All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Columbus North Classic |
CougarPalooza Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Hancock County |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
New Palestine Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/22 |
9/1 |
9/5 |
9/15 |
9/18 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
617 |
673 |
616 |
745 |
729 |
724 |
658 |
615 |
587 |
615 |
651 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
673 |
616 |
745 |
729 |
681 |
658 |
615 |
587 |
615 |
651 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Columbus North Classic |
CougarPalooza Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Hancock County |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
New Palestine Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 194 |
Parker Niemeier |
12 |
16:58 |
17:10 |
16:53 |
17:20 |
17:05 |
17:11 |
16:51 |
16:45 |
16:50 |
16:55 |
17:00 |
| 244 |
Conner Kinnaman |
11 |
17:04 |
17:12 |
16:59 |
17:08 |
17:30 |
17:07 |
17:02 |
17:15 |
16:49 |
17:02 |
16:54 |
| 363 |
Luke Muckerheide |
10 |
17:22 |
18:03 |
17:39 |
17:28 |
17:53 |
17:39 |
17:41 |
17:16 |
17:16 |
17:43 |
17:09 |
| 842 |
Jonah Fletcher |
10 |
18:08 |
19:04 |
18:57 |
18:47 |
19:07 |
18:23 |
19:02 |
18:35 |
18:46 |
18:49 |
18:28 |
| 934 |
Austin Nigh |
10 |
18:15 |
17:51 |
18:07 |
18:40 |
18:14 |
|
18:16 |
18:15 |
18:01 |
18:15 |
18:39 |
| 1,224 |
Matthew Wickham |
9 |
18:36 |
18:13 |
18:06 |
18:57 |
18:29 |
|
18:27 |
18:59 |
18:25 |
19:07 |
|
|
Gage Guenin |
10 |
19:07 |
19:09 |
19:30 |
19:07 |
19:17 |
19:04 |
19:08 |
19:00 |
|
|
18:59 |
|
Micah Smith |
11 |
19:13 |
19:06 |
|
19:33 |
19:10 |
20:28 |
18:59 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
Tyler Osborn |
10 |
19:20 |
18:46 |
20:14 |
21:52 |
18:50 |
18:51 |
18:37 |
18:11 |
20:06 |
19:43 |
19:54 |
|
Caleb Short |
10 |
19:20 |
|
18:49 |
20:49 |
19:08 |
18:47 |
|
19:57 |
|
|
|
|
Christian Voigt |
10 |
19:58 |
19:48 |
19:48 |
19:50 |
20:20 |
19:56 |
20:14 |
19:50 |
|
|
|
|
Ethan Enochs |
11 |
20:08 |
18:46 |
|
|
20:34 |
|
20:06 |
20:16 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
16.6 |
417 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
6.3 |
8.9 |
10.4 |
12.3 |
13.6 |
17.2 |
26.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.1 |
102 |
1.6 |
7.5 |
17.1 |
27.1 |
42.5 |
3.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.2 |
94 |
1.2 |
5.4 |
14.6 |
28.7 |
47.5 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Niemeier |
0.2% |
87.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Niemeier |
100% |
62.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Conner Kinnaman |
100% |
72.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Luke Muckerheide |
100% |
101.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.1% |
| Jonah Fletcher |
100% |
149.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.6% |
| Austin Nigh |
100% |
155.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.5% |
| Matthew Wickham |
100% |
166.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Niemeier |
100% |
5.6 |
|
6.5 |
11.0 |
13.3 |
12.7 |
11.8 |
11.9 |
8.5 |
7.3 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Conner Kinnaman |
100% |
7.3 |
|
2.2 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
10.3 |
10.9 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
7.1 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Muckerheide |
100% |
14.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
10.0 |
10.9 |
9.3 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Fletcher |
100% |
42.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
75.2% |
| Austin Nigh |
100% |
48.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
55.8% |
| Matthew Wickham |
100% |
59.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Parker Niemeier |
4.7 |
|
7.6 |
13.6 |
17.8 |
14.5 |
14.8 |
11.1 |
7.1 |
4.7 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Conner Kinnaman |
6.3 |
|
2.5 |
6.3 |
10.8 |
13.1 |
13.7 |
13.0 |
12.1 |
9.0 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Muckerheide |
11.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
10.2 |
12.6 |
12.1 |
11.2 |
8.0 |
5.5 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Jonah Fletcher |
32.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
| Austin Nigh |
37.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
| Matthew Wickham |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
