Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#285
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#258
Pace71.8#116
Improvement+0.2#165

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#263
First Shot-1.1#198
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#322
Layup/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#226
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement+2.5#29

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#287
First Shot-4.1#317
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#122
Layups/Dunks+2.9#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#323
Freethrows-1.9#309
Improvement-2.3#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 9.3% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 31.2% 44.0% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 55.9% 70.5% 43.6%
Conference Champion 5.2% 8.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 1.5% 6.0%
First Four2.9% 3.3% 2.4%
First Round5.3% 7.7% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 411 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 145 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 16%     0 - 1 -7.9 -6.3 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 7 183 @Charlotte L 65-70 23%     0 - 2 -3.7 -4.5 +0.5
  Mon, Nov 17 316 West Georgia L 59-61 70%     0 - 3 -14.0 -16.7 +2.6
  Wed, Nov 19 264 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 35%     1 - 3 +1.3 +7.3 -6.3
  Wed, Nov 26 20 @Kentucky L 54-104 2%     1 - 4 -30.8 -11.3 -17.5
  Sat, Nov 29 22 @Georgia L 81-123 2%     1 - 5 -23.1 +0.8 -15.7
  Wed, Dec 3 144 @Lipscomb L 80-83 16%     1 - 6 +1.2 +5.9 -4.6
  Sat, Dec 6 316 @West Georgia W 87-59 48%     2 - 6 +22.0 +11.7 +10.4
  Thu, Dec 18 215 Southeast Missouri St. W 85-74 49%     3 - 6 1 - 0 +4.5 +6.4 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 20 214 Tennessee Martin L 62-86 49%     3 - 7 1 - 1 -30.5 -6.6 -26.3
  Thu, Jan 1 309 @Arkansas Little Rock L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 325 @Eastern Illinois W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 356 @Western Illinois W 73-69 65%    
  Thu, Jan 15 339 Southern Indiana W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 307 Morehead St. W 75-70 67%    
  Thu, Jan 22 229 @Lindenwood L 75-80 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 249 @SIU Edwardsville L 67-72 34%    
  Tue, Jan 27 237 @Tennessee St. L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 309 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-70 67%    
  Thu, Feb 5 356 Western Illinois W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Feb 7 325 Eastern Illinois W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Feb 12 307 @Morehead St. L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 339 @Southern Indiana W 75-73 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 249 SIU Edwardsville W 70-69 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 229 Lindenwood W 78-77 52%    
  Thu, Feb 26 214 @Tennessee Martin L 69-75 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 215 @Southeast Missouri St. L 75-81 29%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.8 2.9 0.7 0.1 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.1 4.0 0.8 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.5 5.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.6 1.4 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.0 1.9 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.9 2.1 0.1 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.6 1.6 0.2 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.8 5.4 8.4 11.5 14.3 15.0 13.6 11.4 7.8 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 87.0% 0.7    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 68.2% 1.6    1.0 0.5 0.1
14-6 34.9% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
13-7 11.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 42.4% 42.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.8% 38.7% 38.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5
15-5 2.4% 33.5% 33.5% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.6
14-6 4.7% 26.6% 26.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 3.5
13-7 7.8% 16.8% 16.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.5
12-8 11.4% 10.8% 10.8% 15.9 0.1 1.1 10.2
11-9 13.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.8
10-10 15.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.4
9-11 14.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.0
8-12 11.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.4
7-13 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-14 5.4% 5.4
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.1 93.2 0.0%