Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.3 #338
Expected Predictive Rating -12.5 #342
Pace 69.3 #166
Improvement -6.3 #363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #331 D D+ D C- D+
Defense #310 D+ D- D+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #201 1.12 #216 -1.2 #222
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #89 0.68 #298 +0.7 #144
Three Pointers 37% #256 0.87 #337 -4.6 #321
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #324 -5.1 #323
Freethrows 0.27 #275 73% #178 0.20 #254
Second Chance 27.8% #255 1.00 #232 0.28 #262
Turnovers 19.0% #329
Total Offense -6.6 #331

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #222 1.20 #248 -0.2 #180
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #224 0.75 #152 +0.8 #131
Three Pointers 44% #93 1.12 #313 -3.8 #324
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #284 -3.2 #285
Freethrows 0.29 #165 74% #287 0.22 #192
Second Chance 31.7% #237 1.26 #358 0.40 #340
Turnovers 14.8% #281
Total Defense -4.7 #310

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #265 0.3% #191
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.9% #322 6.0% #297
Possession Length 17.6 #199 17.2 #148
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #158 0.22 #324
Improvement -2.6 #318 -3.7 #344

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 5.1% 15.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 47 - 138 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 165 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 10% -9  0 - 1 -9 -6 C- B+ F -3 A- F C
 Fri, Nov 7 164 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 10% -9  0 - 2 -2 -5 C- A+ F +2 C F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 328 West Georgia L 59 - 61 58% -6  0 - 3 -15 -18 F D+ F +3 B+ A B
 Wed, Nov 19 301 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 28% +3  1 - 3 -1 +7 B A- F -9 F+ B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 27 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  1 - 4 -32 -12 F D+ B -18 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 29 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1% -23  1 - 5 -24 -0 C- C- B -16 F B D+
 Wed, Dec 3 173 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 11% -1  1 - 6 -1 +4 B C- C+ -5 C- C+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 328 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 35% +11  2 - 6 +21 +10 A+ F D+ +11 A+ F+ A-
 Thu, Dec 18 251 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 37% +2  3 - 6 1 - 0 +3 +7 D- C+ B- -4 A+ F B+
 Sat, Dec 20 228 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 33% +7  3 - 7 1 - 1 -31 -6 B- F F -28 F B+ D-
 Tue, Dec 30 231 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 33% -9  3 - 8 1 - 2 -19 -1 B+ D- F+ -18 D- F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 281 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 24% -5  3 - 9 1 - 3 -23 -15 F C F -9 F C+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 312 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 31% +2  3 - 10 1 - 4 -16 -3 D- D- F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 359 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 53% -2  4 - 10 2 - 4 -7 -11 F F F+ +4 D+ B- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 324 Southern Indiana L 54 - 71 57% +0  4 - 11 2 - 5 -30 -20 F D- F -11 C D F
 Sat, Jan 17 300 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 49% -7  4 - 12 2 - 6 -17 -3 F B+ B- -15 C F F
 Thu, Jan 22 238 @Lindenwood L 68 - 89 18% -19  4 - 13 2 - 7 -22 -9 F F F+ -12 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 263 @SIU Edwardsville L 58 - 62 21% -9  4 - 14 2 - 8 -7 -1 D- D+ A -7 B- F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 281 Arkansas Little Rock L 71 - 72 42%
 Mon, Feb 2 231 @Tennessee St. L 72 - 82 16%
 Thu, Feb 5 359 Western Illinois W 73 - 66 75%
 Sat, Feb 7 312 Eastern Illinois W 68 - 67 54%
 Thu, Feb 12 300 @Morehead St. L 70 - 76 28%
 Sat, Feb 14 324 @Southern Indiana L 68 - 72 35%
 Thu, Feb 19 263 SIU Edwardsville L 65 - 68 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 238 Lindenwood L 74 - 78 35%
 Thu, Feb 26 228 @Tennessee Martin L 64 - 75 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 251 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69 - 78 19%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 14 -11 -7 D D+ D -5 D+ D- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.2 1.5 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.8 11.3 15.8 11.8 3.2 0.4 46.7 9th
10th 0.4 5.0 12.1 11.7 5.6 0.7 0.0 35.6 10th
11th 1.1 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.9 11th
Total 1.5 7.5 17.2 23.4 22.2 16.1 8.2 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.2% 26.7% 26.7% 16.0 0.1 0.2
10-10 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
9-11 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
8-12 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
7-13 16.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.0
6-14 22.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.2
5-15 23.4% 23.4
4-16 17.2% 17.2
3-17 7.5% 7.5
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%