Charlotte
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#223
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#173
Pace61.8#336
Improvement-3.9#352

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#196
First Shot+2.7#104
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#343
Layup/Dunks+4.8#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#67
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement-1.6#317

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#239
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#122
Layups/Dunks-4.4#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
Freethrows-0.5#223
Improvement-2.3#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 35.9% 42.8% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 42.9% 30.5%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.0% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.3% 12.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 71.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 86 - 13
Quad 49 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 135   Monmouth W 68-66 43%     1 - 0 +1.2 -2.9 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2021 334   South Carolina Upstate W 76-64 87%     2 - 0 -2.8 -0.4 -1.6
  Nov 18, 2021 172   @ Appalachian St. W 67-66 30%     3 - 0 +3.7 +1.2 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2021 117   Toledo L 86-98 29%     3 - 1 -8.9 +13.4 -22.6
  Nov 23, 2021 169   Drexel L 55-67 40%     3 - 2 -12.2 -12.5 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2021 73   Davidson L 58-75 26%     3 - 3 -13.0 -9.5 -5.1
  Dec 04, 2021 262   George Washington W 68-62 71%    
  Dec 07, 2021 24   @ Arkansas L 62-81 4%    
  Dec 11, 2021 204   @ Valparaiso L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 17, 2021 81   Wake Forest L 64-73 19%    
  Dec 20, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-57 90%    
  Dec 22, 2021 302   Western Carolina W 75-67 77%    
  Dec 30, 2021 221   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 01, 2022 226   @ Florida International L 62-65 40%    
  Jan 08, 2022 228   Old Dominion W 63-60 63%    
  Jan 13, 2022 162   UTEP W 64-63 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 300   Texas San Antonio W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 20, 2022 108   @ North Texas L 55-65 19%    
  Jan 22, 2022 184   @ Rice L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 228   @ Old Dominion L 60-63 41%    
  Feb 03, 2022 126   Western Kentucky L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 05, 2022 114   Marshall L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 10, 2022 109   Louisiana Tech L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 13, 2022 183   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 17, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 19, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 24, 2022 226   Florida International W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 26, 2022 221   Florida Atlantic W 70-67 61%    
  Mar 02, 2022 183   Middle Tennessee W 67-66 54%    
  Mar 05, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss L 64-65 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.7 0.5 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.9 4.3 1.0 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 5.5 2.5 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.4 3.1 4.5 1.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.2 3.0 5.0 1.8 0.1 10.1 11th
12th 0.4 2.1 4.0 2.1 0.2 8.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.2 1.9 0.3 7.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.8 6.3 9.4 11.5 13.3 13.7 12.1 9.5 7.1 5.2 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 78.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 61.3% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 32.4% 0.5    0.2 0.1 0.1
13-5 10.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 16.4% 16.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 21.8% 21.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.6% 9.6% 9.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
13-5 2.8% 9.8% 9.8% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5
12-6 5.2% 4.7% 4.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.9
11-7 7.1% 3.6% 3.6% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.8
10-8 9.5% 1.5% 1.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.0
8-10 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 13.7
7-11 13.3% 13.3
6-12 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-13 9.4% 9.4
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.4 0.0%