Brownsburg
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #12
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Ben Davis Regional Rank #2
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 30.4%
Advance to State Finals 54.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Noblesville Invitational (4k) Brownsburg Invitational Brownsburg JV Meet Ben Davis Invitational Ben Davis JV Meet
Date 8/29 9/5 9/9 9/12 9/16
Team Rating 288 362 267 1,221 285 892
Team Adjusted Rating 284 267 288 285 288
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Noblesville Invitational (4k) Brownsburg Invitational Brownsburg JV Meet Ben Davis Invitational Ben Davis JV Meet
29  Abby Lynch 12 18:54 18:58 18:55 18:38
67  Alivia Gustrowsky 12 19:28 19:24 19:28
120  Eva Altschul 10 19:56 19:55 19:47 19:56
225  Lindsay Huston 11 20:25 20:13 20:24 20:25
305  Elise Cougill 9 20:43 20:47 20:32 20:48
349  Isabella Maihofer 12 20:55 21:04 20:54
373  Kiley Van Ness 11 21:00 21:11 20:59
423  Emma McDivitt 10 21:08 21:07 21:00 21:01
534  Riley Owens 21:29 21:28
544  Sydney Parpart 10 21:31 21:33 21:30
729  Renee Walmoth 22:02 22:06 21:57
775  Lauren Turner 22:08 21:52 22:08 22:08
793  Olivia Limbil 11 22:11 22:38 21:58 22:24
810  Maya Rowe 10 22:14 22:14 22:02
996  Isabel Anderson 22:42 22:41
1,067  Ella Rock 11 22:51 22:47 22:55 22:09
1,127  Kaylin Traut 10 22:59 22:53 22:59 23:03
1,230  Emily Baker 10 23:12 24:00 23:36 22:45
1,309  Mackenzie Williams 23:25 23:07 23:53 23:16 23:34
Mary McCluskey 23:36 23:46 23:25
Skyler Dickenson 23:43 23:43 23:42
Evelyn Wickett 12 23:43 23:49 23:23 24:12
Katherine Maners 23:54 23:30 23:54 24:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 54.3% 10.2 321 0.1 0.6 2.7 3.5 4.7 7.1 6.4 5.5 6.4 5.0 4.0 2.8 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 6.2 189 2.5 7.2 12.4 16.2 16.1 18.2 15.5 7.5 3.2 1.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.9 47 9.2 90.5 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 26 99.3 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abby Lynch 87.9% 29.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.9 2.5 2.9 3.8 2.7 2.6 73.4% 84.1%
Alivia Gustrowsky 55.4% 56.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4% 12.3%
Eva Altschul 54.3% 92.3 0.0% 0.5%
Lindsay Huston 54.3% 135.9 0.0% 0.0%
Elise Cougill 54.3% 158.4 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella Maihofer 54.3% 169.3 0.0% 0.0%
Kiley Van Ness 54.3% 173.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abby Lynch 100% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 2.6 3.7 6.4 7.1 9.2 9.0 9.7 7.4 6.1 6.5 6.0 4.2 3.9 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.2 0.8 100.0%
Alivia Gustrowsky 100% 27.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.8 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.2 3.6 4.2 5.0 100.0%
Eva Altschul 100% 48.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 100.0%
Lindsay Huston 100% 74.7 100.0%
Elise Cougill 100% 91.9 100.0%
Isabella Maihofer 100% 103.8 99.6%
Kiley Van Ness 100% 109.6 99.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abby Lynch 100% 1.0 63.9 23.1 7.4 3.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Alivia Gustrowsky 100% 4.7 0.4 7.9 14.8 16.5 15.1 13.2 10.5 8.0 5.8 3.3 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Eva Altschul 100% 10.8 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.4 5.8 7.7 9.4 11.0 11.8 10.5 11.3 8.8 6.4 5.2 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Lindsay Huston 100% 17.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.8 4.3 6.4 7.2 10.4 12.3 12.8 11.7 9.0 6.1 5.0 2.3 2.5 1.8 100.0%
Elise Cougill 100% 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 4.1 5.3 7.9 9.5 11.7 10.3 10.3 7.8 5.8 100.0%
Isabella Maihofer 100% 25.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.1 2.6 3.9 5.6 6.6 8.7 10.2 9.2 100.0%
Kiley Van Ness 100% 26.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.7 2.3 3.5 4.5 6.6 7.7 8.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abby Lynch 1.0 98.1 1.8 0.2
Alivia Gustrowsky 1.7 1.2 72.2 19.0 6.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
Eva Altschul 3.9 2.4 21.5 29.5 27.5 12.3 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.1
Lindsay Huston 7.3 0.2 1.8 5.2 16.9 19.8 19.3 15.8 10.1 5.4 3.3 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Elise Cougill 10.3 0.4 1.9 4.2 9.8 12.8 15.7 16.1 13.2 8.4 5.6 4.4 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
Isabella Maihofer 12.6 0.2 1.5 2.2 4.6 7.8 11.2 14.0 14.2 11.0 8.8 8.1 6.4 4.5 2.6 2.2 1.0 0.2
Kiley Van Ness 13.8 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.3 3.9 8.5 10.0 12.3 14.5 11.0 10.3 8.8 5.9 5.5 3.5 1.7 0.3 0.1