
Consistency 0.11 84 0.13 268
Improvement -2.0 290 -3.8 333

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 218 216 214
Results Rating Rank 204 201 198
Conference Record 12 - 6 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 415 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 18 @Vanderbilt L 61 - 105 2% -29  0% 0 - 1 F -23 F+ -10 F C+ F F -10 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 185 @Mercer L 77 - 92 33% -8  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 C +2 C C+ B- F -15 F F F
 Tue, Nov 11 236 @UNC Asheville L 64 - 69 43% -4  9% 0 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 F C C C -0 F+ F+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 75 @Belmont L 68 - 75 10% -7  4% 0 - 4 C+ +4 F -12 F A- F A+ +17 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 223 Western Carolina W 83 - 62 63% +12  77% 1 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C C+ C A+ +16 B+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 200 @Marshall W 90 - 67 35% +17  94% 2 - 4 A+ +24 C+ +3 A+ F D- A+ +19 A+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 232 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 77 42% +4  76% 3 - 4 B +10 B- +4 A- D D- B +5 B+ B A
 Wed, Dec 3 314 Tennessee Tech W 83 - 80 81% +1  52% 4 - 4 D -9 D+ -3 C- F+ C- D -6 F C D
 Sun, Dec 7 305 Alabama A&M W 92 - 58 79% +13  95% 5 - 4 A +22 A+ +16 A C+ A+ A +9 A C+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 1 @Duke L 73 - 97 1% -5  33% 5 - 5 B- +6 C+ +2 B+ F C A- +8 A- F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 38 @Cincinnati L 62 - 89 4% -16  12% 5 - 6 D -11 D+ -3 C B- C D- -6 C F F
 Thu, Jan 1 296 Jacksonville W 76 - 57 77% +9  93% 6 - 6 1 - 0 B- +8 A- +10 A- F A+ B- +2 C D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 341 North Florida W 82 - 74 87% +2  50% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D+ -7 D -6 F D A- C -1 C+ B C
 Thu, Jan 8 310 @Stetson L 83 - 91 61% -11  2% 7 - 7 2 - 1 D- -14 D+ -4 C+ F F+ F+ -9 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 252 @Florida Gulf Coast W 84 - 77 46% +1  62% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +5 B +6 B C F+ C- -2 D C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 283 Bellarmine W 81 - 71 75% +14  97% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -0 D+ -3 D+ C+ D- B +4 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 181 Austin Peay W 82 - 78 55% +2  70% 10 - 7 5 - 1 C -0 C- -0 B- F+ B- C -0 C+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 22 310 Stetson W 79 - 74 OT 80% +5  81% 11 - 7 6 - 1 D+ -7 F -14 F+ F B B+ +7 B- A A-
 Fri, Jan 23 252 Florida Gulf Coast W 86 - 71 69% +5  68% 12 - 7 7 - 1 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ A+ C+ D- -8 B- F D
 Thu, Jan 29 296 @Jacksonville L 65 - 70 56% -8  0% 12 - 8 7 - 2 D -10 C- -2 D- A- B+ F+ -8 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 341 @North Florida W 100 - 94 73% -2  38% 13 - 8 8 - 2 C- -3 A +12 A+ F A F -15 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 181 @Austin Peay L 76 - 87 32% -4  32% 13 - 9 8 - 3 D -9 C -0 C C- C+ F+ -9 F A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 168 Central Arkansas L 78 - 86 51% -9  0% 13 - 10 8 - 4 D- -11 D+ -2 B D+ D+ F+ -9 C- F C
 Wed, Feb 11 298 Eastern Kentucky W 75 - 61 77% +8  77% 14 - 10 9 - 4 C+ +3 D -5 C- F+ D A +9 C+ A B
 Sat, Feb 14 191 @Queens L 81 - 87 33% -11  5% 14 - 11 9 - 5 C- -5 D- -7 C- D F B- +3 F B A+
 Wed, Feb 18 283 @Bellarmine W 75 - 72 54% +1  57% 15 - 11 10 - 5 C -1 D+ -4 B F D B- +3 B C- F
 Sat, Feb 21 342 North Alabama W 73 - 51 88% +4  53% 16 - 11 11 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 A+ F D- A +10 A+ B- C-
 Wed, Feb 25 301 @West Georgia L 77 - 84 59% -6  10% 16 - 12 11 - 6 D- -13 C- -1 C+ F+ B- F -11 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 298 @Eastern Kentucky W 80 - 77 57% -1  39% 17 - 12 12 - 6 C- -2 B- +4 D- C A+ D -6 F A+ B
