Riley
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #95
New Haven Semi-State Rank #28
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #10
Riley Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 9/2 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 804 839 817 808 784 814 830 778 804 798 800
Team Adjusted Rating 839 817 808 784 814 830 778 804 798 800
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional
397  Austin Whitrock 11 17:30 17:42 17:14 17:26 17:17 17:33 17:41 17:31 17:39 17:37 17:28
715  Riley Fuerbringer 11 18:04 18:17 18:03 18:04 18:11 18:37 17:57 18:00 17:59 18:00 17:56
716  Ethan Vandezande 12 18:04 18:30 18:35 18:07 17:41 18:02 18:00 17:59 17:52 17:57 18:16
768  Luke Hanson-Phipps 12 18:09 18:09 18:02 18:22 18:30 17:56 18:15 18:13 18:10 18:10 17:56
910  Chris Ashley 12 18:20 17:56 18:23 18:11 18:17 18:23 18:33 18:06 18:38 18:21 18:28
1,127  Isaiah Rivas 10 18:37 18:32 18:35 19:11 18:25 18:22 18:26 18:28 19:01 19:29
Brody Goetz 11 19:00 20:28 20:03 20:11 19:25 19:02 18:26 18:51 18:35 18:46
Danny O'Rouke 12 19:01 19:05 18:56 19:04 18:54 18:53 18:46 19:27 19:11
Sam Taylor 12 19:24 19:56 20:20 19:32 19:02 19:16 18:56 19:22
Ryan Burns 12 19:30 19:01 19:37 19:30 19:11 19:32 21:39 19:29 19:32
Chris Orta 11 19:34 19:59 19:13 20:10 19:10 19:40 19:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.4 219 0.4 1.1 2.7 10.1 24.8 60.9
Sectionals 100% 4.5 105 3.1 6.5 24.4 65.8 0.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 88.0% 91.9 88.0% 88.0%
Riley Fuerbringer 3.3% 125.2 3.3% 3.3%
Ethan Vandezande 3.6% 123.5 3.6% 3.6%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 1.2% 127.0 1.2% 1.2%
Chris Ashley 0.0% 108.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 100% 28.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.5 5.5 6.1 100.0%
Riley Fuerbringer 100% 49.3 0.0 100.0%
Ethan Vandezande 100% 49.4 100.0%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 100% 52.1 0.0 100.0%
Chris Ashley 100% 58.8 100.0%
Isaiah Rivas 100% 68.9 98.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 10.4 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 5.7 7.4 11.8 14.5 15.8 11.7 8.9 6.2 4.7 3.5 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Riley Fuerbringer 21.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.7 4.2 5.5 7.4 10.1 12.4 13.0 11.3 7.9 5.9
Ethan Vandezande 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.2 3.2 4.2 5.8 7.3 9.2 12.4 13.6 10.3 8.8 6.1
Luke Hanson-Phipps 22.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.8 3.4 5.1 6.4 8.9 11.7 12.2 12.1 8.8
Chris Ashley 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.7 3.0 5.5 8.6 10.2
Isaiah Rivas 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3