Cowan
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #171
New Haven Semi-State Rank #49
Delta Regional Rank #8
Delta Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ethan Cheesman Memorial Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Union Co., Cowan, Hagerstown, Monroe Cent. Union City Invitational Delaware County Meet Monroe Central Quad New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invite Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/26 8/29 9/1 9/5 9/8 9/12 9/15 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,303 1,375 1,369 1,299 1,379 1,308 1,376
Team Adjusted Rating 1,375 1,369 1,299 1,379 1,308 1,376
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ethan Cheesman Memorial Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Union Co., Cowan, Hagerstown, Monroe Cent. Union City Invitational Delaware County Meet Monroe Central Quad New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invite Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
507  Brynn Wright 10 21:20 NEI 22:13 22:54 22:10 22:13 21:55 22:10 21:42 21:47 21:40 21:37 20:58 21:08
508  Lauren Smith 11 21:20 NEI 21:26 21:24 21:27 21:09 20:53 21:29 21:20 21:30 21:31 21:35 21:28 21:07
McKenna Minton 10 23:31 NEI 23:28 23:09 23:07 23:25 23:25 23:46 23:29 23:50 23:55 23:17 23:33
Crism Morey 10 25:58 NEI 28:21 26:42 25:31 26:28 25:09 25:14 25:06 25:09 26:02 26:58
Aleah Wright 12 28:44 NEI 33:12 33:20 29:14 31:23 30:19 32:28 28:38 30:15 28:06 30:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.8 213 0.4 24.3 71.1 4.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.8 143 0.0 25.1 65.7 8.4 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brynn Wright 99.7% 104.5 99.7% 99.7%
Lauren Smith 99.7% 104.6 99.7% 99.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brynn Wright 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.2 5.9 6.9 8.2 7.7 8.7 7.9 7.5 100.0%
Lauren Smith 100% 22.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.6 5.2 6.4 6.6 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.1 7.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brynn Wright 7.1 0.1 5.2 6.9 10.1 12.2 13.7 12.7 11.7 9.2 6.7 4.4 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lauren Smith 7.2 0.1 4.8 7.4 10.4 12.0 13.3 12.9 11.3 10.0 6.5 4.6 3.0 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0