 Fri, Mar 6 252 Florida Gulf Coast L 53 - 77 58% -14  1% 17 - 13 F -29 F -19 F+ F D+ F -13 F D C-
Totals 17 - 13 12 - 6 -3 C- -2 B- C B C- -1 C B- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D- C C 40% 23% 48% B C+ D- C- D C F B- F+ C- D C C D+ 37% 23% 41% C+ C- C- B- C+ C+ B- B- B-
1.05 59% 31% 34% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 17% .22 75% .17 1.10 63% 38% 34% +2 0 1.05 31% 1.0 .30 17% .27 71% .16
Nov
3		 Vanderbilt F+ F F F F 34% 18% 48% B F D+ A- C+ F B+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 35% 20% 45% B- F A+ A+ A+ F A A A+
0.82 41% 11% 25% -17 0 0.68 24% 1.1 .26 24% .39 95% .37 1.40 76% 25% 63% +23 0 1.48 24% 0.5 .12 8% .25 71% .17
Nov
9		 Mercer C C F B- D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C C B C+ B- F A+ F F F A+ F F 43% 22% 34% D+ F D F F F A+ B A+
1.12 57% 20% 37% 0 +2 1.05 33% 1.1 .36 16% .12 86% .10 1.34 76% 23% 45% +10 0 1.22 37% 1.4 .50 12% .21 69% .15
Nov
11		 UNC Asheville D- D+ A F F 42% 12% 46% B- F A- F C C D B+ C- C D F D F 26% 37% 37% B- F+ C- F F+ A+ F A- F
0.99 55% 50% 21% -9 +1 0.87 39% 0.8 .29 15% .27 73% .20 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.12 31% 1.2 .38 23% .48 63% .30
Nov
19		 Belmont F F B F F 27% 8% 64% B F B A- A- F F A+ F+ A+ C+ B A A+ 33% 7% 60% C A+ D B- C- A+ F D F
0.87 31% 40% 24% -17 +1 0.69 36% 1.2 .42 24% .17 90% .15 0.96 60% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.98 31% 1.2 .37 28% .52 72% .38
Nov
22		 Western Carolina D+ B- F B C 35% 10% 55% B+ C C- A C+ C F F F A+ F F A+ B 25% 22% 53% B+ B+ A+ F A- A+ B- A+ A-
1.11 64% 17% 38% +3 +1 1.11 25% 1.2 .30 15% .09 50% .05 0.83 77% 55% 15% -7 -1 0.86 15% 1.8 .26 24% .27 60% .16
Nov
26		 Marshall C+ A- D+ A+ A+ 37% 17% 46% B- A+ F D- F D- A- F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D+ A+ C+ D- C- A F D- F
1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27 0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28
Nov
29		 Southeast Missouri St. B- B- D- A+ A- 43% 11% 45% B A- F A+ D D- C C- C- B B- D- A+ B+ 43% 26% 30% B- B+ D A+ B A F F F
1.10 61% 33% 42% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.3 .24 20% .40 73% .30 0.96 52% 43% 19% -8 0 0.85 32% 0.8 .26 21% .47 77% .36
Dec
3		 Tennessee Tech D+ C F C- D+ 36% 7% 57% A- C- D F F+ C- B- F+ C D A+ F F F 30% 32% 39% A F C+ D+ C D C+ A- B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22 1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Alabama A&M A+ A A+ B- A 53% 5% 42% A A F A+ C+ A+ F F F A A A B A+ 40% 32% 28% B- A F A+ C+ B- D- B- D
1.40 73% 67% 38% +12 +3 1.32 21% 1.7 .36 6% .21 62% .13 0.88 42% 27% 31% -11 -1 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 18% .39 71% .28
Dec
16		 Duke C+ C F C+ B- 50% 14% 36% A+ B+ F F F C A+ A+ A+ A- C F A A 50% 6% 44% D+ A- F D+ F A+ C- D- D+
0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27 1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28
Dec
29		 Cincinnati D+ D A F+ D 38% 4% 58% A+ C F+ A+ B- C D F F+ D- C- A+ D C+ 40% 15% 45% D- C D+ F F F A+ B- A+
0.86 47% 50% 28% -9 +2 0.88 16% 1.8 .30 19% .22 54% .12 1.23 63% 22% 37% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .49 11% .14 67% .09
Jan
1		 Jacksonville A- A+ F A+ A 40% 16% 44% C A- F+ F F A+ F A+ F B- D- A- B C- 27% 24% 49% A- C F B+ D+ A+ C+ B+ B-
1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18 0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 North Florida D F F C F 26% 18% 56% D- F C- D- D A- B+ D+ B C A+ D+ D+ C 23% 12% 65% B- C+ D- A+ B C A+ F A+
1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23 1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07
Jan
8		 Stetson D+ B- A+ D- C 50% 12% 38% B+ C+ F A+ F F+ A+ D+ A F+ F F D+ F 34% 13% 53% D- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27 1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35
Jan
10		 Florida Gulf Coast B F+ F A+ B- 39% 12% 49% B- B D A C F+ C+ A+ A- C- C- F B+ F+ 35% 38% 27% A D B D C+ D+ D- A+ C-
