Kentucky
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +16.4 23
Results Rating +16.5 25
Consistency 0.18 312
Pace 69.6 142
Improvement +0.3 178

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 34 B A- B B C+
Defense A- 24 B+ A C+ C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 B+ 66% 33 +4.3 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 254 C- 36% 223 -1.1 237
Three Pointers 41% 171 B 37% 79 +1.8 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 133 B +4.5 51
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 55
Second Chance B+ 37.1% 23 B+ 1.15 41 A- 0.43 18
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 123
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 46
Turnovers B 14.9% 70
Freethrows B 0.34 65 C 73% 183 B 0.25 73
Total Offense B+ +8.5 34

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 59% 35 A- 7.0% 19
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 87 C- 5.8% 245
Three Pointers C 84% 202 B- 0.5% 78
Total B 63% 48 B+ 4.1% 29


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 329 B+ 52% 38 -5.8 26
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 41 C+ 36% 114 +1.5 305
Three Pointers 42% 129 B+ 30% 39 -1.7 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.1 32 B+ -4.8 31
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 29
Second Chance B+ 25.5% 32 A+ 0.79 4 A 0.20 6
Turnovers from Steals B 11.4% 51
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 332
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 134
Freethrows B- 0.28 107 C 73% 207 C+ 0.20 115
Total Defense A- +7.9 24

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 339 A- 17.6% 22
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 189 B+ 8.2% 41
Three Pointers C+ 82% 119 C 1.0% 132
Total C- 58% 231 B+ 8.2% 28

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 33 18.8 349
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.31 4 0.10 19
Consistency 0.15 335 0.12 174
Improvement +0.1 181 +0.2 176

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 28 23 19
Results Rating Rank 37 25 18
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 8 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 7% 12% 2%
Top 6 Seed 63% 83% 45%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99% 100% 98%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99% 100% 98%
Average Seed 6.2 5.6 6.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round99% 100% 98%
Second Round71% 77% 66%
Sweet Sixteen27% 32% 22%
Elite Eight9% 10% 8%
Final Four3% 3% 3%
Championship Game1% 1% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 28 - 10
Quad 24 - 212 - 12
Quad 33 - 014 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 251 Nicholls St. W 77 - 51 98% +15  95% 1 - 0 A +18 C- -2 C F B A+ +20 A+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 151 Valparaiso W 107 - 59 95% +31  99% 2 - 0 A+ +45 A+ +24 A+ F+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @Louisville L 88 - 96 31% -8  4% 2 - 1 B+ +14 A +14 A A+ C- C +0 A B+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 327 Eastern Illinois W 99 - 53 99% +27  99% 3 - 1 A+ +32 A+ +24 A+ A+ C A +10 B A+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 10 Michigan St. L 66 - 83 37% -11  12% 3 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 D+ C A B- +2 D A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 313 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 46 99% +26  98% 4 - 2 A+ +30 C+ +3 C C+ B- A+ +25 A+ B+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 312 Tennessee Tech W 104 - 54 99% +18  76% 5 - 2 A+ +38 A+ +19 A+ A+ C+ A+ +17 A+ A F+
 Tue, Dec 2 25 North Carolina L 64 - 67 65% +2  63% 5 - 3 B +9 C- -1 C+ D+ C+ A +10 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 5 14 Gonzaga L 59 - 94 40% -21  0% 5 - 4 F+ -16 D- -7 F A A F+ -9 F B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 9 349 NC Central W 103 - 67 99% +19  99% 6 - 4 A +20 A+ +16 A+ B A B- +3 C A- C
