Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#262
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#271
Pace71.0#128
Improvement+1.5#57

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#224
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#161
Layup/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#283
Freethrows-3.4#337
Improvement+0.8#89

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#286
First Shot-7.8#350
After Offensive Rebounds+4.1#12
Layups/Dunks-5.7#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#328
Freethrows+3.5#12
Improvement+0.7#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 21.9% 37.1% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.7% 63.4% 50.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.2% 4.1%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 42 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 22   @ Memphis L 65-89 3%     0 - 1 -7.2 +2.2 -9.1
  Nov 16, 2021 110   @ Chattanooga L 62-69 12%     0 - 2 +0.2 +2.0 -3.0
  Nov 18, 2021 268   UNC Asheville L 55-61 52%     0 - 3 -12.0 -23.7 +12.0
  Nov 23, 2021 221   Lipscomb W 88-77 51%     1 - 3 +5.3 +9.6 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2021 23   @ Tennessee L 69-80 3%     1 - 4 +5.7 +5.6 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 110   Chattanooga L 63-70 27%    
  Dec 04, 2021 252   @ Evansville L 64-68 37%    
  Dec 08, 2021 303   @ Western Carolina L 76-77 48%    
  Dec 11, 2021 227   Troy W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 18, 2021 205   @ Wright St. L 73-79 28%    
  Dec 21, 2021 57   @ Cincinnati L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 30, 2021 313   @ Tennessee St. W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 01, 2022 86   @ Murray St. L 62-77 9%    
  Jan 06, 2022 138   Morehead St. L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 08, 2022 341   Eastern Illinois W 76-66 82%    
  Jan 13, 2022 307   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 15, 2022 345   @ Tennessee Martin W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 20, 2022 328   SIU Edwardsville W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 63   @ Belmont L 69-85 8%    
  Jan 27, 2022 86   Murray St. L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 259   Austin Peay W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 03, 2022 138   @ Morehead St. L 64-75 18%    
  Feb 05, 2022 63   Belmont L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 10, 2022 341   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 12, 2022 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 17, 2022 307   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 259   @ Austin Peay L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 24, 2022 313   Tennessee St. W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 26, 2022 345   Tennessee Martin W 80-69 82%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 2.8 3.9 2.7 0.8 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.8 7.5 6.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 23.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.6 7.9 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 21.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 6.2 5.7 2.2 0.3 16.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.3 0.4 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.5 8.7 12.2 14.4 15.1 12.9 10.6 7.3 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.9% 0.2    0.2 0.1
15-3 43.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1
14-4 14.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 3.7% 3.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.1% 9.6% 9.6% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.9
13-5 4.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.2
12-6 7.3% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.1
11-7 10.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.3
10-8 12.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.8
9-9 15.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 15.1
8-10 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
7-11 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 98.5 0.0%