Kentucky
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +15.9 24
Results Rating +16.0 28
Consistency 0.17 290
Pace 69.9 134
Improvement -0.6 208

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 29 B A- B B C+
Defense B+ 30 B+ A C C+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 150 B+ 66% 30 +3.9 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 239 C 37% 202 -0.6 214
Three Pointers 41% 176 B- 36% 84 +1.5 131
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 162 B +4.4 53
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 56
Second Chance B+ 37.0% 27 B+ 1.16 35 A- 0.43 18
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 106
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 40
Turnovers B 14.5% 55
Freethrows B 0.34 59 C 73% 180 B 0.25 70
Total Offense A- +9.0 29

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 60% 27 A- 6.9% 19
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 72 C 5.1% 196
Three Pointers C 84% 190 B- 0.6% 96
Total B+ 63% 42 B+ 4.0% 24


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 340 B+ 51% 28 -6.5 16
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 30 C+ 37% 140 +2.2 333
Three Pointers 42% 138 B 31% 42 -1.5 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.3 21 B+ -4.5 32
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 27
Second Chance B+ 25.4% 27 A 0.82 5 A 0.21 5
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 58
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 343
Turnovers C 17.1% 153
Freethrows C+ 0.29 133 C+ 72% 141 C+ 0.21 126
Total Defense B+ +6.9 30

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 337 A- 17.9% 18
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 208 B 7.8% 44
Three Pointers C+ 81% 114 C 0.9% 147
Total C- 57% 219 B+ 8.0% 29

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 34 18.7 344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.30 4 0.11 23
Consistency 0.14 300 0.12 152
Improvement +0.8 149 -1.4 256

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 29 26 23
Results Rating Rank 35 27 24
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 24% 31% 11%
NCAA Tourney Bid 96% 98% 93%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96% 98% 93%
Average Seed 7.1 6.9 7.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round96% 98% 93%
Second Round61% 64% 56%
Sweet Sixteen18% 20% 15%
Elite Eight7% 8% 6%
Final Four2% 2% 2%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 94 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 11
Quad 27 - 212 - 13
Quad 33 - 015 - 13
Quad 46 - 021 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 241 Nicholls St. W 77 - 51 98% +15  95% 1 - 0 A +18 C- -2 C+ F B A+ +20 A+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 161 Valparaiso W 107 - 59 95% +31  99% 2 - 0 A+ +45 A+ +24 A+ F+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @Louisville L 88 - 96 29% -8  4% 2 - 1 B+ +14 A +14 A A+ C- C +0 A B F
 Fri, Nov 14 322 Eastern Illinois W 99 - 53 99% +27  99% 3 - 1 A+ +33 A+ +23 A+ A+ C- A +11 B+ A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 10 Michigan St. L 66 - 83 35% -11  12% 3 - 2 C+ +3 C +0 D+ C A B- +3 D+ A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 319 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 46 99% +26  98% 4 - 2 A+ +29 C+ +2 C C+ B- A+ +26 A+ B+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 314 Tennessee Tech W 104 - 54 99% +18  76% 5 - 2 A+ +38 A+ +19 A+ A+ C+ A+ +17 A+ A F+
