Bishop Chatard
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #27
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #11
Noblesville Regional Rank #6
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 43.7%
Advance to Regional 99.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Circle City Classic Noblesville Invitational (4k) Bishop Chatard Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship Golden Spike Invitational
Date 8/22 8/29 9/2 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 396 359 406 408 396 607
Team Adjusted Rating 359 406 408 396 402
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Classic Noblesville Invitational (4k) Bishop Chatard Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship Golden Spike Invitational
Lily Cridge 10 17:27 17:26 17:23 17:30 17:54
56  Emily Loiselle 12 19:22 19:04 19:28 19:26 19:28 19:30
295  Mayan Stickel 11 20:41 20:28 20:37 20:57 20:43 20:48
335  Alex Gantz 11 20:50 21:03 20:56 20:57 20:42 20:44
708  Mary Bea Sowinski 11 21:58 21:43 22:11 23:41
720  Caroline Bell 10 22:00 21:29 22:01 22:47 21:58 22:34
803  Mara Foley 11 22:13 22:02 22:13 22:16 22:01 22:12
819  Mallory Stewart 11 22:16 22:24 21:43 22:06 22:48
860  Deirdre Hostettler 11 22:22 22:04 22:21 22:21 22:21 22:47
917  Anna Zyromski 9 22:32 23:10 22:29 22:05 22:22
1,003  Maisie Mcmahon 10 22:44 22:35 23:02 22:36 23:09 22:58
1,182  Elaine Nickerson 12 23:07 21:58 22:48 24:06 23:54
Morgan Engleman 9 23:34 23:22 23:46 23:39
Madison Loiselle 9 23:40 22:45 23:39 24:07
Alex Teed 9 23:43 24:16 24:17 23:10 22:53
Julia Knight 12 23:44 23:34 23:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 14.1 356 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 43.7% 9.9 263 0.4 1.0 3.0 9.8 16.3 10.7 2.3 0.4
Regionals 99.9% 5.6 154 0.2 1.0 6.8 35.8 46.0 8.5 1.8
Sectionals 100% 3.0 91 0.7 17.4 61.2 19.5 1.2 0.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 1.0 72.1 16.3 6.0 2.6 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 23.7% 46.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 23.4% 23.7%
Mayan Stickel 0.4% 133.0 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Gantz 0.4% 140.0 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Bea Sowinski 0.4% 193.0 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Bell 0.4% 193.5 0.0% 0.0%
Mara Foley 0.4% 198.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 1.0 94.1 4.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 99.4% 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.0 5.5 5.4 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.5 98.9% 99.4%
Mayan Stickel 43.7% 83.4 0.0% 1.4%
Alex Gantz 43.7% 92.9 0.0% 0.5%
Mary Bea Sowinski 43.7% 153.6 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Bell 43.7% 154.6 0.0% 0.0%
Mara Foley 43.7% 160.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 1.0 93.8 5.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 100% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.8 3.3 4.5 5.9 7.3 10.4 10.7 14.0 12.1 8.9 5.8 4.3 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Mayan Stickel 100% 46.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Alex Gantz 100% 49.6 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Mary Bea Sowinski 100.0% 72.9 66.7% 46.2%
Caroline Bell 99.9% 73.5 0.0% 44.6%
Mara Foley 99.9% 76.0 0.0% 24.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 1.0 96.6 3.2 0.3
Emily Loiselle 5.6 0.2 3.2 16.2 51.6 16.6 5.9 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
Mayan Stickel 21.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.7 5.6 5.5 7.7 8.2 8.9 9.4 11.3 11.1 9.9
Alex Gantz 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.7 5.2 6.1 8.7 9.3 11.3 11.7
Mary Bea Sowinski 39.8
Caroline Bell 40.2
Mara Foley 42.4