Lapel
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #118
New Haven Semi-State Rank #35
Delta Regional Rank #6
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 44.6%
Advance to Regional 99.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Tipton Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional
Date 8/28 9/5 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12
Team Rating 889 1,169 1,261 1,175 1,293 980 988 869
Team Adjusted Rating 920 977 885 835 980 988 869
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Tipton Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional
Luke Combs 12 15:33 15:43 16:29 15:30 14:53 16:23 15:41 15:58
730  Jesse McCurdy 12 17:57 17:49 18:01 17:52 17:50 18:20 17:40
959  Carson Huber 12 18:16 18:17 18:25 18:13 18:13 18:11 18:24 18:14
Killian O'Connor 12 19:14 19:49 20:05 19:07 18:40 18:52 19:44 19:16 19:02
Luke Rich 12 19:40 19:23 19:31 19:34 19:29 19:42 20:03 20:18 19:46
Collin Stewart 12 21:53 21:15 22:05 22:09 22:05 22:02 21:56
Blaine Teeters 12 22:00 21:04 22:06 21:45 22:36 22:41
Tommy Manning 10 22:44 22:01 22:10 22:29 22:38 23:55 23:05 23:18
Keegan Riffey 10 23:23 23:55 22:29 23:56
Tony Chelli 10 23:58 25:45 22:12 23:51 24:07 24:54 24:02 23:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 44.6% 19.0 482 0.3 5.1 34.2 5.2
Regionals 99.9% 5.6 167 14.7 29.9 36.9 14.4 3.9 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.1 141 91.9 8.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 2.7 21.7 19.0 14.2 11.5 8.1 6.6 4.6 3.7 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 1.0 52.6 37.5 7.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jesse McCurdy 94.3% 136.0 89.6% 93.8%
Carson Huber 57.4% 151.0 23.0% 43.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 1.0 98.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jesse McCurdy 100% 26.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.8 6.7 7.9 8.5 100.0% 100.0%
Carson Huber 100.0% 35.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 50.0% 99.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 1.0 98.7 1.2 0.2
Jesse McCurdy 21.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 4.4 9.8 16.5 19.9 15.7 11.1 5.7
Carson Huber 27.0 0.6 0.8 2.4 5.8 8.6 11.0