Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #89
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #28
Rushville Regional Rank #4
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Circle City Classic Arabian Roundup CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/26 9/8 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 807 790 829 728 793 787 828 824 794 806 827
Team Adjusted Rating 775 829 728 781 779 828 824 783 806 827
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Classic Arabian Roundup CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
403  Lauren Turk 11 21:02 20:51 21:02 20:28 20:42 21:12 21:13 21:06 21:01 20:57 21:20
564  Valeria Lara 9 21:29 21:52 22:08 21:11 21:30 21:35 21:22 21:48 21:13 21:27 21:13
797  Kylie Perkins 11 22:05 21:27 22:17 21:50 21:55 22:02 22:23 22:05 22:26 21:58 22:09
875  Livia Ianni 11 22:18 22:11 22:56 22:01 21:48 22:51 22:23
901  Ashley Flick 11 22:21 22:24 21:42 22:09 22:39 22:21 22:37
1,004  Sara Mcgraw 10 22:35 22:51 21:59 22:56 22:33 22:33 22:29 22:32
1,027  Amelia Shirley 9 22:39 23:18 22:55 22:17 22:40 22:26 22:29 22:37 22:49 23:00 22:29
1,040  Megan Perkins 9 22:41 22:36 22:11 22:08 22:29 22:47 22:51 22:51 22:52
1,199  Mandy Sorenson 11 22:59 23:58 22:43 22:34 23:19 22:57 22:43 23:03
Adelle Burkhardt 11 23:37 23:37 23:55 23:27
Peyton Jones 12 23:51 24:03 23:15 23:41 24:01 24:16 23:46
Michaela Payne 10 24:41 23:39 24:09 24:54 25:21 24:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.4 553 0.0 0.2 2.7 52.8 44.4
Regionals 100% 4.5 132 0.2 59.7 28.1 11.9
Sectionals 100% 4.3 132 0.3 75.7 21.8 2.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 100% 112.4 94.4%
Valeria Lara 100% 137.3 51.4%
Kylie Perkins 100% 158.9 2.3%
Livia Ianni 100% 163.0 0.4%
Ashley Flick 100% 164.1 0.2%
Sara Mcgraw 100% 167.7 0.0%
Amelia Shirley 100% 168.5 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 100% 18.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.2 4.8 6.9 8.5 10.0 11.3 11.0 9.7 7.2 5.6 4.8 3.4 2.4 100.0%
Valeria Lara 100% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.8 4.0 4.6 5.8 5.9 6.0 5.8 100.0%
Kylie Perkins 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Livia Ianni 100% 42.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Ashley Flick 100% 43.5 0.0 0.0 99.8%
Sara Mcgraw 100% 48.0 98.5%
Amelia Shirley 100% 49.0 97.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Turk 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.2 6.8 12.1 19.5 17.8 11.6 7.7 5.7 4.2 2.5 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4
Valeria Lara 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 4.0 6.4 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.1 8.2 7.6 7.8 6.7
Kylie Perkins 30.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.4
Livia Ianni 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7
Ashley Flick 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4
Sara Mcgraw 35.9 0.0
Amelia Shirley 36.5 0.0