 Sat, Dec 13 41 Indiana W 72 - 60 72% -0  34% 7 - 4 A +22 C+ +3 F+ A A+ A+ +20 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 20 St. John's W 78 - 66 44% +1  39% 8 - 4 A+ +30 A +14 B+ A+ D A+ +16 A+ B A-
 Tue, Dec 23 284 Bellarmine W 99 - 85 98% +8  90% 9 - 4 C+ +4 A+ +16 A+ A C+ F -11 C F B
 Sat, Jan 3 13 @Alabama L 74 - 89 30% -11  3% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B- +7 C+ +3 C A D B +4 C+ B+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 44 Missouri L 68 - 73 75% +0  43% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +4 D+ -3 C+ C D+ A- +7 C- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 89 Mississippi St. W 92 - 68 88% +4  63% 10 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- A- +8 B- B- A+
 Wed, Jan 14 58 @LSU W 75 - 74 63% -8  3% 11 - 6 2 - 2 B+ +14 B +7 C+ B+ B A- +7 D A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 17 16 @Tennessee W 80 - 78 32% -7  1% 12 - 6 3 - 2 A+ +23 A+ +25 A A+ A- C -1 F A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 21 27 Texas W 85 - 80 66% +3  73% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A- +17 A +12 B- B+ B+ B+ +5 A+ C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 74 Mississippi W 72 - 63 86% +3  73% 14 - 6 5 - 2 B+ +14 C+ +2 F A+ C+ A+ +12 A+ B- B
 Tue, Jan 27 17 @Vanderbilt L 55 - 80 32% -18  0% 14 - 7 5 - 3 C- -4 F -12 F C+ D A- +8 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 19 @Arkansas W 85 - 77 33% +5  85% 15 - 7 6 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +20 A+ B- A+ A +9 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 46 Oklahoma W 94 - 78 76% +8  79% 16 - 7 7 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +26 A+ A+ A+ C+ +0 B- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 16 Tennessee W 74 - 71 54% -5  12% 17 - 7 8 - 3 A +18 A- +10 A- A+ A A +9 B+ A+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 3 @Florida L 83 - 92 14% -9  0% 17 - 8 8 - 4 A +19 A+ +15 A B+ D+ B +5 C A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 29 Georgia L 78 - 86 66% -1  35% 17 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ A C D+ -5 B+ C D-
 Sat, Feb 21 40 @Auburn L 74 - 75 50% +0  43% 17 - 10 8 - 6 A- +15 C+ +2 C A- D+ A+ +14 A- A+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 94 @South Carolina W 72 - 63 76% +2  67% 18 - 10 9 - 6 A +18 C- -1 C- B F A+ +18 A A+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 17 Vanderbilt W 91 - 77 54% +14  97% 19 - 10 10 - 6 A+ +29 A+ +24 A+ A+ B+ B+ +6 C- A+ B+
 Tue, Mar 3 34 @Texas A&M L 79 - 80 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 3 Florida L 75 - 81 29%
Totals 20 - 11 11 - 7 +16 B+ +8 A+ B C+ A- +8 B C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C- B B 40% 31% 41% C+ B B+ B+ A- B B C B A- B+ C+ B+ B+ 32% 26% 42% B+ B+ B+ A+ A C+ B- C C+
1.21 66% 36% 37% +4 0 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 15% .34 73% .25 0.97 52% 36% 30% -5 -1 0.90 26% 0.8 .20 17% .28 73% .25
Nov
4		 Nicholls St. C- A+ F F C 45% 12% 43% B- C B- F F B B F F+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 31% 49% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F D+ F
1.10 83% 17% 27% +4 +2 1.14 38% 0.5 .20 19% .39 55% .21 0.73 70% 20% 17% -16 -3 0.65 12% 0.8 .10 16% .37 68% .25
Nov
7		 Valparaiso A+ A+ C A+ A+ 47% 10% 43% A A+ C+ F F+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 17% 24% 59% C A+ A A+ A+ D+ B A- A-
1.43 81% 33% 44% +17 +2 1.40 33% 0.5 .18 8% .38 85% .32 0.79 60% 14% 24% -15 -2 0.69 24% 0.7 .16 13% .31 65% .20
Nov
11		 Louisville A A B B- A 32% 18% 51% B+ A A- A+ A+ C- D+ B C- C C+ F B+ A- 30% 13% 57% A A B B+ B+ F F A+ F+
1.15 67% 40% 34% +3 0 1.09 33% 1.2 .40 18% .26 75% .19 1.25 61% 63% 31% +2 0 1.07 31% 0.9 .29 8% .44 68% .30
Nov
14		 Eastern Illinois A+ A+ A+ A A+ 50% 10% 40% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ D+ D A C- A+ D+ C+ 18% 47% 35% A+ B A+ A+ A+ D D- A- D+
1.46 80% 60% 40% +17 +2 1.40 57% 1.4 .79 19% .29 75% .22 0.78 56% 22% 35% -7 -5 0.78 13% 0.6 .08 16% .33 68% .23
