Carmel
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #1
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 61.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
Date 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/19
Team Rating 84 72 69 162 122 795
Team Adjusted Rating 72 69 81 91 84
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
Annie Christie 12 18:05 18:05 18:04 17:56
10  Jasmine Klopstad 10 18:20 18:20 18:02 18:21
32  Alivia Romaniuk 11 18:56 18:36 18:56 19:00
34  Cara Naas 9 18:59 19:00 18:35 19:09
43  Abby Parker 12 19:09 19:01 19:10 19:08
45  Brooklynn Edwards 12 19:14 19:06 19:15
48  Brooke Waldal 12 19:16 19:21 19:11 19:27
63  Jamie Klavon 11 19:27 19:31 19:56 19:19
106  Roni Ledezma 12 19:52 19:32 20:32 19:57
165  Kara Wenzler 9 20:10 20:53 20:08 20:10
184  Lilian Rose 11 20:14 20:09 20:21 20:38
338  Evelyn Taller 11 20:52 20:55 20:49 21:12
351  Chloe Del Carlo 9 20:56 21:19 20:35 20:56
377  Marianne Cadio 11 21:00 20:56
397  Emersyn Weaver 9 21:02 21:33 21:02 20:49
505  Olivia McKee 11 21:23 21:07 21:13 22:33
508  Savannah Hill 12 21:24 21:24 21:20 21:39
521  Savanah Hill 21:26 21:26
592  Evelyn Gordon 10 21:39 22:08 21:28 21:49
637  Grace Barney 12 21:44 21:42
660  Olivia Lafferty 12 21:49 21:26 21:49
733  Kaitlin Langland 10 22:03 22:03 22:26
796  Ava Sinex 10 22:12 22:11
861  Chloe De Leon 9 22:22 22:25 22:19
868  Olivia Kinney 10 22:24 22:31 22:17
872  Madeline Weisner 9 22:24 22:45 22:04
874  Christina McCollum 10 22:25 22:47 22:24
895  Sage Moore 11 22:29 22:28
942  Bethany Lee 9 22:36 22:36
957  Sophia Hudak 10 22:38 22:42
983  Sophie Turner 11 22:40 22:40
1,053  Audrey Schuster 11 22:49 22:37
1,100  Chenyao Liu 10 22:55 22:55
1,115  Isabel Meyers 11 22:58 22:45
1,177  Yael Kiser 12 23:06 23:29
1,336  Lauryn Forster 12 23:28 23:31
Dayton Schnase 11 23:35 23:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.4 69 61.7 35.2 2.9 0.3
Semi-State 100% 1.0 32 100.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 32 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 6.1 1.2 5.2 8.0 11.1 12.8 11.1 10.4 9.7 6.9 6.6 3.9 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 10.9 0.2 0.2 2.0 2.6 3.6 5.8 5.5 7.7 7.2 8.1 8.0 7.1 5.8 6.6 5.0 5.9 3.9 2.3 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 99.9%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 31.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 2.4 2.6 2.5 3.0 2.7 3.6 3.2 80.4%
Cara Naas 100% 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.3 1.5 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 73.3%
Abby Parker 100% 41.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.4 51.3%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 46.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 40.1%
Brooke Waldal 100% 48.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 33.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 2.3 3.0 39.4 26.0 14.7 8.5 4.4 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 4.5 0.2 5.1 16.6 19.3 17.9 15.4 10.8 6.7 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 12.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.7 4.6 7.0 8.1 9.4 9.4 9.8 8.7 7.9 7.1 5.1 4.1 3.0 2.6 1.8 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 100.0%
Cara Naas 100% 13.8 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.6 2.8 4.8 6.2 7.6 9.1 8.8 9.0 7.7 7.3 6.2 4.9 5.2 4.0 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.8 100.0%
Abby Parker 100% 17.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.3 3.8 5.1 6.2 7.9 6.6 8.0 6.5 7.5 5.4 5.4 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.0 99.9%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 20.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.5 2.0 3.7 3.7 5.5 6.3 6.1 5.7 6.7 6.4 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.7 3.9 99.7%
Brooke Waldal 100% 21.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.9 1.3 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.6 5.8 5.9 7.5 6.3 6.7 5.9 5.7 4.3 4.6 99.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 2.2 2.9 42.3 29.6 15.8 6.4 2.2 0.9 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 3.8 0.3 6.5 20.8 26.8 24.5 13.7 5.1 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 8.9 0.1 0.4 2.4 4.6 11.6 16.1 16.2 16.4 11.6 8.9 4.8 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cara Naas 100% 9.8 0.3 0.8 2.7 6.8 11.8 16.0 14.8 13.5 10.9 8.3 6.5 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Abby Parker 100% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.5 6.2 9.3 12.6 15.1 13.8 11.6 9.3 6.4 3.8 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 13.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.6 9.0 10.9 14.0 13.5 13.2 10.8 6.3 4.0 2.4 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Brooke Waldal 100% 13.9 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.2 4.0 6.2 9.3 12.2 16.5 14.7 11.7 7.8 4.8 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 1.0 77.2 18.7 4.0 0.2 0.1
Jasmine Klopstad 1.6 13.2 56.7 25.8 3.9 0.5
Alivia Romaniuk 4.8 0.4 7.8 23.4 23.9 19.0 12.5 6.4 4.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1
Cara Naas 5.5 0.1 3.5 14.4 22.0 21.7 15.6 11.3 6.3 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Abby Parker 7.2 0.9 3.7 8.8 15.7 17.5 17.6 16.3 10.7 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Brooklynn Edwards 8.2 0.5 1.8 4.7 8.0 13.6 18.5 19.7 17.7 8.6 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Brooke Waldal 8.7 0.1 1.0 3.0 5.2 10.1 15.6 21.2 23.4 10.4 6.1 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1