1.17 50% 17% 48% +5 +1 1.14 25% 1.3 .32 20% .37 86% .31 1.08 61% 55% 29% +5 -3 1.08 26% 1.1 .29 15% .31 63% .20
Jan
15		 Bellarmine D+ C+ A D+ D- 39% 9% 52% B+ D+ A- F+ C+ D- A+ F B- B A+ F A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% A+ A+ F A+ D+ F F A+ F
1.22 65% 50% 35% +4 +2 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 18% .42 61% .26 1.07 41% 55% 20% -12 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .27 9% .50 67% .33
Jan
17		 Austin Peay C- B- A+ F+ C 62% 7% 31% A+ B- D F F+ B- F+ A+ B- C A- D D+ C- 33% 33% 34% A+ C+ B- F+ C- B B+ C- B
1.10 65% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 26% 0.5 .13 16% .24 100% .24 1.04 47% 42% 35% -2 -2 0.95 26% 1.3 .34 19% .26 75% .20
Jan
22		 Stetson F C F D F 41% 19% 41% C F+ F F F B C- B+ C B+ C B+ C+ B- 36% 28% 36% B- B- D A+ A A- B F C-
0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21 0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21
Jan
23		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ D+ F A+ A+ 19% 15% 66% D A+ A- A A+ C+ D A+ C+ D- F A+ D C+ 17% 28% 54% A- B- C- F F D F A F+
1.36 56% 0% 55% +14 -1 1.30 37% 1.3 .48 16% .30 88% .26 1.13 75% 15% 36% -2 -2 0.93 31% 1.6 .50 14% .37 65% .24
Jan
29		 Jacksonville C- C- C+ F F 58% 10% 32% A D- F A+ A- B+ F C F F+ F+ C- D F 43% 21% 36% C- F C+ D C- F C F D+
1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13 1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Florida A A- F A+ A 59% 5% 36% A+ A+ F A+ F A F A- F+ F D+ A+ F F 33% 5% 62% D- F F C- F C- D+ F F+
1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +4 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15 1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25
Feb
4		 Austin Peay C A F F C- 51% 9% 40% A- C F+ A C- C+ F A+ F+ F+ F C+ F F 36% 36% 27% A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ A- A- A
1.06 71% 20% 27% +1 +2 1.09 22% 1.0 .22 17% .17 90% .15 1.21 85% 35% 60% +19 -2 1.36 8% 1.0 .08 15% .25 67% .16
Feb
7		 Central Arkansas D+ A- D A B+ 22% 13% 65% D B C D- D+ D+ A+ D- A- F+ F C+ B- F+ 25% 40% 36% A+ C- F C- F C F C- F+
1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26 1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
11		 Eastern Kentucky D C- B+ B- D+ 33% 8% 59% B+ C- C+ F F+ D F A+ D+ A A- F B- C+ 33% 24% 43% D+ C+ D+ A+ A B A- A+ A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22 0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10
Feb
14		 Queens D- C+ A+ F D 54% 7% 39% A C- C+ F D F D- F+ F B- F A F F 43% 14% 43% D+ F A+ F B A+ F A D
1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19 1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26
Feb
18		 Bellarmine D+ A F A+ B- 24% 6% 69% B B F F F D F A+ F B- D A+ B B 44% 15% 41% C+ B F+ A C- F A+ A+ A+
1.17 75% 0% 44% +12 +1 1.29 17% 0.8 .14 17% .19 90% .17 1.13 67% 25% 32% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 11% .19 64% .12
Feb
21		 North Alabama C- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A+ F F F D- F F F A C+ C A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% A+ A+ D A+ B- C- A+ A A+
1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10 0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12
Feb
25		 West Georgia C- B- A+ F C- 61% 5% 33% A C+ C F F+ B- D F+ D- F F F D F 50% 20% 30% F F A+ A A+ F D+ A+ A-
1.09 63% 67% 26% +1 +4 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 13% .29 67% .19 1.19 75% 55% 35% +12 +1 1.29 18% 0.8 .15 10% .28 44% .13
Feb
28		 Eastern Kentucky B- F A+ C- F+ 32% 12% 56% B- D- C+ C- C A+ F F F D C+ B F F 22% 12% 66% F+ F F A+ A+ B C F D-
1.22 50% 57% 34% 0 +1 1.04 35% 1.0 .35 8% .18 55% .10 1.18 55% 33% 45% +10 0 1.22 39% 0.5 .19 20% .27 86% .23
Mar
6		 Florida Gulf Coast F D A F F 40% 4% 55% A- F+ F D F D+ F F F F F F B F 38% 22% 40% D F F A D C- A F B
0.84 53% 50% 27% -8 +2 0.91 9% 1.0 .09 17% .23 58% .13 1.22 74% 55% 30% +7 0 1.16 42% 0.8 .35 16% .17 89% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%