Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.9 311
Results Rating -9.3 313
Consistency 0.19 339
Pace 68.3 190
Improvement +1.0 148

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 299 D C D C- C-
Defense D+ 291 D+ D D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 232 D+ 54% 281 -2.5 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 98 C- 36% 237 +0.7 141
Three Pointers 40% 212 D 31% 312 -2.7 267
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 259 D -3.9 311
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 315
Second Chance C 29.8% 198 C 1.04 167 C 0.31 175
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 283
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 321
Turnovers D 19.1% 317
Freethrows D+ 0.28 256 B 77% 41 C- 0.21 200
Total Offense D -4.9 299

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 282 C- 11.9% 242
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 311 D+ 6.5% 274
Three Pointers D+ 80% 281 D 1.5% 317
Total D 48% 324 D+ 6.5% 281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 194 C- 60% 241 +0.7 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 178 C+ 37% 129 -0.3 171
Three Pointers 41% 166 D 37% 314 +2.2 291
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 159 D+ +2.6 286
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 266
Second Chance C 30.6% 197 F 1.22 361 D 0.37 323
Turnovers from Steals D 7.4% 323
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 215
Turnovers D 14.4% 319
Freethrows C+ 0.28 118 D- 76% 341 C 0.22 165
Total Defense D+ -4.0 291

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 221 C- 9.4% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 220 D+ 3.4% 267
Three Pointers C- 85% 207 C- 0.7% 200
Total C- 58% 236 D+ 4.6% 253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 209 17.1 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 245 0.21 305
Consistency 0.17 363 0.13 269
Improvement +0.8 144 +0.2 169

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 317 309 291
Results Rating Rank 321 312 288
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 8 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 49 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 140 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 11% -9  3% 0 - 1 D+ -8 D- -8 C- B F C+ +1 A F C
 Fri, Nov 7 171 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 15% -10  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 D- -8 D+ A+ F B +5 C- F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 312 West Georgia L 59 - 61 62% -6  13% 0 - 3 D- -14 F -20 F C- F B+ +6 A- A- B+
 Wed, Nov 19 301 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 36% +3  73% 1 - 3 C -1 B- +5 B B+ F D -6 F B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 23 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  15% 1 - 4 F -31 F -14 F C- B F -15 F F D+
 Sat, Nov 29 29 @Georgia L 81 - 123 2% -23  0% 1 - 5 F -24 D -5 D C- B+ F -12 F B- D
 Wed, Dec 3 198 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 18% -1  41% 1 - 6 C- -2 C +1 B- C B- D+ -3 C C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 312 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 39% +10  86% 2 - 6 A +22 B+ +9 A+ F D+ A+ +13 A+ F A-
 Thu, Dec 18 230 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 42% +2  49% 3 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 D B B C- -3 A+ F B