 Tue, Dec 2 29 North Carolina L 64 - 67 63% +2  63% 5 - 3 B +9 C -0 C+ D+ C+ A +9 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 5 12 Gonzaga L 59 - 94 38% -21  0% 5 - 4 F+ -16 D- -7 F A- A F+ -9 F B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 9 353 NC Central W 103 - 67 99% +19  99% 6 - 4 A +18 A+ +15 A B- A+ B- +2 C B+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 44 Indiana W 72 - 60 72% -0  34% 7 - 4 A +22 C+ +3 F+ A A+ A+ +19 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 20 19 St. John's W 78 - 66 43% +1  39% 8 - 4 A+ +30 A +14 B+ A+ D A+ +16 A+ B A
 Tue, Dec 23 283 Bellarmine W 99 - 85 98% +8  90% 9 - 4 C+ +4 A+ +15 A+ A C F -11 C F B
 Sat, Jan 3 14 @Alabama L 74 - 89 28% -11  3% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B- +7 C+ +3 C- A- D B +4 C+ B+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 47 Missouri L 68 - 73 76% +0  43% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +4 D+ -3 C C C- B+ +6 C- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 97 Mississippi St. W 92 - 68 89% +4  63% 10 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +20 A+ A+ C+ A- +7 B- B- A+
 Wed, Jan 14 59 @LSU W 75 - 74 62% -8  3% 11 - 6 2 - 2 B+ +14 B +7 C+ B+ B B+ +7 D A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 17 @Tennessee W 80 - 78 30% -7  1% 12 - 6 3 - 2 A+ +23 A+ +24 A- A+ A- C -1 F A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 21 37 Texas W 85 - 80 69% +3  73% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A- +16 A +12 B- B+ B+ B +4 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 24 72 Mississippi W 72 - 63 84% +3  73% 14 - 6 5 - 2 B+ +14 C+ +3 F A+ C+ A+ +12 A+ B- B
 Tue, Jan 27 18 @Vanderbilt L 55 - 80 30% -18  0% 14 - 7 5 - 3 C- -4 F -12 F C+ D A- +8 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 16 @Arkansas W 85 - 77 29% +5  85% 15 - 7 6 - 3 A+ +30 A+ +21 A+ B- A+ A +9 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 41 Oklahoma W 94 - 78 71% +8  79% 16 - 7 7 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +26 A+ A+ A+ C+ +1 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 17 Tennessee W 74 - 71 52% -5  12% 17 - 7 8 - 3 A +18 A- +10 A- A+ A A +9 B+ A+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 3 @Florida L 83 - 92 12% -9  0% 17 - 8 8 - 4 A +20 A+ +15 A B+ D+ B+ +5 C+ A+ C-
 Tue, Feb 17 27 Georgia L 78 - 86 63% -1  35% 17 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +5 B+ +8 A+ A C D+ -4 B+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 36 @Auburn L 74 - 75 46% +0  43% 17 - 10 8 - 6 A- +16 C+ +2 C A- D+ A+ +14 A- A+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 94 @South Carolina W 72 - 63 75% +2  67% 18 - 10 9 - 6 A- +18 C- -0 C- B F A+ +18 A A+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 18 Vanderbilt W 91 - 77 52% +14  97% 19 - 10 10 - 6 A+ +29 A+ +24 A+ A+ B+ B+ +6 C- A+ B+
 Tue, Mar 3 31 @Texas A&M L 85 - 96 43% -7  34% 19 - 11 10 - 7 B- +7 A- +11 B- B+ B D+ -4 C- B+ F
 Sat, Mar 7 3 Florida L 77 - 84 26% -12  0% 19 - 12 10 - 8 A- +16 A +12 C+ A+ A B +4 A- B+ D+
