Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.7 #299
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #293
Pace 71.1 #129
Improvement -1.4 #276

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #261 C D- C D- D+
Defense #319 D+ C- D- C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #231 1.26 #81 +0.6 #154
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #110 0.68 #259 +0.4 #152
Three Pointers 40% #211 1.03 #166 -0.4 #194
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #168 +0.6 #168
Freethrows 14.3 #314 70% #252 10.0 #311
Second Chance 26.0% #297 1.22 #25 0.32 #169
Turnovers 19.2% #307
Total Offense -3.2 #261

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #306 1.07 #81 +4.4 #48
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #161 0.81 #259 -0.7 #237
Three Pointers 46% #68 1.17 #338 -6.0 #350
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #245 -2.3 #244
Freethrows 17.9 #217 73% #189 13.0 #226
Second Chance 30.5% #172 1.26 #349 0.38 #313
Turnovers 16.6% #184
Total Defense -4.5 #319

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #265 -0.8% #104
Shot Type Make Effect 2.3% #142 5.4% #274
Possession Length 17.5 #204 17.3 #215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #82 0.19 #213
Improvement +2.7 #27 -4.1 #357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 16.1% 26.0% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.4% 61.4% 34.1%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.7% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 2.9% 8.5%
First Four1.9% 2.8% 1.3%
First Round2.7% 4.8% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 411 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 156 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 16%     -9.0   0 - 1 -8.9 -6.8 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 191 @Charlotte L 65-70 21%     -9.0   0 - 2 -4.0 -4.5 +0.1
  Mon, Nov 17 316 West Georgia L 59-61 67%     -6.0   0 - 3 -14.2 -16.8 +2.5
  Wed, Nov 19 265 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 32%     3.3   1 - 3 +1.2 +7.2 -6.4
  Wed, Nov 26 20 @Kentucky L 54-104 1%     -17.7   1 - 4 -30.9 -11.3 -17.7
  Sat, Nov 29 23 @Georgia L 81-123 2%     -22.6   1 - 5 -23.2 +0.8 -15.8
  Wed, Dec 3 155 @Lipscomb L 80-83 15%     -1.4   1 - 6 +0.3 +5.3 -4.8
  Sat, Dec 6 316 @West Georgia W 87-59 44%     11.2   2 - 6 +21.8 +11.6 +10.2
  Thu, Dec 18 220 Southeast Missouri St. W 85-74 46%     1.8   3 - 6 1 - 0 +4.5 +6.5 -2.4
  Sat, Dec 20 217 Tennessee Martin L 62-86 45%     6.9   3 - 7 1 - 1 -30.5 -6.5 -26.5
  Tue, Dec 30 222 Tennessee St. L 76-88 46%     -9.0   3 - 8 1 - 2 -18.7 +1.1 -19.8
  Thu, Jan 1 308 @Arkansas Little Rock L 72-74 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 321 @Eastern Illinois L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 355 @Western Illinois W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 15 338 Southern Indiana W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 306 Morehead St. W 75-71 63%    
  Thu, Jan 22 229 @Lindenwood L 75-82 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 251 @SIU Edwardsville L 67-73 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 222 @Tennessee St. L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-71 63%    
  Thu, Feb 5 355 Western Illinois W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 321 Eastern Illinois W 74-69 68%    
  Thu, Feb 12 306 @Morehead St. L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 338 @Southern Indiana W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Feb 19 251 SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 229 Lindenwood L 78-79 47%    
  Thu, Feb 26 217 @Tennessee Martin L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 220 @Southeast Missouri St. L 74-81 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.9 0.9 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.7 4.6 6.2 1.7 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 6.6 2.3 0.1 14.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.2 6.0 2.5 0.2 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.7 2.3 0.2 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.9 1.3 0.2 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.9 11.2 13.8 14.9 14.4 12.0 8.6 5.7 2.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-4 84.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-5 63.8% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 31.8% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 8.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-8 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 18.8% 18.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.4% 23.2% 23.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1
14-6 2.9% 25.3% 25.3% 15.7 0.2 0.5 2.2
13-7 5.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.8 0.1 0.6 4.9
12-8 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.9 0.1 0.7 7.9
11-9 12.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.6
10-10 14.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.1
9-11 14.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.7
8-12 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.7
7-13 11.2% 11.2
6-14 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
5-15 4.0% 4.0
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 96.3 0.0%