Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#163
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#183
Pace67.9#189
Improvement-0.3#218

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#152
First Shot+1.9#109
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#272
Layup/Dunks-2.1#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows+0.7#120
Improvement-0.4#253

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#188
First Shot+0.8#145
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#294
Layups/Dunks+3.1#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#339
Freethrows+1.1#98
Improvement+0.1#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.3% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 19.1% 21.4% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.4% 7.3% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.3% 8.3%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.3%
First Round1.8% 1.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 33 - 66 - 13
Quad 48 - 313 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 193   @ Eastern Kentucky W 66-60 45%     1 - 0 +7.5 -7.7 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2022 108   Akron L 53-72 37%     1 - 1 -15.3 -7.1 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2022 234   Illinois St. W 78-66 65%     2 - 1 +8.3 +10.5 -1.3
  Nov 23, 2022 77   Tulane W 71-65 26%     3 - 1 +12.9 +4.2 +9.0
  Nov 26, 2022 355   South Carolina St. W 90-64 94%     4 - 1 +8.9 +4.9 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2022 315   @ Austin Peay W 75-74 71%     5 - 1 -4.5 +5.1 -9.5
  Dec 10, 2022 201   Wright St. W 64-60 67%     6 - 1 -0.3 -12.0 +11.6
  Dec 14, 2022 248   @ Louisville L 83-94 58%     6 - 2 -12.8 +9.0 -21.5
  Dec 22, 2022 229   @ South Carolina L 58-65 54%     6 - 3 -7.7 -14.2 +6.4
  Dec 29, 2022 170   Rice L 78-81 61%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -5.7 -6.6 +1.3
  Dec 31, 2022 121   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-65 31%     6 - 5 0 - 2 +0.4 -6.0 +6.2
  Jan 05, 2023 80   North Texas L 66-70 36%     6 - 6 0 - 3 -0.1 +6.7 -7.4
  Jan 07, 2023 312   @ Texas San Antonio W 74-64 71%     7 - 6 1 - 3 +4.6 -2.8 +7.4
  Jan 11, 2023 71   @ UAB W 80-78 17%     8 - 6 2 - 3 +12.5 +8.7 +3.7
  Jan 14, 2023 226   Florida International W 70-59 72%     9 - 6 3 - 3 +5.2 -2.5 +8.2
  Jan 16, 2023 52   Florida Atlantic L 62-76 26%     9 - 7 3 - 4 -6.9 -8.1 +1.2
  Jan 19, 2023 137   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-85 OT 34%     9 - 8 3 - 5 -6.5 +1.4 -7.6
  Jan 21, 2023 110   Charlotte L 71-75 48%     9 - 9 3 - 6 -3.2 +8.4 -12.2
  Jan 26, 2023 226   @ Florida International L 69-78 52%     9 - 10 3 - 7 -9.3 -1.8 -7.8
  Jan 28, 2023 52   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-70 13%     9 - 11 3 - 8 +5.6 -5.2 +10.9
  Feb 02, 2023 312   Texas San Antonio W 78-67 86%    
  Feb 04, 2023 175   UTEP W 66-63 63%    
  Feb 09, 2023 121   Middle Tennessee W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 16, 2023 110   @ Charlotte L 62-68 28%    
  Feb 18, 2023 170   @ Rice L 74-76 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 137   Louisiana Tech W 71-70 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 71   UAB L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 02, 2023 175   @ UTEP L 63-65 40%    
  Mar 04, 2023 80   @ North Texas L 55-64 19%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 2.2 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.2 0.9 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.4 6.5 4.2 0.1 11.2 7th
8th 0.3 4.9 9.7 0.9 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 0.3 4.9 13.5 4.1 0.0 22.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 9.8 15.0 6.9 0.3 35.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.3 2.9 10.2 20.2 25.6 21.7 12.8 5.1 1.2 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 9.3% 9.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 1.2% 6.3% 6.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
10-10 5.1% 4.2% 4.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.8
9-11 12.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 12.3
8-12 21.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.1 0.4 21.2
7-13 25.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 25.2
6-14 20.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 19.8
5-15 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 10.0
4-16 2.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-17 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 9.3% 12.4 5.6 3.7
Lose Out 0.3% 1.3% 16.0 1.3