 Wed, Mar 11 59 LSU W 87 - 82 72% +4  82% 20 - 12 B+ +15 A +14 A C A+ C+ +1 B- C D+
 Thu, Mar 12 47 Missouri W 79 - 75 66%
Totals 21 - 12 10 - 8 +16 A- +9 A+ B C+ B+ +7 B- C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ C B- B 39% 33% 41% C+ B B+ B+ A- B B C B B+ B+ C+ B B+ 31% 27% 42% A- B+ B+ A A C C+ C+ C+
1.21 66% 37% 36% +4 0 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 15% .34 73% .25 0.99 51% 37% 31% -5 -1 0.90 25% 0.8 .21 17% .29 72% .25
Nov
4		 Nicholls St. C- A+ F F C 45% 12% 43% B- C+ B- F F B B F F+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 31% 49% A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- F D+ F
1.10 83% 17% 27% +4 +2 1.14 38% 0.5 .20 19% .39 55% .21 0.73 70% 20% 17% -16 -3 0.65 12% 0.8 .10 16% .37 68% .25
Nov
7		 Valparaiso A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 47% 10% 43% A A+ C+ F F+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 17% 24% 59% C+ A+ A A+ A+ D+ B B+ B+
1.43 81% 33% 44% +17 +2 1.40 33% 0.5 .18 8% .38 85% .32 0.79 60% 14% 24% -15 -2 0.69 24% 0.7 .16 13% .31 65% .20
Nov
11		 Louisville A A B B- A 32% 18% 51% B+ A A- A A+ C- C- B C C C+ F B+ A 30% 13% 57% A- A B B B F F A+ F+
1.15 67% 40% 34% +3 0 1.09 33% 1.2 .40 18% .26 75% .19 1.25 61% 63% 31% +2 0 1.07 31% 0.9 .29 8% .44 68% .30
Nov
14		 Eastern Illinois A+ A+ A+ A A+ 50% 10% 40% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D+ D+ D A C- A+ D+ C+ 18% 47% 35% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D- A- D+
1.46 80% 60% 40% +17 +2 1.40 57% 1.4 .79 19% .29 75% .22 0.78 56% 22% 35% -7 -5 0.78 13% 0.6 .08 16% .33 68% .23
Nov
18		 Michigan St. C C+ F F D 30% 15% 55% B D+ D+ A C A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F F D+ 39% 25% 37% C D+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D A+
0.93 56% 25% 24% -11 0 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 13% .35 86% .31 1.17 45% 50% 52% +8 0 1.18 31% 0.8 .25 18% .17 80% .14
Nov
21		 Loyola Maryland C+ D D A C- 44% 17% 39% B- C A F C+ B- F F F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 25% 21% 54% A+ A+ A C B+ A A+ A+ A+
1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06 0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05
Nov
26		 Tennessee Tech A+ A- B- A+ A+ 44% 8% 47% A A+ B A+ A+ C+ F A D- A+ A- B+ A+ A+ 28% 31% 41% A A+ A+ C+ A F+ A+ A+ A+
1.43 69% 40% 50% +16 +2 1.39 36% 1.6 .57 14% .21 85% .18 0.74 47% 32% 20% -14 -2 0.70 19% 1.0 .19 15% .08 40% .03
Dec
2		 North Carolina C A+ D F C 45% 28% 28% B C+ B- F D+ C+ A+ A A+ A A D A+ A+ 31% 36% 33% A+ A+ F C F A+ B+ A+ A
1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31 1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17
Dec
5		 Gonzaga D- F F F F 25% 18% 57% B F B- A+ A- A A+ A A+ F+ D C F F 41% 30% 29% C+ F C+ A B+ C- B- F C-
0.84 38% 0% 21% -23 -1 0.55 27% 1.3 .33 16% .44 77% .34 1.33 70% 41% 56% +15 -1 1.30 34% 1.0 .34 13% .26 81% .21
Dec
9		 NC Central A+ A+ A B+ A+ 40% 11% 49% B- A F A+ B- A+ F A+ C- B- D- B+ B+ C- 35% 33% 33% A- C A C- B+ C C+ D+ C
1.43 87% 50% 39% +17 +1 1.39 27% 1.6 .42 13% .22 93% .21 0.93 61% 29% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 18% .29 76% .22
Dec
13		 Indiana C+ D F F F 47% 24% 29% B+ F+ B+ A A A+ A+ F A+ A+ D+ B- A+ A+ 23% 18% 59% A+ A+ C A+ A A+ F F F