 Sat, Dec 20 215 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 39% -7  8% 3 - 7 1 - 1 F -30 D- -6 B+ F+ F F -26 F B F
 Tue, Dec 30 217 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 40% -9  15% 3 - 8 1 - 2 F -18 D -4 B D- D- F -14 D- F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 303 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 37% -5  18% 3 - 9 1 - 3 F -24 F -18 F C F D- -7 F C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 317 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 42% +2  72% 3 - 10 1 - 4 F+ -17 D- -6 F+ D+ F F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 363 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 73% -2  28% 4 - 10 2 - 4 D -10 F -15 F F D- B+ +6 D+ C+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 337 Southern Indiana L 54 - 71 71% +0  58% 4 - 11 2 - 5 F -32 F -24 F F F+ D- -8 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 278 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 53% -7  8% 4 - 12 2 - 6 F+ -16 D -5 F B+ B F -11 C+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 277 @Lindenwood L 68 - 89 31% -19  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 F -25 F -13 F F+ F+ F -10 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 24 260 @SIU Edwardsville L 58 - 62 27% -9  0% 4 - 14 2 - 8 D+ -7 C- -2 F+ C- A+ D -5 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 303 Arkansas Little Rock W 87 - 77 60% +8  88% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C -1 B+ +8 A- A- F F+ -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Feb 2 217 @Tennessee St. W 90 - 85 21% +10  92% 6 - 14 4 - 8 C+ +5 A +14 A+ D+ B- F+ -10 D F D-
 Thu, Feb 5 363 Western Illinois W 97 - 72 87% +18  94% 7 - 14 5 - 8 C+ +4 A+ +26 A+ A B- F -19 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 317 Eastern Illinois L 54 - 60 65% -7  1% 7 - 15 5 - 9 F -19 F -19 F C+ F C -0 C C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 278 @Morehead St. L 66 - 73 31% -10  0% 7 - 16 5 - 10 D -11 D -5 F B- B+ D -6 F+ C D-
 Sat, Feb 14 337 @Southern Indiana W 82 - 74 49% +0  41% 8 - 16 6 - 10 C -1 A +12 B A+ B- F -12 F+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 260 SIU Edwardsville W 62 - 52 49% +1  50% 9 - 16 7 - 10 C +1 F -11 F B+ C+ A+ +13 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 277 Lindenwood W 72 - 57 53% +3  71% 10 - 16 8 - 10 B- +5 C- -2 D+ B- C+ A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 215 @Tennessee Martin L 49 - 64 20% -6  6% 10 - 17 8 - 11 F+ -15 F -20 F F F B +4 B- B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 230 @Southeast Missouri St. L 68 - 76 23%
Totals 10 - 18 8 - 12 -9 D -5 D D C- D+ -4 D B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ C- D D 37% 45% 40% C- D C C C D D+ B C- D+ C- C+ D D+ 38% 21% 41% C D+ C F D D C+ D- C
1.02 54% 36% 31% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .31 19% .28 77% .21 1.14 60% 37% 37% +3 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .37 14% .28 76% .21
Nov
3		 Western Kentucky D- D- A+ D+ C- 30% 17% 53% C+ C- D+ A+ B F F F F C+ A+ F A+ A+ 54% 26% 20% C A C- F F C F D- F
0.92 50% 56% 32% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.3 .33 25% .21 50% .10 1.08 37% 46% 20% -13 0 0.76 33% 1.4 .46 14% .54 80% .43
Nov
7		 Charlotte D- D+ F B- D 51% 21% 28% B D+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B- B C B+ F D 33% 25% 43% A C- D F F A+ F C+ F+
0.99 55% 25% 36% -3 +1 0.97 32% 1.7 .55 26% .51 48% .25 1.07 62% 30% 47% +7 -1 1.15 37% 1.4 .52 29% .43 70% .30
