Georgia
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#159
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#250
Pace71.7#111
Improvement-1.8#309

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#154
First Shot+1.6#131
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#244
Layup/Dunks+5.1#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#267
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-1.6#318

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#177
First Shot-2.6#268
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#48
Layups/Dunks-1.0#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#221
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.2 11.5 10.7
.500 or above 2.0% 6.5% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 5.3% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.9% 36.6% 50.1%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Home) - 16.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 22 - 63 - 18
Quad 33 - 45 - 21
Quad 44 - 19 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 226   Florida International W 58-51 73%     1 - 0 +1.2 -12.0 +13.7
  Nov 13, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 68-73 16%     1 - 1 +6.3 +4.3 +1.9
  Nov 16, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 76-60 96%     2 - 1 -4.5 -7.1 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2021 88   Georgia Tech L 78-88 40%     2 - 2 -6.8 +7.2 -14.0
  Nov 22, 2021 40   Virginia L 55-65 17%     2 - 3 +0.7 -4.8 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2021 47   Northwestern L 62-78 19%     2 - 4 -6.4 -8.2 +2.3
  Nov 28, 2021 119   Wofford L 65-68 52%     2 - 5 -3.0 -5.3 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2021 23   Memphis L 70-80 16%    
  Dec 07, 2021 257   Jacksonville W 71-62 79%    
  Dec 18, 2021 115   George Mason W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 20, 2021 302   Western Carolina W 82-71 85%    
  Dec 22, 2021 123   East Tennessee St. W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 29, 2021 190   Gardner-Webb W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 04, 2022 80   Texas A&M L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 08, 2022 12   @ Kentucky L 64-82 5%    
  Jan 12, 2022 38   @ Mississippi St. L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 15, 2022 77   Vanderbilt L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 19, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 68-84 6%    
  Jan 22, 2022 98   @ South Carolina L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 25, 2022 13   Alabama L 73-85 14%    
  Jan 29, 2022 77   @ Vanderbilt L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 02, 2022 24   Arkansas L 72-82 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 21   Auburn L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 09, 2022 14   @ Florida L 63-81 6%    
  Feb 12, 2022 98   South Carolina L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 16, 2022 10   @ LSU L 65-84 5%    
  Feb 19, 2022 69   Mississippi L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 22, 2022 80   @ Texas A&M L 63-72 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 14   Florida L 66-78 15%    
  Mar 01, 2022 18   Tennessee L 66-77 15%    
  Mar 05, 2022 132   @ Missouri L 68-73 34%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.2 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.2 2.3 6.0 5.8 1.4 0.1 15.8 12th
13th 0.7 5.2 9.0 7.7 2.3 0.2 25.1 13th
14th 3.9 9.9 11.4 6.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 33.8 14th
Total 3.9 10.6 16.8 18.2 16.5 13.3 9.8 5.4 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
11-7 0.2% 28.6% 28.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 28.6%
10-8 0.8% 5.1% 5.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1%
9-9 1.5% 1.5
8-10 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 2.9 0.8%
7-11 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 5.3 0.4%
6-12 9.8% 9.8
5-13 13.3% 13.3
4-14 16.5% 16.5
3-15 18.2% 18.2
2-16 16.8% 16.8
1-17 10.6% 10.6
0-18 3.9% 3.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%