Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#222
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#177
Pace70.2#157
Improvement-0.4#215

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#146
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#344
Layup/Dunks-1.0#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#71
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement+0.4#126

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#287
First Shot-2.5#263
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#235
Layups/Dunks+3.8#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#298
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement-0.8#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 12.5% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 53.2% 75.3% 50.4%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 80.2% 67.1%
Conference Champion 10.1% 17.1% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.3% 3.2%
First Four1.9% 1.0% 2.0%
First Round8.8% 12.3% 8.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 411 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 198   @ College of Charleston L 77-86 35%     0 - 1 -7.6 -7.1 +0.9
  Nov 13, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 93-81 91%     1 - 1 -5.5 +7.4 -13.5
  Nov 14, 2021 287   Loyola Maryland W 70-65 66%     2 - 1 -1.8 -8.2 +6.2
  Nov 17, 2021 113   @ Dayton W 78-59 19%     3 - 1 +25.6 +14.5 +12.5
  Nov 23, 2021 277   @ Tennessee Tech L 77-88 52%     3 - 2 -14.2 +1.0 -15.1
  Dec 02, 2021 68   @ Belmont L 71-84 11%    
  Dec 05, 2021 100   Chattanooga L 66-70 34%    
  Dec 08, 2021 120   @ Miami (FL) L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 12, 2021 321   Tennessee St. W 81-72 80%    
  Dec 15, 2021 31   @ Florida St. L 65-83 5%    
  Dec 22, 2021 10   @ LSU L 65-87 2%    
  Dec 30, 2021 342   Alabama A&M W 77-64 89%    
  Jan 04, 2022 308   North Alabama W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 08, 2022 340   @ Central Arkansas W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 11, 2022 149   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 15, 2022 177   Bellarmine W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 18, 2022 160   @ Eastern Kentucky L 79-85 31%    
  Jan 22, 2022 278   Kennesaw St. W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 27, 2022 257   @ Jacksonville L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 29, 2022 288   @ North Florida W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 03, 2022 268   Stetson W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 192   Florida Gulf Coast W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 08, 2022 171   @ Liberty L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 160   Eastern Kentucky L 81-82 50%    
  Feb 16, 2022 149   Jacksonville St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 308   @ North Alabama W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 23, 2022 177   @ Bellarmine L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 26, 2022 340   Central Arkansas W 83-70 87%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 10.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.1 3.0 1.6 0.2 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.8 1.1 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.5 4.2 6.3 1.4 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 5.9 2.1 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.6 2.8 0.3 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.8 0.4 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.4 2.2 2.9 0.8 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.9 1.0 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.5 5.6 8.9 11.3 13.6 14.0 14.5 11.2 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
14-2 92.9% 2.0    1.6 0.3
13-3 65.6% 3.2    1.7 1.3 0.2
12-4 44.8% 3.4    1.0 1.4 0.9 0.1
11-5 7.1% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 5.1 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 80.4% 80.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.6% 33.7% 33.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.1% 36.3% 36.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4
13-3 4.8% 22.6% 22.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 3.7
12-4 7.5% 19.8% 19.8% 14.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 6.0
11-5 11.2% 14.7% 14.7% 15.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 9.6
10-6 14.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 13.0
9-7 14.0% 9.0% 9.0% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.8
8-8 13.6% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.8
7-9 11.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.7
6-10 8.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-11 5.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.5
4-12 3.5% 3.5
3-13 1.5% 1.5
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.4 4.0 90.3 0.0%