Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #19
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 15th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 10.1%
Advance to State Finals 57.8%
Advance to Semi-State 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational
Date 8/21 9/4 9/18
Team Rating 316 483 459 359
Team Adjusted Rating 316 331 326
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational
44  Robert Lohman 12 16:10 16:17 16:07
47  Preston Sloffer 12 16:12 16:11 16:15 16:17
149  Nick Kiplinger 12 16:44 16:39 16:54
281  Blake Nietert 11 17:11 17:16 17:09
315  Jackson Million 12 17:16 17:21
556  Jacob Blackburn 11 17:45 17:42 17:41
662  Brad Ogle 12 17:59 18:02 17:59
670  Jacob Kieffer 11 17:59 17:37 18:06 18:01
706  Elijah Silcox 10 18:03 18:18 17:58 17:55
1,024  Antonio Uncheselu 9 18:30 18:25 18:33
1,053  Tyler Beuchel 10 18:32 18:20 18:41
1,207  Charles Basham 18:43 18:56 18:28
1,210  E.J. Ellingson 9 18:44 18:31 18:33 19:16
1,212  Hyatt Johnson 10 18:44 18:58 18:33
1,297  Sawyer Mattocks 11 18:52 19:18 18:48 18:38
Jackson Baumert 11 19:17 19:45 19:08 19:07
Brant Dietrich 10 19:41 19:03 20:36 19:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 57.8% 14.2 364 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.8 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.9 6.1 5.5 5.4 4.6 3.6 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.0
Semi-State 99.8% 6.2 197 0.6 5.1 10.9 17.8 23.5 19.1 11.6 7.2 2.8 1.0 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.3 75 15.2 50.3 22.0 10.2 2.2 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 65 14.9 51.6 23.6 9.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Lohman 91.4% 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 79.6% 89.9%
Preston Sloffer 87.9% 49.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.8 71.4% 85.5%
Nick Kiplinger 57.9% 109.2 0.1% 4.5%
Blake Nietert 57.8% 152.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson Million 57.8% 159.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Blackburn 57.8% 188.3 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Ogle 57.8% 196.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Lohman 100% 16.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.1 4.3 5.2 5.7 6.4 6.4 5.9 6.0 5.5 4.9 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.0 2.7 100.0% 100.0%
Preston Sloffer 100% 18.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.6 4.9 5.4 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Nick Kiplinger 99.9% 42.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 62.5% 99.0%
Blake Nietert 99.8% 74.4 0.0% 53.8%
Jackson Million 99.8% 81.2 0.0% 37.4%
Jacob Blackburn 99.8% 122.9 0.0% 0.5%
Brad Ogle 99.8% 137.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Lohman 100% 5.4 3.5 8.3 14.0 17.8 16.7 14.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Preston Sloffer 100% 6.0 2.1 6.0 9.9 14.4 17.7 15.7 14.2 10.9 5.8 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nick Kiplinger 100% 12.9 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 7.9 12.1 14.1 12.8 11.4 8.7 6.7 5.1 4.5 3.3 2.6 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.7 100.0%
Blake Nietert 100% 27.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.0 3.0 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.9 100.0%
Jackson Million 100% 30.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.4 99.9%
Jacob Blackburn 100% 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.4%
Brad Ogle 100% 57.2 38.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Lohman 4.0 3.9 9.1 16.3 20.4 19.5 16.7 11.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Preston Sloffer 4.5 1.8 6.3 13.2 19.1 20.6 17.6 17.0 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nick Kiplinger 9.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 16.4 16.1 14.6 11.5 9.3 7.2 5.9 4.6 3.0 2.5 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Blake Nietert 20.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 2.4 2.9 3.7 4.1 6.0 6.7 6.7 7.6 7.8 7.9 8.0 7.3 6.6
Jackson Million 23.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.5 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.8 7.0 7.3 8.3 8.4 8.2
Jacob Blackburn 34.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7
Brad Ogle 40.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0