IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.8	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.9	#247

Pace	66.6	#247
Improvement	-2.8	#328

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#294

First Shot	-1.1	#206
After Offensive Rebound	-3.4	#336

Layup/Dunks	-3.9	#304
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.4	#195
3 Pt Jumpshots	+7.0	#23
Freethrows	-3.7	#344

Improvement	-1.0	#259

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#331

First Shot	-2.6	#261
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.7	#335

Layups/Dunks	-4.6	#331
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#70
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.0	#287
Freethrows	+3.5	#17

Improvement	-1.8	#322

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	4.7%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	26.6%	36.4%	17.0%
.500 or above in Conference	39.8%	45.6%	34.1%
Conference Champion	3.9%	4.8%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	14.8%	11.7%	17.9%

First Four	2.7%	3.3%	2.2%
First Round	2.2%	3.0%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 11	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	38	@ Georgia	L	78-83	2%	0 - 1			+9.9	+10.7	-0.7
Nov 12, 2024	349	West Georgia	W	76-73	71%	1 - 1			-12.6	-6.9	-5.8
Nov 15, 2024	346	VMI	W	72-71	60%	2 - 1			-11.3	-8.4	-2.9
Nov 16, 2024	166	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	58-83	19%	2 - 2			-25.6	-14.8	-11.7
Nov 19, 2024	83	@ Central Florida	L	69-80	5%	2 - 3			-1.5	+4.2	-6.0
Nov 27, 2024	248	Presbyterian	W	90-75	42%	3 - 3			+7.4	+17.0	-9.0
Nov 29, 2024	67	@ Vanderbilt	L	56-87	3%	3 - 4			-19.1	-13.7	-4.9
Dec 04, 2024	214	@ North Alabama	L	59-82	17%	3 - 5			-22.6	-10.2	-13.9
Dec 07, 2024	349	@ West Georgia	L	70-71	49%
Dec 17, 2024	324	@ Western Illinois	L	66-70	37%
Dec 19, 2024	354	@ Lindenwood	W	71-70	51%
Jan 02, 2025	293	Southern Indiana	W	72-71	50%
Jan 04, 2025	266	Morehead St.	L	68-69	47%
Jan 09, 2025	316	@ Eastern Illinois	L	66-70	36%
Jan 11, 2025	273	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	65-72	27%
Jan 16, 2025	295	Southeast Missouri St.	W	72-71	50%
Jan 18, 2025	233	Arkansas Little Rock	L	69-72	40%
Jan 23, 2025	318	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-77	36%
Jan 25, 2025	328	@ Tennessee Martin	L	70-73	38%
Jan 30, 2025	266	@ Morehead St.	L	65-72	27%
Feb 01, 2025	293	@ Southern Indiana	L	69-75	30%
Feb 06, 2025	273	SIU Edwardsville	L	68-69	48%
Feb 08, 2025	316	Eastern Illinois	W	69-67	57%
Feb 13, 2025	233	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-75	22%
Feb 15, 2025	295	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	69-75	30%
Feb 20, 2025	328	Tennessee Martin	W	73-70	59%
Feb 22, 2025	318	Tennessee St.	W	76-74	57%
Feb 27, 2025	324	Western Illinois	W	69-67	59%
Mar 01, 2025	354	Lindenwood	W	74-67	72%
Projected Record						12 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.0	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0			3.9	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	2.0	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0					5.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	3.0	2.0	0.5	0.1							6.9	3rd
4th										0.1	1.2	3.7	2.6	0.5	0.0								8.2	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	4.2	3.4	0.6	0.0									9.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.0	0.8	3.9	4.4	1.0	0.1										10.2	6th
7th							0.1	0.7	3.9	5.0	1.4	0.1											11.1	7th
8th						0.1	0.8	3.8	5.2	2.1	0.1	0.0											12.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.1	3.6	4.9	2.1	0.2	0.0												12.1	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	1.5	3.4	3.8	1.8	0.2	0.0													11.2	10th
11th	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.1	2.7	2.3	1.0	0.1															9.5	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.6	4.4	6.9	9.3	11.3	12.2	12.3	11.4	9.6	7.3	5.1	3.2	1.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0				Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	95.2%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-4	83.7%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
15-5	59.4%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	31.4%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-7	10.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.9%	3.9		2.1	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
18-2	0.1%		48.9%	48.9%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.4%		29.6%	29.6%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.3
16-4	0.9%		29.8%	29.8%		15.7																0.1	0.2	0.6
15-5	1.8%		25.4%	25.4%		15.9																0.0	0.4	1.4
14-6	3.2%		21.7%	21.7%		15.9																0.0	0.7	2.5
13-7	5.1%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																0.0	0.6	4.5
12-8	7.3%		7.3%	7.3%		16.0																	0.5	6.8
11-9	9.6%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.2
10-10	11.4%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.1
9-11	12.3%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	12.1
8-12	12.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.1
7-13	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
6-14	9.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
5-15	6.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
4-16	4.4%																							4.4
3-17	2.6%																							2.6
2-18	1.0%																							1.0
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	3.4	96.3		0.0%