1.08 48% 25% 21% -13 0 0.76 33% 1.3 .42 6% .60 66% .40 0.90 67% 43% 17% -12 -1 0.77 29% 0.8 .21 27% .59 90% .53
Dec
20		 St. John's A F+ A+ C+ A- 45% 30% 26% D+ B+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% A+ A+ B+ C- B A F F F
1.13 43% 57% 33% -1 -1 0.98 48% 1.0 .48 23% .41 82% .34 0.95 46% 17% 24% -16 -2 0.67 32% 1.2 .38 17% .56 84% .47
Dec
23		 Bellarmine A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 15% 25% 60% F A+ B- A A C A+ D+ A F F B- B- C- 39% 20% 41% A- C F D+ F B F F F
1.48 86% 42% 55% +24 -2 1.46 39% 1.4 .54 15% .42 71% .30 1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 0 1.14 33% 1.2 .41 18% .55 87% .47
Jan
3		 Alabama C+ A+ F F C- 38% 26% 36% C+ C- B- A+ A- D A+ C+ A+ B B- F D B- 38% 5% 57% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ B- A B- A
1.03 70% 21% 21% -7 -1 0.87 31% 1.3 .38 17% .49 69% .34 1.24 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .33 14% .26 75% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri D+ B- D+ C+ C 37% 33% 30% D+ C D B+ C C- A+ D+ A+ B+ D+ F C C- 46% 20% 34% C+ C- A+ A- A+ C B+ D B-
1.00 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 71% .31 1.07 65% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.16 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 72% .23
Jan
10		 Mississippi St. A+ A D A A 43% 21% 36% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C- F D A- F D+ A+ B 40% 24% 36% C- B- B- B- B- A+ B- F C-
1.34 67% 33% 40% +6 0 1.14 42% 1.6 .67 13% .23 64% .15 0.99 80% 42% 17% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 22% .26 79% .21
Jan
14		 LSU B D F A C+ 35% 22% 43% C C+ D- A+ B+ B A C A- B+ A+ F F D 38% 20% 43% C+ D A+ B- A+ B+ F A+ F
1.12 50% 27% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .34 13% .38 68% .26 1.11 33% 63% 53% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.1 .28 18% .51 68% .35
Jan
17		 Tennessee A+ F+ F A+ A- 39% 11% 50% A A- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D- B+ C C F F F 46% 13% 41% D- F D- A+ A+ B- F C+ F
1.26 44% 20% 43% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.4 .56 14% .39 62% .24 1.23 61% 60% 50% +14 +2 1.33 52% 0.4 .19 19% .56 69% .39
Jan
21		 Texas A B A D B+ 27% 40% 33% F B- A+ D- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B F C A+ A+ 41% 31% 28% A A+ C+ C C D- A- F C+
1.23 62% 47% 31% +3 -3 1.02 38% 0.8 .32 12% .57 86% .49 1.16 73% 41% 7% -4 -1 0.91 36% 1.2 .44 12% .33 90% .29
Jan
24		 Mississippi C+ D+ D F F 20% 30% 50% D- F B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 29% 37% 35% B- A+ D- A+ B- B F+ A+ C-
1.07 50% 33% 20% -14 -3 0.70 35% 1.4 .48 18% .69 74% .51 0.94 40% 21% 33% -12 -3 0.73 35% 0.8 .29 15% .37 67% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Vanderbilt F C- F F F 31% 33% 37% D- F B- C C+ D C+ F F+ A- A+ D+ D A+ 38% 14% 48% D+ A D+ A+ A- C F C- F
0.79 53% 19% 22% -14 -2 0.69 30% 0.9 .28 21% .35 58% .20 1.14 42% 43% 38% -3 +1 0.98 35% 0.8 .30 13% .41 80% .33
Jan
31		 Arkansas A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 43% 30% 28% D+ A+ A F B- A+ A+ D- A+ A C- F A+ B 51% 25% 24% C+ B A A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.27 75% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.0 .37 10% .50 63% .32 1.15 65% 54% 25% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.8 .21 6% .41 62% .25