Nov
17		 West Georgia F A+ C F F 36% 22% 42% F+ F F+ A+ C- F B A+ A+ B+ A+ A F B- 16% 55% 29% A+ A- D A+ A- B+ D+ F F
0.88 75% 40% 5% -12 0 0.78 23% 1.3 .29 22% .37 89% .33 0.91 25% 30% 43% -6 -6 0.78 33% 0.6 .21 19% .30 88% .26
Nov
19		 South Carolina Upstate B- B+ F A+ B+ 38% 22% 40% D B B- B+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ D D- F A+ F+ 53% 11% 37% F F B+ B+ B+ F F A- F+
1.14 65% 20% 44% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .45 22% .53 81% .43 1.09 63% 83% 24% +2 +2 1.11 24% 0.8 .19 12% .40 63% .25
Nov
26		 Kentucky F D- D F F 28% 31% 41% D F D- A C- B F F F F D- D+ F F 44% 8% 47% F F C+ F F D+ A+ F A
0.74 47% 32% 20% -14 -2 0.70 19% 1.0 .19 15% .08 40% .03 1.43 69% 40% 50% +16 +2 1.39 36% 1.6 .57 14% .21 85% .18
Nov
29		 Georgia D C+ F F D- 54% 22% 25% B D F A+ C- B+ B A B+ F D+ F F F 36% 6% 58% D+ F B C B- D D- A- C-
0.93 57% 29% 19% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.2 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.42 65% 75% 51% +20 +2 1.45 33% 1.1 .36 12% .38 69% .26
Dec
3		 Lipscomb C F A+ A+ B 30% 32% 39% D- B- D+ B C B- C C+ C D+ C- A C C 36% 7% 57% C- C D+ C C- D F A- D-
1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19 1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22
Dec
6		 West Georgia B+ A+ F A+ A+ 50% 26% 24% D A+ D- F F D+ D- A+ C- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 25% 35% 40% B A+ A- F F A- F C+ D-
1.25 78% 29% 62% +17 0 1.37 24% 0.3 .08 16% .27 81% .22 0.85 33% 35% 21% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.8 .42 20% .34 68% .23
Dec
18		 Southeast Missouri St. B C- F A D 43% 24% 33% D+ D C+ A B B A+ A A+ C- A+ B- B+ A+ 38% 13% 50% D+ A+ F D- F B F F F
1.18 55% 18% 40% -3 0 0.96 29% 1.3 .39 15% .68 83% .57 1.02 22% 33% 29% -18 +1 0.69 37% 1.3 .49 19% .53 77% .41
Dec
20		 Tennessee Martin D- A+ A+ D+ A 18% 24% 58% D- B+ D F+ F+ F F B+ D- F F F F F 27% 22% 51% B F A- C B F A F C+
0.98 88% 55% 31% +6 -2 1.11 27% 0.8 .21 24% .25 75% .19 1.36 71% 55% 46% +17 -1 1.33 29% 0.9 .25 11% .23 85% .19
Dec
30		 Tennessee St. D A+ C- B- B+ 42% 20% 38% D B D+ F D- D- F D F F D A- F F 25% 37% 39% A D- F F F C- A+ F A+
1.08 76% 40% 37% +10 0 1.22 28% 0.9 .24 21% .24 69% .16 1.25 64% 29% 45% +5 -3 1.05 39% 1.6 .64 16% .12 86% .10
Jan
1		 Arkansas Little Rock F F F F F 23% 21% 56% F F A- F+ C F B A+ A D- F D- B- F 28% 32% 40% C+ F A F C+ D+ F C- F
0.86 45% 10% 26% -16 -1 0.69 44% 0.8 .33 24% .33 82% .27 1.14 92% 40% 32% +9 -2 1.15 23% 1.3 .29 16% .39 68% .26
Jan
8		 Eastern Illinois D- D B- F F+ 33% 18% 49% D+ F+ D+ D+ D+ F A+ A+ A+ F D A+ D+ D 47% 17% 36% F D- F F F F D- B- D
0.98 54% 43% 26% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.0 .32 24% .44 90% .40 1.14 59% 13% 35% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 72% .24
Jan
10		 Western Illinois F D- F F F 55% 18% 27% C+ F D F F D- D F F B+ C+ B F D- 35% 40% 25% A D+ F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F+
0.94 56% 22% 23% -9 +1 0.88 30% 0.8 .24 18% .27 50% .14 0.86 50% 31% 40% -3 -3 0.90 31% 0.7 .21 24% .46 55% .25
Jan
15		 Southern Indiana F F A+ F F 47% 16% 37% B- F D F F F+ D- F F D- B A+ C B- 55% 8% 37% F C- C- D D+ F C+ A+ A-
0.79 46% 50% 16% -14 +1 0.76 29% 0.6 .17 19% .27 60% .16 1.04 45% 0% 32% -11 +3 0.85 30% 0.9 .28 4% .29 47% .14
Jan
17		 Morehead St. D D C F F 57% 21% 21% C+ F C A+ B+ B A- D B F B- A- F C 31% 39% 31% A+ C+ F F F F C- D D+
