Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+16.0#19
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#29
Pace84.4#4
Improvement+1.4#86

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#19
First Shot+5.4#52
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#20
Layup/Dunks+5.6#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
Freethrows+2.0#74
Improvement+1.0#96

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#25
First Shot+7.1#17
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks+1.5#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#56
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement+0.4#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 6.0% 6.0% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 26.9% 27.1% 7.3%
Top 6 Seed 52.9% 53.0% 28.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.0% 89.1% 76.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.8% 87.9% 75.7%
Average Seed 6.0 6.0 7.1
.500 or above 99.7% 99.7% 97.4%
.500 or above in Conference 81.0% 81.0% 70.5%
Conference Champion 13.8% 13.9% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.8% 0.5%
First Four3.7% 3.7% 1.6%
First Round87.3% 87.4% 76.2%
Second Round64.4% 64.5% 45.6%
Sweet Sixteen30.6% 30.7% 14.0%
Elite Eight12.7% 12.7% 3.6%
Final Four5.2% 5.3% 1.0%
Championship Game2.0% 2.0% 0.5%
National Champion0.6% 0.7% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 7
Quad 26 - 113 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 295 Bellarmine W 104-59 98%     1 - 0 +34.6 +13.8 +17.1
  Wed, Nov 5 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94-29 99%     2 - 0 +50.3 +10.5 +36.3
  Sun, Nov 9 322 Morehead St. W 120-81 99%     3 - 0 +26.4 +26.3 -4.7
  Fri, Nov 14 130 Georgia Tech W 92-87 94%     4 - 0 +3.8 +7.3 -4.3
  Mon, Nov 17 343 Florida A&M W 87-57 99%     5 - 0 +15.5 +0.9 +12.2
  Fri, Nov 21 76 Xavier W 78-77 79%     6 - 0 +8.7 +6.4 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 23 35 Clemson L 94-97 OT 63%     6 - 1 +9.6 +12.3 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 29 266 Tennessee Tech W 123-81 98%     7 - 1 +33.4 +22.9 +2.4
  Tue, Dec 2 104 @Florida St. W 107-73 80%     8 - 1 +41.1 +26.3 +11.2
  Sat, Dec 13 78 Cincinnati W 84-65 79%     9 - 1 +26.5 +13.1 +11.8
  Thu, Dec 18 296 Western Carolina W 97-71 99%    
  Mon, Dec 22 314 West Georgia W 96-68 99.6%   
  Mon, Dec 29 211 LIU Brooklyn W 95-73 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 28 Auburn W 88-83 67%    
  Tue, Jan 6 13 @Florida L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 87 @South Carolina W 83-76 74%    
  Wed, Jan 14 60 Mississippi W 84-74 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 21 Arkansas W 87-84 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 48 @Missouri W 87-85 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 41 @Texas W 84-83 55%    
  Tue, Jan 27 18 Tennessee W 82-79 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 45 Texas A&M W 92-84 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 34 @LSU W 84-83 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 13 Florida W 85-84 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 44 @Oklahoma W 86-84 56%    
  Tue, Feb 17 22 @Kentucky L 83-86 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 41 Texas W 87-80 74%    
  Wed, Feb 25 11 @Vanderbilt L 86-91 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 87 South Carolina W 86-73 88%    
  Tue, Mar 3 15 Alabama W 96-95 55%    
  Sat, Mar 7 80 @Mississippi St. W 86-80 70%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 13.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.8 5.2 3.4 0.9 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 5.1 1.2 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.2 2.2 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 3.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 3.9 1.1 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.3 2.5 2.0 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 0.6 4.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.2 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.3 8.2 10.8 13.7 14.5 14.0 11.6 8.4 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 96.4% 2.2    1.9 0.3 0.0
15-3 81.3% 4.0    2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 52.3% 4.4    1.8 1.8 0.7 0.1
13-5 17.5% 2.0    0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 7.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.7% 100.0% 31.1% 68.9% 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.3% 100.0% 29.8% 70.2% 2.2 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.9% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 2.9 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 8.4% 100.0% 20.7% 79.3% 3.5 0.2 1.1 2.8 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.6% 100.0% 17.6% 82.4% 4.3 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.8 3.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 14.0% 99.8% 11.0% 88.8% 5.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 4.2 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 14.5% 99.4% 7.3% 92.1% 6.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 4.2 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.4%
10-8 13.7% 98.0% 4.1% 94.0% 7.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 3.9 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 98.0%
9-9 10.8% 92.8% 3.4% 89.4% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.8 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.8 92.6%
8-10 8.2% 75.4% 1.7% 73.7% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.0 2.0 75.0%
7-11 5.3% 46.6% 1.4% 45.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.0 2.9 45.9%
6-12 3.1% 14.9% 0.6% 14.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 14.3%
5-13 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.9%
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 89.0% 9.5% 79.4% 6.0 1.6 4.4 9.0 12.0 13.1 12.8 12.0 9.2 6.8 5.0 3.1 0.1 11.0 87.8%