Feb
4		 Oklahoma A+ B C- A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C+ D- A+ C+ B+ 28% 13% 59% C B A+ B A+ F C+ F D-
1.44 62% 36% 52% +12 -2 1.23 42% 1.4 .58 9% .45 81% .37 1.19 67% 29% 34% +1 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 9% .32 89% .29
Feb
7		 Tennessee A- A+ D- F B+ 48% 20% 32% A- A- C- A+ A+ A A F B A D B- D+ C+ 19% 40% 40% A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ B F C+ F
1.09 75% 30% 19% -1 +1 1.02 23% 1.8 .40 13% .38 59% .22 1.05 67% 37% 37% +3 -4 1.00 45% 0.6 .29 19% .46 68% .31
Feb
14		 Florida A+ F+ A+ A+ A 45% 24% 31% B+ A A B- B+ D+ A+ B- A+ B+ A- C F C 44% 13% 44% C+ C+ B- A+ A+ C- F B F
1.08 42% 50% 44% +1 0 1.03 32% 0.8 .24 18% .40 72% .29 1.20 54% 43% 42% +4 +1 1.13 41% 0.8 .32 14% .49 69% .34
Feb
17		 Georgia B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 21% 34% 45% F A+ A B+ A C A+ F B+ D+ A+ A+ F B 26% 23% 51% A+ B+ B- C C+ F+ C+ B- C+
1.16 70% 44% 43% +10 -3 1.17 42% 1.0 .42 19% .37 60% .22 1.28 47% 23% 45% +2 -1 1.04 35% 1.1 .40 10% .32 74% .23
Feb
21		 Auburn C+ C B- D C- 47% 20% 33% B C A+ F+ A- D+ B- A+ B+ A+ B F A+ A+ 58% 8% 34% F A- C+ A+ A+ B- C- F D
1.05 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 20% .30 82% .25 1.06 55% 75% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 16% .40 83% .33
Feb
24		 South Carolina C- D+ F C+ D+ 43% 16% 41% B+ C- A+ F B F B+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F B A- 22% 25% 53% A+ A A+ A+ A+ B B B- B+
1.00 55% 13% 33% -6 +1 0.92 44% 0.8 .34 21% .32 72% .23 0.88 36% 54% 30% -4 -2 0.90 14% 0.8 .11 17% .28 76% .22
Feb
28		 Vanderbilt A+ A+ C A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% C A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F F A+ D- 21% 30% 49% A+ C- A+ A- A+ B+ A+ F A+
1.34 87% 36% 50% +19 -1 1.39 27% 1.7 .45 16% .44 80% .35 1.13 91% 69% 27% +11 -2 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .19 91% .18
Mar
3		 Texas A&M A- B+ D C- B- 37% 22% 41% C B- C+ A+ B+ B A+ F A D+ B- A- F D 31% 18% 51% A+ C- A+ C- B+ F F B+ F
1.13 65% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.2 .36 17% .45 61% .27 1.27 56% 33% 46% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.0 .24 9% .57 69% .39
Mar
7		 Florida A F D- A+ B- 31% 37% 31% D- C+ A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A+ B B- A F B- 35% 37% 29% A+ A- A+ D+ B+ D+ F A+ F
1.08 41% 30% 41% -5 -3 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 13% .34 81% .27 1.17 59% 33% 43% +2 -2 1.02 35% 1.1 .40 14% .52 63% .32
Mar
11		 LSU A A+ A+ F A+ 24% 38% 38% F A B- D C A+ B+ A- A- C+ A F A+ D+ 22% 43% 35% A+ B- C+ D+ C D+ B- A+ A-
1.24 79% 59% 27% +9 -3 1.14 31% 0.8 .26 7% .35 74% .26 1.17 50% 65% 26% +6 -4 1.06 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 65% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 96.4% 2.1% 94.3% 7.1 0.2 0.8 4.3 19.1 41.5 23.4 6.4 0.7 0.0 3.6 96.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.4% 2.1% 94.3% 7.1 3.6 96.3%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 5.1 5.3 19.4 40.8 31.7 2.6 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8% 99.8% 6.0 0.7 3.8 19.5 46.6 27.4 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.4% 98.6% 6.5 0.2 0.9 8.7 39.5 41.4 7.4 0.5
Lose Out 33.6% 93.0% 7.5 0.1 1.1 9.5 37.6 31.1 11.8 1.8 0.0