IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#328
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#145
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	5.0%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.4	15.2	15.4

.500 or above	19.9%	42.5%	16.9%
.500 or above in Conference	30.2%	47.0%	27.9%
Conference Champion	2.3%	4.9%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	19.8%	10.1%	21.0%

First Four	1.1%	1.4%	1.0%
First Round	2.8%	5.0%	2.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	9 - 10	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	156	@ Western Kentucky	L	70-83	12%
Nov 07, 2025	185	@ Charlotte	L	64-75	15%
Nov 17, 2025	345	West Georgia	W	75-70	67%
Nov 19, 2025	336	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	77-79	42%
Nov 26, 2025	7	@ Kentucky	L	61-93	0.2%
Nov 29, 2025	51	@ Georgia	L	59-83	2%
Dec 03, 2025	188	@ Lipscomb	L	64-75	17%
Dec 06, 2025	345	@ West Georgia	L	72-73	46%
Dec 18, 2025	231	Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-73	39%
Dec 20, 2025	323	Tennessee Martin	W	72-69	59%
Jan 01, 2026	177	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	64-76	16%
Jan 08, 2026	322	@ Eastern Illinois	L	66-69	39%
Jan 10, 2026	339	@ Western Illinois	L	67-69	45%
Jan 15, 2026	298	Southern Indiana	W	72-71	52%
Jan 17, 2026	293	Morehead St.	W	67-66	51%
Jan 22, 2026	327	@ Lindenwood	L	70-73	40%
Jan 24, 2026	240	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	64-73	24%
Jan 27, 2026	259	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-79	26%
Jan 31, 2026	177	Arkansas Little Rock	L	67-73	33%
Feb 05, 2026	339	Western Illinois	W	70-66	64%
Feb 07, 2026	322	Eastern Illinois	W	69-66	59%
Feb 12, 2026	293	@ Morehead St.	L	64-70	32%
Feb 14, 2026	298	@ Southern Indiana	L	69-74	33%
Feb 19, 2026	240	SIU Edwardsville	L	67-70	42%
Feb 21, 2026	327	Lindenwood	W	73-70	59%
Feb 26, 2026	323	@ Tennessee Martin	L	69-72	39%
Feb 28, 2026	231	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	67-76	23%
Projected Record						10 - 17	8 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0					4.1	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.0	2.1	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0						5.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	2.9	2.0	0.6	0.0								6.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.7	3.5	2.6	0.7	0.0									8.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.6	4.3	2.9	0.7	0.0										9.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.6	3.3	0.8	0.0											10.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	3.6	0.7	0.0												11.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.6	2.9	4.8	3.5	0.9	0.1													12.8	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.6	3.5	4.5	2.9	0.7	0.0														13.6	10th
11th	0.5	1.6	3.1	3.7	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0															13.6	11th

Total	0.5	1.6	3.4	5.3	7.2	9.3	10.6	10.9	10.9	10.1	8.6	7.3	5.2	4.0	2.4	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	95.1%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-4	77.5%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	42.8%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	19.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	5.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.2	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		74.8%	74.8%		13.0														0.0				0.0
18-2	0.1%		50.2%	50.2%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.3%		34.9%	34.9%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-4	0.7%		29.7%	29.7%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
15-5	1.5%		26.5%	26.5%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.1
14-6	2.4%		21.1%	21.1%		16.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.9
13-7	4.0%		15.9%	15.9%		18.5															0.0	0.2	0.5	3.3
12-8	5.2%		6.5%	6.5%		19.5															0.0	0.1	0.3	4.9
11-9	7.3%		3.8%	3.8%		18.7															0.0	0.0	0.3	7.0
10-10	8.6%		2.0%	2.0%		19.0																0.0	0.2	8.5
9-11	10.1%		1.2%	1.2%		17.5																0.0	0.1	10.0
8-12	10.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.9																	0.1	10.8
7-13	10.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-14	10.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
5-15	9.3%																							9.3
4-16	7.2%																							7.2
3-17	5.3%																							5.3
2-18	3.4%																							3.4
1-19	1.6%																							1.6
0-20	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	17.4													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9	97.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%