Nov
18		 Michigan St. C B- F F D 30% 15% 55% B D+ D+ A C A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F F D 39% 25% 37% C- D A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D- A+
0.93 56% 25% 24% -11 0 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 13% .35 86% .31 1.17 45% 50% 52% +8 0 1.18 31% 0.8 .25 18% .17 80% .14
Nov
21		 Loyola Maryland C+ D D A C- 44% 17% 39% B- C A F C+ B- F F F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 25% 21% 54% A+ A+ A C B+ A A+ A+ A+
1.22 57% 36% 40% +3 +1 1.09 43% 0.9 .40 12% .14 44% .06 0.64 43% 25% 20% -18 -1 0.64 19% 1.0 .19 22% .14 38% .05
Nov
26		 Tennessee Tech A+ A- B- A+ A+ 44% 8% 47% A A+ B A+ A+ C+ F A D- A+ A- B+ A+ A+ 28% 31% 41% A A+ A+ C+ A F+ A+ A+ A+
1.43 69% 40% 50% +16 +2 1.39 36% 1.6 .57 14% .21 85% .18 0.74 47% 32% 20% -14 -2 0.70 19% 1.0 .19 15% .08 40% .03
Dec
2		 North Carolina C- A+ D F C 45% 28% 28% B C+ B- F D+ C+ A+ A- A+ A A D+ A+ A+ 31% 36% 33% A+ A+ F C F A+ A- A A
1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31 1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17
Dec
5		 Gonzaga D- F F F F 25% 18% 57% B F B- A+ A A A+ A A+ F+ D C F F 41% 30% 29% C+ F C+ A B+ C- B- F C-
0.84 38% 0% 21% -23 -1 0.55 27% 1.3 .33 16% .44 77% .34 1.33 70% 41% 56% +15 -1 1.30 34% 1.0 .34 13% .26 81% .21
Dec
9		 NC Central A+ A+ A B+ A+ 40% 11% 49% B- A+ F A+ B A F A+ C- B- D B+ B+ C- 35% 33% 33% A- C A C A- C C+ D+ C
1.43 87% 50% 39% +17 +1 1.39 27% 1.6 .42 13% .22 93% .21 0.93 61% 29% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 18% .29 76% .22
Dec
13		 Indiana C+ D F F F 47% 24% 29% B+ F+ B A A A+ A+ F A+ A+ D+ B- A+ A+ 23% 18% 59% A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ F F F
1.08 48% 25% 21% -13 0 0.76 33% 1.3 .42 6% .60 66% .40 0.90 67% 43% 17% -12 -1 0.77 29% 0.8 .21 27% .59 90% .53
Dec
20		 St. John's A F+ A+ C+ A- 45% 30% 26% D+ B+ A+ B- A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% A+ A+ B+ C- B A- F F F
1.13 43% 57% 33% -1 -1 0.98 48% 1.0 .48 23% .41 82% .34 0.95 46% 17% 24% -16 -2 0.67 32% 1.2 .38 17% .56 84% .47
Dec
23		 Bellarmine A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 15% 25% 60% F A+ B A A C+ A+ D+ A F F B- B- C- 39% 20% 41% A- C F D+ F B F F F
1.48 86% 42% 55% +24 -2 1.46 39% 1.4 .54 15% .42 71% .30 1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 0 1.14 33% 1.2 .41 18% .55 87% .47
Jan
3		 Alabama C+ A+ F F C- 38% 26% 36% C+ C B- A+ A D A+ B- A+ B B- F D+ B- 38% 5% 57% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ B- A B- A
1.03 70% 21% 21% -7 -1 0.87 31% 1.3 .38 17% .49 69% .34 1.24 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .33 14% .26 75% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri D+ B- D+ C+ C+ 37% 33% 30% D+ C+ D B+ C D+ A+ D A+ A- D+ F C C- 46% 20% 34% C+ C- A+ A- A+ C B+ D+ B
1.00 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 71% .31 1.07 65% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.16 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 72% .23
Jan
10		 Mississippi St. A+ A D A A+ 43% 21% 36% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D+ F D- A- F C- A+ B- 40% 24% 36% C B- B- B- B- A+ B- F C-
1.34 67% 33% 40% +6 0 1.14 42% 1.6 .67 13% .23 64% .15 0.99 80% 42% 17% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 22% .26 79% .21
Jan
14		 LSU B D F A C+ 35% 22% 43% C C+ F+ A+ B+ B A C A- A- A+ F F D- 38% 20% 43% B- D A+ B- A+ A- F A+ F
1.12 50% 27% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .34 13% .38 68% .26 1.11 33% 63% 53% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.1 .28 18% .51 68% .35
Jan
17		 Tennessee A+ F+ F A+ A- 39% 11% 50% A A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D- A- C C F F F 46% 13% 41% D- F D- A+ A+ B- F C+ F
1.26 44% 20% 43% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.4 .56 14% .39 62% .24 1.23 61% 60% 50% +14 +2 1.33 52% 0.4 .19 19% .56 69% .39
Jan
21		 Texas A B A D B+ 27% 40% 33% F B- A+ D- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F+ C A+ A+ 41% 31% 28% A A+ B- C- C+ D- A- F C+
