Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#195
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Pace60.7#358
Improvement-2.2#313

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#168
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#102
Layup/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#122
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement-3.4#360

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#252
First Shot+0.5#150
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#337
Layups/Dunks+1.8#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
Freethrows-2.4#319
Improvement+1.2#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 18.7% 30.2% 12.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.3% 41.1% 30.7%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 6.6% 10.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.3% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 49 - 413 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 187 Indiana St. W 92-76 59%     1 - 0 +11.3 +20.1 -8.6
  Fri, Nov 7 265 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 73%     2 - 0 -3.6 -1.6 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 11 128 Davidson L 55-62 44%     2 - 1 -7.9 -7.0 -2.3
  Sun, Nov 16 64 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 10%     2 - 2 +3.5 +12.4 -9.3
  Fri, Nov 21 259 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 50%     2 - 3 -4.4 +5.3 -10.2
  Thu, Nov 27 90 Illinois St. L 69-79 22%     2 - 4 -4.3 +2.4 -7.3
  Fri, Nov 28 102 Richmond L 66-71 25%     2 - 5 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4
  Tue, Dec 2 311 N.C. A&T W 74-57 81%     3 - 5 +5.3 +1.5 +5.0
  Sun, Dec 7 43 Utah St. L 53-79 16%     3 - 6 -17.7 -12.3 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 14 172 @College of Charleston L 67-71 34%    
  Thu, Dec 18 320 Lafayette W 73-63 83%    
  Sun, Dec 21 190 Illinois-Chicago W 72-69 59%    
  Wed, Dec 31 163 Temple W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 98 Wichita St. L 65-69 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 286 @Texas San Antonio W 71-69 56%    
  Sun, Jan 11 210 @Rice L 67-69 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 83 Tulsa L 69-75 28%    
  Sun, Jan 18 287 @East Carolina W 70-68 56%    
  Sun, Jan 25 207 Tulane W 73-69 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 163 @Temple L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 210 Rice W 70-66 63%    
  Wed, Feb 4 98 @Wichita St. L 62-72 18%    
  Sun, Feb 8 76 @Memphis L 64-77 12%    
  Sun, Feb 15 286 Texas San Antonio W 74-66 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 83 @Tulsa L 66-78 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 287 East Carolina W 73-65 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 146 North Texas L 63-64 50%    
  Sun, Mar 1 118 @Florida Atlantic L 68-77 23%    
  Wed, Mar 4 110 UAB L 70-73 39%    
  Sun, Mar 8 86 @South Florida L 68-80 15%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.8 0.2 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.0 2.0 0.1 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.7 3.1 0.2 13.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 6.2 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.7 6.8 10.4 13.2 15.0 14.7 12.6 9.5 6.1 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.4% 17.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 16.3% 16.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 9.5% 9.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.7% 6.8% 6.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2
11-7 6.1% 3.0% 3.0% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.9
10-8 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.6% 0.9% 0.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.5
8-10 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 14.6
7-11 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 14.9
6-12 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 99.0 0.0%