1.10 52% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.89 35% 1.3 .44 13% .40 68% .27 1.20 53% 32% 40% -1 -3 0.94 46% 1.1 .51 11% .32 78% .25
Jan
22		 Lindenwood F F B- F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F B- F F+ F+ A+ B- A+ F F C A+ F 61% 6% 33% F F F+ F F A- D F F
0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36 1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +4 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27
Jan
24		 SIU Edwardsville C- C D- F F+ 38% 33% 29% D F+ B- D- C- A+ D+ C D+ D F A+ A+ B 37% 26% 37% D B- F D+ F F D F F
1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21 1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24
Jan
31		 Arkansas Little Rock B+ B A+ A A- 44% 7% 49% B+ A- A+ F A- F A+ A+ A+ F+ D F D- F 48% 28% 24% F F A A+ A+ F D+ F D-
1.28 68% 67% 43% +13 +2 1.33 60% 0.7 .43 31% .45 86% .38 1.13 65% 53% 38% +9 0 1.20 23% 0.7 .15 13% .25 80% .20
Feb
2		 Tennessee St. A F C+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% D A+ D+ D+ D+ B- A- B- A- F+ D+ D- B D 41% 29% 30% D+ D F C- F D- C C- C
1.30 38% 43% 65% +17 0 1.37 29% 1.0 .29 17% .44 76% .33 1.23 61% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .50 13% .28 76% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Western Illinois A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% C- A+ A+ D+ A B- C B C+ F C+ D F F 26% 32% 43% B+ F D- F F C- C- F F+
1.57 61% 57% 58% +22 +1 1.47 50% 1.1 .54 13% .32 76% .24 1.16 50% 40% 45% +6 -2 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 16% .31 81% .25
Feb
7		 Eastern Illinois F D- C F F 39% 13% 47% C+ F B D+ C+ F A+ A A+ C C+ B+ C C 39% 37% 24% B- C B+ F C- D C- F+ D
0.84 53% 40% 17% -14 +1 0.76 40% 1.0 .40 33% .46 85% .39 0.93 53% 28% 33% -6 -2 0.86 22% 1.3 .28 15% .29 81% .24
Feb
12		 Morehead St. D D F F F 50% 16% 34% B- F C+ B B- B+ D- C+ D D F D B- F 42% 32% 26% C+ F+ C- C+ C D- D+ F F+
1.06 52% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.1 .41 11% .27 73% .20 1.17 71% 44% 31% +6 -1 1.12 35% 0.9 .32 14% .34 83% .28
Feb
14		 Southern Indiana A A C C- B 45% 23% 32% D+ B B+ A+ A+ B- C+ B+ B F D+ A+ F F 34% 36% 30% A F+ D+ F+ D- F F F F
1.27 71% 36% 33% +5 0 1.13 41% 1.3 .52 14% .34 79% .27 1.15 56% 18% 50% -1 -2 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 12% .48 74% .35
Feb
19		 SIU Edwardsville F F A F F 34% 34% 32% D- F B- A- B+ C+ B A+ A A+ A B A+ A+ 35% 28% 37% C- A+ A- F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31 0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05
Feb
21		 Lindenwood C- F A+ C+ C- 33% 25% 42% F+ D+ F+ A+ B- C+ D- A+ C+ A- B+ A+ D B- 31% 25% 44% A- B- A+ D A+ D+ A+ F A+
1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25 0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
26		 Tennessee Martin F F F F F 15% 32% 54% F F F D F F A+ A+ A+ B C- A+ A B 42% 15% 43% D- B- A+ F B- F A F B-
0.74 50% 15% 23% -17 -3 0.61 20% 0.9 .17 24% .54 81% .44 0.97 59% 25% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.1 .28 15% .23 77% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 16.8 22.8 39.5 7th
8th 47.0 47.0 8th
9th 13.5 13.5 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 77.3 22.8 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 22.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 22.4
8-12 77.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.2 77.1
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4%
Lose Out 69.3%