Leo
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #51
New Haven Semi-State Rank #13
West Noble Regional Rank #6
Northrop Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Marion Invitational Minutemen Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 605 623 651 673 678 583 695 709 585 597
Team Adjusted Rating 615 651 525 678 583 695 709 571 597
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Marion Invitational Minutemen Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
55  Luke Shappell 11 16:20 16:33 16:55 16:56 16:46 16:39 16:34 16:27 16:34 16:16 16:13
261  Jaydon Steidinger 10 17:15 16:41 17:21 16:55 17:18 17:06 17:18 17:24 17:13 17:12 17:30
382  Tyler Hartleroad 12 17:31 17:44 17:51 17:31 17:43 17:14 18:22 17:50 17:13 17:13 18:42
572  Brayden Gustafson 10 17:53 18:07 17:58 17:44 17:53 17:39 17:49 18:13 17:41 17:59
985  Fernando Flores 10 18:31 18:08 17:57 18:42 18:32 18:38 18:48 18:28
1,198  Austin Johnson 10 18:47 18:49 18:36 18:20 18:57 19:06 18:32 19:22 18:42 18:44
Aiden Delatorre 12 19:13 19:22 19:08 18:55 19:02 19:05 19:14 19:22 19:58
Will Lashure 9 20:10 18:37 20:11 20:02 20:22 20:25 20:19
Austin Parmerlee 10 20:29 20:01 20:03 19:27 20:55 25:07 20:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.8 133 0.1 0.7 4.1 15.0 75.0 5.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.9 120 0.1 1.3 9.7 88.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Shappell 83.8% 52.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 83.8% 83.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Shappell 100% 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.4 4.8 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Jaydon Steidinger 84.3% 65.0 84.3% 84.3%
Tyler Hartleroad 30.2% 77.8 30.2% 30.2%
Brayden Gustafson 0.8% 91.5 0.8% 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Shappell 100% 5.6 2.5 6.2 11.9 17.4 21.4 17.4 11.3 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jaydon Steidinger 100% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.5 6.1 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.1 5.8 5.6 100.0%
Tyler Hartleroad 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.8 99.9%
Brayden Gustafson 100% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 94.8%
Fernando Flores 100% 61.5 16.9%
Austin Johnson 100% 67.8 2.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Shappell 4.3 2.6 6.5 12.0 20.0 25.8 19.6 9.7 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jaydon Steidinger 16.5 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.1 4.4 5.6 6.6 7.5 7.8 8.6 8.4 7.4 7.7 6.7 4.8 4.7 3.9 3.2 2.3
Tyler Hartleroad 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.6 4.9 5.8 5.4 6.5 7.0 7.4 8.6
Brayden Gustafson 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6
Fernando Flores 41.4
Austin Johnson 43.1