Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#144
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#129
Pace77.8#24
Improvement-1.0#251

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#149
First Shot+2.0#121
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#275
Layup/Dunks+1.7#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#283
Freethrows+2.9#29
Improvement-1.3#293

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#141
First Shot-3.1#290
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#8
Layups/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#303
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement+0.3#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 12.8% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 77.9% 85.0% 64.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.1% 83.5% 62.0%
Conference Champion 13.6% 17.5% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.7% 3.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round11.1% 12.8% 8.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Away) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 241 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 80%     1 - 0 +4.3 -0.7 +4.0
  Mon, Nov 10 244 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 61%     2 - 0 +6.3 +5.9 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 16 222 Tennessee St. W 95-82 77%     3 - 0 +6.3 +13.4 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 26 10 Vanderbilt L 78-83 6%     3 - 1 +13.3 +2.7 +11.2
  Thu, Nov 27 85 South Florida L 91-97 OT 30%     3 - 2 +0.6 -0.6 +2.6
  Fri, Nov 28 100 Wichita St. W 75-70 36%     4 - 2 +9.9 +12.1 -1.7
  Sat, Dec 6 264 Evansville W 80-79 82%     5 - 2 -7.6 +1.5 -9.1
  Wed, Dec 10 157 @Marshall L 61-77 42%     5 - 3 -12.9 -9.4 -3.8
  Fri, Dec 19 82 Tulsa L 81-82 39%     5 - 4 +2.9 +5.7 -2.8
  Mon, Dec 29 273 @Jacksonville St. W 73-69 65%    
  Fri, Jan 2 118 Sam Houston St. W 83-82 53%    
  Sun, Jan 4 189 Louisiana Tech W 72-66 72%    
  Thu, Jan 8 135 @New Mexico St. L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 211 @UTEP W 72-71 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 266 Missouri St. W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 156 Kennesaw St. W 87-83 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 108 Liberty W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 118 @Sam Houston St. L 80-85 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 156 @Kennesaw St. L 84-86 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 159 @Middle Tennessee L 76-78 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 273 Jacksonville St. W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Feb 7 186 Florida International W 85-79 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 159 Middle Tennessee W 79-75 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 287 @Delaware W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 108 @Liberty L 73-79 31%    
  Thu, Feb 26 135 New Mexico St. W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 211 UTEP W 75-68 75%    
  Thu, Mar 5 266 @Missouri St. W 74-70 63%    
  Sat, Mar 7 186 @Florida International L 81-82 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.5 3.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 13.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.0 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.1 6.3 9.1 11.2 12.5 12.9 12.4 10.2 7.7 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 98.4% 1.2    1.1 0.1
17-3 93.0% 2.5    2.1 0.4 0.0
16-4 73.8% 3.6    2.5 1.0 0.1
15-5 46.0% 3.5    1.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.5% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 8.3 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 43.4% 43.4% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.2% 33.0% 33.0% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
17-3 2.7% 31.0% 31.0% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.8
16-4 4.8% 27.0% 27.0% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 3.5
15-5 7.7% 22.7% 22.7% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.9
14-6 10.2% 18.1% 18.1% 13.2 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.4
13-7 12.4% 14.0% 14.0% 13.5 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 10.7
12-8 12.9% 9.4% 9.4% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 11.7
11-9 12.5% 7.1% 7.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 11.6
10-10 11.2% 4.1% 4.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.8
9-11 9.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 8.8
8-12 6.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.1 0.1 6.2
7-13 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.1
6-14 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 2.3
5-15 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.0 1.0 0.2 88.8 0.0%