Georgia
Southeastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#103
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#80
Pace69.3#142
Improvement+0.2#166

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#115
First Shot+2.2#98
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks+0.7#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
Freethrows+2.8#21
Improvement+1.3#23

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#107
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks-0.4#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#84
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement-1.1#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.2% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.5 13.9
.500 or above 90.7% 98.7% 88.9%
.500 or above in Conference 19.3% 41.5% 14.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 8
Quad 24 - 34 - 11
Quad 33 - 37 - 13
Quad 410 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 260   Western Carolina W 68-55 87%     1 - 0 +4.9 -10.5 +15.3
  Nov 11, 2022 67   @ Wake Forest L 71-81 26%     1 - 1 +1.0 -3.8 +5.5
  Nov 14, 2022 297   Miami (OH) W 77-70 90%     2 - 1 -3.0 -5.6 +2.5
  Nov 18, 2022 295   Bucknell W 65-61 90%     3 - 1 -5.9 -9.6 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2022 162   Saint Joseph's W 66-53 65%     4 - 1 +13.3 -5.6 +19.0
  Nov 22, 2022 71   UAB L 73-87 36%     4 - 2 -6.2 +3.6 -9.9
  Nov 27, 2022 223   East Tennessee St. W 62-47 83%     5 - 2 +9.3 -7.7 +18.1
  Nov 30, 2022 342   Hampton W 73-54 95%     6 - 2 +4.5 -2.4 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2022 358   Florida A&M W 68-46 97%     7 - 2 +3.7 -2.7 +8.6
  Dec 06, 2022 172   @ Georgia Tech L 77-79 56%     7 - 3 +0.7 +9.6 -8.9
  Dec 18, 2022 127   Notre Dame W 77-62 57%     8 - 3 +17.3 +3.1 +14.5
  Dec 21, 2022 164   Chattanooga W 72-65 74%     9 - 3 +4.5 -1.6 +6.4
  Dec 28, 2022 196   Rider W 78-72 79%     10 - 3 +1.9 +3.2 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2023 27   Auburn W 76-64 29%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +22.1 +12.1 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2023 40   @ Florida L 75-82 18%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +7.0 +11.3 -4.1
  Jan 11, 2023 55   Mississippi St. W 58-50 40%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +14.8 -5.1 +20.2
  Jan 14, 2023 95   @ Mississippi W 62-58 37%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +11.7 +1.3 +10.9
  Jan 17, 2023 32   @ Kentucky L 71-85 16%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +1.0 +3.5 -2.3
  Jan 21, 2023 97   Vanderbilt L 82-85 58%     13 - 6 3 - 3 -0.9 +7.7 -8.6
  Jan 25, 2023 3   @ Tennessee L 41-70 6%     13 - 7 3 - 4 -7.6 -17.5 +9.9
  Jan 28, 2023 229   South Carolina W 81-78 OT 83%     14 - 7 4 - 4 -3.1 +0.0 -3.3
  Feb 01, 2023 27   @ Auburn L 73-94 15%     14 - 8 4 - 5 -5.4 +14.5 -21.6
  Feb 04, 2023 42   @ Texas A&M L 66-75 18%    
  Feb 07, 2023 95   Mississippi W 69-67 59%    
  Feb 11, 2023 32   Kentucky L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 14, 2023 106   LSU W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 18, 2023 2   @ Alabama L 67-85 5%    
  Feb 21, 2023 18   @ Arkansas L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 25, 2023 46   Missouri L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 28, 2023 40   Florida L 66-70 35%    
  Mar 04, 2023 229   @ South Carolina W 70-65 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 1.9 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.2 1.0 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 7.9 5.1 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 2.4 12.5 12.4 1.4 0.0 28.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 9.4 11.8 2.5 0.0 24.7 10th
11th 0.2 3.9 6.9 2.0 0.0 12.9 11th
12th 0.7 2.7 0.8 0.0 4.2 12th
13th 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 1.4 7.9 19.5 27.7 24.2 13.4 4.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 11.8% 11.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8%
11-7 1.0% 4.4% 2.3% 2.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.2%
10-8 4.7% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.3%
9-9 13.4% 1.0% 1.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
8-10 24.2% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.0
7-11 27.7% 0.8% 0.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 27.5
6-12 19.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 19.4
5-13 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.9
4-14 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 99.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4% 0.6% 16.0 0.6