Zionsville
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 12.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 66.0%
Advance to State Finals 92.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Dave Bannon Invitational THSB State Preview Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 234 220 228 236 210 503
Team Adjusted Rating 220 228 236 210 234
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Dave Bannon Invitational THSB State Preview Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
35  Will Nobbe 11 16:04 16:03 16:00 16:06 15:59
48  Matthew Helton 11 16:12 16:11 16:09 16:19 16:05
107  Samuel Spees 10 16:35 16:21 16:36 16:35 16:41
109  Ryan Handy 11 16:35 16:36 16:35 16:37 16:23
191  Evan Mayo 10 16:55 17:08 16:54 16:47 16:49
246  Decatur Dell 12 17:06 17:02 17:07 17:29 17:01
280  Jack Turnbull 9 17:11 17:01 17:10 17:12 17:18 17:14
288  Joe Spees 10 17:12 16:57 17:09 17:20 17:17 17:17
300  Skyler Cole 11 17:13 17:16 17:20 17:11 16:59
407  Trey Martin 11 17:29 17:38 17:20 17:30 17:26
420  Michael Schilson 10 17:30 17:30 17:25 17:44 17:23
555  Dominick Dell 10 17:45 17:20 18:03 17:42 17:49 17:58
644  Geoffrey Ostrander 12 17:56 18:23 17:30 17:44 17:54 18:04
681  Elijah Bineyard 10 18:00 18:14 18:15 17:56 17:52 17:47
743  Charlie Fisher 11 18:06 18:13 18:15 17:59 17:52 18:12
782  Caleb Lindsay 12 18:09 18:28
808  Aidan Cole 9 18:11 18:20 18:16 18:14 17:43
873  Brayden Kenworthy 11 18:17 18:17 18:10 18:16 18:23 18:11
933  Niyan Patel 11 18:23 18:23 18:05 18:13 18:33 18:54
1,071  Grant Gogis 10 18:33 18:23 18:30 18:27 18:44 18:52
1,175  Fenton Walpole 12 18:41 18:43 18:45 18:33 18:22 18:53
1,251  John Bailey 9 18:48 17:52 19:21 18:45 19:01
1,252  Nolan Toney 10 18:48 18:45 19:00 18:47 19:07 18:20
1,282  Jason Fu 12 18:51 18:31 19:07 19:14
1,318  Jack Mybeck 9 18:54 18:28 19:14 18:38 19:12 19:05
1,363  Jude Watters 11 18:58 19:25 19:01 18:44
Nikolas Leachman 12 19:23 19:00 20:01
Joel Albrecht 11 19:29 20:53 19:22 19:26 19:42 19:04
Carter Miller 9 19:33
Ryan Luke 11 19:49 20:05 19:12 19:00 20:30 21:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.0% 8.9 286 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.2 7.8 12.0 12.7 11.4 9.2 8.3 6.5 5.3 4.2 3.0 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 4.0 146 0.9 6.3 39.0 25.4 13.2 7.2 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 35 97.3 2.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Nobbe 98.4% 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.5 80.3% 97.1%
Matthew Helton 94.8% 50.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 35.1% 85.9%
Samuel Spees 92.0% 97.5 0.0 0.2% 21.5%
Ryan Handy 92.0% 98.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2% 19.6%
Evan Mayo 92.0% 134.0 0.0% 0.7%
Decatur Dell 92.0% 150.8 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Turnbull 92.0% 158.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Nobbe 100% 12.4 0.5 1.7 2.4 3.5 4.7 5.3 6.3 7.2 8.1 7.5 7.9 6.7 6.8 5.4 5.6 4.1 3.2 2.7 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.8 100.0%
Matthew Helton 100% 17.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.7 4.4 5.9 6.3 6.8 6.7 6.4 6.6 5.8 5.6 4.9 4.4 3.9 2.6 2.9 100.0%
Samuel Spees 100% 35.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.8 1.6 2.1 2.4 3.0 100.0%
Ryan Handy 100% 36.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.7 2.9 100.0%
Evan Mayo 100% 62.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Decatur Dell 100% 78.6 99.8%
Jack Turnbull 100% 86.3 99.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Nobbe 100% 2.3 19.9 16.6 41.5 15.6 4.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Helton 100% 3.5 3.6 9.4 16.3 43.5 17.4 6.1 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Samuel Spees 100% 7.3 0.2 0.9 8.3 17.0 17.9 16.9 13.2 9.6 6.6 4.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ryan Handy 100% 7.5 0.2 0.7 8.6 15.0 17.8 16.7 13.4 10.8 6.9 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Evan Mayo 100% 13.2 0.0 0.6 2.1 4.4 7.0 9.6 11.5 12.7 12.1 9.8 8.2 6.4 4.7 3.3 2.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Decatur Dell 100% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.4 4.9 7.8 9.7 9.3 9.0 9.7 8.4 7.4 6.8 5.4 4.1 3.5 2.3 100.0%
Jack Turnbull 100% 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.7 4.1 5.4 6.7 7.9 8.7 9.2 8.6 8.0 7.7 6.7 5.4 4.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Nobbe 1.0 73.2 22.6 4.1 0.1
Matthew Helton 1.6 15.9 60.0 22.8 1.3 0.1
Samuel Spees 3.9 0.4 14.8 40.3 34.8 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
Ryan Handy 4.0 0.4 13.0 37.8 37.9 8.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
Evan Mayo 6.4 0.0 0.3 3.2 36.0 28.1 15.1 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1
Decatur Dell 8.5 0.0 0.2 4.5 15.8 20.9 19.0 16.1 12.9 6.7 2.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jack Turnbull 9.5 1.0 6.4 14.3 18.8 17.6 18.3 13.4 6.9 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0