1.23 62% 47% 31% +3 -3 1.02 38% 0.8 .32 12% .57 86% .49 1.16 73% 41% 7% -4 -1 0.91 36% 1.2 .44 12% .33 90% .29
Jan
24		 Mississippi C+ D+ D F F 20% 30% 50% D- F B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 29% 37% 35% C+ A+ D- A+ B- B F+ A C-
1.07 50% 33% 20% -14 -3 0.70 35% 1.4 .48 18% .69 74% .51 0.94 40% 21% 33% -12 -3 0.73 35% 0.8 .29 15% .37 67% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Vanderbilt F C- F F F 31% 33% 37% D- F B C- C+ D C+ F D- A- A+ D+ D A+ 38% 14% 48% D+ A D+ A+ A- C F C- F
0.79 53% 19% 22% -14 -2 0.69 30% 0.9 .28 21% .35 58% .20 1.14 42% 43% 38% -3 +1 0.98 35% 0.8 .30 13% .41 80% .33
Jan
31		 Arkansas A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 43% 30% 28% D+ A+ A F B- A+ A+ D- A+ A C- F A+ B 51% 25% 24% C B A A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.27 75% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.0 .37 10% .50 63% .32 1.15 65% 54% 25% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.8 .21 6% .41 62% .25
Feb
4		 Oklahoma A+ B C- A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C+ D- A+ C+ B- 28% 13% 59% C B- A+ B+ A+ F C F D-
1.44 62% 36% 52% +12 -2 1.23 42% 1.4 .58 9% .45 81% .37 1.19 67% 29% 34% +1 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 9% .32 89% .29
Feb
7		 Tennessee A- A+ D- F B+ 48% 20% 32% B+ A- C A+ A+ A A F B A D B- D+ C 19% 40% 40% A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ B- F B- F+
1.09 75% 30% 19% -1 +1 1.02 23% 1.8 .40 13% .38 59% .22 1.05 67% 37% 37% +3 -4 1.00 45% 0.6 .29 19% .46 68% .31
Feb
14		 Florida A+ F+ A+ A+ A 45% 24% 31% B+ A A B- B+ D+ A+ B- A+ B A- C F C 44% 13% 44% C+ C B- A+ A+ D+ F B F
1.08 42% 50% 44% +1 0 1.03 32% 0.8 .24 18% .40 72% .29 1.20 54% 43% 42% +4 +1 1.13 41% 0.8 .32 14% .49 69% .34
Feb
17		 Georgia B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 21% 34% 45% F A+ A B A C A+ F B+ D+ A+ A+ F B- 26% 23% 51% A+ B+ B- C- C D- C+ C+ C+
1.16 70% 44% 43% +10 -3 1.17 42% 1.0 .42 19% .37 60% .22 1.28 47% 23% 45% +2 -1 1.04 35% 1.1 .40 10% .32 74% .23
Feb
21		 Auburn C+ C C+ D C- 47% 20% 33% B C A+ D- A- D+ B- A B+ A+ B F A+ A+ 58% 8% 34% F A- B- A+ A+ B- C F D
1.05 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 20% .30 82% .25 1.06 55% 75% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 16% .40 83% .33
Feb
24		 South Carolina C- D+ F C D+ 43% 16% 41% B+ C- A+ F B F B+ B- B+ A+ A+ F B A- 22% 25% 53% A+ A A+ A+ A+ B B+ B B+
1.00 55% 13% 33% -6 +1 0.92 44% 0.8 .34 21% .32 72% .23 0.88 36% 54% 30% -4 -2 0.90 14% 0.8 .11 17% .28 76% .22
Feb
28		 Vanderbilt A+ A+ C A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% C A+ C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F F A+ D- 21% 30% 49% A+ C- A+ A A+ B+ A+ F A+
1.34 87% 36% 50% +19 -1 1.39 27% 1.7 .45 16% .44 80% .35 1.13 91% 69% 27% +11 -2 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .19 91% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.7 0.7 2nd
3rd 1.7 7.9 9.6 3rd
4th 0.1 21.0 5.4 26.5 4th
5th 4.0 23.0 26.9 5th
6th 12.8 2.7 15.5 6th
7th 14.4 14.4 7th
8th 5.7 5.7 8th
9th 0.6 0.6 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 37.5 48.3 14.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.1% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 5.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 48.3% 99.7% 4.6% 95.1% 5.8 0.0 0.4 2.5 14.0 20.8 9.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.7%
10-8 37.5% 97.5% 1.9% 95.6% 7.0 0.0 0.2 2.8 9.2 12.6 8.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 1.0 97.4%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.9% 4.2% 94.7% 6.2 1.1 98.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 3.3 1.2 13.9 41.8 35.9 7.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6% 100.0% 4.5 0.9 9.0 38.2 40.1 11.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.0% 100.0% 5.0 4.3 18.9 50.9 24.4 1.6
Lose Out 19.6% 95.8% 7.6 0.0 1.0 10.2 33.9 32.6 13.8 3.9 0.3