Riley
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #85
New Haven Semi-State Rank #25
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #7
Riley Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 21.3%
Advance to Regional 97.8%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/5 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 742 711 726 752 654 718 735 764 704 781 745
Team Adjusted Rating 711 726 752 654 718 718 749 704 781 745
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
351  Kevin Liddell 11 17:19 17:52 17:25 17:27 17:21 17:16 17:13 17:18 17:13 17:23 17:07 17:25
493  Michael Burns 11 17:34 17:29 17:22 17:39 17:07 17:37 17:36 17:46 17:26 17:58 17:32
850  Emmanuel Ndegwa 12 18:06 17:53 18:06 18:09 17:52 17:55 18:00 18:10 18:20 18:23 18:02
899  Luke Hanson-Phipps 10 18:09 18:00 18:02 18:06 17:58 18:08 18:15 18:14 18:14
942  Austin Whitrock 9 18:13 18:30 18:23 18:07 18:27 18:15 18:04 18:20 18:06 18:00 18:27
1,002  Dieter Ruszkowski 12 18:17 17:44 19:37 18:06 18:03 17:55 18:17 20:20
1,052  Ethan Vandezande 10 18:21 18:15 17:57 18:12 18:36 18:42 18:11 18:17 18:54
1,210  Luis Martinez 11 18:31 18:54 18:21 18:23 18:07 19:56 18:50 18:52
1,375  Chan Agwick 11 18:43 18:08 18:40 18:36 19:36 18:35 19:42 18:46 18:23
1,541  Skylar Strieper 12 18:55 18:32 18:37 18:34 19:06 19:29 18:43 19:28
Chris Ashley 10 19:00 18:57 18:34 18:26 19:02 19:05 19:22 19:28 18:55
Nick Muthusi 10 19:07 19:13 18:55 19:49 19:29 18:58 18:53
Riley Fuerbringer 9 19:09 19:02 19:11 19:12 19:03 19:33 19:19 18:52
Peyton Ring 10 19:12 19:30 19:10 19:03 19:21 19:07
Kevin Alcaraz 11 19:19 19:55 19:39 19:36 19:28 19:06 19:19 18:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 21.3% 16.7 428 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.9 4.6 6.2 6.1 1.0 0.1
Regionals 97.8% 7.0 168 2.0 7.3 12.0 16.7 18.5 18.5 13.7 9.2
Sectionals 100% 3.2 90 25.8 44.0 20.7 7.4 2.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Liddell 88.6% 81.2 85.5% 88.4%
Michael Burns 44.1% 99.2 29.0% 39.0%
Emmanuel Ndegwa 21.3% 135.6 0.1% 0.1%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 21.3% 139.8 0.0% 0.2%
Austin Whitrock 21.3% 143.3 0.0% 0.0%
Dieter Ruszkowski 21.3% 148.4 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Vandezande 21.3% 152.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Liddell 100% 17.8 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 3.2 5.9 4.6 6.8 6.2 7.8 7.1 5.7 6.0 6.0 5.2 5.0 4.4 4.7 3.0 100.0% 100.0%
Michael Burns 100% 27.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.2 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.0 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Emmanuel Ndegwa 100% 48.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 100% 50.8 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Austin Whitrock 100% 55.1 100.0% 100.0%
Dieter Ruszkowski 100.0% 59.6 97.7% 100.0%
Ethan Vandezande 100% 63.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Liddell 8.7 0.1 0.5 2.4 8.5 9.7 10.4 10.9 10.3 10.1 10.1 9.2 7.3 6.1 3.8 0.8 0.1
Michael Burns 13.6 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.4 1.9 3.5 6.1 6.1 9.1 12.9 13.2 17.0 20.2 4.4 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emmanuel Ndegwa 20.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.9 9.8 11.0 10.1 11.0 10.0 9.0 7.2 5.6 4.9
Luke Hanson-Phipps 21.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 6.5 7.7 11.2 9.8 8.4 8.6 7.1 7.2 5.8
Austin Whitrock 23.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.3 5.8 6.6 8.1 7.7 7.6 8.1 6.6
Dieter Ruszkowski 26.4 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.6 4.1 4.4 6.0 6.6 6.8 6.9
Ethan Vandezande 28.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.0 2.1 3.2 3.8 5.1 5.3 5.9