Northrop
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #96
New Haven Semi-State Rank #29
West Noble Regional Rank #9
Northrop Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 816 836 736 817 805 849 871 824
Team Adjusted Rating 703 736 784 728 849 871 824
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
197  Conyer Wilson 10 17:00 16:49 16:56 16:57 16:52 17:08 17:03 17:10 16:55
626  Chase McCarel 10 17:56 18:04 18:15 18:00 17:45 17:55 17:48
659  Logan Otis 12 17:58 17:28 17:20 17:30 17:42 18:44 19:14 18:30
1,137  Devonti Carter 9 18:38 19:35 19:07 18:54 18:27 18:19 18:13
1,224  Chryzor Baltazard 12 18:44 19:54 18:39 18:34 18:22 18:25 19:03 18:36
1,254  Cole Sikorski 12 18:46 18:00 18:40 19:02 19:19 18:41 18:50 18:33
1,284  Donnell Adams-Jones 12 18:48 18:36 18:16 19:08 18:16 19:23 19:01 18:54
Jacob Pauken 12 19:48 20:35 19:38 19:45
Zimani Malomboza 12 20:05 20:08 20:23 19:48 19:51 20:17 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.4 200 0.7 64.2 28.3 6.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 0.7% 98.0 0.7% 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 92.4% 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 92.4% 92.4%
Chase McCarel 0.0% 100.0 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Otis 0.1% 108.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 100% 17.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.5 4.3 6.4 7.9 8.5 8.0 8.2 7.9 7.3 6.2 5.4 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.7 100.0% 100.0%
Chase McCarel 58.7% 51.6 0.0 58.7% 58.7%
Logan Otis 47.2% 52.1 0.0 0.0 47.2% 47.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.2 5.2 9.5 9.7 10.4 10.5 9.7 8.5 7.8 5.2 5.1 3.6 3.1 2.5 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.8
Chase McCarel 36.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Logan Otis 38.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Devonti Carter 54.5
Chryzor Baltazard 56.5
Cole Sikorski 57.1
Donnell Adams-Jones 57.9